Colonial pipeline expects restart this week: Update 3

Spanish Market: Oil products
10/05/21

Adds detail from Citgo.

Colonial Pipeline plans to restore service by the end of the week on the massive system that moves motor fuels from the US Gulf coast to the New York Harbor market.

The operator of the system moving up to 2.5mn b/d of gasoline, diesel and jet fuel through the US southeast and Atlantic coast said that a phased recovery from a ransomware attack that started last week should restore full service across its system this week.

"This plan is based on a number of factors with safety and compliance driving our operational decision, and the goal of substantially restoring operational service by the end of the week," the company said today.

Colonial notified shippers late 7 May that the sprawling products pipeline system shut down key systems to contain a ransomware infection. The company restored some operations yesterday at terminals and smaller branch lines moving throughout the US southeast and Atlantic coast markets. But the major trunk lines remained shut today.

Limited market impacts so far

Colonial estimates it supplies roughly 45pc of the transportation fuel consumed on the US Atlantic coast. An extended outage could curtail crude processing in the largest US refining hub and drain US Atlantic basin supplies to replace domestic fuel output. But fast-moving traders risk paying an unnecessary premium.

Fuel suppliers eyed alternative supply routes but appear to be waiting for more details on the timing for a service restoration. The disruption hit as shippers had extra time to consider loading fuel into the 5,500-mile (8,851km) pipeline network.

US Gulf coast refiners described little change to operations as the week opened, but Citgo said it reduced rates at its 425,000 b/d refinery in Lake Charles, Louisiana, in response to the outage. The US government also saw no imminent risk to supply, but it did waive some truck transportation rules to provide more flexibility in fuel deliveries in a number of states.

Other means of transport

Colonial offers the only pipeline connection stretching from the US Gulf coast to the key New York hub. Prices for space on the main gasoline line rose to the highest level in almost 15 months today. Kinder Morgan's 700,000 b/d Products (SE) Pipe Line system — formerly known as Plantation — moves fuels from Louisiana to Virginia but it was fully subscribed. The company said it has deferred non-essential maintenance on the system while Colonial responds to the outage.

Kinder Morgan's Houston Ship Terminal saw an increase in barge and vessel loadings in response to the outage, but the company declined to give specifics.

Shipping fuels between US ports requires the use of costlier, US-flagged and crewed Jones Act tankers. Rates and interest in those vessels picked up this morning. Months of low demand had led operators to store a third of the fleet legally approved to move between US ports. Operators would need time to return the vessels and their crews to service, if demanded.

Aside from Citgo, major US Gulf coast refiners mostly reported normal operations. Refiners booked vessels that appeared destined for floating storage. Marathon Petroleum continued to supply customers and was evaluating alternatives in case they were necessary from its 1.2mn b/d of refining capacity in the area, the company said. ExxonMobil also continued to operate its 1.4mn b/d of refining capacity in the area normally. Phillips 66 declined to comment, and Valero, which operates more than 1.1mn b/d of refining capacity in the region, did not return a request for comment. Chevron said its 440,000 b/d of Texas and Mississippi refining operations were unaffected by the shutdown so far. An extended outage could interfere with its supplies, depending on demand, the oil major said.

Ample gasoline, diesel stocks

The Atlantic coast ended April with slightly below-average gasoline stockpiles and above average ultra-low sulphur diesel stockpiles, according to the Energy Information Administration. New data that will become available 12 May will still predate the pipeline shutdown.

Last year's collapse in transportation fuel demand distorted comparisons to 2020, but the northern half of the Atlantic coast held higher supplies than in 2019.

The Central Atlantic region that includes the New York Harbor market reported higher-than-average gasoline stockpiles during the week ended 30 April, at 36.4mn bl, or 18pc higher than the same week of 2019. Southeastern gasoline stockpiles fell to 23.4mn bl during that week, lower by 6.4pc compared to the same week of 2019.

