Citgo foresees Venezuela oil swaps, refinery works: CEO

  • Spanish Market: Crude oil, LPG, Oil products
  • 23/08/21

US refiner Citgo has a "mission" to replenish Venezuelan fuel supply after sanctions are lifted, chief executive Carlos Jordá told Argus.

Estranged from its Venezuelan state-owned parent PdV since the US recognized an interim Venezuelan government and imposed oil sanctions in 2019, Citgo is now a de facto independent refiner, Jordá said. But the company expects to play a "bridge" role during a political transition and reconstruction period.

"We will receive Venezuelan crude oil in exchange for product, 100,000-150,000 b/d, maybe more. There is a need for that until Venezuela gets something done in the refining sector," the former PdV veteran executive said in a 20 August interview.

He noted that PdV had 1.3mn b/d of refining capacity, and Venezuela used to consume 500,000 b/d of products. But the country's economic collapse and acute fuel shortages have whittled down consumption to only around 100,000 b/d.

Venezuelan drivers now wait for hours or even days to tank up. Diesel has also grown scarce since the US banned crude-for-diesel swaps late last year.

"It is not going to be easy, but eventually something will get done with the refineries. Maybe not 500,000 b/d but 300,000 b/d of capacity will be restored. Venezuela cannot be 100pc dependent on imports," he said. "Citgo could provide a bridge for products and help someone to get those refineries started."

For Jordá, who formerly headed PdV's refining operations from Caracas, foreign investment to re-establish Venezuela's oil industry will focus upstream. "It is hard to get capital to go into refining. Look what happened in Hovensa," he said, referring to the former PdV-Hess joint venture on St Croix in the US Virgin Islands. Now in the hands of US private equity, the refurbished Limetree Bay refinery restarted early this year only to be ordered shut on environmental grounds.

Carbon tax burden

Any future arrangement with PdV would need to be arms length and make economic sense for both sides, Jordá said.

He warns that a potential carbon tax would make it more difficult for Venezuela to recover. "It could get complicated. Selling heavy oil is going to be challenging for anyone."

In practice, Citgo has already moved past its Venezuelan feedstock roots.

The company's two Gulf coast refineries, 425,000 b/d Lake Charles and 157,500 b/d Corpus Christi, were designed to process mostly Venezuelan heavy crude. In response to changing market conditions, Lake Charles has been reconfigured to take 90-95pc light crude, while Corpus Christi is up to 65pc, and would go higher if debt-burdened Citgo had the access to capital to pay for it, Jordá said.

Citgo now processes mostly US crude, topped off with Colombian, Mexican and Canadian grades.

Like its US peers, Citgo is restricted from supplying Venezuela so long as the sanctions are in place. And even though the US recently authorized LPG sales to Venezuela, Citgo is not a specialized LPG supplier. Even if it were to step in, Jordá said a continued ban on swaps thwarts any deal, because suppliers would need cash prepayment, which PdV is unlikely to provide.


Related news posts

Argus illuminates the markets by putting a lens on the areas that matter most to you. The market news and commentary we publish reveals vital insights that enable you to make stronger, well-informed decisions. Explore a selection of news stories related to this one.

