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Latin America Motor Fuels Conference

Thursday, May 25, 2017
09:00 - 10:00 Continental Breakfast and Exhibits
10:00 - 10:30
Welcome Remarks

Euan Craik,
CEO Americas, Argus
10:30 - 11:30

Session 1: Analysis of Trends and Perspectives in the Global Products Markets

  • Overview of global supply/demand balance: How will world economic activity fare over the next five years and what are the likely impacts on global refining? Simple vs complex refineries – who is doing better amid the current crude oversupply and what does the future hold for them?
  • An in-depth look at China’s and India’s refining sector and their thirst for crude oil: Is China well-placed to supply the West Coast of the Americas?
  • Middle East: How is this key producing region preparing to deal with growing local demand for refined products and to diversify away from crude production?

Robert Campbell, Head of Oil Products Research, Energy Aspects
Chandra Dev Singh,
Head of Derivatives - Risk ManagementBharat Petroleum 
Adi Imsirovic, Head of Oil Trading, Gazprom

11:30 - 11:50
Coffee Break and Exhibits
11:50 - 12:50 Session 2: Regulation in the Refining Industry 

How is the refining industry getting ready for the IMO’s decision to cap marine-fuel sulphur emissions? Is the global refining industry capable of producing enough compliant bunker fuel by 2020? Who will invest in upgraded units? What are the expected regional disparities in compliant bunker fuel and will these open arbitrage opportunities for fuel oil? What are the implications for shipowners – are they moving to switch to lower-sulphur fuel/middle distillates rather than install scrubbing technology? Is LNG a viable alternative considering the existing/planned infrastructure?

Ed Arnold, Senior Consultant, Argus
12:50 - 14:50 Networking Lunch
14:50 - 15:50

Session 3: Market Dynamics in the Americas Refining Industry

  • An in-depth look at the US refining sector: The path from an importer to an exporter of refined products. How has the surge in US crude production impacted trading flows of products in and out of the country and what lies ahead? How do US refineries compare with the ones in Latin America and which ones are better placed to compete for market share in the region?
  • Mexico: How will the Mexican Energy Reform impact the country’s and the region’s refined products industries in the coming years?

Naomi Esfahani, Market Analysis & Research, Suncor
Eduardo Lopez, Executive Director, EY

15:50 - 16:10 Networking Break
16:10 - 17:10 Session 4: Clean Fuels

  • Clean fuels supply in Latin America: Which local refiners leading the race for better margins amid see-sawing crude prices and stronger products demand? How have the changes in the Brazilian market impacted trade flows and pricing for gasoline and diesel and what are the implications for its neighboring countries?
  • Brazil: How have changes in the Brazilian market impacted trading flows and pricing for gasoline and diesel and what are the implications for its neighboring countries?
  • The logistics of bringing gasoline and diesel to end-users in Latin America: How is the region tackling existing infrastructure bottlenecks and can the challenges be turned into investment opportunities?

Aakash Doshi, Director Commodities, Citi
Sandro Barreto,
Supply Manager, BR Distribuidora
Carlos Yamamoto
, CEO, Yamamoto Consulting

 17:10 - 19:10  Networking Cocktail Reception
Friday, May 26, 2017
09:00 - 10:00
Continental Breakfast and Exhibits 
10:00 - 11:00

Session 5: Biofuels

  • The US biofuels market in the Trump era: What to expect from the new US government in terms of ethanol/biodiesel mandates and how this could impact trading flows to/from Latin America?
  • Argentinian biodiesel: First as a tragedy, then as farce: how the two main biodiesel consuming markets (US and EU) closed their door to Argentinian product. Is there a future for Argentinian exports to the US without the $1 Biodiesel Tax Credit? Crude oil prices scenarios and their implications for discretionary blending in global markets.
  • Brazilian biodiesel: What lies ahead for local producers, and can exports ever materialize?

Leonardo Vieira, Ethanol Trading Manager, CHS
Alfredo Langesfeld, Managing Director, GEA Biodiesel
Daniel Amaral, Economics Manager, Abiove

11:00 - 11:30 Coffee Break and Exhibits
11:30 - 12:30
Session 6: Ethanol

  • The future of ethanol at a time of rising protectionism: An overview of global supply, demand and trading flows and the challenges that producers and consumers are facing.
  • Panel Discussion: Brazilian ethanol: Can Brazil recover its position of net biofuel exporter? Ethanol and sugar prices are rising, cheap mills are up for grabs: where are the investors and what can be done to attract them?

Martinho Ono, CEO, SCA Trading

Bruno Cestaro, Trading Manager, Delta Trading
Clayton Melo,
Commercial Director, FS Bioenergia
Eduardo Puertas,
Head of EthanolED&F Man Brasil
Paulo Neves, Head of Ethanol Trading
, Raízen 

 12:30 - 14:00 Lunch
14:00 - 15:00  Forum: How Argus Assesses Clean Fuels Prices in the Americas

• Where are the pricing hubs, and what are the fuels?
• RINs: what are they, and who needs them?
• How Americas markets trade
• How Argus prices Americas fuels
• Delivered prices across Latin America
• How the markets are changing

John Demopoulos, Vice President – North American Refined Products, Argus

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