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Warning of diesel impact from Australian DEF shortages

  • Spanish Market: Fertilizers, Oil products
  • 06/12/21

Australia's national road haulage industry body has warned the country's diesel market could be affected by potential shortages of diesel exhaust fluid (DEF) because of restrictions China has placed on fertilizers such as urea, which is a key feedstock for DEF.

The National Road Transport Association (NRTA) has been fielding calls from members reporting retail shortages of DEF. The warning follows China cutting back on its urea exports, which in turn has affected other markets such as South Korea that is seeking to buy new DEF supplies.

The slump in Chinese urea and other fertilizers mirror its near halt to oil product shipments to Australia.

DEF is used in the catalytic converters that are part of the vehicle exhaust system and injected into the exhaust gases and burnt at high temperatures to break down the nitrogen oxides in the exhaust fumes. It is not mixed with diesel. It ensures diesel-fuelled trucks comply with Australia's national emission standards.

The NRTA is also seeking government assistance. "We are calling on the government to convene a task force of industry groups to look at options to mitigate the situation in the immediate term," said NRTA chief executive Warren Clark.

The federal government is working to secure alternative supplies instead of China, said a spokesman for Australia's transport minister Barnaby Joyce.

There is little monitoring of DEF in Australia. The size of the country's DEF inventories is unknown, nor how much is in transit to Australia and what are the projections until there are supply shortfalls.

Diesel is by far the largest segment of Australia's liquid fuels market with diesel averaging around 527,000 b/d during January-October or 60pc of the total average of 873,000 b/d.


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03/04/25

Crude, equity markets tumble on US tariffs: Update

Crude, equity markets tumble on US tariffs: Update

Updates prices, adds information on Opec decision. Houston, 3 April (Argus) — WTI and Brent crude futures were down by about 7pc midday Thursday as markets weighed the potential for large scale economic disruption from US President Donald Trump sweeping tariffs for a range of imports. Equity markets also fell sharply with the Nasdaq down by more than 5pc and the S&P 500 down by about 4pc as of 12:30pm ET. The US dollar was also falling, down by nearly 2pc to its lowest level since October. The front-month Nymex May WTI contract was trading at $66.65/bl, down by more than $5/bl as of 12:30pm ET. ICE Brent was trading at $69.98/bl, down by about $5/bl. All foreign imports into the US will be subject to a minimum 10pc tax with levels as high as 34pc for China under Trump's sweeping tariff measure. Trump has exempted many energy and mineral products from the new tariffs, and much of the trade with Canada and Mexico appears to be remaining governed by the US Mexico Canada trade agreement (USMCA). Oxford Economics said Thursday it is considering revising downward its 2025 global GDP growth estimate from 2.6pc to 2pc and 2026 growth may drop below 2pc. This is under the assumption that the Trump tariff's stick and are not rapidly negotiated to lower tariff levels. Latin American and Asian economies with exports to US are the most exposed to the GDP downgrades, Oxford said. Oxford also said that global recession will likely be avoided, despite the strains of the tariffs. The drop in crude prices also came after a core group of eight Opec+ crude producers in a surprise move sped up plans to gradually unwind some 2.2mn b/d of production cuts by upping output by 411,000 b/d in May. "In view of the continuing healthy market fundamentals and the positive market outlook… the eight participating countries will implement a production adjustment of 411,000 b/d equivalent to three monthly increments, in May 2025," said the group, which includes Saudi Arabia, Russia, UAE, Kuwait, Iraq, Algeria, Oman and Kazakhstan. The decision to increase output by 411,000 b/d in May will kick in with the start of the summer season in the northern hemisphere when oil demand typically picks up. Meanwhile, the EU is [preparing countermeasures](https://direct.argusmedia.com/newsandanalysis/article/2674492) against the new US tariffs. European Commission president Ursula von der Leyen said the bloc is finalising a first package of countermeasures to previously-announced US tariffs on steel, preparing for further countermeasures and monitoring for any indirect effects US tariffs could have. China also promised to take unspecified countermeasures against the new US import tariffs, which will raise duties on its shipments to the country to over 50pc. By Eunice Bridges Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Crude, equity markets tumble on US tariffs


