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Argus Americas Motor Fuels Summit

Wednesday, January 17
07:30 - 08:30 Registration and Breakfast
08:30 - 08:40 Welcome and Opening Remarks
08:40 - 09:30  Opening Address: Grand Ballroom G & J

Robert Gates
Secretary of Defense (2006-2011); Author, New York Times Best Seller, DUTY: Memoirs of a Secretary at War and A Passion for Leadership

Moderator: Euan Craik, CEO, Americas, Argus
09:30 - 10:30 Session 1: Global Oil Market Dynamics

  • Global oil outlook: A look at oil market balances, OPEC's strategy and US exports.
  • Global arbitrage opportunities: What are the trading opportunities for US supply in the international market? How do the Middle East and other regions compete?
Corey Prologo, Director of Oil Trading - North America, Head of Houston Branch, Trafigura Trading LLC

Moderator: Stephen Jones, SVP, Petroleum, Argus
10:30 - 11:00 Break: All attendees of the Argus Americas Motor Fuels Summit please join us in Grand Ballroom A for the remainder of the day’s sessions.
11:00 - 11:30  Presentation- Global Product Market Connectivity: What are the key considerations for the US in a products export context? Understand the global opportunities for USGC to Mexico and Latin America, East coast to Europe, West coast to Asia and other motor fuel arbitrage opportunities. How does this play into global market dynamics and which markets what the greatest opportunity recently? Additionally we will discuss the opportunities for different blends of motor fuels internationally based on specifications.

Kristine Klavers, SVP, Consulting - Americas, Argus
 11:30 - 12:30 Session 2: US Market Factors

  • Light transportation fuels- Supply-demand outlook and implications for logistical infrastructure: Although the oil industry has been efficiently moving transportation fuels for decades, there have been massive changes in supply patterns in recent years. How will the shifting patterns in supply and demand influence the current and future need for logistical infrastructure?
  • RINs, CAFE and other key regulations: Join us as we identify and discuss timely market questions including annual price outlooks for RINs and the opportunities and constraints within the US biofuels market being impacted by renewable fuel standards. What are some of the risk factors and how does this impact expectations for these standards moving forward? How will an anti-EPA Trump administration affect this market and what are the implications if they relax CAFE fuel economy standards for cars and light trucks?
  • Refining environmental credit planning: This presentation will discuss the refining planning aspects of both state and federal regulations that require the acquisition of environmental credits and impact pricing for products. This includes RFS, California Low Carbon Fuel Standard, Oregon Clean Fuels Program and Washington Clean Air Rule which are less known, but overlap with the RFS. Additionally hear details on the refining industry's difficulty in planning to comply due to constant changes in schedules and prices.
Neil Earnest, President, Muse Stancil & Co.
Paul Niznik, Mgr, Biofuels & Environmental, Argus
Gwen Mitchell, Mgr, Speciality Products/Reg Fuels, Andeavor
12:30 - 14:00 Networking Lunch and Presentation

Managing Risk in an Uncertain World
: In the petroleum and petrochemical markets, we have come to expect extreme price volatility due to extreme weather events, macroeconomic pressures, geopolitical issues, capital flows and currency fluctuations which frequently cause dramatic swings in underlying values. But how do you effectively manage your risk in this market, whether you are a consumer or producer? The challenges and opportunities in using financial risk management strategies to create a boost to your bottom line in an otherwise challenging market environment.

Gregory Broussard, Senior Director, Energy Derivatives, Cargill

Moderator: Jeff Kralowetz, Vice President, Business Development, Argus
14:00 - 15:00 Interactive Panel Discussion- Moving Products into the Mexican Market: A year into liberalization, early adopters and other organizations in the USGC and throughout the globe have only scratched the surface of the real-world potential of this historic shift in policy. During this discussion we will:
  • Examine ongoing logistics challenges, both existing and planned for moving products into Mexico
  • Explore legal and tax considerations. Understand end user demand and specification needs
  • Evaluate best practices for moving product across the border
Dan Gordon, EVP, BD & Strategy, Delek US Holdings
Celeste Rebora, Dir, Hydrocarbon Projects, TCM
Jaime Brito, VP, Pricing and Market Strategies, Argus
15:00 - 15:30 Presentation- South American Spotlight: How much product will Chile, Venezuela, Peru and Ecuador be importing within the next 12 months? What effect has the liberalization of the Mexican market have on the region and will Latin American refineries be able to keep up with demand?

