Generic Hero BannerGeneric Hero Banner
Latest Market News

Indonesian low CV coal prices show signs of firming

  • Spanish Market: Coal
  • 08/04/19

There were further signs that the low calorific value (CV) Indonesian thermal coal market is strengthening after details of deals emerged at higher prices than similar transactions done last week. But trade was muted to an extent, with a large number of market participants travelling to a large industry conference in China this week.

Two late April-loading geared supramax GAR 4,200 kcal/kg cargoes traded today at $38/t in the actively traded GAR 4,200 kcal/kg market. A cross-month late April/early May loading geared supramax GAR 4,200 kcal/kg cargo in comparison traded last week at $37.50/t. Earlier last week a late April/early May Panamax cargo of the same coal traded at $37.75/t, although Argus does not include this vessel size in the index for this type of coal. A smaller 10,000t cargo for loading in April traded last week at $37.65/t, although this was too small for inclusion in the index and fell outside the current May and June 60-day assessment window.

Late April loading geared supramax GAR 4,200 kcal/kg cargoes were offered today at $39-39.75/t, which was broadly in line with levels in the market late last week, when cargoes were being offered in a broader $38-40/t range. Bids are also holding relatively steady at around $37.50/t.

Argus last assessed GAR 4,200 kcal/kg prices on 5 April at $37.29/t, up by 78¢/t from the previous week.

The ICI 4 derivatives market made a typically slow start to the week, with details of firm trades slow to emerge. April ICI 4 contracts were bid at $37/t and offered at $37.90-38/t with Singapore-based brokers. A total of 1.053mn t of ICI 4 derivatives contracts traded last month, taking the total volume to have been cleared on the CME since the contract launched in February last year to around 3mn t.

Trade was limited elsewhere in the Indonesian market. Argus last assessed fob Indonesia prices of GAR 5,000 kcal/kg coal on 5 April down by $1.34/t from a week earlier at $53.17/t. Deals in this market were slow to emerge last week, although a late April Panamax cargo of slightly higher quality GAR 5,100 kcal/kg coal traded at $54/t, with a cross-month late April/early May loading Panamax of the same coal trading slightly higher at $54.75/t.

Despite the recent increase in prices of low CV Indonesian coal, which has in part been driven by Chinese demand, coal consumption at utilities in eastern and southern China's coastal regions has fallen sharply on the back of a sudden rise in temperatures. Coal use at coastal power plants operated by the biggest state-controlled coastal utility operator Huaneng reached 164,000 t/d on 6 April, according to coal industry association the CCTD. This was the lowest level since 13 February.

A 130,000t May-loading cargo of NAR 5,500 kcal/kg coal was offered today in the Australian thermal coal market at $62/t fob Newcastle. This was firmer than a May-loading offer confirmed last week at $57/t fob Newcastle for a 100,000t Capesize cargo.

Argus last assessed the fob Newcastle NAR 5,500 kcal/kg price on 5 April at $56.19/t. A 25,000t May-loading clip was also bid at $57/t fob Newcastle, while a 25,000t June clip was bid at $57.90/t fob Newcastle. But these were too small to fit the Argus index.

Many trading firms in the Chinese market held offers of domestic NAR 5,500 kcal/kg coal steady at around 625 yuan/t fob north China. Some others raised offers to around Yn628/t fob.

The Zhengzhou commodities exchange May contract in China's futures market closed at Yn619/t, up by Yn4.60/t from the previous close.


Related news posts

Argus illuminates the markets by putting a lens on the areas that matter most to you. The market news and commentary we publish reveals vital insights that enable you to make stronger, well-informed decisions. Explore a selection of news stories related to this one.

