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Guyana beefs up military presence on Venezuela border

  • Spanish Market: Crude oil
  • 15/01/21

Guyana has deployed more army troops along its disputed border with Venezuela amid a flare-up in tensions.

Venezuelan president Nicolas Maduro last week vowed to"reconquer" the resource-rich Essequibo province where ExxonMobil is developing a giant offshore oil field. The Essequibo covers the western two-thirds of Guyana.

The enhanced Guyanese deployment follows a government agreement with the US to improve its military capacity, as the two countries' coast guards conducted joint exercises.

The UN's International Court of Justice (ICJ) today is determining a schedule for arbitrating Guyana's request for validation of its border with Venezuela that has been in dispute for 120 years. Caracas maintains the ICJ has no jurisdiction in the matter and says the Essequibo province is its territory.

The ICJ could rule on the matter "in two to three and a half years," Guyana's agent to the court Carl Greenidge said.

"We have changed our postures on the border," the head of Guyana's army Godfrey Bess said 13 January. "We are more alert and ready to constitutionally continue to preserve Guyana's patrimony."

Bess had said in November 2020 that foreign forces will never again be allowed to "target" the country's oil exploration and production operations.

Venezuela's navy in 2013 briefly seized a research vessel working in the Roraima block under contract from US independent Anadarko. And in December 2018, ExxonMobil suspended seismic surveys on a part of its acreage license after a research vessel it contracted was approached by a Venezuelan navy ship.

Canada, the Organization of American States (OAS), regional trade group Caricom and Guyana's opposition have joined the US in rejecting Maduro's intention to seize the Essequibo province.

The border dispute involves a part of the deepwater Stabroek block on which ExxonMobil has made several discoveries since 2015, estimating recoverable resources of 9bn bl oil equivalent boe), and from which it is producing 120,000 b/d of light crude.

The US major forecasts 750,000 b/d of oil production from Guyana in 2026.


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14/05/25

Opec downgrades non-Opec+ supply growth forecasts

Opec downgrades non-Opec+ supply growth forecasts

London, 14 May (Argus) — Opec has downgraded its 2025 and 2026 non-Opec+ liquids supply growth forecasts for a second month in a row, mainly driven by lower output expectations from the US. In its Monthly Oil Market Report (MOMR), published today, Opec revised down by 100,000 b/d its non-Opec supply growth forecasts for 2025 and 2026 to 810,000 b/d and 800,000 b/d, respectively. This follows identical downgrades of 100,000 b/d for each year in Opec's previous report . While Opec did not give a reason for its supply revisions, the recent decline in oil prices is likely to have played a role. Production growth in the US, particularly in the shale patch, is highly sensitive to price movements, for example. US shale producer Diamondback Energy chief executive Travis Stice earlier this month said US onshore crude production had likely peaked as drilling activity slowed in response to lower oil prices. Opec sees US supply growing by 330,000 b/d in 2025 and 280,000 b/d in 2026, compared with 450,000 b/d and 460,000 b/d in its March MOMR. Lower non-Opec+ supply expectations may have played a role in the decision by some Opec+ members to accelerate their planned supply increases for May and June. Opec kept its global oil demand growth forecasts unchanged for this year and next at 1.3mn b/d and 1.28mn b/d, respectively. These forecasts remain bullish compared to those of the IEA and US' EIA. Opec+ crude production — including Mexico — fell by 106,000 b/d to 40.92mn b/d in April, according to an average of secondary sources that includes Argus . Opec puts the call on Opec+ crude at 42.6mn b/d in 2025 and 42.9mn b/d in 2026. By Aydin Calik Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Sierra Leone plans upstream licensing round in 2025


