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Venezuelan opposition asks Trump to shield Citgo

  • Spanish Market: Crude oil, Oil products
  • 31/07/19

Venezuela's shadow government is appealing to the White House to issue an executive order aimed at protecting US refiner Citgo from falling into the hands of a leading creditor.

The petition is a last-ditch effort by the putative interim government of Juan Guaido to keep defunct Canadian mining company Crystallex, owned by US hedge fund Tenor Capital Management, from acting on a 29 July US appeals court decision. That ruling ratified the plaintiff's argument that Citgo is an alter ego of the Venezuelan government, opening the door for an auction to fully satisfy its $1.4bn claim.

"Citgo is not lost," said Alejandro Grisanti, a member of the Guaido-appointed "ad hoc" administrative board in exile of Venezuela's national oil company PdV, the parent firm of Citgo. "Monday's announcement is a clear setback, but there are still many legal, political and licensing, etc. resources that can be applied."

"An executive order from President Trump has been requested to protect the country's assets on American soil. ‘For now' this has not been granted because it is understood that the sanctions protect the Venezuelan assets", he said.

The exception are PdV 2020 bondholders who already have a US government license, he said.

In a lengthy statement this afternoon the Guaido-led government said it is pursuing legal appeals, while asserting that Crystallex cannot immediately take action on the US court ruling because the assets are protected by US sanctions.

The outlook for overturning the ruling or taking it to the Supreme Court looks dim. "There is no chance in the world the case will be taken up in court again," a financial sector executive who has followed the case closely told Argus. "The opposition's arguments were bad and they have no Plan B."

There was no immediate US government comment on the possibility of issuing an executive order. A senior US administration official told Argus that the White House would rather stay out of the fray, but it still needs time to decide.

"As with the Chevron decision, there are sharp differences of opinion between those who want to focus on regime change versus those who are concerned with the economic interests of US corporations," the official said.

Citgo is a major corporation and the US arguably does have interests in preserving it, the official said, adding that among the time-buying options is for Citgo to file for bankruptcy.

According to a November 2018 academic paper issued by Lee Buchheit and Mitu Gulati referencing the Iraqi debt crisis and parallels with Venezuela, "the Executive Branch of the U.S. Government has the legal power to facilitate a foreign sovereign debt restructuring in cases where an orderly resolution of the sovereign's debt difficulties is in the national security and foreign policy interests of the United States."

Buchheit was named as the opposition's debt adviser in May 2019.

Crystallex is among a handful of companies that won international arbitration cases stemming from Venezuelan government asset seizures, but have not been able to fully collect the designated compensation from Caracas. Around $800mn is left to pay on the Crystallex claim after Venezuela made partial payments amounting to around $400mn.

A lucrative target

Citgo, the fifth-largest US refiner with 750,000 b/d of capacity, is Venezuela's most valuable overseas asset and a legacy of the Opec country's 1980s overseas drive to ensure commercial outlets for its heavy oil. The company has been the target of Venezuela's myriad creditors for years.

The government of President Nicolas Maduro, whom the US and some 50 other western countries no longer recognize as head of state, regularly tapped Citgo for dividends. In 2016, PdV issued a bond swap secured by 50.1pc of the shares in Citgo's Delaware-based parent company. The holders of the resulting PdV 2020 bonds are lobbying to stop Crystallex from auctioning Citgo and to keep the refiner in Venezuelan state hands in anticipation of a comprehensive debt restructuring involving all creditors.

The other 49.9pc of Citgo's shares are collateral on oil-backed credit issued to Venezuela by Russia's state-controlled Rosneft.

Venezuela's exiled technocrats maneuvered in US courts and the Washington Beltway to retain Citgo since shortly after Guaido declared his interim presidency in January. In mid-February, Guaido named "ad hoc" administrative boards to PdV and its US subsidiaries to protect the asset. The move was overshadowed a week later by a botched US-backed aid campaign and a stillborn 30 April military uprising in support of Guaido.

