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Libya restarts first eastern oil field since January

  • Spanish Market: Crude oil
  • 01/07/20

Crude output has resumed in eastern Libya for the first time since blockades paralysed the country's oil sector in January.

The Mesla field — which was producing 60,000-80,000 b/d in the months before the shutdown — restarted last night, according to a field engineer. The production is not being exported. It is supplying the 10,000 b/d Sarir refinery.

Mesla is operated by state-owned NOC subsidiary Agoco, which also runs the Sarir, al-Bayda, Nafoora and Hamada fields. Mesla output is typically commingled with Sarir production and exported from the Marsa el-Hariga terminal.

Crude output and exports from all of Libya's onshore oil fields was halted in January amid an escalation of the country's civil war and rising tensions between regional tribal factions. Fields in the east of the country were shut by groups acting under the instruction of Khalifa Haftar's Libyan National Army (LNA). The LNA has been leveraging Libya's overwhelming dependence on oil revenues in a campaign to take control of the capital city Tripoli from the UN-backed Government of National Accord (GNA).

Oil fields in western Libya have also been occcupied by local tribes. State-owned NOC said the 300,000 b/d El Sharara field was infiltrated by Russian and foreign mercenaries last week. Only the offshore Al Jurf and Bouri fields have maintained crude output throughout the blockades, producing 80,000 b/d in May, according to Argus estimates.

NOC confirmed earlier this week that negotiations have been taking place with the GNA, UN, US and "regional countries" to lift the blockades, which have already cost Libya over $6bn in lost oil revenue since the start of the year. Talks are also under way with tribal leaders about resuming operations at the country's eastern oil terminals, with two Libya-based sources signalling that progress is being made. Any tribal agreement would likely see control of the terminals transferred to Haftar, whose forces have now largely retreated to eastern Libya where they have historically enjoyed popular support.

Talks continue to hinge on foreign interference and the transparency of oil revenue distribution — a persistent grievance from some regions which claim they do not receive a sufficient share of the proceeds. Haftar has accused Libya's Central Bank — which previously received all of NOC's revenues — of misusing the payments to fund mercenaries against him.

A Libya source said one of the proposals in the talks is to split NOC's revenues between three banks in three different regions: Tripoli in the northwest, Fezzan in the southwest and Tobruk in the east. Fezzan is home to tribes that have repeatedly interrupted crude flows from the El Sharara field in recent years.


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03/04/25

Trump to 'stand firm' on tariffs as markets crash

Trump to 'stand firm' on tariffs as markets crash

Washington, 3 April (Argus) — President Donald Trump does not intend to back down from his plan for sweeping import tariffs that have already caused a sell-off in global equity markets and some commodities, administration officials say. The tariffs — which will start at 10pc for most imports on 5 April before steeper country-specific tariffs take effect on 9 April, with exceptions for some energy and mineral imports — have caused key stock indexes to drop by as much as 5pc, with even larger declines in crude futures, as investors brace for lower growth and a higher chance of a recession. Trump earlier today defended the tariffs, as he prepared to leave the White House for a dinner tonight at a golf tournament at one of his resorts in Florida. "THE OPERATION IS OVER! THE PATIENT LIVED, AND IS HEALING," Trump wrote in a social media post before major stock markets opened. Trump's cabinet has downplayed the short-term price effect of the tariffs, which they say will boost economic growth in the US and cause a resurgence in domestic manufacturing. US commerce secretary Howard Lutnick said he does not think there is "any chance" that Trump will rescind the tariffs, and said Trump will only begin to work on new trade deals once a country has "really, really changed their ways" on trade practices. "Trump is going to stand firm because he is reordering global trade," Lutnick said today in an interview with CNN. "Make no mistake about it, America has been exploited, and he is done allowing America to be exploited." Other administration officials have suggested a greater potential for lower tariffs in the near-term. US treasury secretary Scott Bessent has encouraged world leaders to "take a deep breath" and not to "panic" because the tariff rates that Trump announced were a "ceiling" that might come down, so long as there was no retaliation. "Don't immediately retaliate, let's see where this goes, because if you retaliate, that's how we get escalation," Bessent said on 2 April during interview on Fox News. The tariffs have caused bipartisan backlash on Capitol Hill, but so far legislative action has been symbolic and unlikely to become law. The US Senate, in a bipartisan vote on 2 April, approved a joint resolution that would end the justification Trump has used to put tariffs on Canada. US senators Chuck Grassley (R-Iowa) and Maria Cantwell (D-Washington) introduced a bill today to eliminate most new presidential tariffs after 60 days without approval by the US Congress. Democrats say the tariffs will force consumers to pay far more on everyday goods, with revenue offsetting Republican plans to provide more than $5 trillion in tax cuts. "Donald Trump is using tariffs in the dumbest way imaginable. In fact, Donald Trump slapped tariffs on penguins and not on Putin," US Senate minority leader Chuck Schumer (D-New York) said today, in reference to Trump's decision to put a 10pc tariff on an island populated only with penguins. Trump has claimed his country-specific tariffs are "reciprocal" even though they have no relation to the tariffs each country charges on US imports. Instead, Trump's tariffs were calculated based on a universal equation that is set at half of the country's trade deficit with the US, divided by the country's imports from the US, with a minimum tariff rate of 10pc. US major trading partners are preparing for retaliatory tariffs. Canada's prime minister Mark Carney said he would respond to Trump's tariffs on automobiles, which took effect today, by "matching the US approach" and imposing a 25pc tariff on auto imports that do not comply with the US-Mexico-Canada free trade agreement. China said it was preparing unspecified countermeasures to US tariffs that would be set at 54pc. Trump's cabinet today dismissed the market reaction to the tariffs. Stock markets are going through a "short-term adjustment" but the tariffs will ultimately result in more growth and additional investments, US Small Business Administration administrator Kelly Loeffler said today in an interview on Fox News "The gravy train is over for the globalist elites," said Loeffler, who previously was a top executive at US exchange operator ICE. By Chris Knight Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US services grow at slowest pace in 9 months: ISM


