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Singapore refiners weigh carbon tax pressure

  • Spanish Market: Emissions, Oil products
  • 04/03/22

As the first country in southeast Asia to introduce a carbon tax, industry and the wider region will be watching its next steps closely, writes Prethika Nair

Southeast Asian firms have gradually been gearing up for the energy transition, but the implementation of a significantly higher carbon tax in Singapore could impact the operations of refiners in the city-state sooner than expected.

Singapore last month announced plans to increase its carbon tax from 5 Singapore dollars/t ($3.70/t) currently to S$25/t in 2024-25 and S$45/t in 2026-27. The tax rate will be reviewed with a long-term view of raising it to S$50-80/t by 2030, finance minister Lawrence Wong says. This comes as part of the country's plan to bring forward its net zero carbon emissions target to around 2050 from the second half of this century, and signals a greater urgency for firms to decarbonise, in line with a global effort to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions.

The refining and petrochemical sector is a large source of carbon emissions in Singapore, with the industrial sector contributing about 45pc of total primary emissions, and the power sector contributing about 39pc, according to the National Climate Change Secretariat (NCCS) of Singapore. The carbon tax will impose a cost on the economy, but "we need to right-price carbon so that businesses will internalise the cost of carbon and invest in decarbonisation solutions", an NCCS spokesperson says.

The government aims to help companies with the transition by allocating part of the carbon tax revenue towards helping firms invest in low-carbon technologies. This step "is critical as the near-term competitiveness impact is real… [Singapore] has to compete with other exporter countries that either do not have a carbon price policy, or have sophisticated mechanisms to help their trade-exposed industries remain competitive, if they do", a Shell spokesperson says. "As Singapore has an open economy, it is also important that the designed carbon tax framework encourages GHG reductions, while safeguarding competitiveness of trade-exposed industries," ExxonMobil Asia-Pacific chairman Geraldine Chin says.

But refiners in Singapore appear ready to adapt. ExxonMobil has already undertaken initiatives to improve energy efficiency in its operations, such as operating three co-generation facilities that produce electricity and steam to support most of its plant operations. It is also looking into low-carbon solutions such as carbon capture and storage (CCS), often in collaboration with other firms in the region. Shell has reduced its crude processing capacity and production of traditional fuels by about half. The firm is studying biofuel investment and a regional CCS hub. Shell last month successfully delivered its first batch of sustainable aviation fuel in Singapore.

Credit problems

Singapore is the first country in southeast Asia to introduce a carbon tax, so its environmental outcome may set the tone for the rest of the region. Singapore's proposed taxof S$25/t ($18/t) is the highest in Asia — Japan's is equivalent to $2.65/t — but is still well below Sweden's $137/t, the highest in the world. Like Singapore, South Korea and China are also big exporters of refined products in Asia. China has seen rapid growth in refining capacity, although it has recently reduced exports. But China and South Korea have taken a different approach to reducing emissions, with the implementation of emissions trading schemes.

Carbon credits have been deemed potentially problematic as they allow the use of fossil fuels, and oil and gas firms' carbon offsets claims have been met with scepticism in the absence of industry-wide methodologies and certifications. But Singapore aims to "ensure that any credits procured are derived from genuine abatement, are internationally credible, aligned with global climate ambition, and in line with article 6 of the Paris agreement", the NCCS spokesperson says.


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US biofuel feedstock use dips in August


