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Dalian revives plan to relocate PetroChina refinery

  • Spanish Market: Crude oil, Oil products
  • 21/10/21

China's Dalian municipal government is reviving a plan to relocate state-controlled PetroChina's biggest plant, the 410,000 b/d Dalian Petrochemical refinery, away from Dalian city in northeast Liaoning province. But the long-mooted plan faces financial and potential regulatory hurdles and may increase petrochemical competition in the region.

Dalian has one of the highest refining capacity among Chinese cities and is where PetroChina's 200,000 b/d Wepec refinery is also located. The local government has long considered this to be a safety hazard as the city becomes more built-up and has been pushing for Dalian Petrochemical to relocate since 2009. The refinery itself has been plagued by poor safety records over the years.

The local government is proposing for the plant to be relocated to the nearby Xizhong island, one of a group of islands located at the tip of the Liaodong Peninsula in the Bohai sea. The Dalian Changxing Island Economic and Technological Development Zone, which includes the Changxing, Xizhong, Fengming, Jiaoliu and Luotuo islands, is floating the idea of developing the area into a mega integrated refining and petrochemical base. Changxing island, which includes Xizhong and is already home to private-sector Hengli Petrochemical's 400,000 b/d refinery, belongs to one of seven industrial bases approved by Beijing to develop refining projects.

As part of the relocation plan for Dalian Petrochemical, the local government is prepared to grant PetroChina land rights to build a 400,000 b/d refinery in two phases, which is to be integrated with up to 2.4mn t/yr of steam cracking capacity in two phases, as well as other units on Xizhong island. It hopes that PetroChina will start construction as soon as next year and complete the project by 2024.

The oil giant, which has balked at the plan because of its potential high costs, has not confirmed a timeline or scale for the project. But it started drafting a pre-feasibility study recently, indicating that the plan is likely to move ahead, a company source said.

PetroChina wants to expand its petrochemical exposure and relocating to a bigger area may give it the flexibility to install more units and achieve higher downstream integration. The new plant is likely to have a lower oil product yield than less-integrated refineries. But cost is a major hurdle. The local government has not said if it will subsidise the project, something PetroChina is still lobbying for.

PetroChina's refining and chemical budget of 38bn yuan ($5.9bn) this year, up by 74pc from 2020, includes construction of its only greenfield 400,000 b/d Jieyang refinery in Guangdong province, which is expected to come on stream next year.

But new refining projects are facing more scrutiny from the ecology and environment ministry, which has stepped up checks this year. These have revealed pollution violations by the oil sector, including refineries, prompting the ministry to issue warnings and fines.

Beijing has also tightened scrutiny on energy intensity this year. Under the country's goal of achieving peak carbon emissions before 2030 and carbon neutrality by 2060, Beijing has vowed to clamp down on high-energy intensity and high-emission projects with a so-called dual-control strategy to curb energy consumption and intensity, which has partly contributed to widespread power supply shortages since last month.

The Guangdong branch of China's National Energy Administration revoked energy intensity approvals for state-controlled energy firm Sinopec earlier this year to add secondary units and petrochemical capacity at its Maoming, Guangdong refinery because of energy intensity concerns. The 470,000 b/d Maoming refinery had applied to build new units such as a 3mn t/yr catalytic cracker and alkylation and MTBE units, as well as expand a 1mn t/yr steam cracker to 1.64mn t/yr.

Some major refinery projects, including those under construction, may now have to redo their energy intensity reports because of the government's dual-control energy policy, according to an official from a government-linked industry association.


