Potash
Overview
The potash market has been disrupted from its traditional trade flows and typically slow-moving price cycles, affected by new entrants, new mines, military conflicts and political tensions in countries that either produce or consume some of the largest quantities of potash in the world. The need for accurate insight and data is more acute than ever.
Our extensive potash coverage includes MOP, SOP and NOP. Argus has many decades of experience covering the potash market and we incorporate our multi-commodity market expertise to provide potash price assessments, analysis and data that provides the full narrative.
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Latest potash news
Browse the latest market moving news on the global potash industry.
Pupuk Indonesia receives final sMOP offers
Pupuk Indonesia receives final sMOP offers
Athens, 25 October (Argus) — State-controlled fertilizer group Pupuk Indonesia has received six offers to supply 220,000t of standard MOP at $310-311/t cfr in its e-auction tender today. The offers were submitted by BPC, Canpotex, APC, K+S, Food Security Solutions/Uralkali and Fertistream/Eurochem. The lowest offers were submitted by BPC and Canpotex. Initial offers under the first round, which closed on 18 October, were submitted in the range of $315-323/t cfr. The tender requests delivery between December 2024 and April 2025. It requested 175,000t to be shipped to Gresik port for Petrokimia Gresik in lots of 25,000t, with the first shipment to arrive in January 2025. Another 10,000t is to be shipped to Cigading port for Pupuk Kujang in a single lot for arrival by 1 December, and another 35,000t to be shipped to Lhokseumawe port for Pupuk Iskanda Muda in lots of 20,000t for arrival by 3 December. By Nykole King Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
CSX forecasts softer 4Q rail demand
CSX forecasts softer 4Q rail demand
Washington, 17 October (Argus) — Eastern US railroad said it expects that fourth quarter commodity market conditions will be mixed, limiting some freight demand. "Going into the fourth quarter, near-term conditions look modestly more challenging," chief executive Joe Hinrichs said on Wednesday. But the railroad expects "modest volume growth", supported by a few segments including chemicals and agriculture. But lower locomotive fuel prices and the impact of international coking coal prices, which are linked to export rail contracts, could drive a decrease in total revenue during the fourth quarter. He estimated that impact at roughly $200mn compared with last year's fourth quarter revenue of $3.68bn. CSX expects to see a carryover of year-over-year momentum in chemicals, agriculture and food, forest products and minerals, while metals and automotive will continue to be challenged. Demand for metals shipments is predicted to soften through the end of the year. Interest in shipments, particularly steel, is soft because of "sluggish demand, ample supply and low commodity prices", chief commercial officer Kevin Boone said. A weaker-than-anticipated automotive market contributed to the drop in metals demand. Consumer demand for automotive products has been reduced by high retail prices and interest rates, which has led to increased dealer inventories and slower production, Boone said. But CSX expects that an "interest rate easing cycle will help these markets normalize," Boone said. Metals and equipment volume fell in the second quarter, primarily because of lower steel and scrap shipments. Shipments of metals and equipment fell by 9pc to about 64,000 carloads compared with the same three months in 2023. Revenue dropped to $208mn, down by 8pc from a year earlier. Automotive volume dropped in the second quarter because of lower North American vehicle production, CSX said. Automotive traffic fell to 301,000 railcars loaded, down by 2pc from the third quarter 2023. Automotive revenue dropped to $98mn, down by 3pc compared with a year earlier. The outlook for fertilizer shipments is mixed following the third quarter as a decline in long-haul phosphates shipments persisted. Volume was negative, but the railroad was able to haul some profitable spot shipments. Shipments of fertilizer fell to 45,000 carloads in the third quarter, down by 4pc from a year earlier. Fertilizer revenue dropped to $118mn, down by 5pc from a year earlier. CSX expects growth in some market segments. Chemicals freight demand is expected to continue growing following "consistent, broad strength across plastics, industrial chemicals, LPGs, and waste. That demand helped boost chemicals volume by 9pc compared with a year earlier. Chemicals revenue rose to $727mn in the second quarter, up by 13pc compared with a year earlier. Agricultural and food products shipping demand is expected to continue growing, led by demand for grain and feed ingredients from the Midwest for supplies. That follows a third quarter when higher ethanol shipments, as well as increased overall volume helped raise volume by 9pc from the third quarter of 2023. Revenue from shipping agricultural and food products rose to $416mn, up by 11pc from a year earlier. CSX expects intermodal growth to continue with the trucking market falling, which would help drive more container freight to rail. Intermodal shipments are goods shipped in containers and trailers between different modes of transportation. The 1-3 October strike by the International Longshoremen's Association (ILA) did impact intermodal traffic, but the railroad was pleased with the "relatively quick short-term solution", Boone said. International intermodal volume during the third quarter rose because of higher east-coast port traffic. Domestic volume was mostly flat. Overall intermodal volume during the quarter increased by 3pc compared with a year earlier. But lower revenue per container helped reduce total intermodal revenue by 2pc to $509mn. CSX does not expect a major shift in coal volume through the end of the year as coal markets seem relatively stable and utility stockpiles are sufficient, Boone said. Rising natural gas prices are also unlikely to stimulate a "near-term step-up in volumes". Export coal demand has been consistent lately, particularly from buyers in Asia. But revenue per railcar for export coal could make a modest single digit drop, as contracts are tied to international coal benchmarks and prices fell earlier this year. Expport coal voume rose to 11.1mn short tons (10.1mn metric tonnes) in the second quarter on higher demand for thermal and coking coal. But domestic coal deliveries fell to 10.2mn st, down by 12pc from a year earlier, on lower deliveries to power plants and lake and river terminals. Rail coal volume fell by 2pc from a year earlier, while revenue dropped by 7pc to 553mn st. Total CSX profits rose to $894mn, up by 8pc compared with third quarter 2023. Revenue increased to $3.6bn, up by 1pc. By Abby Caplan Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Belarus' MOP shipments on track to surpass 2023 record
Belarus' MOP shipments on track to surpass 2023 record
London, 14 October (Argus) — Belarusian MOP rail shipments to China and Russian ports rose by 22pc on the year in January-September to 7.8mn t, putting the producer on track to surpass its 2023 shipments of 9.1mn t by the end of the year. Belarusian producer Belaruskali, which markets products primarily through its export arm BPC, sent 1.3mn t of MOP to China in January-September, up by 28pc on a year earlier. Its rail shipments to Russian ports in the first nine months rose by 21pc to 6.4mn t, data from forwarding agents show. Bronka remains the primary port for Belarusian seaborne exports, with 72pc of exports sent to the Baltic Sea port. Belarusian rail shipments to China and Russian ports for export in the third quarter amounted to 2.7mn t, up by 17pc on the year. Full details are available in Argus ' data and download files for Russian and Belarusian potash rail shipments here . By Nykole King Belarusian rail shipments to Russian ports and China '000t Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Egypt's NCIC issues SOP tender
Egypt's NCIC issues SOP tender
London, 14 October (Argus) — Egyptian SOP producer NCIC has issued a sales tender for 1,500t of water-soluble SOP, closing on 18 October. The product will be offered in 50kg bags on a fob basis for loading by the end of November. NCIC made awards in its 25 September SOP sales tender at $655-660/t fob equivalent, the first time in two years that it has offered SOP for export. It was previously carrying out maintenance at some of its ovens and supplying the domestic market exclusively. NCIC is now operating at full capacity, producing water-soluble SOP at a rate of 50 t/d. By Nykole King Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
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