31/10/24
31/10/24

US biofuel feedstock use dips in August

New York, 31 October (Argus) — Renewable feedstock usage in the US was down slightly in August but still near all-time highs, even as biomass-based diesel production capacity slipped. There were nearly 3.5bn lbs of renewable feedstocks sent to biodiesel, renewable diesel, and sustainable aviation fuel production in August this year, up from fewer than 3bn lbs a year prior, according to the US Energy Information Administration's (EIA) latest Monthly Biofuels Capacity and Feedstocks Update report. August consumption was 0.4pc below levels in July and 0.5pc below record-high levels in June. US soybean oil consumption for biofuels rose to 39.3mn lbs/d in August, up by 2.1pc from a year earlier on a per-pound basis and up 6.9pc from a month prior. The increase was entirely attributable to increased usage for renewable diesel production, with the feedstock's use for biodiesel slipping slightly from July. Canola oil consumption for biofuels hit 14.2mn lbs/d, up by 58.1pc from a year prior on a per-bound basis but still 19.4pc below record-high levels in July. Distillers corn oil usage, typically less volatile month-to-month than other feedstocks, bucked that trend to hit a high for the year of 13.6mn lbs/d in August. That monthly consumption is up 13.6pc from a year earlier and 20.9pc from a month earlier. Among waste feedstocks, usage of yellow grease, which includes used cooking oil, rose to 22.4mn lbs/d in August, up 13.8pc from levels a year prior and 5.8pc from levels in July. Tallow consumption for biofuels was at 18.6 mn lbs/d over the month, an increase of 27.8pc from August last year but a decrease of 13.4pc from July this year. Production capacity of renewable diesel and similar biofuels — including renewable heating oil, renewable jet fuel, renewable naphtha, and renewable gasoline — was at 4.6bn USG/yr in August, according to EIA. That total is 24.1pc higher than a year earlier and flat from July levels. US biodiesel production capacity meanwhile declined to fewer than 2bn USG/yr over the month, down by 4.3pc from a year earlier and 1.3pc from a month earlier. US biomass-based diesel production capacity has expanded considerably in recent years, but refiners have recently confronted challenging economics as ample supply of fuels used to comply with government programs has helped depress the prices of environmental credits and hurt margins. The industry is also bracing for changes to federal policy given this year's election and a new clean fuel tax credit set to kick off in January. That credit, known as "45Z", will offer a greater subsidy to fuels that produce fewer greenhouse gas emissions, likely encouraging refiners to source more waste feedstocks over vegetable oils. That dynamic is already shaping feedstock usage this year, with Phillips 66 executives saying this week that the company's renewable fuels refinery in California is currently running more higher carbon-intensity feedstocks ahead of a shift to using more waste early next year. By Cole Martin Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US court set to weigh biofuel blend mandates


31/10/24
31/10/24

US court set to weigh biofuel blend mandates

New York, 31 October (Argus) — A US court on Friday will weigh some novel issues that could affect enforcement of the Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS), the federal program that sets minimum biofuel blending levels for domestic motor fuel supplies. The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) in last year's RFS regulation required refiners and importers to blend increasing volumes of renewable fuel from 2023-2025. But the rule differed from past obligations in a crucial way. While the RFS law set annual volume targets of cellulosic, advanced and conventional biofuels through 2022, it tasked EPA with setting volumes in subsequent years by balancing factors such as the environmental impacts of biofuels, energy security, expected production and consumer costs. 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The Center for Biological Diversity and the National Wildlife Federation argue that EPA has legal discretion to set post-2022 volumes for corn- and soybean-derived biofuels as low as zero. EPA counters that the court owes the agency deference in evaluating scientific data and making predictive judgments. And biofuel groups that have intervened argue that the program is designed to require more biofuel production even if there are no formal volume requirements in law anymore. While EPA's post-2022 authority to set blend mandates is a new issue, the DC Circuit has handled various cases about EPA's implementation and has generally been deferential to the agency's volume decisions. The court this year upheld 2020-2022 targets. In a 2019 decision, the court kept volumes in place , despite telling EPA to more deeply weigh endangered species impacts. While the court might take issue with some aspects of EPA's latest rule, including the agency's lateness in finalizing volumes, judges could again be reluctant to upend fuel markets if they find only small oversights. Depending on how skeptical judges appear about EPA's arguments on Friday, the case could cause concern for biorefineries. A decision is expected next year, meaning any order for EPA to better justify its decisions or go back to the drawing board would likely fall to the next president's administration. On the panel for Friday's hearing are two judges familiar with the program: Democratic appointee Cornelia Pillard, who wrote the opinion this year upholding 2020-2022 blend mandates, and Republican appointee Gregory Katsas, who dissented and said those volumes were excessive. The third judge on the panel is Democratic appointee J. Michelle Childs. RINcrease or decrease RIN market activity has thinned as participants await the results of the court case and November's presidential election. In its latest rule, EPA aimed to provide a clearer picture over a longer timeline by finalizing volumes over multiple years. But the agency underestimated the growth in renewable diesel production, partly because of unexpectedly high feedstock imports. The result has been persistent oversupply, which took D4 biomass-based diesel credit prices from around 150¢/RIN in spring last year to as low as 42¢/RIN a year later according to Argus assessments. Multiple refiners have consequently dialed back biofuel production. In the past, RIN prices have proven sensitive to legal developments as traders anticipate supply and demand shifts. Prices softened this summer after the DC Circuit vacated small refinery waivers, leaving it unclear whether many facilities would have to buy RIN credits at all. By Cole Martin and Matthew Cope Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

