Analytics and forecasting
Overview
Our analytics and forecasting capabilities are built on Argus’ key strengths – commodity prices, a global network of market experts, trusted proprietary data and rigorous methodologies.
Through fundamentals data, analytical tools and data visualisation, forward-looking price outlooks and strategy reports, we bring the future into focus to help you realise your opportunities.
Whether you are defining your strategy, evaluating infrastructure and logistics options or making investment decisions, with the support of our experts you can be confident in getting closer to the markets that matter most to you.
Key capabilities
Price forecasting
Short, medium or long-term, our price forecasts cover key commodity groups and are based on robust models and methodologies.
Price analysis
We provide expert analysis of price differentials, crack spreads, margins, cost curves and futures markets.
Market fundamentals
Insights, analysis and forecasts of supply, demand, capacity and trade help you to navigate a constantly evolving operating environment.
Regional analysis
We analyse the global market, through a local lens, to provide views and insights on key commodity markets at the country and regional level.
Regulations and legislation
We track and interpret the implications of current and future regulatory and legislative developments.
Trade flows
Understanding existing key commodity trade flows at a regional and country level and how they may change in the future allows you to better understand emerging risks and opportunities.
Forward-looking research
Published monthly, these outlooks typically include a price forecasts for the coming 12-24 months and forward looking analysis of global supply, demand and trade developments.
We spotlight the economic, environmental and geopolitical variables impacting future market and price developments to support your planning and investment decisions.
Argus Possibility Curves
Each day we publish a price forecast for all major grades of crude oil and key refined oil products, along with the probability to observe that price associated with each quantile. Produced by combining the latest data science and machine learning techniques with Argus’ proprietary pricing database, the Argus Possibility Curves is the only way to confidently estimate volatility and balance of risk associated to oil prices.
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Argus forward curves
No matter which region, market or specific price you require, we provide forward curve data free from distortion or bias to support your risk management, market valuation and investment decisions. Built from transparent, industry-specific methodologies that produce representative market values free from distortion, Argus forward Curves ensure you can act with confidence.
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Our people are recognised industry experts
Our people are experts, close to the market and working collaboratively with clients. Dedicated and committed to your needs, we pride ourselves on being accessible, responsive and connected to the markets.