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Canadian Crude 2017

Conference Agenda

Monday, May 1
12:00  Registration Opens
13:00 - 13:30 Keynote: Domestic Crude Absorption and Canadian Crude Demand

Speaker: 
Ian MacGregor, Chairman and CEO, NW Refining
13:30 - 13:45 Short Break 
13:45 - 15:00 Session 1: The Impact of Political and Economic Challenges on Canadian Oil
  • What risks do global economics present to the oil market? Will Opec production cuts be enough? What is the historical decline of Opec and non-Opec production? How might global trade flows be changing? What is the demand outlook given the shaky economic recovery?
  • President Trump's protectionism poses real threats to Canadian barrels going into the US. If the US border adjustment tax becomes law, what might that mean for Canadian oil sands? What are the competitive issues between the US and Canada?
  • What are the environmental constraints? How much veto power do First Nations have? What push back might we see for Keystone, Line 3 and Line 5?

Speakers:
Amrita Sen, Chief Oil Analyst, Energy Aspects
Shawn McCarthy, Global Energy Reporter, The Globe and Mail
Terri-Lee Oleniuk, Partner, Osler, Hoskin & Harcourt LLP

15:00 - 15:30 Break
15:30 - 16:00 Featured Presentation: Trumponomics – The Impact of the Trump Administration on the Energy Sector in North America

  • Trump entered office with a thunder, pronouncing major changes in federal energy policies involving production, pipeline permitting, climate change, trade, fuel specifications, taxes and critical geological relationships. This presentation will focus on which of Trump’s policies are likely to materialize and when, and what would be their likely impact on the energy sector in the US, Canada and Mexico. The discussion will separate noise from reality. 
Speaker:
Jacob Dweck, Partner, Eversheds Sutherland (US) LLP
16:00 - 17:00 Session 2: US and Latin American Production Hot Spots
  • What are the production estimates for Permian basin in the second half of 2017? Will there be enough takeaway capacity and how much will come to the US Gulf coast? 
  • How might Latin America impact global trade flows? What are the political and economic challenges in Latin America? If Venezuela liberalizes, how can its sector rebound and fulfill cash-for-oil deals with China and other countries? In Brazil, what is the financial health of Petrobras and potential for supply output? What about Mexico's upstream? Who's investing in Mexico and what are the challenges for new crude oil operators?

Speakers:
Allen Gilmer, CEO, Drillinginfo
Amrita, Sen, Chief Oil Analyst, Energy Aspects

17:00 - 18:00 Reception
Tuesday, May 2
07:00 - 08:00  Breakfast 

Keynote Session

08:00 - 09:00

Moving Alberta's Energy Forward

Speaker: The Honourable Margaret McCuaig-Boyd, Alberta Minister of Energy
09:00 - 09:30 Why Build the World's Greenest Refinery? 
A new approach to exporting Canada's energy

Speaker: Samer F. Salameh, Executive Chairman and CEO, Pacific Future Energy

09:30 - 10:00

Break

Sponsored by Trimac Transportation

10:00 - 10:30 Presentation: Canadian Production and Markets for Canadian Supply
  • What are the opportunities for heavy-sour crude at the US Gulf coast and Asian market?

Speaker:
Dinara Millington, Vice President Research, Canadian Energy Research Institute

10:30 - 11:30 Session 3: Unique Challenges for Refining and Impact on Canadian Crude
  • What are the factors affecting US refinery demand for Canadian crude? What is demand for US gasoline and diesel exports? Will Latin America continue to import high levels of products from the US Gulf coast? What might President Trump’s infrastructure plans mean for asphalt-rich crudes such as Cold Lake?
  • What are the differences in quality between Canadian crude and the Mexican and Venezuelan crude it is replacing? How many US refiners are configured to run high-TAN crude? 

Speakers:
Ed Arnold, Vice President - Downstream, Argus
Bill Lywood, President, Crude Quality Inc.