10/01/25

US issues 45Z tax guidance for low-carbon fuels

US issues 45Z tax guidance for low-carbon fuels

Washington, 10 January (Argus) — US producers of low-carbon fuels can start claiming the "45Z" tax credit providing up to $1/USG for road use and $1.75/USG for aviation, following the US Treasury Department's release today of proposed guidance for the credit. The guidance includes proposed regulations and other tools to determine the eligibility of fuels for the 45Z tax credit, which was created by the Inflation Reduction Act to replace a suite of incentives for biofuels that expired at the end of last year. Biofuel producers have been clamoring for guidance from the US Treasury Department so they can start claiming the tax credit, which is available for fuels produced from 1 January 2025 through the end of 2027. "This guidance will help put America on the cutting-edge of future innovation in aviation and renewable fuel while also lowering transportation costs for consumers," US deputy treasury secretary Wally Adeymo said. "Decarbonizing transportation and lowering costs is a win-win for America." The creation of the 45Z tax credit has already prompted a change in US biofuels markets by shifting federal subsidies from blenders to producers. Because the value of tax credit increases for fuels with the lowest lifecycle greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, it could encourage refiners to source more waste feedstocks such as used cooking oil, rather than conventional crop-based feedstocks. While the guidance is still just a proposal, taxpayers are able to "immediately" use the guidance to claim the 45Z tax credit, until Treasury issues additional guidance, an administration official said. The guidance on 45Z released today affirms that only the producer for the fuel is eligible to claim the credit, not blenders. To be eligible for the tax credit, the fuel must have a "practical or commercial fitness for use in a highway vehicle or aircraft" by itself or when blended into a mixture, Treasury said. Marine diesel and methanol suitable for highway or aircraft use are also eligible for 45Z, as is renewable natural gas that can be used as a transportation fuel. Treasury also released an "annual emissions rate table" offering providers a methodology for determining the lifecycle GHG of fuel. Treasury said a key emissions model from the US Department of Energy, called 45ZCF-GREET, used to calculate the value of the 45Z tax credit is anticipated to be released today, although industry officials said it may be delayed until next week. Treasury said it intends to propose regulations at "a future date" for calculating the GHG emissions benefits of "climate smart agriculture" practices for "cultivating domestic corn, soybeans, and sorghum as feedstocks" for fuel. Those regulations could lower the calculated lifecycle emissions of fuel from those crop-based feedstocks and increase the relative 45Z tax credit. US biofuel producers said they are still awaiting key details on the 45Z tax credit, including the update to the GREET model. Among the outstanding questions is if the guidance released today provides "enough certainty to negotiate feedstock and fuel offtake agreements going forward", said the Clean Fuels America Alliance, an industry group that represents the biodiesel, renewable diesel and sustainable aviation fuel industries. It is unclear how president-elect Donald Trump intends to approach this proposed approach for the 45Z credit, which will be subject to a 90-day public comment period. Trump has promised to "rescind all unspent funds" from the Inflation Reduction Act. But outright repealing 45Z would leave biofuels producers and farmers without a subsidy they say is needed to sustain growth, after the expiration last year of a $1/USG blender tax credit and a tax credit of up to $1.75/USG for sustainable aviation fuel. Biofuel and soybean groups were unsuccessful in a push last year to extend the expiring biofuel tax credits. The 45Z credit is likely to be debated in Congress this year, as Republicans consider repealing parts of the Inflation Reduction Act. House Republicans have already asked for input on revisions to the 45Z credit, signaling they could modify the incentive. In a tightly divided Congress, farm-state lawmakers may hold enough leverage to ensure some type of biofuel incentive — and potentially one friendlier to agricultural producers than 45Z — survives. By Chris Knight and Cole Martin Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US added 256,000 jobs in December


10/01/25
10/01/25

US added 256,000 jobs in December

Houston, 10 January (Argus) — The US added 256,000 nonfarm jobs in December, reflecting a robust labor market that may prompt the Federal Reserve to keep borrowing costs higher for longer. Analysts had expected gains of about 160,000 jobs for December. The gains last month followed 212,000 more jobs in November, which were downwardly revised by 15,000, the Labor Department said Friday. Job gains in October were revised up by 7,000 to 43,000 jobs. The CME's FedWatch tool today showed 97.3pc probability Fed policy makers will keep the target lending rate unchanged at 4.25-4.5pc at the next Fed meeting at the end of the month, up from 93.6pc on Thursday. FedWatch shows nearly 60pc probability of no change through the May meeting, up from about 45pc Thursday. Unemployment edged down to 4.1pc in December from 4.2pc the prior month. Payroll employment gains averaged 186,000/month in 2024, for total gains of 2.2mn jobs. That was down from 251,000 jobs/month in 2023, for total gains of 3mn jobs that year. Health care added 46,000 jobs in December, retail trade added 43,000 jobs, government jobs rose by 33,000, social assistance increased by 23,000, and leisure and hospitality added 43,000 jobs. Construction added 8,000 jobs in December. Manufacturing lost 13,000 jobs and mining and logging lost 3,000 jobs. Transportation and warehousing jobs grew by 9,600. Average hourly earnings grew by an annual 3.9pc following 4pc growth in November. By Bob Willis Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Trump wants policy of 'no windmills' being built


