|08:30 - 09:30
Secretary of Defense (2006-2011); Author, New York Times Best Seller, DUTY: Memoirs of a Secretary at War and A Passion for Leadership
|09:30 - 09:45
|09:45 - 11:00
||Session 1: Hydrocarbon Production and the Battle for Market Share
- OPEC strategy: Oil exports from the US are rising dramatically, rivalling several OPEC member countries. But OPEC’s promise for production cuts were breached in 2017. What are the challenges OPEC is facing in re-balancing the market and how might that impact US production?
- US shale: Production is surging in the prolific Permian basin where operating costs are low and rig counts are growing. What infrastructure is available to support the Permian boom? What is pipeline takeaway capacity for NGLs and where is it headed? How much is going to Houston and how much is going to Corpus Christi?
|11:00 - 11:30
|11:30 - 12:20
||Session 2: The Next Wave of North American Infrastructure Investment
- New pipelines, new access: The Mariner East 2 pipeline means more Marcellus shale will be ramping up production. What will new market access mean for global trade flows?
- Future of ethylene terminals: The proposed ethylene export terminal at Morgan’s Point will be a new route for petrochemical companies looking to diversify their product exports. What will be the size of the terminal and when might it come online? What are the opportunities for LPG market participants?
|12:20 - 12:45
|| Presentation - Naphtha Market
- Will the naphtha market continue to be well supplied? What are the commercial considerations petrochemicals are evaluating in choosing their feedstock supply?
|12:45 - 14:00
|14:00 - 15:15
||Session 3: Opportunities in the Far East
- Market access: The Ridley Island export terminal in British Columbia means short term voyage and lower delivery costs for Canadian propane to the Far East. How does the Far East market compare to the US and Mexico as a competitive outlet for Canadian propane?
- Freight rates: Time chartered vessels play a crucial role in keeping exports moving out of the US. What is the outlook for VLGCs when propane arbs widen?
- Paper vs physical trade: Watching the history of the US arbitrage with Asia shows how quickly the US market can react to shifting opportunities. What are the risk management solutions to develop a good hedging strategy?
|15:15 - 15:45
|15:45 - 17:00
||Session 4: Global LPG Demand and Regions to Watch
- Global demand outlook: With the increasing availability of LPG out of the US, the Middle East and other regions, where is the incremental demand growing, and is growth sustainable over the coming years?
- Rapid growth in the Indian market: India’s demand is growing and is now passing Japan as the #2 importer for LPG. The Indian government is subsidizing LPG which means new opportunities for market participants. But most term contracts are currently going to major Middle East exporters. What are the opportunities for other LPG distributors to compete in the Indian market and what might happen long-term when government subsidies end?
- Spotlight on China: Growing PDH capacity in China relies on imported feedstock. What is driving demand and how big is the opportunity for supply from the US vs the Middle East? And how will Canada fit into this picture?
|17:00 - 19:00