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EPA reports new biofuel waiver requests back to 2011

  • Spanish Market: Biofuels, Oil products
  • 18/06/20

US refiners have asked the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) to waive federal biofuel mandates dating back to 2011 in a bid to preserve exemptions overturned by a January court decision.

EPA today disclosed six pending applications to waive Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) requests for 2011 and 2012, and a peak of 11 new applications pending for exemptions of 2014 requirements. The agency also received one new request for 2019, bringing the pending applications to waive requirements for that year to 27. EPA received its first application for the 2020 compliance year since updating applications in late May.

Agency administrator Andrew Wheeler confirmed that refineries were now applying for exemptions of these so-called gap years, relying on language in the statute that allowed applications to be made at any time, he told agriculture media this week during a Wisconsin tour.

Those applications would also need to pass both Energy department and EPA review of economic hardship, he said. Biofuels advocates, including US Senate Finance Committee chairman Chuck Grassley (R-Iowa), denounced the requests as an attempt to subvert the court ruling.

RFS requires that refiners, importers and certain other companies each year ensure minimum volumes of renewables blend into the gasoline and diesel they add to the US transportation fuel supply. The law included an exemption for refineries processing fewer than 75,000 b/d of crude a year that were able to demonstrate to the Department of Energy and EPA that the mandates created a financial hardship.

These exemptions surged under President Donald Trump's administration, supported by a 2017 court ruling that former president Barack Obama's EPA was too restrictive with the waivers. The agency granted 35 waivers of 2017 requirements — almost 10pc of that year's blending requirements and four times the waivers granted of 2015 mandates.

The 10th US Circuit Court of Appeals in January vacated two waivers for that year given to HollyFrontier refineries, and a third waiver to CVR Energy granted in 2018. Refineries could only receive exemptions continuously since 2011, the court found. Once a small refinery missed a year, it could not receive a waiver again. The criteria would limit exemptions to no more than three refineries nationwide, according to refiners.

Governors for six states requested broader, general waivers reducing total RFS requirements for all parties. US gasoline and jet fuel demand plummeted in late March as communities restricted travel and gatherings to limit the spread of Covid-19.

The National Wildlife Federation also requested EPA reduce requirements for environmental harm in a letter sent in May.

EPA small refinery RFS exemptions
Petitions received*Exemptions issuedDenialsWithdrawnPending
202010001
20192700027
20184431622
20173735100
20162719107
20152476110
20142485011
20132687010
20123823906
20113924906
- EPA
*Petitions as of 18 June.

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04/11/24

US railroad-labor contract talks heat up

US railroad-labor contract talks heat up

Washington, 4 November (Argus) — Negotiations to amend US rail labor contracts are becoming increasingly complicated as railroads split on negotiating tactics, potentially stalling operations at some carriers. The multiple negotiating pathways are reigniting fears of 2022, when some unions agreed to new contracts and others were on the verge of striking before President Joe Biden ordered them back to work . Shippers feared freight delays if strikes occurred. This round, two railroads are independently negotiating with unions. Most of the Class I railroads have traditionally used the National Carriers' Conference Committee to jointly negotiate contracts with the nation's largest labor unions. Eastern railroad CSX has already reached agreements with labor unions representing 17 job categories, which combined represent nearly 60pc of its unionized workforce. "This is the right approach for CSX," chief executive Joe Hinrichs said last month. Getting the national agreements on wages and benefits done will then let CSX work with employees on efficiency, safety and other issues, he said. Western carrier Union Pacific is taking a similar path. "We look forward to negotiating a deal that improves operating efficiency, helps provide the service we sold to our customers" and enables the railroad to thrive, it said. Some talks may be tough. The Brotherhood of Locomotive Engineers and Trainmen (BLET) and Union Pacific are in court over their most recent agreement. But BLET is meeting with Union Pacific chief executive Jim Vena next week, and with CSX officials the following week. Traditional group negotiation is also proceeding. BNSF, Norfolk Southern and the US arm of Canadian National last week initiated talks under the National Carriers' Conference Committee to amend existing contracts with 12 unions. Under the Railway Labor Act, rail labor contracts do not expire, a regulation designed to keep freight moving. But if railroads and unions again go months without reaching agreements, freight movements will again be at risk. By Abby Caplan Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Mexico GDP outlook dims in October survey


