Global shipments of electric vehicle (EV) power batteries and energy storage batteries surged in 2024, and could continue growing until 2030, according to Chinese research institution EV Tank.
Global EV power battery shipments increased by 22pc on the year to 1,051GWh in 2024. This was mainly driven by continued rises in China's EV sales, which were supported by government incentives such as old vehicle trade-in subsidies, outpacing a slowdown in European and US markets caused by weakening economies and rising inflation.
Global shipments of energy storage batteries rose by 65pc over the same period to 370GWh, supported by China's government-led promotion of energy storage systems in wind and solar industries, falling manufacturing costs, as well as firm physical demand in the US and effects from its investment tax credit. GWh-level orders from some emerging markets such as UK, Saudi Arabia and Australian also grew over 2024.
Global total shipments of lithium-ion batteries increased by 29pc from a year earlier to 1,545GWh in 2024, including 1,215GWh in China that rose by 37pc on the year and accounting for 79pc of the total. Continued demand growth in China and the country's elevated investment in overseas production boosted global shipments.
EV Tank forecasts global lithium-ion battery shipments will rise to 1,899GWh in 2025 and 5,127GWh in 2030. It also estimates China's shipments of sodium-ion battery shipments to more than double to 2GWh in 2024 from 0.7GWh in 2023. But this was far below earlier expectations of 3 GWh/yr, because of higher manufacturing costs for sodium-ion batteries compared with ternary and lithium iron phosphate lithium-ion batteries and lead-acid batteries.
Consecutive falls in lithium carbonate feedstock prices in the past couple of years, mainly caused by rapid supply expansions, have reduced manufacturing costs for lithium-ion batteries. Current average manufacturing costs for lithium-ion batteries fell to 0.50 yuan/Wh as of June 2024, lower than Yn0.60/Wh for the sodium-ion battery, according to EV Tank.