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13/01/25

Mexico’s industrial output up 0.1pc in November

Mexico’s industrial output up 0.1pc in November

Mexico City, 13 January (Argus) — Mexico's industrial production edged up 0.1pc in November, as gains in autos and other manufacturing offset weaker construction, national statistics agency Inegi said. Mexican bank Banorte described the monthly increase as "rather small," noting it followed a 1.1pc decline in October and was largely driven by base comparison effects. The bank added that the overall industrial outlook remained "fragile." Manufacturing, which represents 63pc of Inegi's seasonally adjusted industrial activity indicator (IMAI), increased by 0.7pc in November, though it failed to fully recover from a 1.7pc drop in October. Transportation manufacturing, a key subsector accounting for 12pc of the sector, rose by 3.8pc after a steep 4.3pc decline the prior month. Despite recent volatility, Mexico's auto sector achieved record annual light vehicle production in 2024, reaching 3.99mn units. Yet, automaker association AMIA warned of potential challenges in 2025 because of economic uncertainty, which could affect investment and demand. Mining, which makes up 12pc of the IMAI, increased by 0.1pc in November following a 1.1pc decline in October. Growth was driven by a 41.4pc jump in mining-related services, while oil and gas output fell by 2.4pc, marking a fifth consecutive monthly decline for hydrocarbons. Construction, representing 19pc of the IMAI, contracted by 1.8pc in November after modest gains of 0.2pc in October and 1.1pc in September. As industry eyes potential policy shifts under US president-elect Donald Trump, Banorte projected a weak start to 2025 for Mexico's industrial output. But it expects momentum to build as government spending on priority infrastructure projects "moves more decisively." By James Young Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Singapore bunker prices rise to multi-month highs


13/01/25
13/01/25

Singapore bunker prices rise to multi-month highs

Singapore, 13 January (Argus) — Bunker fuel prices in the port of Singapore touched multi-month highs today, supported by a rally crude futures Ice Brent Singapore crude reached $81.23/bl by close of trading in the port city, following the announcement of sweeping sanctions by the US administration on Russian energy exports. Shipowners and bunker buyers in Singapore were cautious about procurement given the elevated prices. Many pushed back their bunker buying, preferring to monitor near-term market developments. Very-low sulphur fuel oil (VLSFO) prices on a delivered basis in Singapore jumped by $16.7/t to $590.72/t, the highest since 24 October 2024. Deals concluded by 19:00 Singapore time had touched $599/dob and could breach $600/t in the coming days if strength in the energy complex continues. "Market is firm… I would not dare to fix anything today," a ship owner said, adding that "buyers should be very careful" when making procurement decisions. Another vessel owner said its earliest VLSFO bunker requirement would be for delivery from 26 January, and it was not looking to trade at the moment. "It is very difficult to know how things will proceed, but think it might move higher," said a UK-based bunker trader. VLSFO supply availability is limited, which could further support upward movement in prices in the coming days. High sulphur fuel oil (HSFO) prices jumped by $34.67/t today to $507.67/t dob, the highest since 26 July 2024. Marine gasoil (MGO) prices were at a six-month high $731/t dob in Singapore, up by $30/t from the previous session. The upside in crude futures was reflected in marine biodiesel prices, with B24 rising in Singapore. B24, which is a blend of 24pc used cooking oil methy ester (Ucome) and 76pc VLSFO, were assessed by Argus $14-15/t higher at $721-726/t dob. Traders said B24 prices will follow the trend in VLSFO cargo prices, but spot liquidity may remain thin. "Today people are still trying to figure out what right value is," said a key shipowner and trader, adding that prices could rise further this week. By Mahua Chakravarty and Cassia Teo Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Trudeau exit may spur Canadian energy growth