Distillate was similarly well supplied to the Atlantic coast, with inventories of 42.8mn bl, an increase of 15pc compared to 2019. Stockpiles were higher than 2019 levels in every subregion, including a 10pc increase to 12.3mn bl in the southeast and a 7pc increase to 21.9mn bl in the Central Atlantic.

US fuel imports also climbed in April. Up to 8.1mn bl of gasoline and blending components were booked for transatlantic options on mid-range vessels arriving in the first two weeks of May, according to fixture reports.

The US Energy Department can release up to 1mn bl of gasoline from the Northeast Gasoline Supply Reserve, which consists of 700,000 bl in the New York Harbor area, 200,000 bl near Boston, Massachusetts, and 100,000 bl in South Portland, Maine. The US Environmental Protection Agency may also waive requirements to switch to summertime fuel blends, if necessary. That transition has already begun in some markets.

Refiner relief delayed?

US refiners had begun to lift crude processing rates in April to meet rising summer demand for fuels. An extended Colonial Pipeline outage would mark the latest setback for the sector already recovering from lower pandemic demand, a busy 2020 hurricane season and a costly arctic storm in February.

But the outage could also lift a sharply depressed US Atlantic coast refining segment. Crude processing in the region has lagged all others, even as demand has shown early signs of recovery.

PBF Energy declined to comment on its 285,000 b/d of refining capacity in the region, and Delta Air Lines subsidiary Monroe Energy did not respond to questions about its 185,000 b/d refinery in Trainer, Pennsylvania. Phillips 66 did not comment on reports of a fluid catalytic cracker (FCC) outage at its 250,000 b/d Bayway refinery in Linden, New Jersey, other than to say it had no planned maintenance at the facility.

The US government largely deferred to privately-operated Colonial on the intrusion response. The US Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) was investigating the attack and attributed it to criminal organization DarkSide.

A statement attributed to the group today said that Colonial was not specifically targeted and that the attack was not associated with any government.

"Our goal is to make money, and not creating problems for society," the statement said. "From today we introduce moderation and check each company that our partners want to encrypt to avoid social consequences in the future."

By Elliott Blackburn

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16/11/24

Cop: Parties continue slow work on finance goal: Update

Updates throughout Baku, 16 November (Argus) — Parties at the UN Cop 29 climate talks in Baku have asked for more time to work on "specific proposals" for a new finance goal, working from a draft text released yesterday , but it is unlikely to yield progress on key sticking points. Country representatives are seeking to agree on a new climate finance goal for developing nations, following on from the current — broadly recognised as inadequate — $100bn/yr target. A plenary is due to take place later today in Baku. "Over the last few days some people have doubted whether collectively we can deliver. It is time for the negotiators to start proving them wrong," Cop 29 deputy lead negotiator Samir Bejanov said. The current draft text still fails to bridge the huge divide between developed and developing countries on key issues such as an amount for the goal, the contributor base and what the funds should be used for. And the new version due to come out today is unlikely to show meaningful progress on these issues, observers suggested, leaving them for ministers to tackle next week. Technical negotiators continue to try and move forward on topics such as funds' access and transparency. Developed countries have still not proposed a number for the goal, and want the contributor base broadened. Developing countries remain broadly united in calling for climate public finance of over $1 trillion/yr. Options show that developing country parties seek a new finance goal that serves mitigation — actions to reduce emissions — adaptation and loss and damage. Adaptation refers to adjustments to avoid global warming effects where possible, while loss and damage describes the unavoidable and irreversible effects of such change. Developed nations are also pushing for sub-targets of $220bn/yr for least developed countries (LDCs) and $39bn/yr for small island developing states (Sids), in which money for adaptation should come in the form of grants and highly concessional finance and funding for loss and damage "primarily in grants". Multi-layered The multi-layered approach in the draft, mostly supported by developed countries, does not mention loss and damage. On broadening the contributor base, it has options calling on "parties in a position to contribute" or "all capable parties" to "mobilise jointly $100bn/yr for mitigation and adaptation in developing countries by 2035". The UN climate body the UNFCCC works from a list of developed and developing countries from 1992 — delineating 24 countries plus the EU as developed — and many of these note that economic circumstances have changed in some countries, including China, over the past 32 years. China between 2013 and 2022 provided and mobilised $45bn in climate finance to developing countries, equivalent to 6.1pc of climate finance provided by all developed countries in the period, according to think-tank WRI. A few options in the multi-layered approach in the draft talk about "investments", language that developing countries do not support, and "investing trillions "from all sources, public, private, domestic and international". Developing nations are not against private sector financing, but they want the main figure for the new finance goal to come from public sources, observers said. Some parties on both sides are calling for an acceleration of the reforms of multilateral development banks, key to leverage billions in private sector finance, as well as for the use of taxes and levies. But these issues are largely outside of the remit of the Cop, even though they may get a boost from the upcoming G20 leaders summit on 18-19 November. UN climate body chief Simon Stiell today called on G20 to ensure the availability of more grant and concessional finance, make progress on debt relief, and push for additional multilateral development bank reforms. Brazil is looking to use its G20 presidency to advance agreement on energy transition finance, having set fighting climate change as one of its priorities. The country called for a global finance governance that includes rules for financing a "just and equitable" energy transition in developing economies and for an easier access to climate funds. Brazil has also pushing for a 2pc tax on billionaires that could generate up to $250 bn/yr in revenue. By Victoria Hatherick, Jacqueline Echevarria and Caroline Varin Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Cop: Colombia’s climate plan to address fossil fuels

