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Vietnam to resume regular overseas flights in January

  • Spanish Market: Oil products
  • 13/12/21

Vietnam will resume regular international passenger flights to selected countries from 1 January, a move that is likely to provide a slight boost to jet fuel demand in the region.

The country's civil aviation authority announced a pilot plan over the weekend to resume regular commercial international passenger flights starting with countries with a "high safety factor".

These countries include China, Japan, Korea, Taiwan, Thailand, Singapore, Laos, Cambodia and the US, according to a notice on the civil aviation authority website.

The resumption of regular flights aims to promote economic recovery and tourism and allow Vietnamese nationals to return home for the lunar new year, said the notice.

The country had grounded international flights and suspended entry of all foreigners since March last year, allowing entry only to Vietnamese repatriates, foreign experts and high-skilled workers with quarantine requirements. But it began to allow in vaccinated tourists on designated tours to select locations from November.

Vietnam is among several countries in the region that have forged ahead with easing travel restrictions in the wake of the discovery of the new Covid-19 Omicron variant. The jet fuel market has continued to shake off the impact from Omicron as margins, or Argus' assessed Singapore jet fuel swaps against Dubai crude values, continued to exceed $11/bl as of 10 December, up from a 2½-month low of $6.97/bl on 30 November.

Vietnam, a net importer of jet fuel, could be poised to take in more jet fuel with the resumption of international flights. It imported around 304,400 bl of jet fuel in the first half of November, up from just 78,600 bl in all of October, according to preliminary customs data.


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09/04/25

Delta pulls full-year forecast amid US tariffs: Update

Delta pulls full-year forecast amid US tariffs: Update

Adds details from earnings call throughout. Houston, 9 April (Argus) — Delta Air Lines pulled its full-year 2025 financial guidance today, citing US tariff-related uncertainty. "Given the lack of economic clarity, it is premature at this time to provide an updated full-year outlook," the airline said Wednesday in an earnings call. Delta said it hoped the growing US tariff war with the world would be resolved through trade negotiations, but that it also told its main aircraft manufacturer, Airbus, that it would not purchase any aircraft that includes a tariff fee. "If you start to put a 20pc incremental cost on top of an aircraft, it gets very difficult to make that math work," chief executive Ed Bastion said in an earnings call today. In the meantime, Delta is protecting margins and cash flow by focusing on what it can control, including reducing planned capacity growth in the second half of the year to flat compared to last year, while also managing costs and capital expenses, Bastion said. Delta expects revenue in the second quarter of 2025 to be either 2pc higher or 2pc lower from the year earlier period with continued resilience in premium, loyalty and international bookings offsetting softness in domestic and standard flights. Punitive taxes on imports from key US trading partners were implemented on Wednesday despite President Donald Trump's claims of multiple trade deals in the making. Trump's 10pc baseline tariff on imports from nearly every country already went into effect on 5 April. The higher, "reciprocal" taxes went into effect today, although at midday Wednesday he announced a 90-day pause on most of the higher tariffs, while increasing tariffs on Chinese imports even higher. The company reported a profit of $240mn in the first quarter of 2025, up from $37mn in the first quarter of 2024. Confidence craters in 1Q Corporate travel started the year with momentum, but a reduction in corporate confidence stalled growth in February and March, Delta said. For the first quarter, corporate sales were up by low-single digits compared to the prior year, with strength led by the banking and technology sectors. The company's fuel expenses were down by 7pc in the first quarter of 2025 compared to the prior year period. The average price Delta paid for jet fuel was $2.45/USG, down by 11pc to the prior year period. Delta said it has seen "a significant drop off in bookings" out of Canada amid the trade disputes with that country which started earlier than the broader US tariffs. Meanwhile, Mexico is "a mixed bag," the company said. Delta is considering reducing capacity levels in Mexico and Canada in the future. The company reported a profit of $240mn in the first quarter of 2025, up from $37mn in the first quarter of 2024. By Eunice Bridges Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Delta pulls full-year forecast on tariff uncertainty


09/04/25
09/04/25

Delta pulls full-year forecast on tariff uncertainty

Houston, 9 April (Argus) — Delta Air Lines pulled its full-year 2025 financial guidance today, citing US tariff-related uncertainty. "Given the lack of economic clarity, it is premature at this time to provide an updated full-year outlook," the airline said Wednesday in an earnings call. Delta said it hoped the growing tariff war woudl be resolved through trade negotiations, but that it also told its main aircraft manufacturer, Airbus, that it would not purchase any aircraft that includes a tariff fee. In the meantime, Delta is protecting margins and cash flow by focusing on what it can control, including reducing planned capacity growth in the second half of the year to flat compared to last year, while also managing costs and capital expenses, chief executive Ed Bastion said. The company reported a profit of $298mn in the first quarter of 2025, up slightly from $288mn in the first quarter of 2024. The company's fuel expenses were down by 7pc in the first quarter of 2025 compared to the prior year period. The average price Delta paid for jet fuel was $2.45/USG, down by 11pc to the prior year period. By Eunice Bridges Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Keystone oil pipeline shut down after ND spill: Update


