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EU changes to HDG, CRC quotas to hit imports
EU changes to HDG, CRC quotas to hit imports
London, 11 March (Argus) — The European Commission's proposed changes to its import steel safeguard quotas, starting from 1 April, are expected to affect volumes for hot-dip galvanised (HDG) and cold-rolled coils (CRC) because of proposed caps on individual suppliers' access to the "other countries" allocation of 13-25pc depending on product category. For CRC the cap stands at 13pc, impacting key suppliers Vietnam, Taiwan, Japan and Turkey. The new CRC "others" quota volume will total 334,369t in April-June for other countries, which leaves 43,467t per supplier. The change mimics the cap introduced last year on hot-rolled coil (HRC) quotas. The limit for galvanised steel imports are higher, with 20pc cap on 4B auto-grade HDG imports from other countries, with Turkey, Vietnam and Japan identified by the commission as major suppliers. The cap is at 25pc for 4A HDG quotas, impacting Turkey, Vietnam and Taiwan. This would allow each country under other countries to supply 118,012t/quarter of 4A HDG, with the total volume for the quota at 472,049t for the coming quarter. For 4B HDG, the quota for other countries will be 104,770t, leaving 20,955t per country. Remaining volumes from previous quarters will not be carried over starting from 1 July for CRC and 4A HDG, but for 4B HDG quotas, the mechanism will remain in place. In 2024, imports from Vietnam, Turkey, Taiwan and Japan amounted to 2.15mn t for HDG into the EU, including both 4A and 4B categories. In the last quarter of 2024, Vietnamese HDG imports into the EU alone amounted to 321,405t, equivalent to over 56pc of the total other countries quota for that period for 4A and 4B combined. The total volume of 4A and 4B that Vietnam will be able to tap into from April will be just under 140,000t. Reactions from Turkish market participants were mixed today, but expectations are that reduced Vietnamese volumes might aid Turkish sellers of HDG, despite the fact that Turkey will also face the same cap as well as dumping duties. Vietnam has been taking up a large portion of the quota, with the changes now likely to allow more volumes to flow into the EU from other suppliers. Combined CRC volumes in the EU from Turkey, Japan, Taiwan and Vietnam amounted to 1.38mn t in 2024 and in the fourth quarter alone reached 339,909t. This will cut CRC imports sharply as under the current adjustments, other countries will have 43,467 t/quarter allocation each for the April-June period. Initially a more substantial reduction in quota volumes was anticipated, as per European steel association Eurofer's request . With the exception of Vietnamese HDG, the adjustments are not likely to change import volumes drastically, according to market participants. "The cap on CRC and HDG quotas will reduce our exports but we were expecting harsher reductions. We still have our separate allocation for HRC, and we can offset our exports through HRC sales," a Turkish producer commented. "But what will happen to all the new capacities? Volumes could be directed to the local market, challenging domestic producers," a re-roller said. By Elif Eyuboglu Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
EU plate quota caps key suppliers at 110,000 t/quarter
EU plate quota caps key suppliers at 110,000 t/quarter
London, 11 March (Argus) — The new iteration of the EU steel safeguard quotas will include a 20pc cap on hot-rolled plate imports under the "other countries" quota, which will limit imports from a number of key sellers. The proposed quarterly plate quota stands at about 550,000 t/quarter, which is only slightly lower than current levels, by about 15,000t from January-March. Suppliers such as South Korea, Indonesia and India previously were able to tap into the quarterly volume unrestricted, but now will be limited to 110,000 t/quarter for a total of about 440,000 t/yr. There will no longer be a carryover of unused quota volumes from quarter to quarter for several products including heavy plate. The changes are set to take effect on 1 April unless any objection is lodged by the World Trade Organization. Plate imports into the EU last year amounted to 2.1mn t. Only South Korea exported beyond the new 440,000t threshold, as arrivals totalled 760,000t, leaving 320,000t, or about 42pc of its volumes to the bloc, at risk if exports were to continue at last year's pace. Indonesian and Indian exports to the EU were lower at 420,000t and 410,000t, respectively, last year. If imports from these countries continue at the same pace, the impact on these origins will be minimal. The changes could benefit some suppliers with lower volumes such as Brazil, Japan, North Macedonia and Malaysia, which could potentially step up to substitute some of South Korea's volumes. "I think [South] Korea is the loser indeed, and total imports are more likely to be reduced. This should give a respite to EU producers but competition will increase within Europe as producers will most likely increase their production if they can. I do not see a healthy market ahead," a trading firm said. By Carlo Da Cas Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Italian Bess necessary to reduce gas burn: Industry
Italian Bess necessary to reduce gas burn: Industry
London, 11 March (Argus) — As renewables become more prevalent in the Italian power mix, market participants support the buildout of battery energy storage systems (Bess) to replace gas-fired generation as a source of flexibility, Argus heard on the sidelines of the KEY25 Energy Transition Expo in Rimini last week. Italy has some of the highest electricity prices in Europe owing to the country's heavy reliance on gas-fired generation, with the single national price (Pun) averaging €107.75/MWh over 2024. While there has been a decrease in gas burn and an increase in renewables output since 2022, gas-fired generation still accounted for slightly over 40pc of the power mix on average last year, compared with combined solar and wind generation at 21pc. The Italian government has set ambitious renewable targets under the country's national energy and climate plan, aiming to reach 131.3GW — including solar, wind and hydro capacity — by 2030 from 77GW in January under Italy's climate and energy plan. There is general agreement among market participants that reducing