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India May oil product exports up on low domestic demand

  • Spanish Market: Crude oil, Oil products
  • 21/06/21

India oil product exports rose on the month in May as domestic consumption declined from strict lockdowns in many parts of the country.

Diesel exports increased by 53pc from April to 709,000 b/d, while gasoline shipments rose by 38pc to 364,000 b/d, oil ministry data showed.

Gasoline exports were 3pc below pre-pandemic levels in May 2019, while diesel increased by 40pc.

Shipments of diesel and gasoline rose by 20pc and 6pc, respectively, compared to the same time last year when India was under a nationwide lockdown without any transportation demand.

Crude oil imports declined by 9pc to 4.08mn b/d from April and from May 2019, but gained 18pc on an annual basis.

Driving activity across the country stood 43pc below a 13 January 2020 baseline in May, while it was 4pc below the baseline in April, showed mobility data from US technology firm Apple.

Diesel and gasoline consumption fell by about 20pc on the month in May.

Record high retail motor fuel prices also weighed on demand. Gasoline prices were at 103.36 rupees/litre ($1.39/l) in Mumbai, having exceeded the three-figure mark for the first time ever earlier in the month, while diesel was sold at Rs95.44/l.

Total Covid-19 cases in India rose to 29.9mn, making the country the second most infected region after the US. But many states have eased lockdowns as the daily increase in new cases fell to about 67,000 from over 400,000 in early May.

State-controlled refiners have increased run rates in anticipation that demand would recover in the coming months, with industry and market participants seeing an increase in consumption this month.

Echoing those observation, data from state-controlled refiners that account for around 90pc of the country's fuel sales, showed that diesel and gasoline consumption rebounded in the first half of June by 12pc and 13pc respectively from the same period in May.

Jet fuel exports in May rose by 50pc to 106,000 b/d from April, up by 38pc annually but down by 12pc from May 2019, oil ministry data showed.

Data also showed that fuel oil shipments nearly tripled on the month to about 48,000 b/d, but slipped by 1pc on the year.


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02/04/25

Mexico manufacturing extends contraction in March

Mexico manufacturing extends contraction in March

Mexico City, 2 April (Argus) — Mexico's manufacturing sector contracted for a 12th consecutive month in March, with production and employment both deepening their slides, according to a survey released today. The manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) ticked up to 47.2 in March from 47.1 in February, but remained below the 50-point threshold between contraction and expansion, according to the latest PMI survey from the finance executive association IMEF. Manufacturing, which accounts for about a fifth of Mexico's economy, is led by the auto sector, contributing about 18pc of manufacturing GDP. Within the manufacturing PMI, the new orders index rose by 1.3 points to 45.3, still deep in contraction. Meanwhile, production fell by 0.6 points to 44.6. The employment index also declined 0.6 points to 46.4 in March, now in contraction for 14 consecutive months. Meanwhile, the non-manufacturing PMI — covering services and commerce — declined 0.8 points to 48.8 in March from 49.6 in February, holding in contraction for a fourth consecutive month. Within the non-manufacturing PMI, new orders fell 1.5 points to 48.2 and production declined 1 point to 47.5 with employment down a point as well in March to 47.5, as all three pushed deeper into contraction. In contrast, the inventories component rose 3.5 points to 50.6 into expansion territory in March. But this may be the result of company strategies to stockpile inventories ahead of US tariffs and the reciprocal measures Mexico is set to announce on 3 April, IMEF technical advisory board member Sergio Luna said. PMI data show that the economic stagnation that began in late 2024 persisted through March, with results from January and February pointing to a sharp slowdown in the first quarter, IMEF said. This follows annualized GDP growth of 0.5pc in the fourth quarter of 2024, slowing from 1.7pc in the third quarter, according to national statistics agency data. Luna said concerns over US tariffs continue to drive much of the uncertainty reflected in the PMI data. Internal factors — such as reduced government spending to contain the fiscal deficit and investor unease over judicial reforms passed last year — are also weighing on activity, Luna added. By James Young Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

