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Cop 27: Climate deal falls short on GHG reduction

  • Spanish Market: Battery materials, Biofuels, Coal, Coking coal, Condensate, Crude oil, E-fuels, Electricity, Emissions, Feedgrade minerals, Fertilizers, Hydrogen, LPG, Metals, Natural gas, Oil products, Petrochemicals, Petroleum coke
  • 20/11/22

Countries at the UN Cop 27 climate conference have adopted a final deal in the early hours of Sunday, agreeing on the creation of a loss and damage fund for vulnerable countries but making no additional progress on efforts to limit global emissions.

The creation of a loss and damage fund has been the most contentious issue debated at Cop 27, but parties finally agreed and "responded to the voices of the vulnerable", said Pakistan climate change minister Sherry Rehman, who spoke on behalf of the Group of 77 (G77) plus China. The inter-governmental organisation of developing nations comprising 134 members pushed hard for a loss and damage fund to be put on the Cop agenda this year.

Countries have decided "to establish new funding arrangements for assisting developing countries that are particularly vulnerable" to the impacts of climate change, including a fund and the mobilisation of new and additional resources, "recognising the need for support from a wide variety of sources, including innovative sources". The EU during the negotiations floated the idea of contributions from oil and gas companies, as well as levies on air tickets and shipping containers, to go towards a loss and damage fund. The creation of the fund is to be established by a transitional committee over the next year.

Countries have hailed the decision on loss and damage, although it is described as imperfect and much work remains to be done. But the lack of progress towards cutting greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions responsible for global warming left many "disheartened", Maldives environment minister Aminath Shauna said. Antigua and Barbuda advisor for climate change Lia Nicholson said — on behalf of the Alliance of Small Island States — that the loss of damage fund was just "a life boat in a brewing hurricane", and Rehman regretted that the parties did not reach "substantive guidance" with regards to updated nationally determined contributions (NDCs) — or countries' pledges to cut emissions.

EU negotiators sought to make the creation of the loss and damage fund conditional to new updated emission reduction targets under the mitigation work programme. EU executive vice-president and lead climate negotiator Frans Timmermans today welcomed the creation of the fund but said that the overall deal reached did "not bring enough added efforts from major emitters to increase and accelerate their emissions cuts". He warned today that a lot of speed was lost since Cop 26 last year.

The Sharm el-Sheikh text reiterates the need to reduce GHG by 43pc by 2030 relative to 2019 levels, unchanged from pledges made in Glasgow last year.

"It does not address the yawning gap between climate science and our climate policies," Timmermans added. The EU and nations part of the high level ambition coalition (HLAC) — including countries such as the Marshall Islands and the UK — wanted to see stronger NDCs aligned with the 1.5°C limit goal, mentions of efforts for global emissions to peak by 2025 and a pledge to phase down fossil fuels. The 2015 Paris Agreement aims to limit global warming to well below 2°C above pre-industrial levels, and ideally to 1.5°C.

Timmermans said that "too many parties are not ready to make progress today" to fight climate change, pointing at "too many attempts" to go back on what was agreed in Glasgow last year and saying that some nations were "afraid of the transition ahead".

Weak on fossil fuels

The energy and mitigation sections of the climate agreement emphasises the urgent need for a rapid reduction in GHG emissions across "all applicable sectors", including through an increase in low-emission and renewable energy, while striving for a "phase down" of unabated coal power and a "phase-out" of inefficient fossil fuel subsidies. This is unchanged from last year's Glasgow Pact and failed to increase ambition on fossil fuels. Mitigation refers to efforts to reduce GHG.

Timmermans said today that more than 80 countries supported the goal of a fossil fuel phase out in the text, but that no solution could be found.

Saudi Arabia was amongst several countries trying to water down the use of fossil fuel language in the final text, with a member of the delegation repeating today on behalf of the 22 countries in the Arab League that "the convention needs to address emissions and not the origin of the emissions".

"It is crucial that commitment [on NDCs] is delivered by all of us, including the major emitters in this room who did not come forward this year," UK lead negotiator and Cop 26 president Alok Sharma said, while pointing at the last minute weakening of the energy section of the text.


