The growth of global electric vehicle (EV) battery installations during January-March this year has slowed with stuttering global EV demand, data from South Korean market intelligence firm SNE Research show.
Global EV battery installations during the first quarter rose by around 22pc from a year earlier to 158.8GWh compared with 36pc growth for the same period last year.
Most top battery manufacturers have experienced lower growth rate (see table), with Japan's Panasonic and South Korea's SK On installing fewer batteries compared with a year earlier. China's Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) and BYD continue to spearhead the growth, albeit also at a slower pace.
Consumers' preference for battery EVs globally waned as plug-in hybrid EV and hybrid EVs growth gained momentum because of factors including continued high interest rates and a shortage of charging infrastructure, according to SNE.
Samsung SDI earlier this year pinned its hopes on a gradual EV battery market recovery in this year's second half when it expected benefits from lower interest rates starting to be realised. Lower interest rates could spur consumers spending and business investment. But US Federal Reserve policymakers earlier this month signalled that they are likely to hold rates higher for longer until they are confident inflation is slowing "sustainably" towards the 2pc target.
The higher interest rates and lower residual values of EVs given price cuts on new vehicles could push up EVs' monthly leasing terms, which are often financed, according to Dutch investment bank ING's senior economist Rico Luman and senior high yield credit strategist Oleksiy Soroka. The scaling back of subsidies in Germany will also weigh on EV uptakes, they said.
The IEA has forecast that EV sales will continue to grow in most major markets this year but at a slower rate compared with 2023. Global EV sales this year are forecast to top 17mn, more than 20pc of total global vehicle sales.
| Global EV battery installations (GWh) | ||||
| Jan-Mar '24 | Jan-Mar '23 | 1Q '24 y-o-y % ± | 1Q '23 y-o-y % ± | |
| CATL | 60.1 | 45.6 | 31.9% | 32.9% |
| BYD | 22.7 | 20.3 | 11.9% | 103% |
| LGES | 21.7 | 20.1 | 7.8% | 43.6% |
| Panasonic | 9.3 | 10.6 | -12.6% | 21.8% |
| Samsung SDI | 8.4 | 6.2 | 36.3% | 44.2% |
| SK On | 7.3 | 7.9 | -8.2% | 17.9% |
| CALB | 6.3 | 5.2 | 22.2% | 26.8% |
| EVE | 3.6 | 2.3 | 54.7% | 64.3% |
| Guoxuan | 3.4 | 2.7 | 22.1% | 3.8% |
| SVOLT | 2.7 | 0.9 | 217.7% | NA |
| Others | 13.4 | 8.4 | 59.2% | NA |
| Total | 158.8 | 130.2 | 22% | 35.8% |
| Source: SNE Research | ||||
| 1. Calculated 1Q '23 growth rate using SNE Research adjusted figures 2. Used SNE Research 1Q '24 growth rate figures 3. Omitted 1Q '23 growth rate figure for "others" given SVOLT's likely in the list (making it an inaccurate comparison) | ||||