16/11/24

Cop: Colombia’s climate plan to address fossil fuels

Baku, 16 November (Argus) — Colombia will seek to address the "divisive issue" of "the proliferation of fossil fuels" in its next emissions reduction plan — nationally determined contribution (NDC), environment minister Susanna Muhammad told Argus, adding that it would prompt a "strong debate" in the country. Colombia's president Gustavo Petro seeks to end the country's dependence on fossil fuels, while promoting a transition to clean and renewable energy. "Of course this is a very divisive issue, especially for a country that is looking for a whole economy transition," Muhammad said on the sidelines of the UN Cop 29 climate summit in Baku. "And trying to get the whole of society and the whole of government behind that will be a strong debate." Petro ordered an end to new hydrocarbon exploration and production contracts soon after taking office in August 2022. Petroleum association ACP said that Colombia's crude output will begin declining in 2027 as reserves are insufficient to maintain output amid falling exploratory activity. Petro's ambition to phase out fossil fuels risks sacrificing key revenues for the country. But Muhammad highlighted the need to achieve an ambitious financial goal that supports a just transition in developing economies. "We cannot continue playing with the same financial rules of the game," she said. "What we are seeing at this Cop 29 is that we need solidarity and fairness in the process of financing this transition." "We said in Dubai that we would triple renewables by 2030. The question remains, who is going to triple renewables and for whom?" she said, pointing to the significant gap in renewables expansion between developed and developing economies. Countries at Cop 28 in Dubai, the UAE, last year agreed on a deal that included transitioning away from fossil fuels, tripling renewable energy capacity and doubling annual energy efficiency gains globally by 2030. Muhammad added that the country will be submitting its NDC to the UN climate body the UNFCCC by June next year because it will "go through a very strong consultation process" with different sectors of the economy. Cop parties are expected to publish their next NDCs to the Paris climate agreement — this time for 2035 — in November-February, as part of a cycle that requires countries to "ratchet up" their commitments every five years. "Our main source of emissions is deforestation, agriculture practices, especially cattle ranching," she said, adding that the government is seeking the participation of actors that are at the forefront of the climate crisis. Risky business Talking about the possibility of the US pulling out of the the Paris Agreement and Argentina's delegation exiting negotiations in Baku, she warned that by not putting the people first in the fight against climate change, leaders are risking that other "authoritarian" regimes or "climate deniers" take more power. Brazil's secretary for climate change Ana Toni said today that private companies like policy consistency and that businesses need to look at the countries that are showing climate commitment and consistency in their NDCs. "The climate crisis is irreversible, we need to focus on climate action and implementation," Toni said. By Jacqueline Echevarria Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Cop: Parties continue work on new finance goal

