近年来，再生塑料市场正由传统的低价替代向环保减碳等方面推动的高品质回收与再利用转变。阿格斯就大家比较关心的几个问题在由拾柴环境主办的第二届硬塑回收峰会前对国龙环保董事长郭家万和拾柴的创始人王韧进行了访谈：
- 中国再生塑料出口前景
- 再生塑料的食品接触应用
- 欧盟一次性塑料指令中的“镜像条款”等
您认为出口市场对您的产品有多少需求（以及针对哪些产品 - rPET、rHDPE、 rPP? 包装等级？ ) ...主要出口市场是什么？
国龙郭家万：再生塑料市场应用主要是国际品牌客户的需求，大品牌企业对环保再生产品的使用，是主动履行社会责任，通过企业的行动推动废旧塑料的回收利用。在中国市场上 国际品牌企业在这两年来一直在测试，小批量试用再生塑料，在东南亚港澳市场上开始投送再生塑料包装产品，也有很多国际品牌企业生产基地在中国，他们的出口产品基本开始使用再生塑料，在日化领域是以rHDPE、rPP为主，在食品包装上是以rPET为主而且都是需要达到食品级要求，并需要取得FDA、EFSA认证！
大多数参与者都在关注回收的食品接触材料，但中国目前不允许在食品接触应用中使用回收材料。在这种情况下，中国回收商应如何发展业务?热解是否是中国回收商的合适途径?
拾柴环境王韧：目前，中国PET回收企业的高价值产品应用主要方向是纺织纤维，工业丝和其他非食品级应用，食品级rPET产品也可以满足一些个人护理产品的特殊需求，其他食品级rPET供应还包括出口中国香港和海外市场。
热裂解在中国还在探索阶段，今年国内宣布了几个商业化项目的建设，但其运行仍有待时日，仍需市场验证。今年8月27-28日我们在上海会有一个国际硬质聚烯烃回收峰会，其中就有化学回收和热解的相关议题，大家有兴趣的可以关注参与。
欧盟正在考虑在《一次性塑料指令》中加入“镜像条款”。这意味着，欧盟外的回收商向欧盟出口材料并希望这些材料计入欧盟再生含量目标时,将被要求达到与欧洲回收商相同的原料、工艺和环境标准。你预计这一政策会如何发展?你认为这会对你的业务产生什么影响?
国龙郭家万：对于国龙再生塑料来说是没有难度的，因为国龙再生的工艺技术，生产设备，环境标准都是与欧洲相同的，也是使用消费后PCR原料，这几年来，我们经过了二十多家国际品牌公司对产品的检测，验厂，生产环境等各项要求测试，安全达到他们的要求，镜像条款对于国龙再生来说是可以做到的。但对于中国很多再生企业恐怕一定的限制。如果欧盟推动这个政策，也许会通过验厂验证“一企一策”的认证许可。
作为国内回收行业的领先企业，国龙未来的发展目标是什么，近期是否有计划投资化学法回收领域?
国龙郭家万：国龙再生经过十年的发展，现在已经建立了相当大的产能，为一系列不同的用途生产回收材料(见表)。我们成功实施了涵盖食品级和工业级产品的全产业链商业模式。
| Recycling type | Capacity (t/yr) |
| Food-grade rPET | 60,000 |
| Food-grade rHDPE | 20,000 |
| Food-grade rPP | 20,000 |
| Pipe grade recyclates | 80,000 |
| Industrial grade rHDPE | 20,000 |
您是否预计在不久的将来中国食品包装市场将开始发展再生材料市场(即法规变化)?您预计中国还会出现哪些法规变化来支持回收行业?