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26/09/24

Low Argentina rivers lift Brazil biodiesel

Low Argentina rivers lift Brazil biodiesel

Sao Paulo, 26 September (Argus) — A drop in river levels in Argentina's Parana upriver region amid a historical drought has snarled transport and inflated soybean oil and biodiesel prices in Brazil. The depth of the Parana River in Argentina's San Lorenzo city, a major hub for soybean oil shipments, dropped to 9.44m (30ft) on 20 September, the lowest level since January 2023, according to information provided by maritime agencies T&T and Antares. The lower river flow is forcing soybean oil traders to reduce how much product they load onto tankers that stop at Argentinian ports by between 5-12.5pc, according to Argentina market sources. A 12.5pc capacity reduction on a standard tanker would mean a loading 28,000 metric tonnes (t) instead of 32,000t. These restrictions have affected the Brazilian soybean oil and biodiesel market, as trading companies seek additional volumes in Brazilian seaports to complete shipments for export. A change in Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) differentials at the port of Paranagua was first observed on 27 September, when the premium for selling soybean oil for shipment in October rose to 8¢/lb in relation to the future contract traded on the CBOT. Earlier in the week, offers were close to 1.8¢/lb. On 25 September, negotiations ranged between premiums of 2.5-5.5¢/lb in relation to the soybean oil future contract due in October, corresponding to prices between $1,034-1,100/t fob Paranagua. Last week, the Argus fob Paranagua indicator closed between $934-1,009/t. Soybean availability in the Brazilian market is reduced amid strong demand in the domestic market, driven by an increase in the biodiesel blending mandate to 14pc from 12pc in March. The rise in domestic demand has also reduced the competitiveness of Brazilian exports, contributing to a drop in soybean oil shipments to ports. Brazil's association of vegetable oil industries Abiove predicts that 2024 exports will total 1.15mn t, nearly half of the volumes dispatched in 2023. Lever effect The low availability of soybean oil in the Brazilian market was concerning market participants even before the deterioration of the situation in Argentina. The price of soybean oil for export is the main factor in the price equation for most supply contracts between biodiesel producers and distributors. Logistics problems associated with a lower Parana River contribute to the imbalance between increased demand for soybean oil in the biodiesel sector and a shortage of product in the market. Soybean oil is the main input for biodiesel production in Brazil, accounting for 72.5pc of all feedstocks used in national production in the first eight months of 2024, according to data from hydrocarbons regulator ANP. And rising soybean oil prices tend to boost prices of other raw materials, such as beef tallow, which represented 6.5pc of biodiesel inputs in the same period. Faced with the rising cost of inputs, Brazilian biodiesel plants have been prioritizing the delivery of volumes contracted for the September-October supply period and the delivery of overdue volumes for the previous bi-monthly period. That has limited the availability of spot market volumes. This sudden rise in the price of soybean oil in Paranagua has also reduced the domestic market premium in relation to the export market. This makes it more attractive for regional producers to sell product abroad. By Amance Boutin and Joao Marinho Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Aug wildfires in Brazilian state surge eightfold


26/09/24
26/09/24

Aug wildfires in Brazilian state surge eightfold

Sao Paulo, 26 September (Argus) — Fires in Sao Paulo, Brazil's most populous state, increased eightfold in August from the same month last year, an "alarming rate" amid extreme climate conditions that harm the sugarcane industry, sector associations said. The state had 11,628 fire outbreaks last month, more than triple the historic average of 3,550. Nearly half of the fires took place on 23 August alone, according to data from industry association Canaoeste and fire monitoring network GMG Ambiental. Fires hit 658,600 hectares. The town of Pitangueira had the most blazes, at 354. Altinopolis and Sertaozinho came in second and third, with 252 and 296, respectively. Nearly all of the most affected towns have high production of sugarcane. The groups highlighted that 20-24 August fires happened as low humidity, high temperatures and strong winds put Sao Paulo in "extreme risk" for wildfires. The data was shown in a meeting with several industry representatives, such as Canoeste, Unica and Orplana. The groups added that sugarcane producers were not responsible for the fires nor were benefiting from them, defending themselves from accusations that they could be lighting fires to accelerate harvesting — an old common practice supposedly abolished. By Maria Ligia Barros Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US Gulf oil shut-ins drop as Helene nears landfall


26/09/24
26/09/24

US Gulf oil shut-ins drop as Helene nears landfall

New York, 26 September (Argus) — US Gulf of Mexico oil production shut-in levels fell today as Hurricane Helene bore down on Florida's west coast as a category 3 storm, bringing the threat of dangerous storm surge and winds. Around 441,923 b/d of US offshore oil output, or 25pc, was off line as of 12:30pm ET, according to the Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement (BSEE). That is down from 29pc on Wednesday as the eastern Gulf path of the storm took it farther away from most offshore production facilities. About 363.39mn cf/d of natural gas production, or 20pc of the region's output, was also off line today, up from 17pc on Wednesday. Operators have evacuated workers from 27 offshore platforms. Helene was last about 145 miles west-southwest of Tampa, Florida, packing maximum winds of 120mph, according to a 4pm ET advisory from the US National Hurricane Center. Further intensification is likely and Helene could approach the coast at category 4 strength, with winds of at least 130mph. Landfall is expected near Port Leon on Apalachee Bay Thursday evening before Helene is forecast to turn northwestward and slow down over the Tennessee Valley on Friday and into the weekend. Earlier this week, offshore operators including BP, Equinor and Chevron took the precaution of suspending some operations and evacuating workers from offshore facilities in advance of the hurricane. Some facilities have since started back up as the hurricane's track shifted away from the main oil and gas hub in the region. By Stephen Cunningham Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