01/07/24

Precios de GLP en México van en aumento

Precios de GLP en México van en aumento

Mexico City, 1 July (Argus) — Los precios del gas LP (GLP) en México subieron a su punto más alto en tres meses por el aumento de precios del propano en EE. UU., y la tendencia podría continuar ya que las importaciones de la empresa estatal Pemex han aumentado este año por la reducción de la producción nacional. El precio máximo de venta al público de GLP en México del 30 de junio al 6 de julio aumentó semana a semana en 3pc a un promedio de Ps10.64/l ($2.22/USG), el precio máximo promedio más alto desde la semana del 3 al 9 de marzo, cuando fue de Ps10.73/l. La tendencia alcista podría continuar con el aumento de los precios internacionales del propano, a menudo un componente principal del GLP. Se prevé que los precios spot del propano en Mont Belvieu aumenten en 8pc a 68¢/USG en julio, comparado con 63¢/USG en julio de 2023, de acuerdo con la Administración de Información Energética de EE. UU. El pronóstico para julio también aumentaría respecto a la media prevista de 67¢/USG en junio. Esta previsión se basa en un aumento similar de las perspectivas de precio del crudo Brent, ya que los precios spot del propano suelen situartse entre los precios del crudo Brent y del gas natural Henry Hub. Además, se espera que los inventarios de propano de EE. UU. finalicen el tercer trimestre de 2024 en 82.3 millones de bl, lo que supone una disminución de 19pc respecto a los 102.2 millones de bl a finales del tercer trimestre de 2023, según los mismos datos. Sin embargo, el Gobierno mexicano podría amortiguar los picos de precios internacionales con los controles de precios, que se lanzaron por primera vez en agosto de 2021 bajo un decreto de emergencia de seis meses, y más tarde se extendieron indefinidamente. Alrededor de 60pc de la demanda de GLP de México de más de 278,000 b/d proviene del sector residencial, según los datos de la Secretaría de Energía (Sener). Las importaciones de Pemex aumentaron 38pc hasta los 83,000 b/d de GLP en mayo año tras año, y aumentaron en 10pc comparado con abril, según los datos de la empresa. El aumento de las importaciones se debió a la reducción de la producción nacional, ya que la producción de GLP de Pemex, principalmente procedente del procesamiento de gas anterior, cayó en 22pc a 83,300 b/d en mayo, frente a los 106,500 b/d en mayo de 2023. Se trata de la producción más baja desde diciembre de 2022, cuando Pemex produjo 79,500 b/d de GLP, según muestran los datos de la empresa. Por el contrario, las importaciones de GLP de empresas del sector privado han disminuido este año, ya que Pemex ha ampliado su participación en el mercado nacional de GLP en los últimos años, impulsada por las políticas nacionalistas de energía del presidente Andrés Manuel López Obrador. Según los datos de Sener, las importaciones de las empresas del sector privado se redujeron en 11pc a 115,200 b/d de GLP entre enero y mayo, frente a los 129,200 b/d del mismo periodo de 2023. Pemex espera cerrar 2024 con una cuota de 63pc en las ventas nacionales de GLP, por encima de 62pc en 2023 y 50pc en 2020, lo que fue el más bajo de su historia, según los datos de la empresa. Las empresas del sector privado comenzaron a importar GLP a México en 2016. Nuevo gobierno genera incertidumbre La contundente victoria del actual partido en el poder Morena en las elecciones presidenciales y legislativas de México del 2 de junio añadió incertidumbre a los mercados de energía del país, ya que allanó el camino para el posible restablecimiento del monopolio legal de Pemex. La presidenta electa Claudia Sheinbaum no ha comentado sobre el mercado de GLP de México, pero apoya las políticas de energía nacionalistas de López Obrador. Mientras tanto, sigue sin estar claro si la empresa minorista de GLP estatal mexicana Gas Bienestar recibirá más apoyo, después de fallar en los objetivos de expansión trazados por el gobierno. Gas Bienestar solo opera en nueve de las 16 alcaldías de Ciudad de México casi tres años después de su lanzamiento. La empresa esperaba operar en toda la ciudad y en los estados de México, Tabasco y Veracruz para finales de 2022, pero los altos costos operativos y logísticos lo han impedido, según las fuentes. El gobierno fundó Gas Bienestar en agosto de 2021 para distribuir y vender GLP a un "precio justo" utilizando el suministro de Pemex para competir con el sector privado, según López Obrador. La empresa no divulga públicamente sus informes operativos, y Pemex ha declarado que Gas Bienestar no está obligado a responder a las solicitudes de transparencia. Por Antonio Gozain Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Petroecuador expects more crude with fewer wells