16/11/24

Cop: Parties continue work on new finance goal

Baku, 16 November (Argus) — Parties at the UN Cop 29 climate talks in Baku have asked for more time to work on "specific proposals" for a new finance goal, working from a draft text released yesterday , before convening for a plenary session later today, according to the summit's presidency. Country representatives are seeking to agree on a new climate finance goal for developing nations, following on from the current — broadly recognised as inadequate — $100bn/yr target. The draft text still fails to bridge the huge divide between developed and developing countries on key issues such as an amount for the goal, the contributor base and what the funds should be used for. A plenary is due to take place later today in Baku. "Over the last few days some people have doubted whether collectively we can deliver. It is time for the negotiators to start proving them wrong," Cop 29 deputy lead negotiator Samir Bejanov said. Parties continue to stick to their positions. Developed countries have still not come forward with a number for the goal, and want the contributor base broadened. Developing countries remain broadly united in calling for climate public finance of over $1 trillion/yr. Options show that developing country parties seek a new finance goal that serves mitigation — actions to reduce emissions — adaptation and loss and damage. Adaptation refers to adjustments to avoid global warming effects where possible, while loss and damage describes the unavoidable and irreversible effects of such change. Developed nations are also pushing for sub-targets of $220bn/yr for least developed countries (LDCs) and $39bn/yr for small island developing states (Sids), in which money for adaptation should come in the form of grants and highly concessional finance and funding for loss and damage "primarily in grants". The multi-layered approach in the draft, mostly supported by developed countries, does not mention loss and damage. On broadening the contributor base, it has options calling on "parties in a position to contribute" or "all capable parties" to "mobilise jointly $100bn/yr for mitigation and adaptation in developing countries by 2035. The UN climate body the UNFCCC works from a list of developed and developing countries from 1992 — delineating 24 countries plus the EU as developed — and many of these note that economic circumstances have changed in some countries, including China, over the past 32 years. China between 2013 and 2022 provided $45bn in climate finance to developing countries, equivalent to 6.1pc of climate finance provided by all developed countries in the period, according to think-tank WRI. A few options in the multi-layered approach in the draft talk about "investments", which developing countries do not support, and "investing trillions "from all sources, public, private, domestic and international". Some parties on both sides are calling for the reforms of multilateral development banks, key to leverage billions in private sector finance, to accelerate. But these issues are largely outside of the remit of the Cop, even though they may get a boost from the upcoming G20 leaders summit on 18-19 November. UN climate body chief Simon Stiell [today urged G20 leaders to make the climate crisis](https://direct.argusmedia.com/newsandanalysis/article/262963 "order of business number one". He called on G20 to ensure the availability of more grant and concessional finance, make progress on debt relief, and push for additional multi-lateral development bank reforms. Brazil is looking to use its G20 presidency to advance agreement on energy transition finance, having set fighting climate change as one of its G20 priorities. The country called for a global finance governance that includes rules for financing a "just and equitable" energy transition in developing economies and for an easier access to climate funds. Brazil has also pushing for a 2pc tax on billionaires that could generate up to $250 bn/yr in revenue. By Victoria Hatherick and Caroline Varin Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Cop: UN’s Stiell urges G20 to make climate its priority

