Generic Hero BannerGeneric Hero Banner
Latest Market News

US nears approval on $2 trillion stimulus: Update 2

  • Spanish Market: Agriculture, Coal, Crude oil, Emissions, Natural gas, Oil products
  • 25/03/20

Adds details throughout

The US Senate plans to vote today on a massive emergency relief package meant to sustain businesses and workers during efforts to contain the spread of the coronavirus outbreak.

The $2 trillion package would offer billions of dollars in grants and loans to airlines, manufacturers and other businesses forced to cut capacity in recent weeks as the coronavirus spread across much of the US. But the agreement would not offer targeted support to the oil sector or fund President Donald Trump's plans to buy enough crude to refill the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR).

The Senate bill, at a cost equivalent to nearly 10pc of US GDP, would be the largest relief package in US history. It would offer $500bn in emergency loans to businesses, another $350bn in loans and grants targeted specifically to small businesses and checks of up to $1,200 to most taxpayers. The legislative text has not yet been released, but an earlier version provided $50bn to passenger air carriers and $8bn to cargo carriers.

Congressional leaders negotiated the deal over five days, as the spread of coronavirus in hotspots like New York City, Washington state and New Orleans, Louisiana, pushed the death toll past 800. The US is set to release unemployment data tomorrow that some analysts expect could show as many as 3mn jobless claims in the week ended on 21 March.

US Senate majority leader Mitch McConnell (R-Kentucky) said the chamber will pass the bill today, sending the measure to the US House of Representatives for its likely approval as soon as tomorrow. But swift passage is not yet guaranteed, since only a single objecting senator could force procedural delays, and the Democratic-controlled House must also approve the measure.

US senators Ben Sasse (R-Nebraska), Rick Scott (R-Florida), Tim Scott (R-South Carolina) and Lindsey Graham (R-South Carolina) today raised objections to part of the package increasing unemployment benefits to $24/hr for four months. They worry this will prompt lower-paid workers and nurses to want to be laid off and remain furloughed, if the unemployment benefits bring in more income than their normal salaries.

The agreement does not include $3bn for the administration to buy crude to refill the SPR, a measure that Senate minority leader Chuck Schumer (D-New York) derided as a "bailout for big oil." That could complicate the administration's solicitation, set to close tomorrow, to buy up to 30mn bl from producers with fewer than 5,000 employees. The US Energy Department did not respond to a request for comment as to whether it could pay for oil puchases using other funding sources.

But the agreement would give the administration more flexibility on when to sell $450mn of crude from the SPR to fund upgrades at the four storage facilities in Texas and Louisiana that make up the reserve. The administration earlier this month halted the sale of 12mn bl from the reserve to pay for upgrades, citing the plunge in crude prices.

The Senate agreement will prohibit airlines from stock buybacks and giving bonuses to chief executives, Schumer said today. Crucial to the agreement is the inclusion of a Democratic demand for increased oversight of a $500bn fund for businesses, and a prohibition on Trump's hotel and other businesses from receiving loans and investments from those funds.

Oil industry officials acknowledged weeks ago it would be politically difficult to obtain specific support from the US Congress in the stimulus agreement. Instead industry groups have appealed directly to the US administration for help during the coronavirus outbreak.

The trade group the American Petroleum Institute on 23 March asked the US Environmental Protection Agency for "temporary relief" from dozens of rules on emissions testing and environmental reporting, arguing compliance could be complicated by workers being forced to stay home.

Environmental groups have balked at the request.

By Chris Knight and Kevin Foster


Related news posts

Argus illuminates the markets by putting a lens on the areas that matter most to you. The market news and commentary we publish reveals vital insights that enable you to make stronger, well-informed decisions. Explore a selection of news stories related to this one.

