Australian refiner and marketer Viva Energy is considering the possibility of a full shutdown of the 128,000 b/d Geelong refinery because of its challenging long-term outlook following the sharp fall in oil products demand, which continues to weigh on regional refining margins.
Geelong is operating at reduced output because of the impact on fuel demand with Victoria state's continued Covid-19 lockdown.
"If these restrictions are relaxed as foreshadowed and fuel demand sufficiently recovers, then it is possible that the refinery could return to full production in November 2020 as currently
planned," Viva said. "The company is assessing other options to address operating losses, including the possibility of moving to a full shutdown of the facility."
Viva plans to have an update on the long-term plan for the refinery in its July-September quarter trading update in October.
Viva, which is controlled by global energy trading firm Vitol, bought Geelong in 2014 from Shell, along with hundreds of Australian retail outlets for A$2.9bn ($2.1bn). Even at the time of this acquisition Vitol said the global refining market was challenging.
Geelong is one of only four refineries left in Australia, along with Ampol's 109,000 b/d Lytton in Brisbane, ExxonMobil's 90,000 b/d Altona in Melbourne and the 146,000 b/d Kwinana in Perth owned by BP. Their combined capacity of 473,000 b/d is less than half of Australia's consumption.
BP's 98,000 b/d Bulwer Island in Brisbane, as well as Ampol's 135,000 b/d Kurnell and Shell's 75,000 b/d Clyde, both in Sydney, were closed during 2012-15, adding to the country's reliance on product imports.
The impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on product demand has exposed rising refinery overcapacity in Asia-Pacific. Chinese capacity has increased sharply in recent years, calling into question the viability of refineries elsewhere in the region. Shell last month announced the permanent closure of its 110,000 b/d Tabangao refinery in the Philippines, while Refining NZ is considering converting its 135,000 b/d Marsden Point in New Zealand to an import terminal.