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Argus Canadian Crude Summit

Conference Agenda

Tuesday, May 1
12:00 - 13:30 Registration Opens
13:30 - 15:00 Session 1: Global Trade Flow Dynamics

  • Valuing Canadian supply: Understand the position of Canada and the US in the global crude market as the new marginal export barrel given OPEC production cuts, non-OPEC declines and a rising shortfall in the Far East. Understand the outlook for the next 5 years and how Canadian producers can prepare for the future
  • Opportunities at the US Gulf coast: Crude exports out of US Gulf coast are increasing and opportunities for Canadian crude are looking up. Understand the pricing and infrastructural dynamics at the US Gulf coast and what that means for Canadian crude in the year ahead

  • Heavy barrel competition: Understand heavy crude competition from Latin America, including logistical constraints, political instability and quality of the different grades and how Canada can fill the gap for heavy crude demand
15:00 - 15:30 Break
15:30 - 17:00 Session 2: North American Production

  • CERI’s comparative analysis on supply/demand dynamics: Get the latest production forecast and supply costs for Canadian crude, both conventional and oil sands. Understand what foreign crude imports will be in Eastern Canada against potential domestic supply from the west. Understand the costs, emissions and economic implications
  • North American shale fairway: Understand the dynamics across all production areas shaping the heavy, light and medium-sour crude grades in North America and how WCS and bitumen grades are competing 
  • Alberta shale development: Canadian liquids production is increasing in the Montney and Duvernay fields. Understand production estimates, costs and how well connected these plays can bring supply to market
17:00 - 18:00 Reception
Wednesday, May 2
07:30 - 08:30  Registration and Breakfast 
08:30 - 10:00 Session 3: Demand for Canadian Barrels

  • Asian refiner’s appetite for foreign crude: Get insight into rapid growth in India and what that means for heavy crude demand

  • Products demand: Understand what global refined products demand will look like and what that means for Canada's unique barrel

  • North American refiner’s perspective: Understand how North American refiners are valuing Canadian supply and factors impacting their crude slate decisions

10:00 - 10:30

Networking Break
10:30 - 12:00 Session 4: North American Refining and Quality Challenges

  • Argus North American refining outlook: What is the light-heavy spread outlook for North American refiners? Will increased supply of light sweet crude in markets put pressure on light-heavy spreads? As MARPOL 2020 approaches, what will be the impact on Alberta bitumen?
  • Initiatives to reduce diluent use: Hear about new technologies coming to market to reduce diluent used in bitumen and the impact on crude quality
  • Asphaltenes case study: Hear the latest projects to remove asphaltenes from bitumen 

  • New technology for oil sands: Will solvents help the industry to further reduce costs and GHG emissions? What about partial upgrading?
12:00 - 13:30 Lunch
13:30 - 15:00 Session 5: Logistics to Bring Canadian Supply to Market

  • Crude-by-rail comeback: Pipelines out of Canada are full and US exports of crude have hit record highs and could continue amid a persistent wide spread between price benchmarks Brent and WTI. Understand the outlook for Canadian crude as rail ramps up again in 2018
  • Terminal capacity: Before the oil crash there was a lot of investment in rail terminals. Now with prices rebounding, we are seeing more opportunity to utilize idled capacity. What is the capability for increasing crude volumes at rail terminals and what does that mean for future trade flows? 
  • Storage expansion: Understand the capability for storage at the US Gulf coast from Houston to Corpus and what that means for Canadian crude
15:00 - 15:30 Break
15:30 - 16:30  Session 6: Hedging and Risk Management

  • Hedging strategies: Understand the hedging strategies to mitigate risk
  • Arbitrage opportunities: Get an in-depth analysis of price benchmarks Brent and WTI and opportunities for Canadian crude
17:00 - 20:00 Argus Canada Week Industry Reception
Location TBA

*Program subject to change



Storage, Blending and Marketing Options for Canadian Crude
  • What investment are midstream companies making in oil storage assets at the USGC? What kind of storage will be available for WCS?
Session 5: Market Access at the US Gulf Coast and Beyond
  • What is the future of Canadian crude-by-rail? Canadian production is growing and there's lack of pipeline space. What will fill the gap to move Canadian crude to market? 
  • What is the capability of USGC infrastructure to handle growing crude supply? What investments are being made and what projects are in the works? What are the challenges and opportunities for Canadian crude?

Speakers:
Terry Doherty, Director Rail Strategy and Commercial Development, Genesis Energy
Sandy Fielden, Director, Oil and Products Research, Morningstar Commodities and Energy Inc.

Session 5: Market Access at the US Gulf Coast and Beyond
  • What is the future of Canadian crude-by-rail? Canadian production is growing and there's lack of pipeline space. What will fill the gap to move Canadian crude to market? 
  • What is the capability of USGC infrastructure to handle growing crude supply? What investments are being made and what projects are in the works? What are the challenges and opportunities for Canadian crude?

Speakers:
Terry Doherty, Director Rail Strategy and Commercial Development, Genesis Energy
Sandy Fielden, Director, Oil and Products Research, Morningstar Commodities and Energy Inc.

134
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  • Network and do business with 200+ senior market participants at Argus Canada Week
  • Meet refiners from the USGC and Asian markets
  • Hear from industry experts and high-profile speakers
  • Held in Calgary, conveniently close to Canadian oil companies
  • Brought to you by Argus, publishers of top oil market intelligence, news and information