Angolan crude exports to hit record low in November

Spanish Market: Crude oil
17/09/21

Export loadings of Angolan crude in November will be the lowest on Argus' records that go back to 2007, a further sign of the structural decline facing the country's upstream sector.

The country's provisional loading programme comprises just 30 cargoes for a tally of 958,000 b/d, below the previous historic low of 991,000 b/d in July.

That exports are at such reduced levels is largely down to the rapid decline of Angola's ageing oil fields. Crude production fell by 140,000 b/d to 1.26mn b/d last year, and upstream regulator ANGP has said this could fall to nearly 500,000 b/d by the end of this decade.

The November total could have been lower still had state-owned Sonangol not decided to push back its cargo of Saturno from 22-23 October to 8-11 November. The deferral puts Saturno's loadings in November at 63,000 b/d, and none are now scheduled in October when the overall revised plan shows 1.15mn b/d on 37 cargoes.

An unusually low export programme for Nemba grade appears to be the main driver of the fall in November. Only one 950,000 bl cargo of the light-sweet grade is scheduled, giving an average of 32,000 b/d. This compares with 123,000 b/d planned for October and an average of 100,000 b/d so far this year. It is unclear if the Nemba platform will be undergoing any type of maintenance.

Loadings of medium-sweet Cabinda grade, which is exported from the same Malongo terminal as Nemba, will remain almost unchanged on the month at 95,000 b/d on three cargoes.

Lower exports are on the cards for Clov, Girassol, Gindungo, Kissanje and Plutonio grades. Exports of the former two will fall from 97,000 b/d in October to 67,000 b/d in November, and exports of the other three will all halve on the month to around 32,000 b/d each.

These declines will be partly offset by higher month-on-month exports for Mostarda grade, to 127,000 b/d from 92,000 b/d, and by the presence of one cargo of Mondo in November after none of the medium sweet grade were scheduled for October.

The provisional loading programme mirrors a preliminary version but the tally could change in a final schedule.

By Nicola De Sanctis

Related news posts

Argus illuminates the markets by putting a lens on the areas that matter most to you. The market news and commentary we publish reveals vital insights that enable you to make stronger, well-informed decisions. Explore a selection of news stories related to this one.

08/05/25

Trump to grant partial tariff relief to UK

Washington, 8 May (Argus) — The US will carve out import quotas for UK-produced cars and, eventually, reduce tariffs on UK steel and aluminum, under a preliminary deal US president Donald Trump and UK prime minister Keir Starmer announced today. The Trump administration will allow UK car manufacturers to export 100,000 cars to the US at a 10pc tariff rate, instead of the 25pc tariff to which all foreign auto imports are subject. The US and the UK will negotiate a "trading union" on steel and aluminum that will harmonize supply chains, US commerce secretary Howard Lutnick said. The US commended the UK government on taking control of Chinese-owned steelmaker British Steel last month. As a result of that action, under yet to be negotiated arrangements, the US would reconsider the UK's inclusion in its 25pc tariffs on steel and aluminum, the White House said. Starmer, speaking after the ceremony, told reporters that US tariffs on the UK-sourced steel and aluminum would, in fact, fall to zero. Trump announced the deal during a ceremony at the White House, with Starmer phoning in. The two leaders suggested that their preliminary deal was as significant as the end of World War II in Europe, 80 years ago. But that deal, which Trump described as "full and comprehensive" hours before its announcement is anything but that. Under the "US-UK Agreement in Principle to negotiate an Economic Prosperity Deal", the US will maintain the 10pc baseline tariff on nearly all imports from the UK that went into effect on 5 April, Trump said. The UK, Trump said, would lower the effective rate on US imports to 1.8pc from 5.1pc. The actual details of the agreement are yet to be negotiated. "The final deal is being written up" in the coming weeks, Trump said, adding that it was "very conclusive". Boeing, beef and biofuel The UK would commit to buying $10bn worth of Boeing airplanes, Trump said. He described the UK market as "closed" to US beef, ethanol and many other products, and said that the UK agreed to open its agricultural markets as a result of his deal. US ethanol exports to the UK, in fact, rose by 23pc year-on-year in March. Under the deal, the UK would expand market access to US ethanol, creating $500mn more in US exports, the White House said. The UK will reduce to zero the tariff on US-sourced ethanol, the UK Department of Business said, adding that "it is used to produce beer". Trump previewed the preliminary deal with the UK as the first of the many trade agreements the US administration is negotiating with many other countries. Trump contended today that there are trade talks underway with the EU and expressed confidence that the US-China trade discussions expected over the weekend would produce results. But Trump added that he will not lower the high tariffs on imports from nearly every US trade partner he imposed last month and described the UK's 10pc tariff rate as a favor to that country. By Haik Gugarats Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Sonatrach Augusta refinery restart extends into May