India's IOC cuts jet fuel prices by 6pc for April


02/04/25
02/04/25

India's IOC cuts jet fuel prices by 6pc for April

Mumbai, 2 April (Argus) — Indian state-controlled refiner IOC has reduced jet fuel prices by 6pc effective from 1 April. IOC cut prices in Mumbai, capital New Delhi, Kolkata and Chennai by 6pc from a month earlier. Prices vary from state to state depending on local taxes. Asian jet fuel margins — or Singapore jet fuel swaps against Dubai crude values — averaged $13.04/bl in March, down from $15.23/bl in February. India's jet fuel consumption stood at 203,100 b/d in March, up by 5pc on the year, provisional data from the oil ministry show. By Roshni Devi Jet fuel prices in India Rupees/kl City Apr-25 Mar-25 m-o-m % Delhi 89,441.18 95,311.72 -6 Kolkata 91,921.00 97,588.66 -6 Mumbai 83,575.42 89,070.03 -6 Chennai 92,503.80 98,567.90 -6 Source: IOC Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Brazil’s Bauna oilfield restarts after maintenance


02/04/25
02/04/25

Brazil’s Bauna oilfield restarts after maintenance

Sydney, 2 April (Argus) — Brazil-focused Australian oil and gas company Karoon Energy has brought its Bauna oilfield in the offshore Santos basin back on line after the completion of intervention works at its SPS-88 well in February. Production resumed on 27 March after the project was shut down for maintenance on 7 March, Karoon said. The field's output has since reached about 26,500 b/d, above pre-shutdown levels because of the return of SPS-88 well production on 28 March. The well is pumping 2,000 b/d of oil on a restricted choke and is gradually being opened further, with rates in line with expectations. The intervention was originally planned for October-December 2024 after being taken off line in November 2023 because of a mechanical blockage in the gas lift valve. Karoon's plans to acquire the Cidade de Itajai floating production, storage and offloading (FPSO) unit at its Bauna oilfield have progressed, with the transaction on track to close as forecast in April. Selection of a new operations and maintenance contractor for the FPSO will be announced in mid-2025, with an updated cost guidance to be provided once terms are agreed. By Tom Major Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Canada oil producers get 6pc 1Q lift on weaker currency


01/04/25
01/04/25

Canada oil producers get 6pc 1Q lift on weaker currency

Calgary, 1 April (Argus) — A depreciating Canadian dollar is giving oil sands producers an extra lift and complementing relatively strong domestic crude prices to help weather tariff concerns. The Canadian dollar, on average, was worth C$1.44 to one US dollar in January-March 2025, weakening from C$1.35 to the greenback in the same quarter 2024, according to the Bank of Canada. That represents a more than 6pc advantage to Canadian producers selling crude in US dollars who then turn those earnings around to pay workers and suppliers in local currency. The outright price for heavy sour Western Canadian Select (WCS) at Hardisty, Alberta, settled at $58.67/bl in the first quarter this year, according to Argus data. This is only $1/bl higher than the same period last year, but with the now weaker Canadian dollar, that converts to over C$84/bl for producers who would have seen that under C$78/bl in the first quarter 2024. The Canadian dollar, on average, was worth C$1.37 to the US dollar in 2024, weakening from C$1.35 to the greenback in 2023 and the weakest annual average since 2003. The Bank of Canada largely attributes the sliding Canadian dollar to a rising foreign exchange rate risk premium, which relates to holding currencies other than the US dollar. This premium rises with uncertainty that has been amplified by US president Donald Trump's tariff actions in recent months, and that has also weighed on currencies from other economies, hitting developing countries' currencies harder than those of advanced economies. Also keeping the US dollar elevated is the US Federal Reserve's recent caution about resuming its cycle of cutting interest rates, thus attracting relatively more investors to US Treasury bills and boosting demand for US dollars. Canada meanwhile has brought its target rate lower to try to get ahead of an anticipated economic slowdown. The Fed's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) on 19 March held the federal funds rate unchanged at 4.25-4.50pc for a second consecutive meeting after cutting at the last three meetings of 2024. The Bank of Canada a week earlier lowered its overnight rate for the seventh consecutive time to 2.75pc. Giving a more obvious boost to Canadian producers in the first quarter this year compared with a year earlier have been the appreciating domestic crude prices relative to the US light sweet benchmark, which has weakened across the same period. WCS trades at a discount to the Nymex WTI calendar month average (CMA) and that gap has narrowed on the back of new export pipeline capacity out of Canada, added in May 2024. WCS traded at about $12.75/bl under the WTI CMA across the first quarter this year, compared with a $19.25/bl discount a year earlier. More recent trade activity shows WCS for April-delivery narrowing further yet to within $10/bl under the basis — the tightest since April 2021 — with oil sands producers temporarily shutting in some production to embark on major maintenance . By Brett Holmes Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US oil, farm groups push EPA for steep biofuel mandate