01/07/24
01/07/24

Petroecuador expects more crude with fewer wells

Quito, 1 July (Argus) — State-owned oil company Petroecuador will drill fewer wells this year than first planned but still expects to produce 5,000 b/d more crude than initially forecast for 2024, according to the work plan of interim chief executive Diego Guerrero. Petroecuador plans to drill 90 wells this year, including 27 drilled through May and 63 planned for the rest of the year — well below the 156 wells initially forecast under former chief executive Marcela Reinoso , who resigned in May. But the company expects crude output to average 390,000 b/d by December, according to Guerrero's plans, higher than the 370,000 b/d estimate made before he took office, and up from 369,000 b/d reported for June. Ecuador is expected to lose about 50,000 b/d come 1 September when it shuts down the Ishpingo, Tambococha and Tiputini (ITT) fields in block 43 after Ecuadorians voted to end oil activities in the environmentally sensitive region. Guerrero's plan did not break out how much output it expects from ITT this year. Petroecuador did not respond to a request for comment. Reinoso told the national assembly in February that without ITT, Petroecuador's production would fall to 358,500 b/d in September before rising again to 373,300 b/d in December, leading to a 2024 average of about 385,000 b/d. But petroleum engineers' association vice-president Fernando Reyes said that both the new and old goals for December production are too optimistic without ITT. After a 50,000 b/d drop with the end of ITT production, Reyes believes under a best-case scenario new drilling could add 20,000–30,000 b/d of production, bringing December output to 360,000-370,000 b/d. But Guerrero's higher projections are feasible if Petroecuador keeps pumping crude from ITT, Reyes said. Ecuadorian president Daniel Noboa in January proposed a one-year delay on plans to end drilling in the ITT, but the plan has not advanced. Guerrero's work plan also includes new projects to recover associated gas from the Sacha Norte 2, Sacha Central, Drago and Shushufindi fields, and also workovers in four wells in the offshore Amistad natural gas field. Petroecuador produced 81pc of Ecuador's crude output of 484,499 b/d in May. By Alberto Araujo Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Shale to emerge leaner from M&A boom


01/07/24
01/07/24

Shale to emerge leaner from M&A boom

New York, 1 July (Argus) — The recent flurry of deals in the US shale patch is poised to deliver significant productivity gains, potentially offsetting a drilling slowdown and suggesting that it might well be a mistake to bet against the sector any time soon. Ownership of top shale basins, such as the Permian in west Texas and New Mexico, is increasingly falling into the hands of fewer but larger operators, with the necessary resources to chase technology breakthroughs and drive economies of scale that could support further output growth. The flood of deal-making comes as shale growth is likely to slow after defying all expectations last year. Even as acquirers look to fine-tune their combined portfolios and slow activity in favour of shareholder returns, they will still be targeting ever longer lateral wells that reduce the need for more rigs and hydraulic fracturing (fracking) crews. Fracking multiple wells at the same time and shifting to electric fleets will also help them become more efficient. All in all, shale could continue to be a thorn in Opec's side for years to come. Underestimate US shale at your peril was the title of a recent report from analysts at bank HSBC. "We expect the mergers and acquisitions to result in substantial capital efficiencies," they wrote. Concentrated operations have reduced inefficiencies in the supply chain, and the elimination of downtime has also helped producers become leaner, according to consultancy Wood Mackenzie. But costs remain 15-30pc higher than 2020-21 levels, suggesting scope for further improvements. And while efficiency gains will inevitably become exhausted at some point, opportunities to tackle unproductive processes might still crop up. "The will and the technology are there for some operators, who should be able to keep cutting capex while modestly growing and maintaining shareholder distributions for a while to come," Wood Mackenzie research director for the Lower 48 Maria Peacock says. ExxonMobil flagged $2bn in annual savings from its $64.5bn takeover of shale giant Pioneer, with two-thirds to come from improved resource recovery and the rest from efficiencies. Leading US independent ConocoPhillips says improved technology will help it extend its inventory of top-quality drilling locations in both the Eagle Ford and Bakken basins after its $22.5bn tie-up with Marathon Oil. Return to spender Productivity gains are hardly the preserve of firms that have been active participants in the $200bn of shale deals seen over the past year. For example, US independent EOG, which has sat out the mergers and acquisitions (M&A) boom so far, plans to deliver the same level of growth for this year as seen in 2023 with four fewer rigs and two fewer fracking fleets. "Technology has evolved so much that you can go and drill horizontal wells in these and exploit that technology and you can get just absolutely outstanding returns," chief operating officer Jeff Leitzell says. Still, almost half of oil and gas executives recently polled by the Dallas Federal Reserve think that US oil output will be "slightly lower" if consolidation continues over the next five years. But the answer differed by company size. All executives from E&P firms that produce 100,000 b/d or more envisaged "no impact". Service company executives are more concerned: "Consolidation by E&P firms has curtailed investment in exploration," one said. "Our hope is that it's a temporary situation that will work itself out as the integration is completed." And even though the prolific Permian basin is due to peak before the end of the decade, analysts forecast robust growth in the intervening years. Relatively high oil prices that remain above breakeven costs and efficiency gains — which will shift the mix of wells to newer and more productive ones — will be the main drivers, according to bank Goldman Sachs. By Stephen Cunningham US tight oil production Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US Supreme Court ends 'deference' to regulators


