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Libya NOC declares force majeure at El Sharara: Update

  • Spanish Market: Crude oil
  • 18/04/22

Adds announcement from NOC of force majeure at El Sharara

Libya's state-owned NOC declared force majeure restrictions at its 300,000 b/d El Sharara field on Monday after it was shut down by protesters, adding to outages at El Feel and at smaller fields that contribute to exports from the Zueitina terminal.

Access to El Sharara was closed on Sunday night, but production was still online at the time, according to one Libya-based source.

Demonstrators first yesterday closed off the El Feel field in western Libya, which typically produces near 70,000 b/d and whose output is commingled with Wafa condensate into the Mellitah blend crude grade that is exported from the Mellitah terminal. State-owned NOC applied force majeure restrictions on field supplies at the time.

Protests also took place at the eastern Zueitina terminal, resulting in gradual output declines at the Abu al-Tilf, Intisar, Nakhla and Nafoora fields. NOC has today declared force majeure on both the terminal and the relevant fields. The Zueitina closure caused outages at the Abu Atfal gas plant, at the Zueitina Oil Company's injection plant in the 103D field and at the gas plant at the Zueitina port, according to NOC.

Combined outages at El Sharara and El Feel, along with the shutdowns at minor fields, imperil nearly 40pc of Libyan production, which was assessed by Argus at near 1.06mn b/d in March.

A group has also threatened the closure of the eastern Marsa el-Hariga terminal, although a shipping report indicated terminal loadings were uninterrupted as of this morning.

Some of the demonstrators are protesting against the Government of National Unity (GNU) administration of interim prime minister Abdelhamid Dbeibeh, who has been resisting calls to surrender control of Tripoli to the Government of National Stability (GNS) regime of his rival Fathi Bashagha. The GNU and GNS have been contending for Libya's leadership since February, when the north African country's eastern parliament body, the House of Representatives, elected Bashagha as transitional premier and Dbeibeh's successor. Dbeibeh insists that he retains his mandate until Libya carries out its postponed national elections, pencilled in for June.

The GNU ministry of Oil and Gas yesterday condemned the oil closures, citing lost revenues amid high global oil prices, reputational damage to NOC, as well as potential impairment to energy infrastructure.

Threats against Libyan infrastructure are frequent, but more swiftly resolved when they are driven by economic or civil concerns rather than political motivations.


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04/07/24

Saudi Aramco cuts official August crude prices for Asia

Saudi Aramco cuts official August crude prices for Asia

London, 4 July (Argus) — Saudi Arabia's state-controlled Saudi Aramco has reduced the official formula prices of August-loading crude exports for buyers in its core Asia-Pacific market, while increasing prices for European customers. For customers in Asia-Pacific, Aramco has cut the August formula prices of its Arab Light and Extra Light grades by 60¢/bl compared with July and reduced the prices of its other grades by 20-70¢/bl. The price cuts for Asia-Pacific are within customers' expectations. Refiners in the region expected a narrower Dubai backwardation to prompt a reduction in Saudi formula prices . The month-on-month change in Dubai intermonth spreads is one factor that producers such as Aramco consider when setting the formula prices for their Asia-bound cargoes. For customers in northwest Europe, Aramco has raised the official August prices of its Extra Light, Arab Light, Arab Medium and Arab Heavy grades by 90¢/bl. For Mediterranean-bound exports of the same grades, it increased prices by 90¢/bl on a fob Ras Tanura basis and by 80¢/bl a fob Sidi Kerir basis. European refiners were anticipating an increase in Saudi formula prices on the back of firm values for rival crudes and tighter global supply. The North Sea's largest crude grade, Norway's medium sour Johan Sverdrup, averaged $1.60/bl above the North Sea Dated benchmark fob Mongstad in June, up from a $0.29/bl premium in May. Values of heavier grades in Europe have recently begun to improve. The Argus Brent Sour Index, which prices northwest Europe's heavier and sourer crudes, has averaged a 35¢/bl premium to Dated so far this week. The index averaged 10¢/bl above Dated in June and 7¢/bl below the benchmark in May. Aramco is expected to export less crude in the summer months when domestic demand peaks. Saudi Arabia announced in early June that it will extend a 1mn b/d "voluntary" additional crude output cut — first implemented in July 2023 — for three months until the end of September. For customers in the US, Aramco has lifted the August formula prices of Extra Light and Arab Light by 10¢/bl compared with July. It has left formula prices of the other grades unchanged. By Edmundo Alfaro and Lina Bulyk Saudi Aramco official formula prices $/bl August July ± United States (vs ASCI) Extra Light 7.10 7.00 0.10 Arab Light 4.85 4.75 0.10 Arab Medium 5.45 5.45 0.00 Arab Heavy 5.10 5.10 0.00 Northwest Europe (vs Ice Brent) Extra Light 5.60 4.70 0.90 Arab Light 4.00 3.10 0.90 Arab Medium 3.20 2.30 0.90 Arab Heavy 0.80 -0.10 0.90 Asia-Pacific (vs Oman/Dubai) Super Light 2.75 2.95 -0.20 Extra Light 1.60 2.20 -0.60 Arab Light 1.80 2.40 -0.60 Arab Medium 1.25 1.95 -0.70 Arab Heavy 0.50 1.20 -0.70 Mediterranean fob Ras Tanura (vs Ice Brent) Extra Light 5.60 4.70 0.90 Arab Light 3.90 3.00 0.90 Arab Medium 3.30 2.40 0.90 Arab Heavy 0.60 -0.30 0.90 Mediterranean fob Sidi Kerir (vs Ice Brent) Extra Light 5.65 4.85 0.80 Arab Light 3.95 3.15 0.80 Arab Medium 3.35 2.55 0.80 Arab Heavy 0.65 -0.15 0.80 Source: Saudi Aramco Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US services contract in June, signal broad weakening