04/11/24
04/11/24

Mexico GDP outlook dims in October survey

Mexico City, 4 November (Argus) — Private-sector analysts have again lowered their projections for Mexico's gross domestic product (GDP) growth this year, with minimal changes in inflation expectations, the central bank said. For a seventh consecutive month, median GDP growth forecasts for 2024 have dropped in the central bank's monthly survey of private sector analysts. In the latest survey conducted in late October, analysts revised the full-year 2024 growth estimate to 1.4pc, down from 1.46pc the previous month. The 2025 forecast also dipped slightly, to 1.17pc from 1.2pc. The latest revisions are relatively minor compared to the slides recorded in preceding surveys, suggesting negativity in the outlook for Mexico's economy may be moderating. This aligns with the national statistics agency Inegi's preliminary report of 1.5pc annualized GDP growth in the third quarter, surpassing the 1.3pc consensus forecast by Mexican bank Banorte. Inflation projections for the end of 2024 inched down to an annualized 4.44pc from 4.45pc, while 2025 estimate held unchanged at 3.8pc. September saw a second consecutive month of declining inflation, with the CPI falling to 4.58pc in September from 4.99pc in August. The survey maintained the year-end forecast for the central bank's target interest rate at 10pc, down from the current 10.5pc. This implies analysts expect two 25-basis-point cuts to the target rate, most likely at the next meetings on 14 November and 19 December. The 2025 target rate forecast held steady at 8pc, with analysts anticipating continued rate reductions into next year. The outlook for the peso remains subdued, following political shifts in June's elections that reduced opposition to the ruling Morena party. The median year-end exchange rate forecast weakened to Ps19.8 to the US dollar from Ps19.66/$1 in the previous survey. The peso was trading weaker at Ps20.4/$1 on Monday, reflecting temporary uncertainty tied to the US election. Analysts remain wary of Mexico's political environment, especially after Morena and its allies pushed through controversial constitutional reforms in recent months. In the survey, 55pc of analysts cited governance issues as the primary obstacle to growth, with 19pc pointing to political uncertainty, 16pc to security concerns and 13pc to deficiencies in the rule of law. By James Young Mexican central bank monthly survey Column header left October September Headline inflation (%) 2024 4.45 4.44 2025 3.80 3.80 GDP growth (%) 2024 1.40 1.46 2025 1.17 1.20 MXN/USD exchange rate* 2024 19.80 19.66 2025 20.00 19.81 Banxico reference rate (%) 2024 10.00 10.00 2025 8.00 8.00 Survey results are median estimates of private sector analysts surveyed by Banco de Mexico from 17-30 October. *Exchange rates are forecast for the end of respective year. Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Construction spending up in September, asphalt weakens


04/11/24
04/11/24

Construction spending up in September, asphalt weakens

Houston, 4 November (Argus) — US construction spending rose slightly in September, with spending on highways and streets higher. Still, asphalt prices declined. Total highway and street spending rose by 0.4pc in September from August to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of about $141.95bn, according to the latest data from the US Census Bureau. This was 1.5pc above September 2023 levels. Despite the increase in highway spending, wholesale asphalt prices in the US midcontinent hit a four-year low for September on excess supply and subdued demand. Midcontinent railed asphalt prices dropped by $45/st for September delivery to $290-$320/st from August. Waterborne prices in the region saw a similar, $45/st decrease to $300-$335/st. The sharp decline stemmed from turnaround activity beginning in late August at BP's 435,000 b/d Whiting, Indiana, refinery which boosted supplies as adverse weather in the southeastern US stifled wholesale demand. The National Weather Service reported above-average precipitation from Louisiana to Virginia in September with Tennessee seeing its fourth wettest September on record. Hurricane activity in early July and late September also impacted demand for the month with construction firms reporting lower third quarter product shipments because of extreme weather conditions. Total spending was up 7.3pc through the first nine months of 2024 compared to the same period in 2023. Private construction spending was supported by residential investment while nonresidential spending fell. Manufacturing spending fell while commercial spending rebounded from August, reversing previous month's trends. Spending on water supply continues to grow. By Aaron May and Cobin Eggers US Construction Spending $mn 24-Sep 24-Aug +/-% 23-Sep +/-% Total Spending 2,148,805.0 2,146,048.0 0.1 2,055,216.0 4.6 Total Private 1,653,624.0 1,653,160.0 0.0 1,592,388.0 3.8 Private Residential 913,632.0 912,186.0 0.2 877,629.0 4.1 Private Manufacturing 234,302.0 234,803.0 -0.2 194,941.0 20.2 Private Commerical 119,191.0 118,927.0 0.2 139,861.0 -14.8 Total Public 495,182.0 492,888.0 0.5 462,829.0 7.0 Public Water/Sewage 76,805.0 76,462.0 0.4 69,634.0 10.3 Public Highway/Road 141,049.0 140,349.0 0.5 138,694.0 1.7 US Census Bureau Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Saudi Luberef’s profit down on year in Jan-Sept


