Road fuels
Overview
Fuels for road transportation continue to drive the refining industry. But gasoline and diesel are coming under increasing pressure from low-carbon targets being implemented around the world.
Global oversupply, new regulatory measures and rapidly increasing competition for export markets are affecting refining margins. The need for accurate insight and data is more critical than ever.
Argus road fuels coverage includes price assessments and key insights into both conventional fuels - gasoline, distillates and blending components – as well as biofuels, in each key region. Our trusted prices are delivered alongside the latest market-moving news, in-depth analysis, supply and demand dynamics, price forecasts and forward curves data.
Latest road fuels news
Browse the latest market moving news on the global road fuels industry.
Low-carbon methanol costly EU bunker option
Low-carbon methanol costly EU bunker option
New York, 16 May (Argus) — Ship owners are ordering new vessels equipped with methanol-burning capabilities, largely in response to tightening carbon emissions regulations in Europe. But despite the greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions savings that low-carbon methanol provides, it cannot currently compete on price with grey methanol or conventional marine fuels. Ship owners operate 33 methanol-fueled vessels today and have another 29 on order through the end of the year, according to vessel classification society DNV. All 62 vessels are oil and chemical tankers. DNV expects a total of 281 methanol-fueled vessels by 2028, of which 165 will be container ships, 19 bulk carrier and 14 car carrier vessels. Argus Consulting expects an even bigger build-out, with more than 300 methanol-fueled vessels by 2028. A methanol configured dual-fuel vessel has the option to burn conventional marine fuel or any type of methanol: grey or low-carbon. Grey methanol is made from natural gas or coal. Low-carbon methanol includes biomethanol, made of sustainable biomass, and e-methanol, produced by combining green hydrogen and captured carbon dioxide. The fuel-switching capabilities of the dual-fuel vessels provide ship owners with a natural price hedge. When methanol prices are lower than conventional bunkers the ship owner can burn methanol, and vice versa. Methanol, with its zero-sulphur emissions, is advantageous in emission control areas (ECAs), such as the US and Canadian territorial waters. In ECAs, the marine fuel sulphur content is capped at 0.1pc, and ship owners can burn methanol instead of 0.1pc sulphur maximum marine gasoil (MGO). In the US Gulf coast, the grey methanol discount to MGO was $23/t MGO-equivalent average in the first half of May. The grey methanol discount averaged $162/t MGOe for all of 2023. Starting this year, ship owners travelling within, in and out of European territorial waters are required to pay for 40pc of their CO2 emissions through the EU emissions trading system. Next year, ship owners will be required to pay for 70pc of their CO2 emissions. Separately, ship owners will have to reduce their vessels' lifecycle GHG intensities, starting in 2025 with a 2pc reduction and gradually increasing to 80pc by 2050, from a 2020 baseline. The penalty for exceeding the GHG emission intensity is set by the EU at €2,400/t ($2,596/t) of very low-sulplhur fuel oil equivalent. Even though these regulations apply to EU territorial waters, they affect ship owners travelling between the US and Europe. Despite the lack of sulphur emissions, grey methanol generates CO2. With CO2 marine fuel shipping regulations tightening, ship owners have turned their sights to low-carbon methanol. But US Gulf coast low-carbon methanol was priced at $2,317/t MGOe in the first half of May, nearly triple the outright price of MGO at $785/t. Factoring in the cost of 70pc of CO2 emissions and the GHG intensity penalty, the US Gulf coast MGO would rise to about $857/t. At this MGO level, the US Gulf coast low-carbon methanol would be 2.7 times the price of MGO. By comparison, grey methanol with added CO2 emissions cost would be around $962/t, or 1.1 times the price of MGO. To mitigate the high low-carbon methanol costs, some ship owners have been eyeing long-term agreements with suppliers to lock in product availabilities and cheaper prices available on the spot market. Danish container ship owner Maersk has lead the way, entering in low-carbon methanol production agreements in the US with Proman, Orsted, Carbon Sink, and SunGaas Renewables. These are slated to come on line in 2025-27. Global upcoming low-carbon methanol projects are expected to produce 16mn t by 2027, according to industry trade association the Methanol Institute, up from two years ago when the institute was tracking projects with total capacity of 8mn t by 2027. By Stefka Wechsler Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