UK budget falls short of lifting bitumen demand


30/10/24
30/10/24

UK budget falls short of lifting bitumen demand

London, 30 October (Argus) — UK finance minister Rachel Reeves today in the country's budget allocated an extra £500mn ($650mn) to road maintenance, but this will do little to tackle road conditions in the country, according to industry organisation the Asphalt Industry Alliance (AIA). Reeves also confirmed the HS2 rail link between Old Oak Common in west London and Birmingham, with tunnelling work to extend the line to London's Euston station. AIA chair David Giles said that although it was encouraging to hear acknowledgement that the condition of our local roads is a reminder of the failure to invest as a nation, it was disappointing that the opportunity to deliver a step change was missed. Giles welcomed the additional £500mn for highway maintenance next year, but said that it "falls short of the long-term funding horizon the sector has been calling for". England alone needs £14.4bn, as a one time catch up cost, according to the AIA. "This additional allocation is a fraction of what's needed to prevent further decline,"he said. One time catch up cost is the amount needed to as a one-off to bring the network up to a condition that would allow it to be managed cost effectively going forward as part of a proactive asset, according to the organisation. The AIA was hoping for a multi-year ringfenced commitment allowing local authorities to plan and proactively carry out the effective maintenance needed to drive improvement on local roads, Giles said. Government data show UK bitumen consumption slipped to 1.54mn t in 2023, the lowest since 2016. Consumption was 1.89mn t in 2021 and 1.56mn t in 2022. In the first seven months of this year consumption was 835,000t, 9pc down from 917,000t in the same period of 2023. By Fenella Rhodes Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

UK government consults on oil and gas scope 3 emissions


30/10/24
30/10/24

UK government consults on oil and gas scope 3 emissions

London, 30 October (Argus) — The UK government has opened a consultation seeking views on assessing the effects of scope 3 — or end-use — emissions from proposed offshore oil and gas projects. "Scope 3 emissions from downstream activities need to be assessed… in relation to offshore oil and gas production activities", the government said today. It proposed that a baseline scenario is defined for assessing scope 3 emissions, to set out how the environment "is likely to evolve without the development of a proposed project". The government also proposed that information on "relevant scope 3 categories" is included when a developers applies for a permit. This would include the effects of emissions from the combustion of oil or gas, as well as "other downstream activities", such as refining or transport of fuels. The UK's current process means that developers applying for consent must provide information on scope 1 and 2 — operational — emissions in an environmental statement. But scope 3 emissions are not included, despite making up around 80-95pc of emissions for a typical oil and gas company. The consultation was spurred by a ruling made in June by the UK's Supreme Court. The judgment ruled that consent for an oil development in southern England was unlawful, as the scope 3 emissions were not considered. The government — which was elected in early July, shortly after the ruling — has halted the assessment of any environmental statements related to oil and gas extraction and storage activities, including any that were already being assessed. These would be deferred until the new environmental guidance was in place, expected in spring 2025. The consultation will close on 8 January 2025. Separately, the government will consult by the end of this year on the implementation of its commitment to issue no new oil and gas licences to explore new fields, it said today. The UK has a legally-binding target of net zero emissions by 2050. By Georgia Gratton Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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