拾柴环境王韧：中国正在研究包装应用再生材料的安全性，这不仅仅包括再生塑料，还包括再生金属，比如易拉罐是否可以使用再生铝。本地市场也在等待相关的文件出台。
目前，国家已经出台以旧换新政策，反向发票开票政策等等，都对回收行业扩大起到促进作用，相信在垃圾分类领域，可能将是后期政府政策出台的方向。当然，建立完整的回收体系需要更多实施战略，以及更多时间来摸索发展路径和进行建设。
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Brazil flags sharp US PE dumping duties
Brazil flags sharp US PE dumping duties
Sao Paulo, 5 February (Argus) — Brazil has issued a recommendation that could nearly triple provisional anti-dumping duties on US polyethylene (PE) imports, effectively shutting out most shipments, according to a department of trade defense Decom report into US and Canadian exports. The report, issued on 2 February and seen by Argus , outlines the key findings of the investigation into PE imports under NCM codes 3901.10.30, 3901.20.29 and 3901.40.00. Decom — part of trade ministry Mdic — calculated a dumping margin of $734.32/metric tonne (t), equivalent to 79.3pc, for US exporters. The authority determined dumping margins for Canada of $264.99/t (26.9pc) for one producer-exporter and $232/t (26.3pc) for another. Dumped imports are causing material injury to Brazil's domestic resin industry, and a causal link exists between the injury and the imports under investigation, Decom said. Brazil currently enforces provisional anti-dumping duties of $199.04/t on US-origin PE and $238.49/t on Canadian-origin material. These provisional duties were imposed in August 2025 and remain in effect through 28 February as the investigation moves into its final phase. Interested parties have a 20-day window to file final comments following the report's publication. Once that period ends, Decom will prepare its final determination and forward it to foreign trade chamber, Camex. The Camex executive management committee (Gecex) is expected to make a final decision by 14 May, the legal deadline for concluding the probe. The outcome of the case is expected to have significant implications for regional PE trade flows. Market participants await Decom's final findings, which will determine whether the provisional duties are upheld, revised, or lifted entirely. Limited effect The provisional duties had a limited effect on Brazil's imports last year, as the US remained Brazil's top supplier even as it lost market share, official Comexstat data show. Brazil's PE import values totaled $1.61bn last year, a 1.7pc decrease from $1.63bn in 2024. Import volumes increased by 2.2pc to 1.46mn t in 2025 from 1.42mn t the prior year. The US was Brazil's main exporter, accounting for around 961,890t last year, with its share of total volume falling to 66pc from 71pc in 2024. Argentina was the second-largest exporter to Brazil, shipping nearly 218,380t last year and boosting its share to 15pc from 11pc. Saudi Arabia rose to third place with approximately 56,445t, representing 4pc of Brazil's total imports last year. Canada's deliveries fell by 40pc to 49,810t in 2025, with its share falling to 3.4pc from 6pc in 2024. Egypt dropped to fifth place with around 47,795t, accounting for 3.3pc of the total volume. By Fred Fernandes Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
US homes more affordable as incomes rise: NAR
US homes more affordable as incomes rise: NAR
Houston, 4 February (Argus) — US housing affordability improved in the fourth quarter, extending a trend that emerged during the second half of 2025 after a fourth-month skid earlier in the year. Growth in personal income outpaced rising home prices in the US during the fourth quarter, improving affordability to the highest levels in more more than a year, new data from the National Association of Realtors (NAR) show. The NAR's quarterly affordability index rose to 109.1 in the fourth quarter of 2025,its preliminary Housing Affordability Index (HAI) shows. HAI values of 100 show that a family with the median US income has enough to qualify for a mortgage on a median-priced home. An index above 100 signals increasing affordability of a median family income. Median preexisting single-family home prices rose to $414,900 during the fourth quarter, up by 1.2pc from the same three-month period in 2024. The median family income rose by 4.7pc during the same period. Additionally, the average mortgage interest rate fell to 6.31pc from 6.74pc in the fourth quarter the prior year. NAR's affordability index remained below 100 in 2023 and 2024, contributing to slower housing demand during the two-year period. But affordability rebounded into the third quarter of 2025 from the prior quarter and continued to improve through the end of the year. Increasing housing affordability in the US is a bullish demand signal for polyvinyl chloride (PVC) producers and distributors. PVC is widely used in housing construction, and improved home affordability could spur new construction and strengthen PVC demand after two years of lagging consumption. Housing starts fell to a five-year low in October 2025, the most recent data point, indicating that a recovery in 2026 is unlikely. Mortgage rates need to fall further to induce demand as many would-be buyers remain locked into their current homes with previously-low mortgage rates, sources said. Rising incomes could alleviate otherwise low consumer sentiment and spur buying interest, while strong home prices coupled with lower borrowing rates could increase interest for new building projects. But signs currently point to the 2026 building season being a replay of 2025. By Gordon Pollock Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Brazil’s Dec industrial output lowest since mid-2024