06/05/25

EIA trims WTI outlook to near $60/bl

EIA trims WTI outlook to near $60/bl

Calgary, 6 May (Argus) — The US light sweet crude benchmark will be roughly $2/bl lower this year than previously expected with a shifting trade war continuing to add uncertainty, the Energy Information Administration (EIA) said today. WTI at Cushing, Oklahoma, is expected to average $61.81/bl in 2025, the agency said in its latest Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO), lower by $2.07/bl from its April forecast. The US light sweet benchmark will fall further yet to $55.24/bl in 2026, or $2.24/bl lower from the prior STEO. Brent prices were revised downward by similar amounts and are now forecast at $65.85/bl in 2025 and $59.24/bl in 2026. The latest STEO reflects tariffs announced by US president Donald Trump on 2 April but not a subsequent 90-day suspension of tariffs to some countries. The EIA estimates the tariff suspensions will likely have some offsetting effects to a subsequent escalation in Chinese tariffs, which were also not included in the latest outlook. A tariff-induced slowdown in the economy is expected to weigh on oil consumption, which the EIA projects will not keep pace with rising output. Global production of oil and liquid fuels was raised to 104.13mn b/d for 2025 and to 105.43mn b/d for 2026. These are higher from the prior forecast by 30,000 b/d and 80,000 b/d, respectively. Global consumption is now expected to average 103.71mn b/d in 2025, higher by 70,000 b/d from the previous forecast. Consumption in 2026 is forecast at 104.61mn b/d, lower by 70,000 b/d. In the US, domestic consumption is projected to average 20.5mn b/d in 2025, higher by 120,000 b/d compared to last month's STEO. Consumption was lowered for 2026 by 50,000 b/d at 20.44mn b/d. Domestic production will come in at 13.42mn b/d in 2025 and 13.49mn b/d in 2026, the EIA said. This is lower by 90,000 b/d and 70,000 b/d compared to the April STEO. By Brett Holmes Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Existenz von suspendiertem HVO-Hersteller fraglich