03/04/25
03/04/25

Crude, equity markets tumble on US tariffs

Houston, 3 April (Argus) — WTI and Brent crude futures were down by more than 7pc early Thursday as markets weigh the potential for large scale economic disruption from US President Donald Trump sweeping tariffs for a range of imports. Equity markets also fell sharply with the Nasdaq down by nearly 5pc and the S&P 500 down by about 4pc as of 10:30am ET. The US dollar was also falling, down by more than 2pc this morning. The front-month Nymex May WTI contract was trading at $66.47/bl, down by more than $5/bl as of 11:35am ET. ICE Brent was trading at $69.81/bl, also down by more than $5/bl. All foreign imports into the US will be subject to a minimum 10pc tax with levels as high as 34pc for China under Trump's sweeping tariff measure. Trump has exempted many energy and mineral products from the new tariffs, and much of the trade with Canada and Mexico appears to be remaining governed by the US Mexico Canada (USMCA) trade agreement. Oxford Economics said Thursday it is considering revising downward its 2025 global GDP growth estimate from 2.6pc to 2pc and 2026 growth may drop below 2pc. This is under the assumption that the Trump tariff's stick and are not rapidly negotiated to lower tariff levels. Latin American and Asian economies with exports to US are the most exposed to the GDP downgrades, Oxford said. Oxford also said that global recession will likely be avoided, despite the strains of the tariffs. Meanwhile, the EU is preparing countermeasures against the tariffs. European Commission president Ursula von der Leyen said the bloc is finalising a first package of countermeasures to previously-announced US tariffs on steel, preparing for further countermeasures and monitoring for any indirect effects US tariffs could have. China also promised to take unspecified countermeasures against the new US import tariffs, which will raise duties on its shipments to the country to over 50pc. By Eunice Bridges Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Indian DAP subsidy increase falls short


03/04/25
03/04/25

Indian DAP subsidy increase falls short

London, 3 April (Argus) — Rebuilding India's DAP inventories remains an uphill struggle as the latest subsidies and current market prices keep importers' and many producers' margins in the red, despite a rise in the subsidy. India will have to keep relying on NPKs/NPs to cover much of its phosphate needs. The Indian government has set the nutrient-based subsidy (NBS) for DAP for the April-September kharif season at 27,799 rupees/t. This is an increase of Rs5,888/t from the base subsidy for the October-March rabi season. The government will probably extend the Rs3,500/t special additional subsidy for DAP into kharif, bringing the total subsidy for DAP up to Rs31,299/t. The maximum retail price (MRP) for DAP will remain at Rs27,000/t. DAP importers face losses The new subsidy rate, including the special additional subsidy, brings the breakeven import price for DAP to the low $600s/t cfr at the current exchange rate and MRP. This is well below the latest concluded level in the high $640s/t cfr, and almost $60/t below latest offers. Without the Rs3,500/t special additional subsidy, the breakeven import price would be around $563/t cfr. The government will probably commit to compensating importers for losses on DAP over kharif, but there has not yet been official confirmation. The department of fertilizers said in September last year that it would compensate importers for losses on DAP over rabi. But some importers said that they have not yet received this compensation. NPKs more attractive for many producers Indian DAP producers using phosphoric acid and ammonia imported at $1,153/t P2O5 cfr and $350/t cfr, respectively, now face losses of $25/t, given the current NBS, MRP and exchange rate. The second-quarter contract price for merchant-grade phosphoric acid to India is up by $98/t P2O5 from the first-quarter price of $1,055/t P2O5 cfr. The rise in the acid price was driven by soaring sulphur costs, firmer sentiment for DAP and falling ammonia prices — which are down from a midpoint of $440/t cfr at the start of the calendar year. Those producers using phosphoric acid will be drawn to the profits to be gained from making NPKs. The new subsidies for 10-26-26 and 12-32-16 are Rs16,257/t and Rs19,495/t, respectively. Both grades have an MRP of Rs35,000/t. At current phosphoric acid, ammonia and potash — with MOP at $283/t cfr with 180 days credit — import costs and exchange rates, Indian producers would see profits of around $48/t for 10-26-26 and $54/t for 12-32-16. DAP producers using imported phosphate rock, sulphur and ammonia will make a profit. Producers importing 30-31pc P2O5 phosphate rock at $153/t cfr, dry bulk sulphur at $280/t and ammonia at $350/t cfr now see margins of around $66/t. Phosphate rock prices have held broadly steady over recent quarters. The fall in ammonia costs has helped to counter the bull run in the global sulphur market, which has pushed up dry bulk sulphur cfr prices in India by $91/t at the midpoint since the beginning of 2025. Without the Rs3,500/t special additional subsidy on DAP, the loss for producers using imported phosphoric acid and ammonia would rise to around $66/t. And the margin for producers using imported phosphate rock, sulphur and ammonia would fall to around $25/t. Producers generally cannot switch between using phosphoric acid and using phosphate rock and sulphur. The Indian government did not cover the losses incurred by DAP producers over rabi — forcing many producers to turn to making NPKs/NPs instead. Although speculation has emerged that the government will compensate producers over kharif, there has been no official indication either way. DAP stocks to remain low Provisional data indicate that India ended March with around 1.3mn t of DAP in stock, still well below the perceived comfortable minimum of 2mn t. Indian distributors will want to build DAP stocks ahead of the peak offtake season — beginning around June. But while importers and producers continue to face losses, stocks will remain low and many farmers will again have to settle for NPKs/NPs as an alternative source of phosphate. By Tom Hampson Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Aglobis, ECM sign sulphur remelter engineering deal