In May, the US-backed opposition took a gamble by paying $72mn in interest on the PdV 2020 bond, arguing that the Maduro government would have defaulted because of US sanctions. Up to that point, the PdV 2020s stood out as the only Venezuelan bond that was still current. The funds for the opposition payment came from PdV's frozen US accounts released by the US Treasury.

Guaido's advisers are seeking US Treasury sanctions clearance to negotiate a delay in paying $842mn in principal on the PdV 2020 bonds due in October. By then, Crystallex could move to auction Citgo, unless the US government steps in to temporarily halt the sale. In the same month of October, the White House will decide whether Chevron gets another extension on its waiver to operate in Venezuela.

In a sidebar to the crisis, the opposition statement asserted that Jose Ignacio Hernandez, Guaido's ad hoc attorney general, had recused himself from the Crystallex case as he had testified on behalf of the company before he joined the exile administration.

The Citgo case is unfolding just as US election season gets into full swing, but for now the Venezuelan cause has fallen into the margins of US politics. An opposition-led campaign for protected status for Venezuelan migrants passed the US House of Representatives this month but was not taken up by the Senate before its recess period.


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09/05/25

Iraq edging towards compliance under Opec+ pressure

Iraq edging towards compliance under Opec+ pressure

Dubai, 9 May (Argus) — Iraq managed to produce just below its formal Opec+ crude production target in April for the second month in a row, following intense pressure from other members of the group to improve on its historically poor compliance record. But the country still has much to do to compensate for past overproduction. Over the last 16 months, Iraq has been among the Opec+ group's most prolific quota-busters, alongside Kazakhstan and, to a lesser degree, Russia. Argus estimates the country's output averaged over 130,000 b/d above its 4mn b/d target last year. This non-compliance has strained unity within Opec+ and was the driving force behind the group's recent decision to unwind production cuts at a much faster pace than originally planned. Iraq has made some progress on improving compliance this year, reducing production by around 190,000 b/d in the first four months of 2025 compared with the same period last year, according to Argus assessments. Output stood at 3.94mn b/d in April, which was more than 70,000 b/d below Baghdad's formal 4.01mn b/d quota for the month. And in March, Iraq was 20,000 b/d below its then 4mn b/d quota. But this is far from mission accomplished. Along with other overproducers, Iraq has agreed a plan to compensate for exceeding formal quotas since the start of 2024, yet it has fallen short of its commitments in that regard. April's output was almost 50,000 b/d above its 3.89mn b/d effective quota for the month, taking into account the compensation plan. Iraq attributes its compliance issues to ongoing disagreements with the semi-autonomous Kurdish region over crude production levels. The oil ministry claims it lost oversight of the Kurdish region's production since the Iraq-Turkey Pipeline (ITP) was closed in March 2023. Despite the pipeline closure shutting Kurdish producers out of international export markets, Argus assesses current output in the Kurdistan region ranges between 250,000 b/d and 300,000 b/d, of which considerable volumes are smuggled into Iran and Turkey at hefty discounts to market prices. An understanding between Baghdad and the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), when implemented, would see Kurdish production average 300,000 b/d, with 185,000 b/d shipped through the ITP and the rest directed to local refineries. Peer pressure Despite the challenges, it is hard to argue that Iraq is not heading in the right direction. Pressure from the Opec Secretariat and the Opec+ alliance's de-facto leader, Saudi Arabia, has pushed Baghdad to take some tough decisions to rein in production, which include cutting crude exports and limiting crude intake at domestic refineries. Kpler data show Iraqi crude exports, excluding the Kurdish region, fell to 3.34mn b/d in January-April from 3.42mn b/d a year earlier, while cuts to domestic refinery runs have prompted Baghdad to increase gasoil imports to ensure it has enough fuel for power generation. Fearing revenue constraints, Iraq is trying to persuade Opec+ to increase its output quota, motivated by a previous upward revision to the UAE's target. Baghdad's budget for 2022-25 includes plans to spend $153bn/yr. But this is based on a crude price assumption of $70/bl and projected oil exports of 3.5mn b/d, both of which now look out of date. By Bachar Halabi and James Keates Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