08/04/25
08/04/25

Keystone oil pipeline shut down after ND spill: Update

Adds latest pricing for US, Canadian sour crudes. Calgary, 8 April (Argus) — North American sour crude prices rose relative to their benchmarks today after the 622,000 b/d Keystone pipeline carrying Canadian crude was shut down following a spill in North Dakota. Canadian crude prices on either side of the spill diverged in Tuesday's trading, with Western Canadian Select (WCS) at Hardisty, Alberta, trading between a $9.15-11/bl discount to the CMA Nymex, with the midpoint representing a widening of about $1/bl day-over-day. WCS at the Texas Gulf coast was up by about 45¢/bl from its prior assessment, trading at a $2.60/bl discount to CMA Nymex. Fellow Canadian heavy sour Cold Lake meanwhile was up by a similar level, trading between $2.25-$2.65/bl discounts against CMA Nymex. The Keystone system is a major route for Canadian heavy crude destined for both the US midcontinent and the Gulf coast. Pipeline operator South Bow initiated a shutdown at 8:42am ET Tuesday after the leak occurred about 6 miles south of Kathryn, North Dakota, according to North Dakota environmental quality program manager Bill Suess. A pipeline employee working on a pump station along the route heard what he described as a "mechanical bang" prompting him to shut down the pipeline, which took about two minutes, Suess said. Crude was then seen surfacing in an agricultural field about 300 yards south of the pump station, where it was contained. Suess said there is no impact to a nearby stream. South Bow estimates about 3,500 bl was released. No restart timeline The company and government officials did not have an estimate for when the pipeline would restart. Next steps involve assessing the area for other utilities before excavating down to the 30-inch pipeline to make repairs. The US Pipeline and Hazardous Materials Safety Administration (PHMSA) said it has dispatched personnel to the scene to conduct a failure investigation. Today's upset is the latest of several incidents to disrupt the market since it was commissioned in 2010. The pipeline halted flows for more than three weeks in December 2022 after it spilled about 12,937 bl of oil in Washington County, Kansas. A crack in a flawed weld was determined to be the cause. Once fixed, PHMSA allowed the line to operate again, but at a reduced pressure. Only last month did PMHSA give South Bow the green light to increase pressure again . Other US prices affected Louisiana-delivered Mars and Thunder Horse widened their premiums over the Domestic Sweet (DSW) benchmark by over 30¢/bl, trading at 80¢-$1/bl premiums and $1.80-$1.90/bl premiums to the basis, respectively. Texas-delivered Southern Green Canyon (SGC) traded as strong as a 60¢/bl discount against the Cushing basis Tuesday morning, after trading at $1/bl discount for the prior two sessions. April DSW was exchanged for May in the Cushing physical spot market at premiums as high 60-70¢/bl, from roughly 45¢/bl on the final day of the April trade month on 25 March. In the futures market, May Nymex WTI has moved up to end the session at a 48¢/bl premium to June, rising from a 26¢/bl premium at settlement in the prior session. DSW is the assumed grade for delivery into the Nymex contract. It is blended to specifications in Cushing and is comprised of various crudes, including Canadian grades. The appreciating differentials came despite pressure from weak export demand from the US Gulf coast. By Brett Holmes, Mykah Briscoe and Amanda Smith Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US faults EU carbon fee during tariff fight