03/04/25
03/04/25

US services grow at slowest pace in 9 months: ISM

Houston, 3 April (Argus) — The US services sector expanded in March at the slowest pace since last June, with orders, export orders and employment sliding into contraction, as companies braced for tariffs threatened by the US administration. The headline purchasing managers' index (PMI) slowed to 50.8 in March from 53.5 the prior month, according to the Institute for Supply Management's (ISM) latest survey on activity in the biggest part of the economy. New orders slowed to 50.4 from 52.2, and employment fell to 46.2, showing contraction, from 53.9 the prior month. The breakeven threshold between growth and contraction is 50. New export orders fell to 45.8 in March from 52.1 the prior month. Imports rose to 52.6 from 49.6. The weakening services gauge follows ISM's manufacturing PMI, reported on 1 April, that showed factory activity fell to 49 in March, the first contraction in three months, which followed more than two years of contraction. The Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta's GDPNOW tracker on Thursday forecast a 2.8pc annual contraction in US gross domestic product in the first quarter, which will be reported at the end of April. Services business activity/production grew to 55.9 last month from 54.4 the prior month. The price index fell to 60.9 from 62.6, showing slowing price growth. By Bob Willis Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Crude, equity markets tumble on US tariffs: Update


03/04/25
03/04/25

Crude, equity markets tumble on US tariffs: Update

Updates prices, adds information on Opec decision. Houston, 3 April (Argus) — WTI and Brent crude futures were down by about 7pc midday Thursday as markets weighed the potential for large scale economic disruption from US President Donald Trump sweeping tariffs for a range of imports. Equity markets also fell sharply with the Nasdaq down by more than 5pc and the S&P 500 down by about 4pc as of 12:30pm ET. The US dollar was also falling, down by nearly 2pc to its lowest level since October. The front-month Nymex May WTI contract was trading at $66.65/bl, down by more than $5/bl as of 12:30pm ET. ICE Brent was trading at $69.98/bl, down by about $5/bl. All foreign imports into the US will be subject to a minimum 10pc tax with levels as high as 34pc for China under Trump's sweeping tariff measure. Trump has exempted many energy and mineral products from the new tariffs, and much of the trade with Canada and Mexico appears to be remaining governed by the US Mexico Canada trade agreement (USMCA). Oxford Economics said Thursday it is considering revising downward its 2025 global GDP growth estimate from 2.6pc to 2pc and 2026 growth may drop below 2pc. This is under the assumption that the Trump tariff's stick and are not rapidly negotiated to lower tariff levels. Latin American and Asian economies with exports to US are the most exposed to the GDP downgrades, Oxford said. Oxford also said that global recession will likely be avoided, despite the strains of the tariffs. The drop in crude prices also came after a core group of eight Opec+ crude producers in a surprise move sped up plans to gradually unwind some 2.2mn b/d of production cuts by upping output by 411,000 b/d in May. "In view of the continuing healthy market fundamentals and the positive market outlook… the eight participating countries will implement a production adjustment of 411,000 b/d equivalent to three monthly increments, in May 2025," said the group, which includes Saudi Arabia, Russia, UAE, Kuwait, Iraq, Algeria, Oman and Kazakhstan. The decision to increase output by 411,000 b/d in May will kick in with the start of the summer season in the northern hemisphere when oil demand typically picks up. Meanwhile, the EU is [preparing countermeasures](https://direct.argusmedia.com/newsandanalysis/article/2674492) against the new US tariffs. European Commission president Ursula von der Leyen said the bloc is finalising a first package of countermeasures to previously-announced US tariffs on steel, preparing for further countermeasures and monitoring for any indirect effects US tariffs could have. China also promised to take unspecified countermeasures against the new US import tariffs, which will raise duties on its shipments to the country to over 50pc. By Eunice Bridges Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Crude, equity markets tumble on US tariffs