08/05/25

Sonatrach Augusta refinery restart extends into May

Barcelona, 8 May (Argus) — Crude deliveries to Algerian state-owned Sonatrach's 198,000 b/d Augusta refinery in Italy were higher in April, but it appears a full restart from planned works will take longer than initially expected. Crude deliveries last month were around 70,000 b/d, up from 20,000 b/d in March. Receipts averaged 95,000 b/d in January-April, down from 160,000 b/d overall in 2024. The refinery has been under a planned five-year maintenance shutdown since the end of January, the first turnaround since shortly after Sonatrach bought the plant from ExxonMobil in 2019. Sonatrach initially said the facility would be back online by 30 April, with units restarting in two phases. But the company in an updated note to local authorities said an atmospheric distillation unit, propane deasphalter, hydro-desulphuriser, propane splitter and other secondary units would potentially flare on restart up to 31 May. One of these segments is the butamer unit, which caught fire in April . It is unclear if the fire added to the length of the overall stoppage. Sonatrach has not replied to queries on the matter. It was anticipated the turnaround would be a little quicker than in 2019 (see chart), but the two periods of maintenance now appear to be roughly similar. Crude delivery last month included over 45,000 b/d of Saudi Arab Light, 15,000 b/d of Kazakh Kebco and over 5,000 b/d of Algerian Saharan Blend. Argus assessed these at a weighted average gravity of 33.7°API and 1.5pc sulphur content, compared with 36.5°API and 0.9pc sulphur in February, before receipts all but stopped for the works. Receipts averaged 34.7°API and 1.2pc sulphur in January-April, compared with 35.2°API and 0.9pc sulphur overall in 2024. The pace of delivery in May is slow. Around 750,000 bl of Arab Light has discharged but no tankers are signalling arrival. By Adam Porter Augusta crude receipts mn bl Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

India, Saudi Arabia plan two Indian refineries

07/05/25

India, Saudi Arabia plan two Indian refineries

Mumbai, 7 May (Argus) — India and Saudi Arabia are to collaborate on the development of two integrated refinery and petrochemical plants in India. The plan was announced after Indian prime minister Narendra Modi met Saudi counterpart Mohammed bin Salman in Jeddah on 22 April, as part of the India–Saudi Arabia Strategic Partnership Council. Saudi Arabia in 2019 pledged to invest $100bn in India in several sectors including energy and petrochemicals. No further details have been provided but the projects could be Indian state-run BPCL's planned facility in Andhra Pradesh and oil firm ONGC's refinery project in Gujarat, according to industry participants. Plans for a 1.2mn b/d refinery in Ratnagiri alongside the UAE's Adnoc have been abandoned because of logistical and land acquisition challenges, industry participants say. Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

India launches attacks on Pakistan

06/05/25

India launches attacks on Pakistan

Houston, 6 May (Argus) — India's military said it launched attacks today against nine targets in Pakistan and Pakistan-occupied Jammu and Kashmir in retaliation for an April terrorist attack that killed dozens. India's ministry of defense said its strikes were a "precise and restrained response" to a 22 April incident near Pahalgam in Kashmir where 26 tourists were killed. They were focused on "terrorist infrastructure sites", the ministry said on the social media site X in a post Tuesday at 4:49pm ET. "Importantly, no Pakistani military facilities were hit, reflecting India's calibrated and non-escalatory approach," the ministry said. The government of Pakistan said on its own X account that five sites had been hit in the attacks. "Pakistan has every right to respond forcefully to this act of war imposed by India, and a forceful response is being given," the Pakistan government wrote. Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Trump unlikely to lift tariffs on Canada

06/05/25

Trump unlikely to lift tariffs on Canada

Washington, 6 May (Argus) — President Donald Trump suggested today he would not lift tariffs on imports from Canada and told Canadian prime minister Mark Carney that the US-Canada-Mexico (USMCA) free trade agreement needs to be renegotiated. Trump, who hosted Carney at the White House today, told reporters that there was nothing Canada's leader could tell him to change his mind on stiff tariffs he imposed on Canadian steel, aluminum, cars and auto parts. "It's just the way it is," Trump said. While Trump has altered his tariff levels repeatedly, his administration has imposed a 25pc tariff on Canada-sourced steel and aluminum, and a 25pc tariff on some cars and autoparts imported from Canada. Any product that qualifies for duty-free treatment under the USMCA is exempt from tariffs Trump imposed. The 10pc tariff Trump imposed on Canadian crude and other energy imports only lasted from 4-7 March, causing turmoil in North American energy markets. But even the remaining tariffs are a significant hindrance for the integrated North American auto industry, executives in Canada and the US have said. Trump today described the USMCA, which he negotiated during his first administration, as merely a "transitional deal" and suggested that it could be either terminated or renegotiated completely. The USMCA includes a provision calling for it to be reviewed by all three countries in 2026. The existing free trade agreement is "a basis for broader negotiations," Carney said, adding that "some things about it are going to have to change." Carney made his first trip to Washington just a week after winning the 28 April parliamentary election, following a campaign centered around his opposition to Trump's policies. Trump and Carney offered polite compliments to each other, but there was little visible chemistry between the two men. Trump doubled down on his suggestion that Canada could become the 51st US state, prompting Carney to tell him that "as you know from real estate, there are some places that are never for sale." "Having met with the owners of Canada over the course of the campaign in the last several months, it's not for sale," Carney said. "Never say never", Trump retorted. Trump also repeated his past claims that "we don't do much business with Canada. From our standpoint, they do a lot of business with us." "We are the largest client of the United States," said Carney. "We have a tremendous auto sector between the two of us." By Haik Gugarats Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Business intelligence reports

Get concise, trustworthy and unbiased analysis of the latest trends and developments in oil and energy markets. These reports are specially created for decision makers who don’t have time to track markets day-by-day, minute-by-minute.

Learn more