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US allows Chevron to remain in Venezuela: Update2

  • Spanish Market: Crude oil
  • 26/07/19

Updates throughout.

An essential partner in Venezuela's oil production may continue operations into October after the US Treasury Department today extended a license for Chevron and oil field service providers to remain operating in the sanctioned country.

The department allowed Chevron, Halliburton, Schlumberger, Baker Hughes and Weatherford to maintain current contracts in Venezuela until 25 October under a new license issued less than 24 hours before that authorization was to expire. The extension fell far short of the 18 months — with continuous, monthly renewals — given earlier this year to Venezuelan-controlled US independent refiner Citgo, or the initial 180-day license issued to the companies in January.

The license will instead now expire around the same time that more than $900mn in principal and interest on a 2020 bond for Venezuela's national oil company, PdV, comes due. The US will in three months again weigh Chevron's foothold in a still-lucrative oil resource against [waning patience](https://www.argusmedia.com/en/news/1947927-guaido-short-on-time-and-money-to-turn-venezuela

) with the country's opposition leadership and any continued oil revenue filtering to Venezuelan president Nicolas Maduro.

"The limited scope of the license is intended to facilitate US oil companies in abiding by their contractual obligations, maintaining their operations, assuming they choose to do so, and avoiding economic harm to the United States," the State department said. "The United States will continue to take appropriate action against Maduro and those aligned with him."

Venezuela's US-backed opposition has campaigned unsuccessfully for six months to unseat Venezuelan president Nicolas Maduro. US sanctions imposed in January on PdV sought to cut the Maduro regime off from its principal source of cash.

The US halted exports of naphtha essential to Venezuela's crude blending programs and reduced imports from the third-largest supplier of heavy crude to US refiners to zero in May. But the opposition has struggled to take meaningful control of key Venezuelan institutions over that time, and the US wrestled with how to further pressure the regime.

"We are trying to ensure that there are not wealth and resources that are getting into the pocket of Maduro and his cronies and flowing to the Cubans," secretary of state Mike Pompeo said yesterday. "Where we make a decision on a license or a particular designation of an individual, those are all aimed to support the strategy, which is the ultimate beacon for our direction."

PdV did not respond publicly to the decision. Initial reaction inside the company was relief that its most consequential partner would be staying, for now.

Chevron key PdV partner

Most if not all of the services companies have already left Venezuela, but Chevron is state-owned PdV's main western partner. It owns a 30pc share in the PetroPiar crude upgrader, which PdV is converting into a blending facility. The company also holds 39.2pc and 25.2pc stakes, respectively, in the PetroBoscan and PetroIndependiente heavy oil ventures. The 400,000 b/d PetroIndependencia Orinoco extra-heavy crude joint venture, in which Chevron has a 34pc share, is in the early stages of development.

Chevron operates block 2 off eastern Venezuela with a 60pc interest. This contains the majority of the 10.25 Tcf (290bn m³) Loran-Manatee gas field straddling Venezuela's maritime border with Trinidad and Tobago.

Maduro's government threatened to seize Chevron's assets if Washington did not extend its permission to operate in Venezuela. The company said it would continue to follow all laws and regulations in its business in the country.

The Venezuelan assets are a small part of Chevron's global portfolio. Chevron's combined net daily offtake in 2018 from the four joint ventures averaged 42,000 b/d of crude and 9mn cf/d of associated natural gas, according to the company. But the potential for future growth is huge, considering the Opec country's abundant reserves and nearby markets. The assets would also position Chevron to play a key role in Venezuela's future reconstruction.

The new deadline for Chevron will make October a critical month for the fate of the opposition campaign. The PdV bond payment is backed by shares in PdV's US refining subsidiary Citgo — Venezuela's most valuable state asset. The opposition paid $72mn in interest on the bond in May, using frozen PdV funds in the US that the Treasury Department released for this purpose. Now the opposition is hoping Treasury will grant permission to negotiate with bondholders to reschedule the looming principal payment.