03/04/25
03/04/25

Crude, equity markets tumble on US tariffs

Houston, 3 April (Argus) — WTI and Brent crude futures were down by more than 7pc early Thursday as markets weigh the potential for large scale economic disruption from US President Donald Trump sweeping tariffs for a range of imports. Equity markets also fell sharply with the Nasdaq down by nearly 5pc and the S&P 500 down by about 4pc as of 10:30am ET. The US dollar was also falling, down by more than 2pc this morning. The front-month Nymex May WTI contract was trading at $66.47/bl, down by more than $5/bl as of 11:35am ET. ICE Brent was trading at $69.81/bl, also down by more than $5/bl. All foreign imports into the US will be subject to a minimum 10pc tax with levels as high as 34pc for China under Trump's sweeping tariff measure. Trump has exempted many energy and mineral products from the new tariffs, and much of the trade with Canada and Mexico appears to be remaining governed by the US Mexico Canada (USMCA) trade agreement. Oxford Economics said Thursday it is considering revising downward its 2025 global GDP growth estimate from 2.6pc to 2pc and 2026 growth may drop below 2pc. This is under the assumption that the Trump tariff's stick and are not rapidly negotiated to lower tariff levels. Latin American and Asian economies with exports to US are the most exposed to the GDP downgrades, Oxford said. Oxford also said that global recession will likely be avoided, despite the strains of the tariffs. Meanwhile, the EU is preparing countermeasures against the tariffs. European Commission president Ursula von der Leyen said the bloc is finalising a first package of countermeasures to previously-announced US tariffs on steel, preparing for further countermeasures and monitoring for any indirect effects US tariffs could have. China also promised to take unspecified countermeasures against the new US import tariffs, which will raise duties on its shipments to the country to over 50pc. By Eunice Bridges Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Opec+ eight to speed up unwinding crude cuts from May


03/04/25
03/04/25

Opec+ eight to speed up unwinding crude cuts from May

Dubai, 3 April (Argus) — A core group of eight Opec+ crude producers in a surprise move today have sped up plans to gradually unwind some 2.2mn b/d of production cuts by upping output by 411,000 b/d in May. "In view of the continuing healthy market fundamentals and the positive market outlook… the eight participating countries will implement a production adjustment of 411,000 b/d equivalent to three monthly increments, in May 2025," said the group comprising Saudi Arabia, Russia, the UAE, Kuwait, Iraq, Algeria, Oman and Kazakhstan. The decision to increase output by 411,000 b/d in May will kick in with the start of the summer season in the northern hemisphere when oil demand typically picks up. But it also comes on the heels of the US announcing sweeping new global tariffs for a range of imports. Ice Brent crude futures were down by more than 6pc from the close on 2 April, at $70.15/bl at 13:04 GMT, after briefly dipping below $70/bl earlier today, following the two announcements. The administration of US president Donald Trump could welcome today's Opec+ decision. Trump had already made calls to the Opec group to "bring down the cost of oil" — something that could be achieved by raising output. The eight Opec+ countries last month decided to proceed with a plan to begin gradually unwinding some 2.2mn b/d of production cuts from April and over an 18-month period — pushing their combined output targets up by 137,000 b/d averaged on a monthly basis through September 2026. The monthly increases could end up being smaller as seven of the eight countries, excluding Algeria, have committed to compensating for past overproduction. The Opec+ group of eight today maintained that increases may be paused or reversed subject to evolving market conditions. "This flexibility will allow the group to continue to support oil market stability," it said, adding that the measure "will provide an opportunity for the participating countries to accelerate their compensation". But the group's commitment to voluntary production adjustments and compensation for overproduction has been shaky at best. Opec+ secondary sources pointed to overproduction from Saudi Arabia, Russia, the UAE, Kuwait, Iraq, Oman and Kazakhstan since the start of last year. The countries submitted new compensation plans to the Opec secretariat late last month. The implementation of the compensation cuts in the coming months has become essential for the group, in order to try and balance the planned gradual increases and ensure markets are not oversupplied. By Bachar Halabi Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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