White House ends use of carbon cost


09/05/25
09/05/25

White House ends use of carbon cost

Washington, 9 May (Argus) — The US is ending its use of a metric for estimating the economic damages from greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, the latest reversal of climate change policies supported by President Donald Trump's predecessors. The White House Office of Management and Budget (OMB) this week directed federal agencies to stop using the social cost of carbon as part of any regulatory or decision-making practices, except in cases where it is required by law, citing the need "remove any barriers put in place by previous administrations" that restrict the ability of the US to get the most benefit "from our abundant natural resources". "Under this guidance, the circumstances where agencies will need to engage in monetized greenhouse gas emission analysis will be few to none," OMB said in a 5 May memo to federal agencies. In cases where such an analysis is required by law, agencies should limit their work "to the minimum consideration required" and address only the domestic effects, unless required by law. OMB said these steps are needed to ensure sound regulatory decisions and avoid misleading the public because the uncertainties of such analyses "are too great". The budget office issued the guidance in response to an executive order Trump issued on his first day in office, which also disbanded an interagency working group on the social cost of carbon and called for faster permitting for domestic oil and gas production and the termination of various orders issued by former president Joe Biden related to combating climate change. The metric, first established by the administration of former US president Barack Obama, has been subject to a tug of war between Democrats and Republicans. Trump, in his first term, slashed the value of the social cost of carbon, a move Biden later reversed . Biden then directed agencies to fold the metric into their procurement processes and environmental reviews. The US began relying on the cost estimate in 2010, offering a way to estimate the full costs and benefits of climate-related regulations. The Biden administration estimated the global cost of emitting CO2 at $120-$340/metric tonne and included it in rules related to cars, trucks, residential appliances, ozone standards, methane emission rules, refineries and federal oil and gas leases. By Michael Ball Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Brazil's inflation accelerates to 5.53pc in April


09/05/25
09/05/25

Brazil's inflation accelerates to 5.53pc in April

Sao Paulo, 9 May (Argus) — Brazil's annualized inflation rate rose to 5.53pc in April, accelerating for a third month despite six central bank rate hikes since September aimed at cooling the economy. The country's annualized inflation accelerated from 5.48pc in March and 5.06pc in February, according to government statistics agency IBGE. Food and beverages rose by an annual 7.81pc, up from 7.68pc in March. Ground coffee increased at an annual 80.2pc, accelerating from 77.78pc in the month prior. Still, soybean oil prices decelerated to 22.83pc in April from 24.36pc in March. Domestic power consumption costs rose to 0.71pc from 0.33pc a month earlier. Transportation costs decelerated to 5.49pc from 6.05pc in March. Gasoline prices slowed to a 8.86pc gain from 10.89pc a month earlier. The increase in ethanol and diesel prices decelerated as well to 13.9pc and 6.42pc in April from 20.08pc and 8.13pc in March, respectively. The hike in compressed natural gas prices (CNG) fell to 3.5pc from 3.92pc a month prior. Inflation posted the seventh consecutive monthly increase above the central bank's goal of 3pc, with tolerance of 1.5 percentage point above or below. Brazil's central bank increased its target interest rate for the sixth time in a row to 14.75pc on 7 May. The bank has been trying to counter soaring inflation as it has recently changed the way it tracks its goal. Monthly cooldown But Brazil's monthly inflation decelerated to 0.43pc in April from a 0.56pc gain in March. Food and beverages decelerated on a monthly basis to 0.82pc in April from a 1.17pc increase a month earlier, according to IBGE. Housing costs also decelerated to 0.24pc from 0.14pc in March. Transportation costs contracted by 0.38pc and posted the largest monthly contraction in April. Diesel prices posted the largest contraction at 1.27pc in April. Petrobras made three diesel price readjustments in April-May. By Maria Frazatto Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Indonesia threatens to stop oil imports from Singapore