03/07/24
03/07/24

US services contract in June, signal broad weakening

Houston, 3 July (Argus) — Economic activity in the US services sector contracted in June by the most since 2020 while a report earlier this week showed contraction in manufacturing, signaling a broad-based slowdown in the economy as the second quarter came to an end. The Institute for Supply Management's (ISM) services purchasing managers index (PMI) registered 48.8 in June, down from 53.8 in May. Readings above 50 signal expansion, while those below 50 signal contraction for the services economy. The June services PMI "indicates the overall economy is contracting for the first time in 17 months," ISM said. "The decrease in the composite index in June is a result of notably lower business activity, a contraction in new orders for the second time since May 2020 and continued contraction in employment." The business activity/production index fell to 49.6 from 61.2. New orders fell by 6.8 points to 47.3. Employment fell by 1 point to 46.1. Monthly PMI reports can be volatile, but a services PMI above 49 over time generally indicates an expansion of the overall economy. "Survey respondents report that in general, business is flat or lower, and although inflation is easing, some commodities have significantly higher costs," ISM said. The prices index fell by 1.8 points to 56.3, showing slowing but robust price gains. ISM's manufacturing PMI fell to 48.5 in June from 48.7 in May, ISM reported on 1 July. It was the third consecutive month of contraction and marked a 19th month of contraction in the past 20 months. Wednesday's weaker than expected ISM report, together with a Wednesday report showing initial jobless claims last week rose to their highest in two years, slightly increase the odds that the Federal Reserve may lower its target rate later this year after maintaining it at 23-year highs since last year in an effort to stem inflation. By Bob Willis Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Nigerian Dangote refinery seeks more US WTI crude


03/07/24
03/07/24

Nigerian Dangote refinery seeks more US WTI crude

London, 3 July (Argus) — Nigeria's 650,000 b/d Dangote refinery has issued a tender seeking US crude WTI for delivery in August and September. The company is requesting 1mn bl or 2mn bl cargoes of the light sweet grade to be delivered on 1-10, 11-20 and 21-31 August, as well as 1-10 September. The tender closes on 4 July. It is Dangote's second WTI tender. The first sought 2mn bl/month over a 12-month period starting in July. Some traders said the initial tender was not awarded, but this has not been confirmed. The Dangote refinery started up at the end of 2023 and received its first crude cargo on 6 December. It aims to reach throughput of around 350,000 b/d in its first phase of operations. Argus tracking indicate it is almost at that level, having received close to 350,000 b/d in June , of which 140,000 b/d was WTI. Vortexa data show crude deliveries to the refinery have averaged just over 200,000 b/d so far this year, with WTI accounting for 27pc of the total. Dangote had expected to run mainly on Nigerian crude. But WTI is often more competitively priced despite additional costs to ship the grade. WTI was on average 35¢/bl cheaper on a delivered-Europe basis than Nigeria's flagship Qua Iboe on a fob basis during May-June. By Lina Bulyk Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Venezuela's Maduro open to talks with the US