07/01/25
07/01/25

Trump wants policy of 'no windmills' being built

Washington, 7 January (Argus) — President-elect Donald Trump wants to pursue a policy to stop the construction of wind turbines, a move that could limit the growth of a resource projected to soon overtake coal and nuclear as the largest source of power in the the US. Trump has spent years attacking the development of wind, which accounted for 10pc of electricity production in the US in 2023, often by citing misleading complaints about its cost, harm to wildlife and health threats. In a press conference today, Trump reiterated some of those concerns and said he wants the government to halt new development. "It's the most expensive energy there is. It's many, many times more expensive than clean natural gas," Trump said. "So we're going to try and have a policy where no windmills are being built." The US is on track to add more than 90GW of wind capacity by 2028, a nearly 60pc increase compared to 2024, the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) said in latest Annual Energy Outlook report. If that growth materializes, wind will become the second largest source of electricity in the US at the end of of Trump's term, overtaking coal and nuclear in 2027 and 2028, respectively, according to the EIA forecast. Trump did not offer specifics on the policy, which he did not run on during his campaign. But the vast majority of wind capacity in the US is built on private land such as farms — largely in rural districts represented by Republicans — limiting the federal government's role. Trump could still threaten wind development by blocking projects on federal land, such as offshore wind projects, and working to repeal federal tax credits that subsidize wind. Democratic lawmakers said blocking wind development will raise costs for consumers and reduce energy production. "Trump is against wind energy because he doesn't understand our country's energy needs and dislikes the sight of turbines near his private country clubs," said US Senate Finance Committee ranking member Ron Wyden (D-Oregon), who helped expand federal tax credits for wind through the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act. Wind energy industry officials also raised concerns with the policy, which they said conflicted with an all-of-the-above energy strategy. "American presidents shouldn't be taking American resources away from the American people," American Clean Power chief executive Jason Grumet said. 'Gulf of America' Trump today separately reiterated his vow to "immediately" reverse Biden's withdrawal of more than 625mn acres of waters for offshore drilling, and also said he would rename the Gulf of Mexico as the "Gulf of America", which he said was a "beautiful name". In addition to expanding oil and gas production offshore, Trump said he will seek to drill in "a lot of other locations" as a way to lower prices. "The energy costs are going to come way down," Trump said. "They'll be brought down to a very low level, and that's going to bring everything else down." US consumers paid an average of $3.02/USG for regular grade gasoline in December, the lowest monthly price in more than three years. Henry Hub spot natural gas prices dropped to $2.19/mmBtu in 2024, the lowest price in four years. During his campaign, Trump said he would cut the price of energy in half within 12 months of taking office. By Chris Knight Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US oil sector sues Vermont over new climate law