28/06/24
28/06/24

US Supreme Court ends 'deference' to regulators

Washington, 28 June (Argus) — The US Supreme Court's conservative majority, in one of its most significant rulings in years, has thrown out a landmark, 40-year-old precedent under which courts have offered federal agencies significant leeway in deciding how to regulate the energy sector and other industries. In a 6-3 ruling that marks a major blow to President Joe Biden's administration, the court's conservatives overturned its 1984 ruling Chevron v. NRDC that for decades has served as a cornerstone for how judges should review the legality of federal regulations when a statute is not clear. But chief justice John Roberts, writing for the majority, said experience has shown the precedent is "unworkable" and became an "impediment, rather than an aid" for courts to analyze what a specific law requires. "All that remains of Chevron is a decaying husk with bold pretensions," the opinion said. For decades, under what is now known as Chevron deference, courts were first required to review if a law was clear and if not, to defer to an agency's interpretation so long as the government's reading was reasonable. But the court's majority said the landmark precedent has become a source of unpredictability, allowing any ambiguity in a law to be a "license authorizing an agency to change positions as much as it likes." Roberts wrote that the federal courts can no longer defer to an agency's interpretation "simply because" a law is ambiguous. "Chevron is overruled," Roberts writes. "Courts must exercise their independent judgment in deciding whether an agency has acted within its statutory authority." The court's ruling, named Loper Bright Enterprises v. Gina Raimando, focuses on lawsuits from herring fishers who opposed a rule that could require them to pay about $710 per day for an at-sea observer to verify compliance with regional catch limits. The US Commerce Department said it believes it interpreted the law correctly, but the fishers said the "best interpretation" of the statute was that it did not apply to herring fishers. The court's three liberal justices dissented from the ruling, which they said will likely result in "large-scale disruptions" by putting federal judges in the position of having to rule on the merits of a variety of scientific and technical judgments, without the benefit of expertise that regulators have developed over the course of decades. Overturning Chevron will put courts "at the apex" of policy decisions on every conceivable topic, including climate change, health care, finance, transportation, artificial intelligence and other issues where courts lack specific expertise, judge Elena Kagan wrote. "In every sphere of current or future federal regulations, expect courts from now on to play a commanding role," Kagan wrote. The Supreme Court for years has been chipping away at the importance of Chevron deference, such as a 2022 ruling where it created the "major questions doctrine" to invalidate a greenhouse gas emission rule limits for power plants. That doctrine attempts to prohibit agencies from resolving issues that have "vast economic and political significance" without clear direction from the US Congress. That has led regulators to be hesitant in relying on Chevron to defend their regulations in court. The Supreme Court last cited the precedent in 2016. The ruling comes a day after the Supreme Court's conservatives, in another 6-3 ruling , dramatically curtailed the ability of the US Securities and Exchange Commission — and likely many other federal agencies — to use in-house tribunals to impose civil penalties. The court ruled those enforcement cases instead need to be filed as jury trials. That change is expected to curtail enforcement of securities fraud, since court cases are more resource-intensive. By Chris Knight Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Canaries' bio-marine fuel demand hit by ETS exemptions