01/04/25
01/04/25

US oil, farm groups push EPA for steep biofuel mandate

New York, 1 April (Argus) — The American Petroleum Institute and biofuel-supporting groups told Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) officials at a meeting today that the agency should sharply raise advanced biofuel blend mandates for 2026. The coalition told EPA that it supported a biomass-based diesel mandate next year of 5.25bn USG, up from 3.35bn USG this year, and a broader advanced biofuel mandate, including the cellulosic category, at 10bn Renewable Identification Number (RIN) credits, up from 7.33bn RINs this year, according to three different groups that attended the meeting. Both mandates would be record highs for the Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) program. Soybean oil futures and RIN credit prices have risen sharply over the past week on optimism that oil and biofuel interests were working to coordinate volume mandate requests for consideration by President Donald Trump's administration. The coalition is also pushing the agency to set a total conventional volume requirement at 25bn RINs, which would keep an implied mandate for corn ethanol flat at 15bn USG. Ethanol groups had previously eyed a mandate even higher, but limits on the amount of ethanol that can be blended into gasoline make much more-stringent requirements a tough sell to oil refiners. The coalition provided no specific request for the cellulosic biofuel subcategory, where most credit generation comes from biogas. Credits in that category are more expensive, but price concerns have been less potent recently given an EPA proposal to lower previously set cellulosic obligations, signaling that future volume requirements can be cut, too. EPA is aiming to finalize new RFS volume mandates by the end of the year if not earlier, people familiar with the administration's thinking have said. EPA officials signaled at the meeting they were working urgently on the rulemaking. "The agency is intent on getting the RFS program back on the statutory timeline for issuing renewable volume obligation rules," EPA said, declining to comment further on its plans for the rule. The RFS program requires oil refiners and importers to blend biofuels into the conventional fuel supply or buy credits from those who do. Under the program's unique nesting structure, credits from blending lower-carbon biofuels can be used to meet obligations for other program categories. One gallon of corn ethanol generates 1 RIN, but more energy-dense fuels earn more RIN credits per gallon. Some disagreements persist While groups at the meeting were aligned around high-level mandates, how administration officials and courts treat small refinery requests for exemptions from RFS requirements could undercut those targets. 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Some retail groups, including the National Association of Convenience Stores and the National Association of Truck Stop Operators, instead sent a letter to EPA today arguing that the groups pushing steep volumes are discounting potential headwinds to the sector from new tax credit policy. Some of the groups advocating for higher biofuel volumes have pointed to high production capacity and feedstock availability, but have preferred to ignore thornier issues like tax credits, lobbyists say. "An overly aggressive increase in advanced biofuel blending mandates under the RFS will be punitive for American consumers" without extending a long-running $1/USG tax credit for biomass-based diesel blenders, the retailers' letter said. That incentive expired last year and was replaced by the Inflation Reduction Act's "45Z" credit, which offers subsidies to producers instead of blenders and throttles benefits based on carbon intensity. Generally lower credit values for biomass-based diesel — coupled with the US government's delays setting final regulations on qualifying for the credit — have spurred a sharp drop in biofuel production to start the year. Without a blenders credit, the RFS volume mandates pushed by some groups could increase retail diesel prices by 30¢/USG, the fuel marketers estimate, a potential political headache for a president that ran on curbing consumer costs. Other biofuel groups say that extending the credit would be an uphill battle this year, with some lawmakers and lobbyists instead focused on legislatively tweaking the 45Z incentive's rules to benefit crop feedstocks instead of reverting wholesale to the prior tax policy. By Cole Martin Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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