08/04/25
08/04/25

US faults EU carbon fee during tariff fight

Washington, 8 April (Argus) — President Donald Trump's administration is citing the EU's upcoming tariff on carbon-intensive imports as one of the "unfair trade practices" that justified a tariff response. Trump has said a 20pc tariff on most EU goods and a higher tariff on many other key trading partners — set to take effect after midnight — are "reciprocal" to other countries' tariffs and non-tariff barriers, even though those tariffs are calculated based on each country's trade deficits and imports with the US. Trump has yet to even identify which trade policies he wants other countries to change before he would withdraw tariffs his administration expects will raise $600bn/yr in new revenue. But the US Trade Representative's office, in a social media post on Monday made in "honor" of Trump's tariffs, identified the EU's Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) — which will collect a carbon-based levy on imports such as steel, cement and fertilizer — as one of the examples of what it sees as an unfair trading practice. The Trump administration estimates $4.7bn/yr of US exports would be affected by the CBAM, which is set to take effect in 2026. "These EU regulations undermine fair competition, penalizing US companies while providing advantages to EU-based competitors," the US Trade Representative's office wrote in a series of posts on Tuesday that also criticized India and Thailand for imposing import restrictions on ethanol produced in the US. White House officials say more than 70 countries have approached the administration seeking deals on the tariffs since they were announced nearly a week ago. But with just hours before the tariffs take effect, Trump has yet to announce any definitive agreements to withdraw the tariffs. Instead, he has rejected offers from countries to zero out some of their tariffs. European Commission president Ursula von der Leyen on Monday said the EU was "ready to negotiate" on tariffs, and would zero out its tariffs on industrial imports if the US agreed to do the same. But Trump on Monday said that offer was not enough. "We have a deficit with the European Union of $350bn, and it's gonna disappear fast," Trump said. "One of the ways that that can disappear easily and quickly is they're gonna have to buy our energy from us." Today, Trump said he had a "great call" with South Korea's acting president Han Duck-soo that created the "probability of a great DEAL for both countries." Trump cited a potential agreement that might include large-scale purchases of US LNG and investments tied to the 20mn t/yr Alaska LNG export project. Trump and his cabinet believe the tariffs will align with a goal to achieve "energy dominance" and increase the amount of US energy exported abroad. "At the end of the day, we're going to have growing American exports and reindustrialize the country," US energy secretary Chris Wright said today during an interview on CNBC. Trump's tariffs have already caused a selloff in equities and, according to many analysts on Wall Street, a higher likelihood of a recession. Oil prices have dropped because of a "sudden change in the economic outlook, whereas everyone just honestly 10 days ago was expecting modest but steady positive growth in the US", non-profit group Center for Strategic and International Studies' senior fellow Clayton Seigle said today. Republicans have largely backed Trump in his imposition of tariffs, with the hope the tariffs will be lifted as part of trade negotiations. But some Republicans have started criticizing the rationale for the tariff policy. "Whose throat do I get to choke if this proves to be wrong?" US senator Thom Tillis (R-North Carolina) said in a hearing today with the US trade representative Jamieson Greer. By Chris Knight Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Mexican peso weakens on US tariff fears


08/04/25
08/04/25

Mexican peso weakens on US tariff fears

Mexico City, 8 April (Argus) — The Mexican peso has weakened in recent days amid growing fears that US president Donald Trump's new wave of tariffs could derail the US economy and, in turn, slash Mexico's economic growth, financial analysts said. After Trump announced a series of new import tariffs on what he dubbed "Liberation Day" on 2 April, the peso initially reacted positively, as Mexico was largely spared from the measures, thanks to protections under the US-Mexico-Canada (USMCA) free trade agreement. The current tariff structure largely remains in place, which means zero tariffs on products under the USMCA agreement, except for steel, aluminum and finalized// assembled automobiles. Auto parts under USMCA still face zero tariffs. These exceptions, and other non-USMCA-compliant products, maintain 25pc tariffs on non-US content, analysts Barclays said. The peso appreciated more than 3.2pc to Ps19.97/$1 on 3 April from Ps20.4/$1 on 2 April, according to data from Mexico's central bank (Banxico). The exemptions could make Mexico more attractive in the medium- and long-term to manufacturers aiming to avoid US tariffs, Barclays said. Yet, investors are now concerned about the broader economic fallout of the escalating US-China trade conflict. "The Mexican peso is one of the most depreciated currencies [as of 7 April], because even though Mexico has not been hit with reciprocal tariffs and benefits from USMCA, the economic impact of tariffs on the US economy could significantly affect Mexico," said Gabriela Siller, chief economist at Mexican bank Banco Base. The peso weakened to Ps20.50/$1 on 4 April, from Ps19.97/$1 on 3 April, and continued weakening, closing at Ps20.69/$1 on 7 April, a 2.3pc depreciation over the last week. Year over year, the peso has tanked 21pc, affected by multiple reforms diminishing Mexico's business environment that passed in late 2024, Trump's electoral victory in November, and now by Trump's tariffs. Mexico's GDP is expected to grow by 0.2pc this year, according to a new Citi survey of 32 bank analysts, with nine forecasting zero or negative growth because of the potential fallout from US trade policy. On 1 April, Mexico's finance ministry lowered its 2025 GDP forecast to 1.5–2.3pc, down from 2–3pc. That's still more optimistic than the central bank and private analysts, who expect growth of only 0.7pc , citing uncertainty over US policy and tariff threats. By Édgar Sígler Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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