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Ecopetrol partially restores 2020 capex

  • Spanish Market: Crude oil, Natural gas, Oil products
  • 17/07/20

Colombia's state-controlled Ecopetrol has partially restored capital expenditures (capex) for 2020 in response to a modest recovery in oil prices.

The company now plans to invest $3bn-$3.4bn in 2020, based on a Brent price assumption of $38/bl. The revised capex is similar to the 2019 level, the firm said today.

"Despite the current low price environment, this plan maintains its resilience and competitiveness at a breakeven cash price of $30," Ecopetrol said today.

In early May, in the wake of the March oil price crash and the onset of the demand-gutting Covid-19 pandemic, Ecopetrol slashed 2020 capex to $2.5bn-$3bn, based on $30-$40/bl prices.

The original spending plan for 2020, announced in November 2019, was $4.5bn-$5.5bn, based on a Brent price of $57/bl.

Consistent with Ecopetrol's upstream focus, 78pc of capex under the revised plan is earmarked for exploration and production, enabling the company to produce close to 700,000 b/d of oil equivalent, concentrating on enhanced recovery.

Ecopetrol said it will maintain $221mn in spending for its shale project in the US Permian basin, and $13mn to advance unconventional pilot projects in Colombia's Middle Magdalena valley.

Exploration will account for $583mn, including a focus on offshore Caribbean natural gas. The company plans to drill 13 exploration wells, of which 11 are onshore in Colombia and two offshore Brazil.

Downstream accounts for 11pc of the total 2020 spending. Throughput at Ecopetrol's Cartagena and Barrancabermeja refineries will average 300,000-320,000 b/d in 2020. Among key projects is a $60mn interconnection with a crude unit at the original Cartagena refinery that will allow installed processing capacity to exceed 200,000 b/d in 2022, compared with a current 165,000 b/d.

Of the remaining capex, 8pc will target midstream and 3pc research and development.

Ecopetrol, which is led by former BP executive Felipe Bayon, highlighted its commitment to the energy transition. The capex includes $140mn for decarbonization, renewable energy and water management.


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03/04/25

Opec+ eight to speed up unwinding crude cuts from May

Opec+ eight to speed up unwinding crude cuts from May

Dubai, 3 April (Argus) — A core group of eight Opec+ crude producers in a surprise move today have sped up plans to gradually unwind some 2.2mn b/d of production cuts by upping output by 411,000 b/d in May. "In view of the continuing healthy market fundamentals and the positive market outlook… the eight participating countries will implement a production adjustment of 411,000 b/d equivalent to three monthly increments, in May 2025," said the group comprising Saudi Arabia, Russia, the UAE, Kuwait, Iraq, Algeria, Oman and Kazakhstan. The decision to increase output by 411,000 b/d in May will kick in with the start of the summer season in the northern hemisphere when oil demand typically picks up. But it also comes on the heels of the US announcing sweeping new global tariffs for a range of imports. The administration of US president Donald Trump could welcome today's Opec+ announcement. Trump had already made calls to the Opec group to "bring down the cost of oil" — something that could be achieved by raising output. Ice Brent crude futures were down by more than 6pc from the close on 2 April, at $70.15/bl at 13:04 GMT, after briefly dipping below $70/bl earlier today. The eight Opec+ countries last month decided to proceed with a plan to begin gradually unwinding some 2.2mn b/d of production cuts from April and over an 18-month period — pushing their combined output targets up by 137,000 b/d averaged on a monthly basis through September 2026. The monthly increases could end up being smaller as seven of the eight countries, excluding Algeria, have committed to compensating for past overproduction. The Opec+ group of eight today maintained that increases may be paused or reversed subject to evolving market conditions. "This flexibility will allow the group to continue to support oil market stability," it said, adding that the measure "will provide an opportunity for the participating countries to accelerate their compensation". But the group's commitment to voluntary production adjustments and compensation for overproduction has been shaky at best. Opec+ secondary sources pointed to overproduction from Saudi Arabia, Russia, the UAE, Kuwait, Iraq, Oman and Kazakhstan since the start of last year. The countries submitted new compensation plans to the Opec secretariat late last month to outline how they will compensate. The implementation of the compensation cuts in the coming months has become essential for the group, in order to try and balance the planned gradual increases and ensure markets are not oversupplied. By Bachar Halabi Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