02/07/24
02/07/24

Venezuela's Maduro open to talks with the US

Caracas, 2 July (Argus) — Venezuelan leader Nicolas Maduro plans to talk with US envoys on Wednesday to discuss allowing the South American country to increase oil exports in exchange for free and fair elections, he said late on Monday. But Maduro's call for dialogue comes less than a month before the 28 July election in which polls show him up to 40 percentage points behind his main challenger. It is also after the US rescinded a six-month reprieve on sanctions in April, accusing Venezuela of violating a commitment to hold a fair vote. Maduro said that the US had sought dialogue with him "for two months in a row", and, "after thinking about it, I have accepted". The head of the pro-Maduro assembly elected in 2020, Jorge Rodriguez, will represent him in the talks, Maduro said. The US State Department declined to directly confirm Maduro's statement but said that the US welcomed "dialogue in good faith, and we support the Venezuelan people's desire for competitive and inclusive elections on July 28." The US ties sanctions relief to Maduro's observing the 2023 Barbados agreement with the Venezuelan opposition, which promised to hold a competitive presidential election. The US in April reimposed sanctions against Venezuela because the Maduro government did not allow the main opposition contender, Maria Corina Machado, to run for president. Former Venezuelan diplomat Edmundo Gonzalez is the sole presidential candidate representing the opposition Unitary Platform. "We are clear-eyed that democratic change will not be easy, and certainly requires a serious commitment," the US State Department said. "This is something that we will continue to focus on when we will engage in dialogue with with a broad range of Venezuelan actors." Venezuela in recent weeks has barred an additional 10 city mayors from running for office for 15 years after they expressed support for Gonzalez, according to the CNE electoral authority and the comptroller general's office. During the first six months of 2024 Maduro has arrested 39 people connected to Gonzalez's campaign, the last one as recently as 30 June, a campaign source told Argus, using figures from Venezuelan non-governmental organizations. Police over the weekend also detained Machado for several hours while leaving a rally for Gonzalez. Venezuela's oil output increased by around 4pc in May to 911,700 b/d from 878,000 b/d in April as drilling campaigns showed results after three months of flat production, according to the oil ministry. But US sanctions are expected to keep a cap on much additional growth. By Carlos Camacho Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Petroecuador expects more crude with fewer wells


01/07/24
01/07/24

Petroecuador expects more crude with fewer wells

Quito, 1 July (Argus) — State-owned oil company Petroecuador will drill fewer wells this year than first planned but still expects to produce 5,000 b/d more crude than initially forecast for 2024, according to the work plan of interim chief executive Diego Guerrero. Petroecuador plans to drill 90 wells this year, including 27 drilled through May and 63 planned for the rest of the year — well below the 156 wells initially forecast under former chief executive Marcela Reinoso , who resigned in May. But the company expects crude output to average 390,000 b/d by December, according to Guerrero's plans, higher than the 370,000 b/d estimate made before he took office, and up from 369,000 b/d reported for June. Ecuador is expected to lose about 50,000 b/d come 1 September when it shuts down the Ishpingo, Tambococha and Tiputini (ITT) fields in block 43 after Ecuadorians voted to end oil activities in the environmentally sensitive region. Guerrero's plan did not break out how much output it expects from ITT this year. Petroecuador did not respond to a request for comment. Reinoso told the national assembly in February that without ITT, Petroecuador's production would fall to 358,500 b/d in September before rising again to 373,300 b/d in December, leading to a 2024 average of about 385,000 b/d. But petroleum engineers' association vice-president Fernando Reyes said that both the new and old goals for December production are too optimistic without ITT. After a 50,000 b/d drop with the end of ITT production, Reyes believes under a best-case scenario new drilling could add 20,000–30,000 b/d of production, bringing December output to 360,000-370,000 b/d. But Guerrero's higher projections are feasible if Petroecuador keeps pumping crude from ITT, Reyes said. Ecuadorian president Daniel Noboa in January proposed a one-year delay on plans to end drilling in the ITT, but the plan has not advanced. Guerrero's work plan also includes new projects to recover associated gas from the Sacha Norte 2, Sacha Central, Drago and Shushufindi fields, and also workovers in four wells in the offshore Amistad natural gas field. Petroecuador produced 81pc of Ecuador's crude output of 484,499 b/d in May. By Alberto Araujo Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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