04/11/24
04/11/24

Saudi Luberef’s profit down on year in Jan-Sept

Singapore, 4 November (Argus) — State-controlled Saudi Aramco's base oil subsidiary Luberef posted a significant decrease in profit in January-September as a result of lower margins. Profit in January-September dropped by 38pc from the previous year to 764mn Saudi riyals ($203mn), although revenue rose by 6.5pc on the year to SR7.4bn. This is because base oil and by-products margins decreased. Luberef's base oil sales volumes in the first nine months of this year were up 1pc to 929,000t as compared with 918,000t in the same period last year. Luberef's profit in the third quarter was down by 34pc on the year to SR226mn, against a 2pc on the year drop in revenue to SR2.5bn. Argus -assessed Asian fob Group I and II base oil export prices were largely lower over the third quarter, especially for light grades, while heavy-grade prices were relatively supported because of tighter supply. The Yanbu "Growth II" expansion project is expected to completed at the end of 2025, the company said. This will bring the base oil production capacity at the Yanbu facility to around 1.3mn t/y. Luberef is also studying a project to produce Group III/III+ base oils, which is at the pre-front end engineering design stage. By Chng Li Li Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

October a record month for AOM Ucome trading


01/11/24
01/11/24

October a record month for AOM Ucome trading

London, 1 November (Argus) — Used cooking oil methyl ester (Ucome) had its strongest month yet on the Argus Open Markets (AOM) deal initiation platform in October, with 107,000t changing hands. Ucome activity more than quadrupled on the month after only 26,000t traded in September. Ucome traded in October made up 19.6pc of total Ucome volumes traded in 2024 so far. For all three products combined — RME, Ucome, and Fame 0 — October 2024 was the most active month of trading since August 2023, and before that, July 2022. RME trade totalled 145,000t, a 150pc increase from September, and 104,000t of Fame 0 changed hands, a 108pc increase. In total, 356,000t of biodiesel was traded in October, up from 134,000t in September and 143,000t in August. The rise in activity aligned with the start of the new quarter and some major news for the market. At the end of September, Germany proposed a draft bill that would prevent excess greenhouse gas (GHG) quota tickets from being carried into 2025 and 2026. GHG quota tickets are the compliance mechanism for the GHG reduction mandate that governs biofuels usage, and the market is heavily oversupplied at the moment, pressuring down prices and encouraging companies to buy and use tickets rather than physical biofuels. By starting from scratch for 2025, participants except demand to pick up substantially, although until the end of 2024 tickets will remain the cheaper option. The immediate response to the announcement of the draft bill in Germany was a surge of activity in the related paper markets for the fourth quarter, a final piece encouraging physical trading. As of the last day of the October contract, open interest stood at 1,742 lots for Ucome, 1,167 lots for Fame 0, and 2,472 lots for RME. Total open interest for the fourth quarter was 4,655 lots for Ucome, 4,396 lots for Fame 0, and 7,529 lots for RME, according to Ice data. Many companies with strong paper positions will manage exposure by trading some portion of the total volume in the spot market. The Dutch government confirmed that the country's ticket carry-over levels will be reduced, which should also increase biofuels demand next year. Biofuels mandates throughout Europe go up at the start of the new year, along with the introduction of ReFuel mandates for aviation and shipping. This all combines for a much more positive outlook for 2025 demand than the market expected, as well as stronger competition for supply. The increase in trading started a quarter ahead, as companies look to take advantage of the changes, prepare for 2025, and still cover any shorts until the end of this year. European producers have been struggling with low production margins, which has slowed down production levels. European supply has tightened because of this and imports are down because of provisional anti-dumping duties on China, which may have also encouraged some companies into the window to find product. In the macroeconomic environment, volatility in energy markets following increased tensions in the Middle East also prompted some trading, as the Ice gasoil contract underpins European biodiesel prices and has closely followed military developments. Some participants reported an overall higher risk appetite for the fourth quarter after several months of very subdued market activity. By Simone Burgin Monthly AOM trade volumes t Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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