09/05/25
09/05/25

Indonesia threatens to stop oil imports from Singapore

Singapore, 9 May (Argus) — Indonesian market participants have reacted with caution to a call by the country's energy minister to stop all oil imports from Singapore. Energy and mineral resources minister Bahlil Lahadalia said on 8 May that Indonesia should stop purchases from Singapore and instead buy directly from oil producers in the Middle East, according to media reports that were confirmed by several Indonesian market participants. Discussions are taking place but there is so far no official statement from the ministry nor any direction from managers in the oil industry, one market participant said. "None of us are taking it seriously" and it is still "business as usual", the official said. The regional trading hub of Singapore is a major supplier of oil products to Indonesia, and any end to shipments from the country would upend trade flows. Singapore is the biggest gasoline supplier to Indonesia, accounting for more than 60pc of total shipments, according to customs data. Singapore exported 236,000 b/d of gasoline to Indonesia in 2024, with Malaysia a distant second at 79,500 b/d. Singapore is also one of Indonesia's top gasoil and jet fuel suppliers, shipping over 54,000 b/d of gasoil and 8,300 b/d of jet fuel to the country in January-April this year, according to data from government agency Enterprise Singapore. The government has already begun to build docks that can accommodate larger, long-haul vessels, Bahlil said, according to state-owned media. Any move by Indonesian importers to switch purchases to the Mideast Gulf would increase the replacement cost of supply because of higher freight rates, said market participants. Indonesian buyers are currently negotiating term contracts on a fob Singapore basis, so a sudden cut in supplies would not be feasible. The term contract is due for renewal soon, traders said. State-owned oil firm Pertamina, the dominant products importer, is expected to begin term negotiations for its second-half 2025 requirements in May-June. A decision by Indonesia to end imports from Singapore would cut regional gasoline demand but could be bullish for the market overall, given the extra logistics required to blend elsewhere and ship into southeast Asia. The Mideast Gulf currently supplies mainly Pakistan and Africa, with just 15pc of gasoline exports from the region heading towards Indonesia and Singapore in 2024, according to data from ship tracking firm Kpler. Indonesia's energy ministry (ESDM) did not immediately reply to a request for confirmation of Bahlil's comments. They came a day after the country's president Prabowo Subianto called for Indonesia to become self-sufficient in oil in the next five years. Indonesia has also proposed raising energy imports from the US as part of talks to reduce import tariffs threatened by president Donald Trump. Indonesia is considering boosting imports of crude, LPG, LNG and refined fuels in order to rebalance its trade surplus and ease bilateral tensions, government officials have said. By Aldric Chew and Lu Yawen Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Permian output could plateau sooner: Occidental CEO


08/05/25
08/05/25

Permian output could plateau sooner: Occidental CEO

New York, 8 May (Argus) — Oil production from the Permian basin could plateau sooner than expected if operators keep talking about reducing activity levels in the wake of lower oil prices, warned the chief executive of Occidental Petroleum. Vicki Hollub said she previously expected to see Permian output growing through 2027, with overall US production growth peaking by the end of the decade. "It's looking like with the current headwinds, or at least volatility and uncertainty around pricing and the economy, and recessions and all of that, it's looking like that peak could come sooner," Hollub told analysts today after posting first quarter results. "So I'm thinking right now the Permian, if it grows at all through the rest of the year, it's going to be very little." Occidental is reducing the midpoint of its annual capital spending guidance for 2025 by $200mn on the back of further efficiency gains. The US independent also plans to trim domestic operating costs by $150mn. "We continue to rapidly advance towards our debt reduction goals, and we believe our deep, diverse portfolio of high-quality assets positions us for success in any market environment," Hollub said. Occidental closed asset sales of $1.3bn in the first quarter and has repaid $2.3bn in debt so far in 2025. Occidental produced 1.4mn b/d of oil equivalent (boe/d) in the first quarter compared with nearly 1.2mn boe/d in the same period of last year. By Stephen Cunningham Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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