South Korea’s GS Energy seeks term LNG from 2028


03/04/25
03/04/25

South Korea’s GS Energy seeks term LNG from 2028

Singapore, 3 April (Argus) — South Korean private-sector firm GS Energy's subsidiary GS Energy Trading Singapore is seeking LNG deliveries starting from 1 January 2028, over a 5-15 year period. The first round of offers will be due on 25 April and the second to close on 1 August later this year. The firm has requested volumes of up to 0.81mn t/yr in 2028 and up to 0.97mn t/yr from 2029 onwards. This is equivalent to around 13-14 cargoes/yr in 2028 and about 16-17 cargoes/yr from 2029 onwards, assuming an average LNG cargo size of 60,000t. The cargoes will be delivered to the country's 10.8mn t/yr Boryeong terminal, which is owned by power producers SK E&S and GS Energy. The firm has also specified for offers to be linked to Brent or a hybrid of Brent and Henry Hub. South Korean utility Korea South-East Power in June 2024 also signed an agreement with TotalEnergies for a five-year term delivery of up to 500,000 t/yr of LNG to South Korea from 2027. Meanwhile, state-owned gas incumbent Kogas is expected to operate with a smaller pool of long-term LNG supplies from 2025, with the government granting it more flexibility in its procurement strategy. Long-term contracted supply volumes may typically be priced at a higher premium, and could be deemed as a small price for buyers to secure supply security, traders said. By Naomi Ong Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Oil futures, stock markets fall on Trump tariffs


03/04/25
03/04/25

Oil futures, stock markets fall on Trump tariffs

Singapore, 3 April (Argus) — US president Donald Trump's announcement of sweeping new tariffs on all US imports has sparked an immediate sell-off in oil futures and stock markets. Crude oil futures fell by almost 3.5pc in Asian trading and some stock markets in the region fell by a similar amount, after Trump unveiled the new import tariffs on 2 April. All foreign imports into the US will be subject to a minimum 10pc tax, with levels as high as 34pc for China and 20pc for the EU, Trump said. But energy and some mineral products have been excluded from the new tariffs. Tariffs on Japan and South Korea, both major trading partners and long-standing US allies in Asia, have been set at 24pc and 25pc respectively. Indonesia, Vietnam, Taiwan and Thailand also face tariffs of more than 30pc. Tariffs on imports from China will be subject to a 54pc rate, after taking into account the 20pc tariffs imposed by Trump over the last two months. Some imports from China that are subject to pre-existing tariffs will face an even higher effective rate. The blanket 10pc tariffs will take effect on 5 April. Any additional country-specific rates will come into force on 9 April. Oil futures fell despite the exemption for energy products. The June Brent contract on the Ice exchange fell by as much as 3.2pc to a low of $72.52/bl in Asian trading, while May Nymex WTI dropped by 3.4pc to $69.27/bl. The prospect that the US tariffs could disrupt global trade and hit export-focused economies in Asia sent stock markets in Tokyo, Hong Kong and South Korea down by 2-3pc or more. US stock futures also fell sharply. By Kevin Foster Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Mexico manufacturing extends contraction in March


02/04/25
02/04/25

Mexico manufacturing extends contraction in March

Mexico City, 2 April (Argus) — Mexico's manufacturing sector contracted for a 12th consecutive month in March, with production and employment both deepening their slides, according to a survey released today. The manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) ticked up to 47.2 in March from 47.1 in February, but remained below the 50-point threshold between contraction and expansion, according to the latest PMI survey from the finance executive association IMEF. Manufacturing, which accounts for about a fifth of Mexico's economy, is led by the auto sector, contributing about 18pc of manufacturing GDP. Within the manufacturing PMI, the new orders index rose by 1.3 points to 45.3, still deep in contraction. Meanwhile, production fell by 0.6 points to 44.6. The employment index also declined 0.6 points to 46.4 in March, now in contraction for 14 consecutive months. Meanwhile, the non-manufacturing PMI — covering services and commerce — declined 0.8 points to 48.8 in March from 49.6 in February, holding in contraction for a fourth consecutive month. Within the non-manufacturing PMI, new orders fell 1.5 points to 48.2 and production declined 1 point to 47.5 with employment down a point as well in March to 47.5, as all three pushed deeper into contraction. In contrast, the inventories component rose 3.5 points to 50.6 into expansion territory in March. But this may be the result of company strategies to stockpile inventories ahead of US tariffs and the reciprocal measures Mexico is set to announce on 3 April, IMEF technical advisory board member Sergio Luna said. PMI data show that the economic stagnation that began in late 2024 persisted through March, with results from January and February pointing to a sharp slowdown in the first quarter, IMEF said. This follows annualized GDP growth of 0.5pc in the fourth quarter of 2024, slowing from 1.7pc in the third quarter, according to national statistics agency data. Luna said concerns over US tariffs continue to drive much of the uncertainty reflected in the PMI data. Internal factors — such as reduced government spending to contain the fiscal deficit and investor unease over judicial reforms passed last year — are also weighing on activity, Luna added. By James Young Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Australia’s gas leaders hit out at market intervention