13/01/25
13/01/25

Trudeau exit may spur Canadian energy growth

Calgary, 13 January (Argus) — Canadian prime minister Justin Trudeau's place in federal politics is winding down after nine years of driving change in climate policy, but those environmental advances came at a cost for the world's fourth-largest oil producer, helping to stifle foreign investment in the country's oil and gas sector. Support for Trudeau fell nationwide over the past year, as inflation and rising housing costs fueled by a relaxed immigration policy and carbon taxes became too much for many to bear. Trudeau, seemingly immune to scandal and high-profile exits on his team, was dealt his biggest blow when his deputy prime minister and finance minister Chrystia Freeland resigned in December, citing his approach to the "aggressive economic nationalism" of US president-elect Donald Trump's threatened trade tariffs, prompting his 6 January decision to step down. Canadian crude producers still managed to lift output by 30pc during Trudeau's tenure since 2015, even as major foreign players abandoned the oil sands for friendlier jurisdictions and upstream projects and pipelines were either mothballed or cancelled outright. Provincial jurisdiction over resources prompted frequent fights between Trudeau and Albertan premiers who guarded their claim to energy and the right to explore and extract within their borders. "We could've done so much more," Alberta premier Danielle Smith said hours after Trudeau's announcement, lamenting missed opportunities for Canada's oil patch over the past decade, including the failed Energy East, Northern Gateway and Keystone XL export pipelines. A tanker ban, tighter regulation and an onerous project approval process were among the tools Trudeau used to try to rein in the oil and gas sector, saying in 2017 that Canada's oil sands needed to be "phased out" before naming a former Greenpeace director as his environment minister. Smith did give Trudeau a nod for his commitment to keeping midstream giant Enbridge's Line 5 pipeline from shutting down, and for helping to get the massive Trans Mountain Expansion (TMX) pipeline and Coastal GasLink export projects from Alberta to Canada's Pacific coast across the finish line. But while Smith welcomes Trudeau's resignation, Canada now faces a period of lame duck leadership before it holds federal elections, while cross-border tensions are rising. Your new best frenemy Its largest trading partner is quickly becoming its newest antagonist, with Trump threatening a 25pc tariff on all imports from Canada and Mexico. Unencumbered movement of oil is critical on both sides of the border, with 80pc of Canada's 5mn b/d of crude production aimed at refineries in the US. Many landlocked Canadian producers have no practical alternative, like refiners in the US midcontinent connected by pipeline. As political chaos unfolds in Ottawa, Trump has lobbed insults at Trudeau and made calls for the northern neighbour to become the US' "51st state", a taunt that has struck a nerve in Canada. "There isn't a snowball's chance in hell that Canada would become part of the US," Trudeau said on X on 7 January. "Trump's comments show a complete lack of understanding of what makes Canada a strong country," wrote minister of foreign affairs Melanie Joly. Trump will have spotted Canada's weakness months ago, with support for Trudeau tumbling to the benefit of the Conservative Party and its leader Pierre Poilievre. Recent polls indicate the centre-right party would win a majority of seats in the House of Commons if an election were held today. That is likely to happen in May, assuming opposition parties bring down the government when Parliament resumes in late March. Should Poilievre win, Trump will have a partner better aligned on more policies than Trudeau was, but the suggestion that Canada could become part of the US will get the same response. "We will never be the 51st state. Period," Poilievre said. His primary ambitions are to undo Trudeau's work, with the federal carbon tax being the first to go. Rescinding the tanker ban, killing proposed emissions caps and promoting pipeline construction are also on the agenda. Poilievre plans to "take back control" of Canada's resources through permitting and cutting taxes on pipeline and LNG projects to become less reliant on the US. "Canadians will give me a mandate to take the country in a completely opposite direction," Poilievre said on the Jordan B Peterson Podcast earlier this month, describing how vanquishing Trudeau's energy policy will "cause a massive resource boom in our country." The lengthy exchange touched on minimising government, artificial intelligence and immigration, and was shared by Trump's ally, Tesla chief executive Elon Musk, who called it a "great interview". Priming for another Pacific pipeline Canada's energy industry has returned to profit and received a much-needed boost from the federally owned 590,000 b/d TMX pipeline, but rising oil sands production means the newly commissioned system is destined to fill up soon. The prospect of an industry-friendly federal government reinvigorating a relatively dormant midstream sector is positive for investment in Canada, and the US could play an unintended role in deciding where any pipelines are proposed. Enbridge and the Alberta government are teaming up to find ways to expand pipeline capacity. Smith singled out the US as a customer she wants to enhance ties with amid looming tariff threats, but those threats may prompt a revival of pipeline projects to Canada's west coast to reduce dependence on the US market. Enbridge's Northern Gateway pipeline was approved in 2014, but a Liberal Party led by Trudeau came to power in 2015 with sweeping changes for the oil and gas sector, including a tanker ban on the country's Pacific coast, effectively killing the project. The C$7.9bn ($7.3bn) Northern Gateway was not in the interest of local communities, Trudeau said in late 2016, when he officially reversed the previous government's approval. The pipeline would have shipped 525,000 b/d of diluted bitumen westward and 193,000 b/d of imported condensate eastbound to the oil sands region for blending. Construction would have avoided large populations and was seen as the most practical option for getting more Canadian crude to Asia-Pacific. Its northern terminal may not have had the same tanker limitations as TMX faces at Vancouver, and could have seen reduced voyage times. Enbridge now has added support from the Alberta government by way of crude volumes the province collects as tax from some oil companies in lieu of cash payments. These in-kind barrels would be the first to backstop a major pipeline expansion by Enbridge, giving both the midstream company and other producers something to latch onto to advance a future project. This is a new approach for Alberta, after sacrificing C$1.5bn it paid in a last-ditch effort to keep the doomed 830,000 b/d Keystone XL project to the US alive. Outgoing US president Joe Biden revoked that troubled line's permit in 2021. Like Keystone XL, Northern Gateway is no more. Reviving such a project would still require significant stakeholder engagement along any route, and face substantially higher construction costs than a decade ago. The C$34bn TMX put into service in May 2024 was originally pegged at C$5.4bn in 2013, even less than Northern Gateway as TMX was the twinning of an existing system. This would be a big hurdle to clear, even if governments were to allay regulatory concerns. But with an unpredictable Trump returning to the White House, the prospect of shipping more Canadian crude west might soon hold a heightened appeal. By Brett Holmes Canadian oil production Canadian upstream investment Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Brazil’s inflation decelerates to 4.83pc in December