But the administration has become wary of releasing funds to the opposition, concerned that the money could be mismanaged. Opposition leader Juan Guaido could lose his leadership of the National Assembly — and, consequently, his claim to interim presidency — by the end of the year. Arguments to maintain Chevron and other oil companies' presence in Venezuelan could weaken with Guaido's standing come October.


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08/07/24

Hurricane Beryl passes Houston, heads inland: Update

Hurricane Beryl passes Houston, heads inland: Update

Houston, 8 July (Argus) — Hurricane Beryl swept through the Houston area this morning with heavy rains and wind gusts near 90mph, bringing local flooding and cutting power to more than 2mn customers. Beryl, which has been downgraded to a tropical storm, was about 30 miles north-northwest of Houston according to a 12pm ET bulletin from the National Hurricane Center (NHC). The storm is expected to turn towards the northeast and increase speed tonight and into Tuesday. On its current forecast track, the center of Beryl will pass over eastern Texas today and into the lower Mississippi and Ohio valleys Tuesday and Wednesday. Beryl made landfall earlier today as a Category 1 hurricane near Matagorda, Texas, after regaining strength as it crossed the Gulf of Mexico from an earlier landfall on the Yucatan Peninsula. A weather station in Freeport, Texas, directly south of Houston on the Gulf of Mexico reported a wind gust of 94mph earlier today while a station at the entrance to Galveston Bay and the Houston Ship Channel recorded a gust of 82mph. Nearly 2mn Houston residents are without power as of 11:30am ET according to outages tracked by CenterPoint Energy. Heavy rainfall of 5-10 inches, with 15 inches in some spots, was recorded across the upper Texas coast and eastern Texas, with considerable flash and urban flooding expected to continue, NHC said in its bulletin. Water levels at the Interstate 610 bridge on the Houston Ship Channel -- home to several refineries and petrochemical plants –- were observed at 10 feet above mean low water levels at 11am ET, well into the "major flooding" range, according to data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). Several petrochemical plants pre-emptively shut down or experienced electrical surges over the weekend before Beryl hit the Texas coast today. US Gulf coast refiners appear to have robust fuel inventories for this time of year should the storm lead to operational issues. The four-week average of Gulf coast gasoline inventories in the week ended 28 June was up by over 4pc from the same period in 2023 and up by 6pc from 2022, after hitting a near six-month high in the penultimate week of June. The second named storm of the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season, Beryl followed tropical storm Alberto, which came ashore in northeastern Mexico late last month. This year's Atlantic hurricane season is expected to be more active than normal, according to the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, with 4-7 major hurricanes that pack sustained winds of 111mph or higher possible By Nathan Risser Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US shale deals pivot to lesser-known basins