Brazil’s Dec industrial output lowest since mid-2024
Sao Paulo, 3 February (Argus) — Brazil's industrial output fell by 1.2pc in December from a month prior, marking the steepest decline since July 2024, according to national statistics agency IBGE. All four major categories showed declines, with capital goods and durable consumer goods output down by 8.3pc and 4.4pc, respectively, from November 2025 . Auto, chemicals and metallurgy were among the largest negative contributors, down by 8.7pc, by 6.2pc and by 5.4pc, respectively, from November, IBGE said. Output of petroleum coke, oil products and biofuels increased by 5.4pc in December from the previous month, after three consecutive monthly drops, while the extraction industries pushed up output by nearly 1pc. Transformative industry ended the year at 1.9pc below November 2025. IBGE data show. Despite month-to-month decreases, December's industrial output rose by 0.4pc from a year earlier. Plastic materials and machinery and equipment represented the largest contributors to the increase, which is also due to an additional workdays this year, IBGE said. 2025 output ticks up Brazil's 2025 industrial output reached a third increase in a row at 0.6pc above a year earlier and pre-pandemic levels, following a 3.1pc rise in 2024, IBGE said. Extraction and food industries were among the largest contributors to the increase, up by 4.9pc and 1.5pc, respectively. Machinery and equipment, metallurgy, chemicals and pharmacy products pushed up the Brazilian industry in 2025, despite a 5.3pc slump in the production of oil products and biofuels. Production of durable and intermediate goods — feedstocks for industries that do not directly reach the final consumer — rose by 2.5pc and 1.5pc in 2025, respectively, from a year earlier. Brazilian auto industry, crude and natural gas production helped lead gains, IBGE said. Brazil's central bank has kept its target interest rate stable at 15pc since June 2025. Brazil's headline inflation decelerated to an annual 4.26pc in December . By João Curi Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Brazil petchem industry flags Reiq 2026 gap
Brazil petchem industry flags Reiq 2026 gap
Sao Paulo, 2 February (Argus) — Brazilian chemical and petrochemical industry associations are urging the federal government to deliver a rapidfix for the 2026 gap in the Special Chemical Industry Regime (Reiq), warning that regulatory uncertainty is accelerating plant shutdowns and job losses across key production hubs. In a joint letter sent on 26 January to vice-president and industry minister Geraldo Alckmin, labor unions and industry groups — including Abiquim — said presidential vetoes affecting Reiq in December by removing key tax-relief provisions and carried into the newly enacted Special Sustainability Program for the Chemical Industry (Presiq), which focuses on the national petrochemical chain modernization,have created an "immediate and severe" impact on domestic producers, mainly due to the sudden loss of a long-standing cost-reduction tool with no transitional safeguards. Companies in Sao Paulo state have already closed units and cut shifts in Cubatao and Guaruja, according to the groups. Industry groups argue that without the Reiq tax relief, historically centered on PIS/Cofins reductions for feedstocks such as naphtha and natural gas and effectively revoked by the presidential vetoes — Brazil's chemical chain faces intensified competitive pressure from global oversupply, foreign subsidy schemes and aggressive pricing from Asian and Middle Eastern exporters. The regulatory gap is prompting irreversible divestment decisions, threatening the core of Brazil's petrochemical complex, they say. The entities called on the Ministry of Development, Industry, Trade and Services (Mdic) to restore predictability for 2026, saying the issue is no longer a tax debate but a strategic decision for Brazil's industrial competitiveness and employment base. The government has recently highlighted industrial policy priorities through its New Brazil Industry program and strengthened trade-defense tools, but the signatories said action on the Reiq must come "urgently, preferably in January," to avoid further disruption. History President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva vetoed provisions in December 2025 that would have extended Reiq benefits into 2026 or ensured an automatic transition to the Presiq framework. The administration cited fiscal responsibility and the absence of compensatory budget measures. With Presiq scheduled to begin only in 2027, the vetoes leave a regulatory gap in 2026. By Isabela Mendes Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.