10/01/25
10/01/25

Brazil’s inflation decelerates to 4.83pc in December

Sao Paulo, 10 January (Argus) — Brazil's headline inflation decelerated to 4.83pc at the end of 2024, as declines in power costs were only partially offset by gains in fuel and food, according to government statistics agency IBGE. The consumer price index (CPI) slowed from 4.87pc in November and compared with 4.76pc in October. The year-end print compared with 4.62pc in December 2023, but was down from 5.79pc in December 2022. Food and beverage costs rose by an annual 7.69pc in December, accounting for much of the monthly increase, following a 7.63pc annual gain in November. Beef costs increased by an annual 20.84pc in December following a 15.43pc annual gain for the prior month. Higher beef costs in the domestic market are related to the Brazilian's real depreciation to the US dollar, with the Brazilian real depreciating by 27.4pc to the US dollar between 31 December 2023 and the same date in 2024 . Still, beef prices decelerated by 5.26pc in December alone, down from 8pc in November. Soybean oil rose by 29.21pc over the year, an increase of 1.64 percentage points from November. Fuel prices rose by an annual 10.09pc in December after an 8.78pc gain in November. Motor fuel costs grew by 0.7pc in December, compared with a 0.15pc drop in the prior month, thanks to higher gasoline prices. Diesel prices increased by 0.66pc in the 12-month period, while it decreased by 2.25pc in November. Gasoline prices — the major individual contributor to the annual high, according to IBGE — rose by 9.71pc in December from 9.12pc in the prior month. Still, that was lower than in December 2023, when the annual inflation for gasoline stood at 11pc. Power costs in December contracted by an annual 0.37pc in December, as improvements in power generation allowed for removal of a surcharge from customer bills, after a gain of 3.46pc the prior month. In November, Brazil faced lower river levels at its hydroelectric plants after a period of severe droughts . Brazil's central bank is targeting CPI of 3pc with a margin of 1.5 percentage point above or below. Brazil's central bank in December raised its target rate to 12.25pc from 11.25pc as the real's depreciation accelerated. It also signaled it is likely to increase the rate to 14.25pc by March. Monthly inflation accelerated to 0.52pc in December from 0.39pc in November. But the rate was lower than in December 2023, when it stood at 0.56pc. By Maria Frazatto Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US issues 45Z tax guidance for low-carbon fuels