02/01/25
02/01/25

US oil sector sues Vermont over new climate law

Washington, 2 January (Argus) — Oil industry and business groups are challenging a first-of-its-kind law in Vermont that would require fossil fuel producers to pay potentially billions of dollars in fines based on greenhouse gas emissions over the past 30 years. Vermont's law is "unprecedented" and attempts to "pin blame" on a narrow set of out-of-state energy producers for climate-related damages for decades of alleged greenhouse gas emissions, the American Petroleum Institute and the US Chamber of Commerce wrote in a lawsuit filed on 30 December. They argue the law is preempted by the federal Clean Air Act and violates the US Constitution's ban on excessive fines. "It punishes covered energy producers for greenhouse gas emissions related to the lawful production and use of their products and those emissions' purported impacts on climate change," the lawsuit said. Vermont's "Climate Superfund Act" was enacted last year and applies to oil, natural gas and coal producers and refineries found to have emitted at least 1bn metric tonnes (t) of greenhouse gases from 1995-2024. Under the law, Vermont will issue a "cost recovery demand" to those companies based on their emissions that will pay for climate adaptation projects. Vermont will have until 1 January 2027 to finalize specifics of how the program will work, including how to calculate the charge. The lawsuit, filed in a federal district court in Vermont, argues the state had exceeded its authority by trying to impose financial penalties on fossil fuel companies located "well beyond" its borders. The law also imposes an "overly harsh and oppressive retroactive penalty" and is based on an "arbitrary" calculation that focuses on the last 30 years of emissions, the lawsuit argues. Vermont governor Phil Scott (R), who allowed the law to take effect last summer without his signature, has raised concerns about the state's "go-it-alone" approach toward taking on "Big Oil". But New York governor Kathy Hochul (D) last week signed the state's own climate "Superfund" law, which is expected to raise $75bn over the next 25 years from fees on companies that exceed 1bn t of greenhouse gas emissions from 2000-2018. Massachusetts and Maryland are considering similar laws. By Chris Knight Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Viewpoint: US utilities worry over railcar supply


02/01/25
02/01/25

Viewpoint: US utilities worry over railcar supply

Washington, 2 January (Argus) — US utilities are concerned that they may not have enough railcars to haul coal in the future as multiple power plants are seeking to remain in operation longer than expected. Power demand is forecast to rise in the coming years because of planned data centers in multiple parts of the country. Many data centers are expected to open before new generation, including natural gas, wind and solar-power units, go into service. A number of utilities want to avert the temporary power shortage by extending the life of coal-fired power plants beyond planned retirement dates. In response, demand is "poised to shift to a slight growth in the need for coal cars", according to railcar expert Richard Kloster, president of Integrity Rail Partners. Longer power plant lives as well as expectations of increased metallurgical coal exports are likely to provide demand for equipment. But the supply of railcars for coal has been slowly shrinking. No new railcars for the coal industry — primarily gondolas or open-top hoppers — have been built in nearly a decade. Utilities and leasing companies have had little interest in ordering new railcars for a shrinking sector. Many existing cars have also been scrapped, particularly during periods of low coal demand and high scrap prices during the last few years. There also are thousands of coal railcars in storage, but those do not really count towards demand, Kloster said. The cost of pulling those cars out of storage and making them service-ready is not necessarily cost effective, he said. About 21pc of North American coal cars were in storage at the beginning of August, up from 15pc in November 2022, according to Association of American Railroads data. In comparison, about 35pc of the coal car fleet was in storage at the start of July 2020, near the height of the Covid-19 pandemic. Possibilities of new construction There is a chance that "in the next 10 years, there will be coal cars built again", because many coal cars in the fleet are nearing 50 years of age, Kloster said. The retirement of many cars means that equipment must be pulled from storage or new units built, driving potential construction. Under Association of American Railroads (AAR) rules, railcars built after June 1974 can only be interchanged with other railroads for 50 years. After that, those cars are generally limited to operating on only one carrier. Some of those older cars may be retired early if they need repairs. Maintenance expenses could cause car owners to take units out of service. Utilities strategize Some utilities are already implementing plans to secure railcars, but others think taking additional steps will be unnecessary, according to railcar expert Darell Luther, chief executive of rail transportation firm Tealinc. The differing views are tied in part to whether utilities are regulated by states or merchant-owned, Luther said. Public utilities need to prove to regulators they can meet generating needs, including having enough coal and railcars. Privately owned operators have more flexibility in terms of contracting for coal and railcars. Several utility rail managers told Argus they do not see the need to take extra steps to secure railcars, confident that they already have plenty or can lease whatever they need in the future. But other utilities said they have taken steps to ensure they have coal cars in the future. Some utilities have purchased single or multiple cars as other generators sell them off. Others are increasingly leasing cars, with one utility saying that having more cars than needed is a cheap way of ensuring future supply. By Abby Caplan Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Generic Hero Banner

Business intelligence reports

Get concise, trustworthy and unbiased analysis of the latest trends and developments in oil and energy markets. These reports are specially created for decision makers who don’t have time to track markets day-by-day, minute-by-minute.

Learn more