08/07/24
08/07/24

US shale deals pivot to lesser-known basins

New York, 8 July (Argus) — After a burst of deal-making activity that has sent Permian valuations skyrocketing and seen the best drilling locations already swap hands, buyers' attention is turning to less prominent shale basins that have been overlooked up until now. Such was the case when US independent SM Energy splashed out $2bn for 80pc of the assets of privately held XCL Resources to gain a foothold in the Uinta basin of northeast Utah, best known for its waxy crude that is popular with refiners. The transaction marks a departure from the vast majority of deals in the past year, which have targeted the increasingly consolidated Permian basin of west Texas and New Mexico. It also represents a shift in strategy, given SM Energy is expanding beyond its core operations in the Midland basin and south Texas. Other takeovers have seen companies combine acreage in existing basins to squeeze out savings. Chief executive Herb Vogel told analysts he had looked at other deal options, but his priority was to keep a strong balance sheet and "maintain discipline so that we wouldn't overpay for something". About $41bn of non-Permian merger and acquisition opportunities are on the market, according to consultancy Rystad Energy. With premium acreage becoming increasingly scarce in the top-performing shale play, far-flung regions are poised totake centre stage. Another potential draw for SM Energy may have been that it sawless risk of its transaction being singled out for attention from anti-trust regulators, as several deals involving in-basin consolidation have attracted unwelcome scrutiny. But entry into a new play, as well as concerns over its legacy assets, spooked investors and contributed to a 10pc decline in SM Energy's share price on the day the deal was announced. "It could take a couple of quarters of performance for investors to digest this activity shift and to evaluate the Uinta's potential," analysts at RBC Capital Markets say. Producers are likely to continue the hunt for deals in lesser-known basins as they seek to scale up their inventory at reasonable prices. "A key driver of the deal, like most other transactions seen over the last few years, is adding inventory, particularly at the low end of the cost curve," consultancy Enverus principal analyst Andrew Dittmar says. The Uinta basin offers some of the highest rates of oil recovery per lateral foot in the Lower 48, according to Dittmar. Lubricating the transaction Parts of the basin could achieve oil production performance similar to that of the Permian, according to a recent report by data analyst Novi Labs. "The waxy nature is in high demand by refiners and upper-end lubricant markets," Vogel says. The latest acquisition hands SM Energy around 37,200 net acres, boosting its core net acreage by 14pc. It adds 43,000 b/d of oil equivalent (boe/d), increasing the company's overall production next year to 195,000 boe/d, with oil now making up more than 50pc of the mix. SM Energy also gets 390 drilling locations with breakevens of $43-57/bl, boosting the operator's inventory life by two years. As part of the same deal, US independent Northern Oil and Gas is purchasing 20pc of the XCL assets, helping to offset the total cost for SM Energy. XCL is backed by EnCap Investments and the Rice Investment Group. It was the second exit involving an EnCap-backed company in recent weeks after independent Matador Resources acquired a unit of private equity-backed Ameredev II for $1.9bn to expand in the Permian's Delaware basin. Private equity investors, which have mainly been sellers in recent years, look set to step up their search for undervalued assets as they seek to refill their portfolios. "Combined, those forces should drive a robust market for assets and see valuations rise outside the Permian, although not fully to Permian levels," Dittmar says. By Stephen Cunningham Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Beryl menaces eastern Texas with storm surge, rain


08/07/24
08/07/24

Beryl menaces eastern Texas with storm surge, rain

New York, 8 July (Argus) — Hurricane Beryl crashed ashore early today, bringing life-threatening storm surge, strong winds and heavy rainfall to southeast Texas. The hurricane was packing maximum sustained winds of 75mph and was about 40 miles southwest of Houston, Texas, according to the latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center (NHC) issued at 8am ET. About 1.1 million Houston area customers are without power, US utility CenterPoint Energy said. Beryl made landfall as a Category 1 hurricane near Matagorda, Texas, after regaining strength as it crossed the Gulf of Mexico. Heavy rainfall of 5-10 inches is forecast across parts of the middle and upper Texas Gulf coast and eastern Texas. The NHC also warned of the risk of flash and urban flooding. A hurricane warning is in effect for the Texas coast from Mesquite Bay north to Port Bolivar, while a tropical storm warning is in place for the coast north of Port Bolivar to Sabine Pass. On its current forecast track, the center of Beryl will cross eastern Texas today, before sweeping through the lower Mississippi valley into the Ohio valley on Tuesday and 10 July, the NHC said. Beryl is forecast to weaken as it moves inland and is expected to be downgraded to a tropical storm later today and to a tropical depression on Tuesday. Disruptions to US Gulf of Mexico oil and gas operations appear to be limited so far, given Beryl's approach to the west of most US offshore oil and gas operations. But some platforms were evacuated late last week. ExxonMobil said on Sunday it was making operational adjustments in advance of the storm but expected minimal impact to production. It shut in output from the Hoover platform and evacuated remaining staff. By Stephen Cunningham Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Opec+ crude production falls in June