10/01/25
10/01/25

US issues 45Z tax guidance for low-carbon fuels

Washington, 10 January (Argus) — US producers of low-carbon fuels can start claiming the "45Z" tax credit providing up to $1/USG for road use and $1.75/USG for aviation, following the US Treasury Department's release today of proposed guidance for the credit. The guidance includes proposed regulations and other tools to determine the eligibility of fuels for the 45Z tax credit, which was created by the Inflation Reduction Act to replace a suite of incentives for biofuels that expired at the end of last year. Biofuel producers have been clamoring for guidance from the US Treasury Department so they can start claiming the tax credit, which is available for fuels produced from 1 January 2025 through the end of 2027. "This guidance will help put America on the cutting-edge of future innovation in aviation and renewable fuel while also lowering transportation costs for consumers," US deputy treasury secretary Wally Adeymo said. "Decarbonizing transportation and lowering costs is a win-win for America." The creation of the 45Z tax credit has already prompted a change in US biofuels markets by shifting federal subsidies from blenders to producers. Because the value of tax credit increases for fuels with the lowest lifecycle greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, it could encourage refiners to source more waste feedstocks such as used cooking oil, rather than conventional crop-based feedstocks. While the guidance is still just a proposal, taxpayers are able to "immediately" use the guidance to claim the 45Z tax credit, until Treasury issues additional guidance, an administration official said. The guidance on 45Z released today affirms that only the producer for the fuel is eligible to claim the credit, not blenders. To be eligible for the tax credit, the fuel must have a "practical or commercial fitness for use in a highway vehicle or aircraft" by itself or when blended into a mixture, Treasury said. Marine diesel and methanol suitable for highway or aircraft use are also eligible for 45Z, as is renewable natural gas that can be used as a transportation fuel. Treasury also released an "annual emissions rate table" offering providers a methodology for determining the lifecycle GHG of fuel. Treasury said a key emissions model from the US Department of Energy, called 45ZCF-GREET, used to calculate the value of the 45Z tax credit is anticipated to be released today, although industry officials said it may be delayed until next week. Treasury said it intends to propose regulations at "a future date" for calculating the GHG emissions benefits of "climate smart agriculture" practices for "cultivating domestic corn, soybeans, and sorghum as feedstocks" for fuel. Those regulations could lower the calculated lifecycle emissions of fuel from those crop-based feedstocks and increase the relative 45Z tax credit. US biofuel producers said they are still awaiting key details on the 45Z tax credit, including the update to the GREET model. Among the outstanding questions is if the guidance released today provides "enough certainty to negotiate feedstock and fuel offtake agreements going forward", said the Clean Fuels America Alliance, an industry group that represents the biodiesel, renewable diesel and sustainable aviation fuel industries. It is unclear how president-elect Donald Trump intends to approach this proposed approach for the 45Z credit, which will be subject to a 90-day public comment period. Trump has promised to "rescind all unspent funds" from the Inflation Reduction Act. But outright repealing 45Z would leave biofuels producers and farmers without a subsidy they say is needed to sustain growth, after the expiration last year of a $1/USG blender tax credit and a tax credit of up to $1.75/USG for sustainable aviation fuel. Biofuel and soybean groups were unsuccessful in a push last year to extend the expiring biofuel tax credits. The 45Z credit is likely to be debated in Congress this year, as Republicans consider repealing parts of the Inflation Reduction Act. House Republicans have already asked for input on revisions to the 45Z credit, signaling they could modify the incentive. In a tightly divided Congress, farm-state lawmakers may hold enough leverage to ensure some type of biofuel incentive — and potentially one friendlier to agricultural producers than 45Z — survives. By Chris Knight and Cole Martin Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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