03/04/25
03/04/25

Aglobis, ECM sign sulphur remelter engineering deal

London, 3 April (Argus) — European sulphur and sulphuric acid marketer and distributor Aglobis announced today the signing of an extended basic agreement with engineering service provider ECM to develop its 400,000 t/yr sulphur remelter plant in Duisburg, Germany. Under this agreement, Sulphurnet will act as a sub-contractor to ECM, for sulphur processing technology. Construction is expected to start in 7–8 months following planning and technical design. Engineering activities have already started. This follows the announcement in early January of an agreement with Engie Deutschland for energy provision in the form of steam and utilities for its planned Duisburg sulphur remelter. By Maria Mosquera Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

India ends fertilizer year with 1.3mn t in DAP stocks


03/04/25
03/04/25

India ends fertilizer year with 1.3mn t in DAP stocks

London, 3 April (Argus) — Low offtake in the first quarter of 2025 allowed Indian DAP stocks to build to about 1.3mn t by the end of the fertilizer year in March, but lower production and imports have put a ceiling to stock building, according to provisional data. DAP reserves began this month at 1.29mn t, with provisional offtake, production and import data suggesting a stock drawdown — production plus imports minus sales — of 12,000t on the month. Provisional March DAP offtake totalled 280,000t, bringing offtake this quarter to 978,000t, well below the 1.4mn t/yr average in 2021-24. In the fertilizer year spanning April 2024-March 2025, national offtake totalled 9.3mn t, compared with 10.8mn t in the previous year. A lack of DAP availability across parts of India, spurred by low imports and domestic production, has supported interest in NPKs. Domestic DAP output in March totalled 118,000t, reaching 3.76mn t in April 2024-March 2025. This is below the 4.2mn t/yr average in April 2020-March 2024. And March DAP imports totalled 150,000t, with 4.7mn t imported over April 2024-March 2025, line-up data show. This is well below the 5.6mn t/yr average in April 2020-March 2024. DAP importers and producers using phosphoric acid faced negative margins in most of the fertilizer year, given the maximum retail price, nutrient-based subsidy, exchange rates and market cfr prices for DAP and raw materials. This drove private-sector importers out of the market and encouraged producers using imported phosphoric acid to focus their output on NPKs, which gave better margins. Importers appear to have been dissuaded by high international DAP cfr prices in particular. The Indian DAP assessment peaked in October — during the high buying season — at $643/t cfr on a midpoint basis, remaining below $600/t cfr a year before. And prices were prevented from slipping in the off-season, supported by the absence of Chinese DAP exports and Ethiopia's switch to DAP imports from NPS. The assessed range has firmed in recent weeks, with Saudi Arabian producer Ma'aden selling 50,000t of DAP to an Indian importer in the high $640s/t cfr for loading in early April . DAP offers are now as high as $660/t cfr. DAP stocks are now well below a comfortable 2mn t, and India will have to keep building reserves in its off-season before farmers' demand picks up around the middle of the year. The Indian government at the end of March raised the nutrient-based subsidy for phosphates for the kharif season by 42pc. At current market prices, DAP importers' margins will remain negative. The government will probably continue to compensate importers for losses on DAP, but there is no indication that Indian DAP producers will receive compensation for losses. By Adrien Seewald Indian DAP stocks and sales '000t Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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