02/04/25
02/04/25

Australia’s gas leaders hit out at market intervention

Sydney, 2 April (Argus) — Senior figures in Australia's upstream gas sector have hit out at plans for intervention in the heavily regulated industry, as debate continues on how to best address domestic supply shortfalls later this decade. The federal Coalition in March announced National Gas Plan including a 50-100 PJ/yr (1.34bn-2.68bn m³/yr) domestic reservation system aimed at forcing the three LNG exporters based in Queensland's Gladstone to direct more supply to the eastern states' market. But oversupplying the market to drive down prices would destroy the viability of smaller gas projects, Australian independent Beach Energy's chief executive Brett Woods said at a conference in Sydney on 1 April. The domestic-focused firm, which will export some LNG volumes via its Waitsia project in 2025, warns that such a move by the Peter Dutton-led opposition would reduce export incomes while harming Australia's international reputation. The volumes impacted by the policy could reach around 900,000-1.8mn t/yr. Expropriation of developed reserves is equivalent to breaking contracts with LNG buyers and with the foreign and local investors that the country needs for ongoing economic security, Woods said on 1 April. Domestic gas reservation systems put in place by the state governments of Western Australia (WA) and Queensland, designed to keep local markets well supplied, were "clearly supportable", Woods said, but only future supply should be subject to the regulations. LNG terminals, which represent about 70pc of eastern Australia's total gas consumption and shipped 24mn t in 2024 , should not be blamed for the failure of governments to expedite new supply and plan for Australia's gas future, head of Shell Australia Cecile Wake said in response to the Coalition's proposal. Shell's QGC business supplied 15pc of its volumes to the local grid, with the remainder shipped from its 8.5mn t/yr Queensland Curtis LNG project, Wake added. Canberra has moved to promote gas use as a transition fuel to firm renewable energy in line with its 2030 emissions reduction targets, but progress has been slow as reforming laws appear to be hampering development . The state governments, particularly in gas-poor Victoria and New South Wales (NSW), must recognise the need for locally-produced supply and streamline the approvals processes, especially environmental permits, executives said. But despite pleas for an end to years of interventionist policy — including the governing Labor party's measures to cap the price of domestic gas at A$12/GJ , Australia's fractured political environment and rising cost of living has sparked largely populist responses from its leaders. A so-called "hung" parliament is likely to result from the 3 May poll , with a variety of mainly left-leaning independents representing an anti-fossil fuel agenda expected to control the balance of power in Australia's parliament. LNG debate sharpens Debate on the causes of southern Australia's gas deficit has persisted, and the ironic outcome of underinvestment in gas supply could be LNG re-imports from Gladstone to NSW, Victoria and South Australia, making fracked coal-bed methane — liquefied in Queensland and regasified — a likely higher-emissions alternative to pipeline supply. Several developers are readying for this possibility , which is considered inevitable without action to increase supply in Victoria or NSW, increase winter storages or raise north-south pipeline capacity. Australian pipeline operator APA appears to have the most to lose out of the active firms in the gas sector. APA chief executive Adam Watson this week criticised plans for imports, because relying on LNG will set the price of domestic gas at a detrimental level, raise emissions and decrease reliability of supply, Watson said. The firm is planning to increase its eastern pipeline capacity by 25pc to bring new supplies from the Bass, Surat and Beetaloo basins to market. But investment certainty is needed or Australia will risk needing to subsidise coal-fired power for longer if sufficient gas is unavailable to back up wind and solar generators with peaking power, Watson said. By Tom Major Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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