11:30 - 12:45 Lunch
12:45 - 14:15 Session 4: Market Access for Canadian Crude
  • Are we ready for a six-fold increase in Canadian crude-by-rail?
  • “On Track” Rail Safety & Logistics – Understand the complexities of effectively managing a fleet of rail cars
  • What is the capability of US Gulf coast infrastructure to handle growing crude supply? What investments are being made and what projects are in the works? What are the opportunities for exporting Canadian crude out of the US Gulf coast?
Speakers:
Terry Doherty, Director Rail Strategy and Commercial Development, Genesis Energy
Cheryl Goodwin
, Manager Business Development, Empowered Logistics
Sandy Fielden, Director, Oil and Products Research, Morningstar Commodities and Energy Inc.
14:15 - 14:45 Break

Sponsored by Trimac Transportation

14:45 - 15:10 Presentation: Pipeline Infrastructure, DAPL Impact
  • How much of a difference will DAPL make? What is the potential for a new pricing point for Bakken crude in North Dakota? How might this impact the price of WCS?
Speaker:
Stephanie Sheldon, PhD, Senior Oil Analyst, LCM Commodities
15:10 - 16:00 Session 5: Financial Health of Canadian Crude Markets
  • How does a good hedging strategy work? Do existing financial contracts provide effective risk management?
  • The US Gulf coast is evolving into a global benchmark center. Understand the full range of crude supply at the US Gulf coast and how WCS stacks up against other grades

Speakers:
Brennan Higgins, Managing Director, Energy Markets Division - OTC Trading, Macquarie Bank Ltd.
Jeff Kralowetz, Vice President Business Development, Argus

16:00 - 16:15 Short Break

Sponsored by Trimac Transportation

16:15 - 16:45 Closing Panel:  What Lies Ahead for Canadian Crude?
  • We have seen WCS go to India and AWB go to China. Some analysts say there is room for an additional 400,000-500,000 b/d of Canadian heavy to be run in US Gulf coast refineries. How are the large producers of heavy crude in Canada approaching the marketing of these barrels? Who is reaching out to do direct deals with Chinese refiners? 
  • Who is using rail to circumvent the pipeline apportionments? Which producers are taking big commitments on the pipelines to the US and how long do these commitments run? 
  • What are the prospects for Canadian crude-by-rail? What infrastructure investments are developing at the Houston Ship Channel to handle growing crude supply? What is the capacity for storage and multiple unit trains?
  • What are the other market dynamics impacting Canadian crude?
Speakers:
Krista Nelson, Oil Markets & Research Analyst, Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers
Ed Koshka, P. Eng, MBA, Independent Consultant, former MEG Energy
Jeff Kralowetz, Vice President Business Development, Argus
17:00 - 20:00 Argus Canada Week Industry Reception
Ruth's Chris Steakhouse



Storage, Blending and Marketing Options for Canadian Crude
  • What investment are midstream companies making in oil storage assets at the USGC? What kind of storage will be available for WCS?
Session 5: Market Access at the US Gulf Coast and Beyond
  • What is the future of Canadian crude-by-rail? Canadian production is growing and there's lack of pipeline space. What will fill the gap to move Canadian crude to market? 
  • What is the capability of USGC infrastructure to handle growing crude supply? What investments are being made and what projects are in the works? What are the challenges and opportunities for Canadian crude?

Speakers:
Terry Doherty, Director Rail Strategy and Commercial Development, Genesis Energy
Sandy Fielden, Director, Oil and Products Research, Morningstar Commodities and Energy Inc.

Session 5: Market Access at the US Gulf Coast and Beyond
  • What is the future of Canadian crude-by-rail? Canadian production is growing and there's lack of pipeline space. What will fill the gap to move Canadian crude to market? 
  • What is the capability of USGC infrastructure to handle growing crude supply? What investments are being made and what projects are in the works? What are the challenges and opportunities for Canadian crude?

Speakers:
Terry Doherty, Director Rail Strategy and Commercial Development, Genesis Energy
Sandy Fielden, Director, Oil and Products Research, Morningstar Commodities and Energy Inc.

1
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