06/05/25
06/05/25

Existenz von suspendiertem HVO-Hersteller fraglich

Hamburg, 6 May (Argus) — Die Bundesanstalt für Landwirtschaft und Ernährung stellt die Existenz eines HVO-Herstellers, der im April vom Biomasseregister Nabisy gesperrt wurde, in Frage. Kürzlich durchgeführte Untersuchungen würden darauf hinweisen. Die vorübergehend eingefrorenen Nachhaltigkeitszertifikate des Herstellers wurden wieder freigegeben. Argus identifizierte den betroffenen Hersteller als EcoSolution Limited. Die Bundesanstalt für Landwirtschaft und Ernährung (BLE) sperrte Mitte April den Nabisy-Zugang des Biokraftstoffherstellers , um eine Untersuchung auf Grundlage von Beweisen von Marktteilnehmern durchzuführen. Dabei hat die BLE mit der Zertifizierungsstelle ISCC zusammengearbeitet. Diese hatte dem suspendierten Nutzer am 8. Januar die Zertifizierung entzogen und ihn aufgrund mangelnder Kooperation mit dem ISCC-Integritätsprogramm für 48 Monate vom System ausgeschlossen. EcoSolution Limited gab an, hydriertes Pflanzenöl (HVO) aus Rohtallöl, Altspeiseöl und Öl aus Altbleicherde herzustellen. Das Unternehmen war auf seinem ISCC-Zertifikat mit Sitz in den Vereinigten Arabischen Emiraten aufgeführt, gab für das Audit – das laut Auditunterlagen am 5. September 2024 von der Zertifizierungsstelle Certi W Baltic durchgeführt wurde – jedoch eine Adresse in Hongkong an. Die BLE hat angekündigt, dass sie derzeit strafrechtliche Schritte prüft. Argus konnte keinen Biokraftstoffhersteller namens EcoSolution Limited für eine Stellungnahme ausfindig machen. Die BLE äußerte den Verdacht, dass der betroffene Hersteller seine gesamten Nachhaltigkeitsnachweise (PoS) auf das Nabisy-Konto eines Lieferanten gebucht habe, dessen Zertifizierungsunterlagen eine Adresse in den Niederlanden ausweisen. Der entsprechende Auditbericht des niederländischen Unternehmens weise jedoch dieselbe Adresse wie EcoSolution in Hongkong aus. Die ISCC-Zertifizierung des niederländischen Lieferanten ist noch aktiv, die BLE hat jedoch erhebliche Zweifel an der Existenz des Unternehmens. Bei dem niederländischen Lieferanten könnte es sich um das Unternehmen AEY Trading handeln. Laut ISCC-Auditunterlagen erhielt AEY Trading am selben Tag wie EcoSolution die ISCC-Zertifizierung "Händler mit Lagerhaltung", ebenfalls von Certi W Baltic. Aus der Auditzusammenfassung von Certi W geht hervor, dass AEY am 8. September von demselben Auditor wie EcoSolution vor Ort geprüft wurde. Argus bat Certi W Baltic und ISCC um eine Stellungnahme, erhielt jedoch bis zum Zeitpunkt der Veröffentlichung keine Antwort. Alle vom suspendierten Hersteller ausgestellten und vorübergehend eingefrorenen PoS wurden freigegeben und bleiben gemäß dem sogenannten "Vertrauensschutzprinzip" der deutschen Biokraftstoff-Nachhaltigkeitsverordnung, die Käufer im Biokraftstoffmarkt schützt, gültig. Um betroffene PoS, die an andere Marktteilnehmer verkauft wurden, zu löschen, müsste die BLE nachweisen, dass dem Käufer ein Betrugsfall im Zusammenhang mit dem gekauften Produkt bekannt war. "Das ist in der Praxis so gut wie unmöglich", so der deutsche Biokraftstoffverband VDB. "Der Vertrauensschutz ist zu einem Freifahrtschein für mangelnde Sorgfalt und fehlende Verantwortung geworden. Europäische Akteure müssen heute keine Konsequenzen befürchten, wenn sie billige Biokraftstoffe zweifelhafter Herkunft kaufen", erklärte der Verband gegenüber Argus . Er fordert eine dringende Reform des entsprechenden Gesetzesteils, um der BLE mehr Macht bei der Rücknahme gefälschter Nachhaltigkeitsnachweise einzuräumen. Marktteilnehmer erklären, dass quotenverpflichtete Unternehmen hingegen froh darüber sind, dass die PoS wieder freigegeben wurden. Im Falle einer endgültigen Sperrung der Nachweise wären diese sehr wahrscheinlich auch gerichtlich dagegen vorgegangen. Die Panik hat sich damit nun erstmal gelegt, Käufer für THG- Zertifikate sind jedoch vorsichtig geworden und sind im Laufe des Tages 10 €/t CO2eq mit ihren Bids für "Andere" Zertifikate heruntergegangen. Von Svea Winter, Sophie Barthel & Simone Burgin Senden Sie Kommentare und fordern Sie weitere Informationen an feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . Alle Rechte vorbehalten.

Trump to end military campaign in Yemen


06/05/25
06/05/25

Trump to end military campaign in Yemen

Washington, 6 May (Argus) — President Donald Trump said today he will end the US military campaign against Yemen's Houthis, claiming that the militant group pledged to stop attacks on commercial ships passing through the Red Sea. The Houthis reached out with a request to stop the US bombing campaign, and the US will do so immediately, Trump told reporters at the beginning of his meeting with Canada's prime minister Mark Carney. "They don't want to fight anymore," Trump said. "We will honor that and we will stop the bombings. They have capitulated." There was no immediate statement by the Houthi group to confirm Trump's comment. US president Donald Trump's administration listed its military campaign against Yemen-based Houthis, which began on 15 March, as a key foreign policy accomplishment in his first 100 days in office even though the militant group continued to launch missile and drone attacks — most recently on 4 May against Israel's main airport. The Houthis resumed attacks on commercial shipping through Red Sea waterways in early March, after a self-declared ceasefire. They also launched attacks against Israel, drawing retaliatory strikes by the Israeli Air Force, and on US naval vessels in the Red Sea. By Haik Gugarats Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US EIA will not release international outlook in 2025