28/06/24
28/06/24

Canaries' bio-marine fuel demand hit by ETS exemptions

London, 28 June (Argus) — Spanish energy firm Cepsa has delayed plans to supply marine biodiesel blends in the Canary Islands as increased demand for conventional bunker fuels and EU regulatory exemptions weigh on market fundamentals for the blended products. Cepsa's international marine fuels sales manager, Francisco Diaz Castro, told attendees at the Maritime Week Las Palmas conference last week that the firm remains committed to supplying marine biodiesel in the Canary Islands but is delaying it in response to a sharp rise in conventional bunker fuel demand in recent months, underpinned by vessels re-routing around the southern tip of Africa to avoid the risk of Houthi attacks in in the Red Sea. Vessels have been stocking up on bunker fuels before and after sailing around Africa's Cape of Good Hope to avoid stopping along the way. Latest data from the Spanish transport ministry show sales of conventional bunker fuel out of the Canary Islands last month increased by 3pc compared with April and by 41pc on the may last year (see table) . This demand growth has pushed suppliers to retain barge availability for conventional bunker fuels, reducing capacity to supply marine biodiesel blends. Market participants told Argus that another reason marine biodiesel demand in the Canary Islands has not picked up is EU regulatory exemptions for vessels sailing between the islands and mainland Spain. According to article 12 (3b) of the EU's Emissions Trading System (ETS) directive, "an obligation to surrender allowances shall not arise in respect of emissions released until 31 December 2030 from voyages between a port located in an outermost region of a member state and a port located in the same member state, including voyages between ports within an outermost region and voyages between ports in the outermost regions of the same member state, and from the activities, within a port, of such ships in relation to such voyages." Argus understands that this exemption applies to all vessels covered under the scope of the EU ETS, but would not apply if the vessel is sailing from an outermost region, such as the Canary Islands, to a different EU member nation, for example the Netherlands. A similar exemption for FuelEU Maritime regulations may be applicable as well, subject to member states asking for the exemption of the specific ports and routes for the vessels. Such an exemption could apply until 2029. Argus understands that requests from member states for this exemption will be published in the coming months. An exemption from FuelEU Maritime regulations could also be applied to routes connecting islands with a population under 200,000 people. This specific exemption would therefore not apply to Tenerife and Gran Canaria but may apply to other parts of the Canary Islands with smaller populations. By Hussein Al-Khalisy and Dafydd ab Iago Canary Islands liquid bunker sales t Month Las Palmas Tenerife Total Sales % m-o-m % y-o-y May-24 282,447 49,749 332,196 3 41 Apr-24 255,262 68,782 324,044 27 38 Mar-24 189,868 64,654 254,522 0 3 Feb-24 207,564 47,344 254,908 -6 0 Jan-24 219,962 51,894 271,856 16 27 Dec-23 187,889 47,306 235,195 4 1 Nov-23 181,218 45,940 227,158 5 -2 Spanish Transport Ministry Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Business intelligence reports

Get concise, trustworthy and unbiased analysis of the latest trends and developments in oil and energy markets. These reports are specially created for decision makers who don’t have time to track markets day-by-day, minute-by-minute.

Learn more