08/07/24
08/07/24

Opec+ crude production falls in June

London, 8 July (Argus) — Opec+ crude output by members subject to cuts fell for a third straight month in June, as lower Russian production offset rises from some serial overproducers. Output fell by 90,000 b/d to 33.98mn b/d in June, according to Argus estimates, the lowest in three years. But it could have been lower, with the alliance overshooting its target for the month by 130,000 b/d (see table). Lower Opec+ production has played a key role in tightening oil markets in recent weeks. The $7-8/bl rise in oil prices over the past month will have come as a relief to Opec+, which initially saw prices slide after key members signalled their intention to start unwinding some of their production cuts from October . The nine Opec members subject to cuts were 150,000 b/d above target in June, but this was partially offset by the nine non-Opec members of the group, which produced 20,000 b/d below. Leading non-Opec producer Russia has driven much of the alliance's output falls in the past three months, as a pre-existing export cut pledge was replaced with an output reduction. And while it reduced production by 120,000 b/d to 9.14mn b/d last month, this was still well above its target of 8.98mn b/d. Much steeper falls could be on the horizon from Russia if it makes good on a promise to compensate for producing above target in recent months. Kazakhstan was another big overproducer last month, with its output rising by 80,000 b/d to 1.56mn b/d — 90,000 b/d above target. Despite outlining a plan to drive down output and compensate for overproducing this year, Kazakhstan has not met its target in any of the first six months of 2024. But lower production is on the horizon, with Kazakhstan undertaking maintenance at key fields later in the year — probably in August and October, according to its initial compensation plan. Iraq was again the alliance's largest overproducer last month, with output rising by 40,000 b/d to 4.2mn b/d — around 200,000 b/d above target. Like Kazakhstan, Iraq has failed to meet its target in any month this year, despite also outlining a plan to compensate for producing above quota. Rising summer temperatures boosted crude burn for power generation last month, but most of its overproduction is down to Baghdad's unwillingness to acknowledge surging production from the semi-autonomous Kurdish region. Iraq and Kazakhstan's combined overproduction has averaged 290,000 b/d this year, making their task of compensating much harder in the coming months. Disruption and decline In contrast, an emerging number of Opec+ members have been unable to hit their production targets in recent months. Grappling with natural decline and upstream challenges, Azerbaijan produced 80,000 b/d below its target of 550,000 b/d in the first six months. Malaysia also underproduced, by an average of 40,000 b/d in the same period. War-torn Sudan's production has fallen to just 20,000 b/d from pre-conflict levels of around 70,000 b/d. And South Sudan, which is entirely reliant on Sudan for its exports, has seen its production more than halve owing to the continued shutdown of a key pipeline in Sudan . Production was relatively uneventful in the Mideast Gulf Opec+ contingent. Saudi Arabia's output fell by 10,000 b/d to 8.95mn b/d, the UAE shed 10,000 b/d to 2.94mn b/d and Kuwait dropped by 20,000 b/d to 2.4mn b/d. Production from the three members exempt from production targets edged up in June. Sanctions-hit Iran continued its upward trajectory, adding 20,000 b/d to 3.31mn b/d — the highest since September 2018. Libya added 40,000 b/d to reach 1.22mn b/d on recent upstream work and Venezuela edged higher by 20,000 b/d despite the return of US sanctions in April. By Aydin Calik Opec+ crude production mn b/d Jun May* Jun target† ± target Opec 9 21.38 21.44 21.23 +0.15 Non-Opec 9 12.60 12.63 12.62 -0.02 Total 33.98 34.07 33.85 +0.13 *revised †includes additional cuts where applicable Opec wellhead production mn b/d Jun May Jun target† ± target Saudi Arabia 8.95 8.96 8.98 -0.03 Iraq 4.20 4.16 4.00 +0.20 Kuwait 2.40 2.42 2.41 -0.01 UAE 2.94 2.95 2.91 +0.03 Algeria 0.91 0.90 0.91 0.00 Nigeria 1.44 1.48 1.50 -0.06 Congo (Brazzaville) 0.26 0.26 0.28 -0.02 Gabon 0.23 0.25 0.17 +0.06 Equatorial Guinea 0.05 0.06 0.07 -0.02 Opec 9 21.38 21.44 21.23 +0.15 Iran 3.31 3.29 na na Libya 1.22 1.18 na na Venezuela 0.86 0.84 na na Total Opec 12^ 26.77 26.75 na na †includes additional cuts where applicable ^Iran, Libya and Venezuela are exempt from production targets Non-Opec crude production mn b/d Jun May* Jun target† ± target Russia 9.14 9.26 8.98 +0.16 Oman 0.76 0.76 0.76 +0.00 Azerbaijan 0.47 0.46 0.55 -0.08 Kazakhstan 1.56 1.48 1.47 +0.09 Malaysia 0.35 0.36 0.40 -0.05 Bahrain 0.18 0.18 0.20 -0.02 Brunei 0.05 0.05 0.08 -0.03 Sudan 0.02 0.02 0.06 -0.04 South Sudan 0.07 0.06 0.12 -0.05 Total non-Opec 12.60 12.63 12.62 -0.02 *revised †includes additional cuts where applicable Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Heavy rain, wind expected in Houston from Beryl: Update