14/05/25
14/05/25

Sierra Leone plans upstream licensing round in 2025

Lagos, 14 May (Argus) — Sierra Leone will launch an upstream licensing round by October, as part of efforts to start producing crude within two to three years. The west African country is "on the cusp of producing", according to upstream regulator PDSL's director general Foday Mansaray, with the government putting measures in place to make offshore investments attractive. "Once all the de-risking of the basin happens, we'll be in a position to launch a licensing round," Mansaray said at the Invest in African Energy Forum in Paris. Sierra Leone's most recent licensing round, held in 2023, resulted in six blocks awarded to FA Oil, which is part of a Nigerian conglomerate that owns a non-operated stake in Nigeria's Agbami oil block. PDSL has approached BP and Chevron, separately, in the past five months to gauge their interest in negotiating for oil blocks directly, offering a 10pc royalty rate, 25pc company income tax rate, a petroleum tax that applies only when realised crude prices are above $60/bl and several other fiscal terms. But Sierra Leonean acreage is lightly explored, with only eight wells drilled since exploratory work started in the 1980s. A spate of exploration activity between 2003–13 resulted in the Venus, Mercury, Jupiter and Savannah discoveries, but none proceeded to commercial development. "We are hoping this time next year that we can announce Sierra Leone will be drilling its first well since 2012," Mansaray said. PDSL previously told Argus it has 140,000km² of offshore open acreage available with 50,000km² of that categorised as "best prospective" and 15,000km² as "highly prospective". The country is likely to offer 55,000km² in this year's licensing round. By Adebiyi Olusolape and George Maher-Bonnett Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Trump offers to make a deal with Iran


13/05/25
13/05/25

Trump offers to make a deal with Iran

Washington, 13 May (Argus) — US president Donald Trump today appealed to Iran's leaders to accept his offer of "peaceful engagement" and economic cooperation by giving up its nuclear program. "I want to make a deal with Iran," Trump said. "If I can make a deal with Iran, I'll be very happy. We're going to make your region and the world a safer place." The White House cast Trump's speech at a US-Saudi business forum in Riyadh as "a major foreign policy address outlining an optimistic vision for the future of the Middle East". Trump appears to be limiting his demands on Iran, calling for a halt to its nuclear program in exchange for US sanctions relief — a negotiating posture that he once disparaged. "We want [Iran] to be a wonderful, safe, great country, but they cannot have a nuclear weapon," Trump said today. "This is an offer that will not last forever. "If Iran's leadership rejects this olive branch and continues to attack their neighbors, then we will have no choice but to inflict massive, maximum pressure and drive Iranian oil exports to zero like I did before," Trump said. Trump upon returning to office has ratcheted up enforcement of oil sanctions against Iran, by also targeting independent refiners in China that for years have relied on discounted Iranian crude. In the latest action, the US Treasury Department today announced sanctions against China-based trader Qingdao Fushen and against Hong Kong- and Singapore-based companies allegedly engaged in concealing the origin of Iranian oil sold in China. Trump during his first term set a goal of reducing Iranian oil exports to zero. But Iran since 2019 has developed a sophisticated network of intermediaries and "shadow fleet" vessels, enabling it to continue exporting crude to buyers in China. Recent US sanctions measures have added costs along that supply chain, but China still imported close to 1.5mn b/d of Iranian crude in April. Availability of oil storage in Shandong, China, is the only factor limiting imports this month. Many buyers in China built up Iranian crude stocks earlier this year. In a major change from his first administration, Trump has authorized diplomatic negotiations with Tehran that both countries say have made progress. Trump since returning to the White House has barred his former Iran advisers from serving in his administration. And his top negotiator with Iran, former real estate developer Steve Witkoff, appears to have discarded the previous Trump administration's approach of adding other complex issues to nuclear talks, such as Iran's missile and drone capabilities or its network of regional proxies, although secretary of state Marco Rubio has suggested that all those issues should be addressed. A narrow focus on Tehran's nuclear program and an offer of sanctions relief is quite similar to former president Barack Obama's approach to Tehran, which resulted in a nuclear agreement that Trump once blasted as "the worst deal in history". Whether deliberately or not, Trump's speech today stood out as the antithesis to Obama's 2009 address in Cairo, where the former US president called for a reset of relations between the US and the Middle East. Unlike Obama, who 16 years ago called on the region to fulfil democratic aspirations as the best way to remedy economic failings, Trump in his remarks today praised the region's autocratic leaders for their economic development skills and said that the US under his leadership would be minimally involved in the region's political future. "The gleaming marvels of Riyadh and Abu Dhabi were not created by the so-called nation-builders, neo-cons, or liberal non-profits like those who spent trillions failing to develop Kabul and Baghdad," Trump said. "The so-called 'nation-builders' wrecked far more nations than they built, and the interventionists were intervening in complex societies they did not understand." Iran, too, can build infrastructure projects like its Arab neighbors if it gives up "stealing people's wealth to fund terror and bloodshed abroad", Trump said. "Yet I'm here today not merely to condemn the past chaos of Iran's leaders, but to offer them a new path and a much better path toward a far better and more hopeful future," he said. Trump cited his short-lived campaign of bombing against Yemen's Houthis as an example of the limited US involvement in the Middle East he will try to practice as president. "My preference will always be for peace and partnership, whenever those outcomes can be achieved," he said. Trump on 6 May declared an end to his bombing campaign in Yemen that began on 15 March, leaving key questions unanswered, such as whether his ceasefire with the Houthis will fully reopen Red Sea waterways to international shipping. But in Trump's words, his campaign in Yemen was a complete victory. "We hit them hard, we got what we came for and then we got out," he said. By Haik Gugarats Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US to lift sanctions on Syria: Update