Fidel Farías, Former Energy Market Consultant and Business Strategy Analyst, PDVSA, Petroleos de Venezuela S.A., Energy Market Consultant and Business Strategy Analyst, Siemens
15:30 - 16:00 Break 
16:00 - 17:00 Interactive Panel Discussion- Risk Management, Hedging, Spot vs Paper, Derivatives and Other Financial Considerations for Motor Fuels: Join us as we identify and discuss timely market questions including:
  • What are some of the risks people are hedging against price moves and what widely used benchmarks are most likely subject to change? Are there new tools for financial markets that the exchanges will bring on? How will all of this affect your overall hedging strategy?
  • How can you get more accurate information on the spot market when paper trading and how will upcoming regulations and exchanges impact your ability to enter the paper market? Will Dodd-Frank rolling back impact paper trading and what other regulations should you keep in mind?
  • What are the financial options derivatives within refined products? What are the benefits of exchange-traded derivatives vs. over-the-counter derivative and how is this expected to shift in near future?
Mike Davis, Director Market Dev, ICE
Gregory Broussard, Senior Director, Energy Derivatives, Cargill
John Demopoulos, Vice President, North American Refined Products, Argus
17:00 Closing Announcements
17:00 - 19:30 Networking Reception

(Open to all event attendees)
Thursday, January 18
07:30 - 08:30 Registration and Breakfast 
08:30 - 08:35 Opening Remarks: Grand Ballroom G & J

Moderator: Stephen Jones, SVP, Petroleum, Argus
08:40 - 09:15 Keynote Address - The Future of North America’s Refining Sector: How will Mexico’s energy reform, Trump’s policies and feedstock economics impact the refining sector? How might new marine fuel specifications impact refiners? Where are the global opportunities for US refined products?

Dan Romasko, President and Chief Executive Officer, Motiva Enterprises LLC

Moderator: Stephen Jones
, SVP, Petroleum, Argus
09:15 - 09:45 Fireside Chat - The Impact of Oil Exports and Changing Infrastructure Needs on the Midstream Sector: What opportunities have US oil exports created for the midstream sector? What infrastructure is still needed to best move oil from producing basins to export terminals? Will foreign investors become involved in transportation projects in the US to help expedite larger export volumes?

Robert Barnes, SVP Commercial - Crude Oil, Magellan

Moderator: Jeff Kralowetz, Vice President, Business Development, Argus
09:45 - 10:15 Break
10:15 - 10:45 Fireside Chat– The Impact of Changing Infrastructure Needs on the Midstream Sector: What opportunities have US oil exports created for the midstream sector? What infrastructure is still needed to best move oil from producing basins to export terminals? What opportunities do midstream organizations see for the refined products sector?

Brent Secreast, SVP, Enterprise

Moderator: Jeff Kralowetz, Vice President, Business Development, Argus
10:45 - 10:50 Room Switch: All attendees of the Argus Americas Motor Fuels Summit please join us in Grand Ballroom A for the remainder of the morning’s sessions.
10:50 - 11:30  Presentation- Advanced Biofuels: All growth in the RFS will now come from advanced biofuels, the vast majority of which will be blended into distillates. How will the Trump EPA’s first RFS rule, Congress’ tax legislation, and the Department of Commerce’s trade actions impact advanced biofuels supply and demand and ultimately drive the broader American distillate market?

Gene Gebolys, Founder, President/CEO, World Energy
11:30 - 12:15 Presentation: Distillate Drama- The Impending Effect of Sulfur Regulations on Refining Margins: How will the Marpol VI regulation likely affect bottom of the barrel products as well as distillates as a whole? What are the forecasts for ULSD and HSFO crack spreads and what are the anticipated expectations for US refining margins related to Marpol?

Edward Arnold, Senior Consultant, Argus
12:15 - 14:00 Networking Lunch and Room Switch- All attendees of the Argus Americas Motor Fuels Summit please join us in Grand Ballroom J & G following lunch for the remainder of the day’s sessions.
14:00 - 14:30 Presentation: The Evolving Role of the US Gulf Coast and the Impact on Crude Pricing: How are market dynamics impacting crude pricing and what is the evolving role of the US Gulf coast as a global benchmark?

Dr. Phil Verleger, Owner and President, PKVerleger LLC, Visting Fellow, Colorado School of Mines

Moderator: Euan Craik, CEO, Americas, Argus
14:30 - 15:30 Session 3: US Refining Considerations and the Future of the Fuels Market

  • Global refined products demand: How will China and India’s refining sectors impact US product supply? Will the US emerge as Mexico’s main supply source? What other regions might emerge as demand centers? 
  • The future of the transportation fuels mix: The global transportation sector is continuing to evolve to meet increasing emissions standards. What might this mean for diesel and gasoline demand? When will we see an increase in consumer adoption of electric, natural gas and renewable diesel vehicles? 
Joseph Israel, CEO, Par Petroleum
Ed Arnold, Senior Consultant, Argus

Moderator: Ed Arnold, Senior Consultant, Argus
15:30 - 16:00 Closing Address: Looking Forward – The Global Crude Picture: Will OPEC, shale, and peak demand keep oil prices stable indefinitely?

Bob McNally, Founder and President, The Rapidan Group, Former Energy Advisor, President George W. Bush Administration

Moderator: Stephen Jones, SVP, Petroleum, Argus
16:00 Closing Remarks and Conference Conclusion

Stephen Jones, 
SVP, Petroleum, Argus

*Program subject to change

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