German heating oil demand surges as diesel declines
German heating oil demand surges as diesel declines
Hamburg, 13 May (Argus) — German heating oil sales have hit their second highest weekly average this year on the back of falling prices and low household stocks. Daily average traded volumes rose by 45pc last week compared with the previous week, with increases in all regions. Lower prices are the main reason for the growth in demand. The volume weighted average cost of heating oil in Germany was around €79.40/100 litres last week, the lowest since the start of the year. A significant factor behind the low heating oil price is a drop in the value of Ice gasoil futures, which has been driven by a diesel surplus in Europe. Low household stocks are also supporting German heating oil demand. Stocks reached a year-to-date low at the start of May, as in previous years, Argus MDX data shows. In contrast, German diesel sales dropped slightly last week, as an uptick in demand from the agriculture sector was offset by lower-than-expected demand from industry and logistics. There have been some tentative signs of economic recovery that may support diesel demand. Mileage of trucks on German motorways was up on the year in April and 1pc higher than in March, data from the federal statistical office Destatis show. This was the first year-on-year increase since August 2022. Construction activity in Germany rose by 3.9pc in January-March compared with the final quarter of 2023. By Johannes Guhlke Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Brazil narrows lower biofuel mix mandate in south
Brazil narrows lower biofuel mix mandate in south
Sao Paulo, 10 May (Argus) — Brazil's oil regulator ANP dialed back the reduced biofuels mandatory blend in Rio Grande do Sul state to four cities amid the recent flooding in the region. Low blending areas now apply only to the cities of Canoas, Esteio, Rio Grande and Santa Maria. The measure will still last for 30 days, starting on 4 May. ANP lowered the anhydrous ethanol blend on gasoline to 21pc from the current 27pc in the entire state earlier this week , while pushing the mandatory biodiesel mix for 10ppm (S10) diesel down to 2pc, from the usual 14pc. The agency also temporarily suspended the blending mandate for diesel with 500ppm of sulfur (S500). ANP said it decreased the exemption's coverage as it identified "that the supply situation in the rest of the state had stabilized." Rainfall in Rio Grande do Sul blocked railways and highways where biofuels are transported to retail hubs. Floods in the state have left at least 116 dead and 143 missing, according to the local government. By Laura Guedes Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Brazil reports more off-spec biodiesel March-April
Brazil reports more off-spec biodiesel March-April
Sao Paulo, 10 May (Argus) — The rate of Brazilian biodiesel falling below required blending limits nearly tripled in March and April after the mandate was increased to 14pc, according to a government analysis. Hydrocarbons regulator ANP's Fuel Quality Monitoring Program (PMQC) found 271 instances of biodiesel below the required level between 1 March — when the blending mandate was increased from 12pc to 14pc — and 30 April. In January and February the PMQC found 97 instances of blends that did not meet the 12pc level. An increase in missed blending targets is common during transitions to higher blending levels, according to the agency, mainly due to difficulties in depleting inventories of the lower-level blend. Several plants claim that a slowdown in biodiesel withdrawals in the first four months of the year also contributed to challenges in complying with the new blending level. Some retailers' loss of market share has also been cited as an aggravating factor. In March, 154 recorded instances of non-compliance covered blending levels between 12.3pc and 13.9pc, according to ANP data. In April, there were 101 occurrences within the 12.3pc and 13.9pc range. Another eight instances of non-compliance were also recorded in each of March and April. The PMQC is a monitoring program and does not have the same effect on market behavior as inspections, according to ANP. "It is used as one of the intelligence vectors for the planning of ANP's inspection actions," the agency said. Only irregularities identified in the context of inspectios can result in fines levied against fuel distributors. By Alexandre Melo Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
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