13/05/25
13/05/25

US to lift sanctions on Syria: Update

Adds that US, Syrian presidents will meet on Wednesday Washington, 13 May (Argus) — US president Donald Trump said today he will lift all US sanctions on Syria, a move that will allow the new government in Damascus to access global oil markets and banking systems and to advance energy projects. "I will be ordering the cessation of sanctions against Syria in order to give them a chance at greatness," Trump said in Riyadh, while addressing a US-Saudi business forum. Trump said he was ordering the sanctions relief at the urging of Saudi Crown Prince Mohammad bin Salman and Turkish president Recep Tayyip Erdogan. US secretary of state Marco Rubio will meet his Syrian counterpart in Turkey later this week, Trump said. Trump will have a brief meeting with Syria's new leader, Ahmed al-Sharaa, in Riyadh on Wednesday, the White House said. Former president Joe Biden's administration in January issued a sanctions waiver through 7 July to enable previously prohibited energy trade with Syria. The EU in February suspended a range of sanctions against Syria, including restrictions related to the energy, banking, transport and reconstruction sectors. A permanent relief of US sanctions would require Trump to remove Syria's previous designation as a "state sponsor of terrorism". Al-Sharaa's group, Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, is separately classified by the US as a "foreign terrorist organization". The US also has imposed a series of sanctions against Syria by statute, rather than executive action, which Trump would have to waive. Before Syrian president Bashar al-Assad's fall from power in December, the country relied heavily on Iran for crude and product supplies. Syria issued its first tenders to buy crude and refined products in January, but it attracted limited interest. The country then received cargoes of Russian crude and diesel in March-April, including some cargoes delivered aboard tankers that are under US sanctions. By Haik Gugarats Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Nigeria loads first cargo of new Obodo crude


13/05/25
13/05/25

Nigeria loads first cargo of new Obodo crude

London, 13 May (Argus) — The first cargo of Nigeria's new medium sweet crude, Obodo, has loaded and could be headed for Germany, according to sources. The Suezmax Atlanta Spirit loaded on 25 April from the floating production, storage and offloading vessel Tamara Tokoni , according to tracking data from Kpler. Nigerian energy firm Oando, which marketed the shipment, has sold it to an undisclosed buyer, according to traders. A source at Nigeria's state-owned NNPC said the cargo could be headed for the North Sea port of Wilhelmshaven, but this was unconfirmed. Obodo has a gravity of 27.65°API and a very low sulphur content of 0.05pc, according to an assay seen by Argus . Details on Obodo's production levels are not immediately available. Nigerian independent Continental Oil and Gas is producing Obodo at onshore oil block OML 150 in the Niger delta. NNPC restarted production of similar-quality Utapate in 2024 and launched Nembe a year earlier. Obodo could find favour with European refineries, as Nigerian medium sweet grades — including Forcados, Escravos and Bonga — have gone predominantly to Europe, the largest market for the country's crude. By Sanjana Shivdas and George Maher-Bonnett Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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