08/07/24
08/07/24

Heavy rain, wind expected in Houston from Beryl: Update

Houston, 8 July (Argus) — Tropical storm Beryl is expected to regain hurricane strength before coming ashore near Matagorda, Texas, early Monday, bringing heavy rain and wind to the Houston area. As of 8pm ET Sunday, the center of the storm was about 120 miles east-southeast of Corpus Christi, Texas, with maximum sustained winds of 70mph, moving northwest at 12mph, according to the National Hurricane Center (NHC). The storm track forecast has shifted to the north of Corpus Christi, likely sparing that city's refining and oil export industries from the most severe conditions, although Citgo said its 165,000 b/d Corpus Christi refinery is running at reduced rates as part of its hurricane preparedness plan. Peak storm surge of 4-7ft is expected between Matagorda Bay and San Luis Pass, including at Freeport, home to a number of petrochemical plants and an LNG export terminal. Galveston Bay, which includes numerous refineries and oil export terminals along the Houston Ship Channel and Texas City, is expected to see 4-6ft of storm surge. The ports of Houston, Galveston, Freeport and Texas City were closed to all traffic at 5pm ET Sunday, according to the US Coast Guard. The Port of Corpus Christi has been closed since Saturday afternoon. US Gulf coast refiners appear to have robust fuel inventories for this time of year should the storm lead to operational issues. The four-week average of Gulf coast gasoline inventories in the week ended 28 June was up by over 4pc from the same period in 2023 and up by 6pc from 2022, after hitting a near six-month high in the penultimate week of June. Residents and businesses in the Houston area may see power outages Monday from the high winds, according to local emergency management officials. Rainfall is expected to range between 6-10 inches with 15 inches in some isolated areas, according to NHC. Little oil, gas production disruption Disruptions to US Gulf of Mexico oil and gas operations appear to be limited given Beryl's approach to the west of most US offshore oil and gas operations, although some platforms were evacuated late last week. Chevron said it has already started to send non-essential workers who were evacuated back to offshore facilities. Mexican offshore operations were halted late last week when the storm first entered the Gulf after passing over the Yucatan Peninsula. Early last week Beryl was a Category 5 storm, which made it the strongest on record for the month of July, as it left a trail of destruction in the Caribbean . The second named storm of the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season, Beryl followed tropical storm Alberto, which came ashore in northeastern Mexico late last month. This year's Atlantic hurricane season is expected to be more active than normal, according to the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, with 4-7 major hurricanes that pack sustained winds of 111mph or higher possible. By Tom Fowler, Nathan Risser and Stephen Cunningham Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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