06/05/25
06/05/25

US EIA will not release international outlook in 2025

Washington, 6 May (Argus) — The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) no longer expects to publish one of its major energy reports this year after losing some of its staff through President Donald Trump's efforts to downsize the federal workforce. The EIA does not plan to publish its International Energy Outlook (IEA) — which models long-term global trends in energy supply and demand — this year because of a loss of staff responsible for producing the report, according to an internal email initially reported by the news outlet ProPublica . The EIA confirmed the authenticity of the email. "At this point, you can assume that we will not be releasing the IEO this year," the EIA's Office of Energy Analysis assistant administrator Angelina LaRose wrote in the 16 April email. "This was a difficult decision based on the loss of key resources." Oil and gas producers, traders, utility companies, federal regulators and foreign governments have come to rely on the data and models from the EIA, an independent agency within the US Department of Energy. The 2025 version of the IEO might still be published early next year, the EIA said. The agency for now is focusing on trying to "preserve as much institutional knowledge as possible" with an "all hands-on deck" effort under which remaining staff will document models and procedures on long-term modeling, LaRose wrote in the email. Trump and his administration have worked to cut the size of the government's workforce through voluntary buyouts and a process known as a reduction in force. The EIA has yet to say how many personnel it has lost, but about a third of the agency's 350 staffers have accepted voluntary buyouts, according to a person familiar with the situation. The White House last week proposed an 18pc budget cut for the non-nuclear portions of the Department of Energy, but has yet to say if it is seeking to cut spending at the EIA. Last month, the EIA released its premier report, the Annual Energy Outlook , but omitted its traditional in-depth analysis. A technical issue on 1 May delayed the release of a key natural gas storage report by more than three hours, the EIA said. By Chris Knight Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Mexico's manufacturing contraction deepens in April


05/05/25
05/05/25

Mexico's manufacturing contraction deepens in April

Mexico City, 5 May (Argus) — Activity in Mexico's manufacturing sector shrank for a 13th straight month in April, with declines accelerating in production and new orders, according to a survey of purchasing managers. The manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) fell to 45.5 in April from 46.9 in March, finance executives' association IMEF said, moving further below the 50-point threshold that separates growth from contraction. US tariffs imposed since March are adding pressure to Mexico's manufacturing sector, which makes up about a fifth of the national economy. The auto industry, responsible for roughly 18pc of manufacturing GDP, may be the hardest hit by the new measures, including a 25pc tariff on auto parts that took effect 3 May. Mexico remains the top exporter of vehicles to the US, supplying 23pc of all US auto imports in 2024. But IMEF said tariffs compound broader, mostly domestic headwinds, including reduced public spending and investor uncertainty stemming from sweeping legal and regulatory reforms. New investment has stalled since late 2024. The PMI index for new orders fell by 2.5 points to 41.8, the lowest since June 2020. Production dropped by 2.5 points to 43.6, while employment fell by 0.6 point to 46.4. New orders and production have now been in contraction for 14 straight months, and employment for 15. Inventories saw the steepest drop in April, falling 4 points to 46.3 — sliding from expansion to contraction — as manufacturers accelerated shipments after tariff implementation dates were confirmed. IMEF's non-manufacturing PMI — which covers services and commerce — remained in contraction for a fifth consecutive month but edged up by 0.5 points to 49.0 in April. Within that index, new orders rose by 0.6 points to 48.1, employment increased 1.3 points to 48.6 and production held steady at 47.5. By James Young Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Generic Hero Banner

Business intelligence reports

Get concise, trustworthy and unbiased analysis of the latest trends and developments in oil and energy markets. These reports are specially created for decision makers who don’t have time to track markets day-by-day, minute-by-minute.

Learn more