gas burn in favour of renewable energy sources will lower electricity prices, but some gas-fired capacity may never be removed from the Italian power mix without having another technology that can provide the same flexibility at scale. Residual demand in Italy is falling, but thermal output remains essential to cover demand peaks during critical summer and winter periods, according to Italian transmission system operator (TSO) Terna's latest system adequacy report . But as renewables cover an increasing share of electricity demand — estimated to reach 335TWh in 2028 — thermal plants will become less economically viable and are likely to be decommissioned unless they are kept operating through ancillary services. "The more renewable generation we have, the less gas-fired plants will have to cover residual electricity demand. Only the most efficient — hence the cheapest — gas-fired plants will be accepted, and the others will be decommissioned," a power trader told Argus . But turning on a gas-fired plant from cold and with a stop-start operation would lead to exaggerated costs and higher maintenance prices. "Morning and evening prices could be used to cover the maintenance of the plant, and the average price would risk being the same but with very marked price differences," the head of power origination of an Italian utility told Argus . "This would lead to investing a lot in batteries that could exploit the spreads and lower them a bit," he added. Market participants attending the conference widely agreed that growing renewable capacity means there is a need to focus on the development of Bess, especially those with 6-8 hours duration to enable time shifting. Solar photovoltaic capacity is expected to grow by 6-8 GW/yr to 2030, according to industry body Italia Solare president Paolo Viscontini. The Italian energy ministry has recently accepted Terna's view that the country will need an additional 10GWh of Bess capacity by 2028 to avoid the risk of the grid becoming congested in periods of overgeneration. As of January 2025, Italy had 13.3GWh of Bess capacity — mainly in the south of the country and on the islands — and is expected to reach 50GWh by 2030. And Terna last week said it will hold its first auction for large-scale Bess with 2028 delivery on 30 September, for which it has already approved 9GWh, as reported by the operator's grid development manager Francesco Del Pizzo. Connection requests for Bess projects more than tripled in 2024 to 253GW worth of capacity, mainly because of a significant reduction in capital expenditure for the assets, which has dropped by around 40pc since 2022 and is expected to stabilise at a competitive price in the next few years. By Ilenia Reale Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
New EU steel safeguards quotas softer than Eurofer ask
New EU steel safeguards quotas softer than Eurofer ask
London, 11 March (Argus) — Amendments to the EU's steel safeguard quotas, after a European Commission review initiated in December, are far less stringent than European steel association Eurofer's requests . The proposed changes will see the total duty-free hot-rolled coil (HRC) quota volume reduced from 1 April to 1.9mn t/quarter, representing a 12.1pc cut quarter on quarter. The reduction is the result of the decision to remove up to 65pc of redistributed Russian volumes, owing to sanctions after the conflict in Ukraine. Those tonnages will also be taken out of the plate, wire rod and hollow sections quotas. The largest cut in volumes on HRC is for India, with duty-free volume falling by around 23pc. In addition, the cap to the "other countries" HRC quota access every quarter is reduced to 13pc from 15pc previously. There is now a cap introduced of 13pc for the cold-rolled coil (CRC) quotas, of 20pc for 4B hot-dipped galvanised and 25pc for 4A HDG allocations, as well as 20pc for rebar. The caps for other products are in a range of 15-30pc. The commission is removing the access to residual quota volumes in the final quarter of the measures' year, April-June for HRC, CRC and 4A HDG. Importers will get up to 30pc access in the 4B residual volumes. There will no longer be carry over of unused quota volumes from quarter to quarter for several products, including HRC, CRC, 4A HDG, plate and wire rod, but the mechanism will remain in place for 4B HDG and rebar. The commission will also reduce the annual quotas liberalisation rate to 0.1pc from 1pc. The latter two changes will be applicable from 1 July — all other changes will be in force from 1 April. There will also be a new 1B quota for HRC for imports under HS code 7212 60 00 with negligible volumes, following crowding out of the highly specific product, identified by one interested party. Notably, there have been very few changes to the developing countries list to which the measures do not apply, with Indonesia, Malaysia, Saudi Arabia, China and Thailand still exempt from the HRC quotas. Eurofer was seeking a 50pc reduction in flat product quotas as well as a 32-41pc increase in the safeguard duty applicable to material outside allocations. It also proposed a melt-and-pour clause on Chinese steel, and a cut in the HRC other countries' cap to 7.5pc, not the 13pc put forward by the commission. Multiple sell-side sources had repeatedly told Argus the changes would be "meaningful", with the commission understanding the plight of European mills. However, the changes are substantially less drastic than those requested by Eurofer. The review has been seen as something of a damp squib by sellers, and even buyers, which were hoping severe import restrictions would help lift prices. A source close to Eurofer said he was "shocked" by the results, and that doors "remain wide open" to imports. Another mill source termed the review a "big fat nothing". The safeguard will run until 30 June 2026 and there will be consultations on the review over 11-18 March. By Lora Stoyanova and Colin Richardson Amended safeguard quota volumes t Proposed allocation 1 April-30 June 2025 Current allocation 1 January-31 March 2025 Change HRC Turkey 397,957 464,843 -66,886 India 225,080 295,144 -70,064 South Korea 161,143 184,309 -23,166 UK 139,271 154,181 -14,910 Serbia 142,378 163,620 -21,242 Other countries 856,769 925,106 -68,337 — European Commission proposal Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
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