16/11/24

Cop: UN’s Stiell urges G20 to make climate its priority

Baku, 16 November (Argus) — Leaders at next week's G20 summit should make the climate crisis "order of business number one" as negotiations on a new climate finance goal continue at the UN Cop 29 climate conference in Baku, Azerbaijan, UN climate body chief Simon Stiell said today. "Stepping it up on climate finance globally requires action both inside our Cop process and outside of it," Stiell said, and the G20's role is "mission critical". Stiell called on G20 leaders meeting in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, on 18-19 November to ensure the availability of more grant and concessional finance, make progress on debt relief, and push for additional multi-lateral development bank reforms. Some delegates at Cop have noted that the outcome of the G20 meeting will be key for climate finance . G20 in India last year recognised the need to increase global climate investments to trillions of dollars from billions, from all sources, highlighting that $5.8 trillion-5.9 trillion is required before 2030 for developing countries to implement their climate plans. The communique had called on "parties" to set an ambitious goal from $100bn/yr floor, which developed countries committed to mobilise through 2025. Brazil this year is looking to use its G20 presidency to advance agreement on energy transition finance , having set fighting climate change as one of its G20 priorities. The country called for a global finance governance that includes rules for financing a "just and equitable" energy transition in developing economies and for an easier access to climate funds. Brazil has also pushing for a 2pc tax on billionaires that could generate up to $250 bn/yr in revenue. Stiell said today that there is a "long way to go" on talks to agree a new climate finance goal for developing nations in Baku. A round of informal consultations on a third draft text took place late yesterday , but the document was still far off striking a compromise between developed and developing countries on central aspects including the amount of funds to be given, which countries should contribute, and how the money should be used. By Victoria Hatherick Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Adv Fame marine blend premiums to fossil hit year lows

15/11/24

Adv Fame marine blend premiums to fossil hit year lows

London, 15 November (Argus) — The premiums of advanced fatty acid methyl ester (Fame) 0 ARA marine biodiesel blends to fossil fuel counterparts were marked at 2024 lows on 14 November, according to Argus assessments. Calculated B30 Advanced Fame 0 dob ARA prices fell by $31.54/t to $623.25/t, the lowest since March 2023. Calculated B100 Advanced Fame 0 dob ARA values tumbled by $102.77/t to just over $820/t, their lowest since 22 November last year. Consequently, the outright premium held by the B30 blend against very-low sulphur fuel oil (VLSFO) dob ARA narrowed by $30.54/t on the day to $123.25/t on 14 November — its narrowest since 29 December 2023. B100 held a $158.52/t premium to marine gasoil (MGO) dob ARA, down by $106.77/t on the day and its lowest premium this year. EU emissions trading system (ETS) prices were assessed at $71.79/t on 14 November. Accounting for EU ETS costs on the same day, ETS-inclusive premiums held by Advanced Fame blends against their fossil counterparts hit their lowest since the introduction of EU ETS into maritime at the turn of the year. B30 Advanced Fame 0's ETS-incorporated premium against VLSFO narrowed by $31.27/t to $96.11/t on the day to 14 November. B100 Advanced Fame 0's premium against MGO dropped by $109.28/t to $66.45/t when ETS costs were accounted for. Advanced Fame marine biodiesel blend values declined with thin spot demand owing to a shift in voluntary demand east of Suez. As a result, containerships seeking to deliver proof of sustainability (PoS) documentation to their customers, to offset the latter's scope 3 emissions, shifted their marine biodiesel demand to Singapore when feasible. PoS can be obtained on a mass-balance system, allowing shipowners flexibility with regards to the port at which a blend can be bunkered. Lacklustre demand for the blends was complimented by soaring values for Dutch renewable tickets. The calculated Advanced Fame dob ARA range prices incorporate a deduction for HBE-Gs. These are a class of Dutch renewable fuels units, or HBEs, used by companies that bring liquid or gaseous fossil fuels into general circulation and are obligated to pay excise duty/energy tax on fuels. Dutch renewable HBE-G tickets were marked at €22/GJ on 14 November, their highest since Argus assessments began. Soaring HBE-G values were attributed](https://direct.argusmedia.com/newsandanalysis/article/2628738) to gains in European hydrotreated vegetable oil (HVO) prices, tight supply because of a decline in tickets from biofuels used in shipping and less overall biofuel blending in the fourth quarter. By Hussein Al-Khalisy Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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