New York picks WCI for carbon market platform


26/09/24
26/09/24

New York picks WCI for carbon market platform

New York, 26 September (Argus) — New York state will use the Western Climate Initiative (WCI) platform when administering its economy-wide carbon market, the latest sign that regulators in the state are looking to align program elements with systems in other North American carbon markets. Regulators from Quebec and New York announced the agreement on Wednesday at the International Emissions Trading Association's North American Climate Summit, an event on the sidelines of the UN General Assembly and Climate Week NYC. After a competitive process to select a platform for its market, New York state reached a deal this week to lean on the WCI for its "market registry platform, the auction platform, and financial services", New York State Department of Environmental Conservation deputy commissioner Jon Binder said. The WCI nonprofit provides the market infrastructure for California and Quebec's linked carbon market, as well as for a similar program in Washington state where regulators are weighing a potential linkage with the other two. Any eventual linkage with New York's program, which could see compliance obligations start in 2026, would be made easier by all the jurisdictions utilizing the same system for administering their respective programs. The decision does not "necessarily mean these programs are linking," but New York is "happy to keep those conversations going in that regard," Binder said. Nova Scotia, which wound down its cap-and-trade program last year, used the WCI platform for auctions without linking its programs with any other jurisdictions. "It doesn't mean that New York will link with us," said Jean-Yves Benoit, chair of the WCI board and the director general of carbon regulation and emissions data at Quebec's environment ministry. "Although I would be very happy if we issue a joint press release next year saying that." By Cole Martin Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Brazil's drought: Northern rivers still dropping


26/09/24
26/09/24

Brazil's drought: Northern rivers still dropping

Sao Paulo, 26 September (Argus) — The worst drought in Brazil's history continues to reduce river levels in the Northern Arc region, hampering navigation on rivers that are used as waterways and are important routes to transport grains and fertilizers. Madeira waterway The waterway links Rondonia state's capital Porto Velho to the Itacoatiara port, in Amazonas state. Itacoatiara port is expected to receive around 371,435 metric tonnes (t) of fertilizers in September, according to line up data from shipping agency Unimar. Status: The situation is most critical in the Madeira waterway, the second largest in the northern region, in Porto Velho. The state's ports and waterways authority (Soph) halted operations there on 23 September because the Madeira River's depth at the port reached 25cm (9.8in), the lowest since monitoring began in 1967. The Madeira River depth in Porto Velho increased to 34cm on 26 September, according to monitoring data from the Brazilian Geological Survey (SGB). Amazonas waterway It is the main waterway in Brazil's north, handling around 65pc of the region's cargo, according to the national transportation and infrastructure department (Dnit). It links Amazonas' capital Manaus to Para's capital Belem. Status: The Negro River has also been falling. The depth was at almost 13.88m at the SGB monitoring point in Manaus on 26 September — an extreme drought level and very close to the historic low of 13.64m recorded in 2023. Tapajos waterway It is an important waterway to move production from Mato Grosso state's northern area, with the Santarem port, in Para state, as a destination. The Santarem port handled nearly 4mn t of cargo in 2023, with fertilizers accounting for 578,630t, according to the Para port authority. Status: The Tapajos-Teles Pires waterway is also facing a dire situation. The national water and sanitation agency ANA declared a water shortage on the Tapajos River on 23 September. Drier weather than usual has dropped the levels of Tapajos, especially in the stretch between Itaituba and Santarem cities, in Para state, where flows are below the minimum levels observed in history. The depth of the Tapajos River at the Itaituba monitoring point, where the transfer point for the Miritituba waterway is located, was at 92cm on 26 September, below the record low of 132cm, according to SBG data. At the Santarem monitoring point, where the port of Santarem is located, the Tapajos River was at 74cm, a level considered dry. The historical minimum at the location is -55cm below the port's reference point. A level below zero does not mean the river is dry, but a negative reading indicates very low conditions. Tocantins-Araguaia waterway The Tocantins-Araguaia waterway encompasses the Araguaia and Tocantins rivers. It runs from the Barra do Garcas city, in Mato Grosso, onto the Araguaia River, or from Peixes city, in Tocantins state, onto the Tocantins River, to the port of Vila do Conde, in Para. Soybeans, corn, fertilizers, fuels, mineral oils and derivative products are transported via the northern waterways. Vila do Conde port handled 19.3mn t of cargo in 2023, according to Para port authority. Status: The SGB has two monitoring points on the Araguaia River. In the Nova Crixas city, in Goias state, the river was at 299cm, below the historical level of 310cm. In Sao Felix do Araguaia city, in Mato Grosso state, the river was at 257cm, a situation of extreme drought and close to the historical minimum level of 251cm. In September, the federal government announced investments of R500mn ($91.4mn) to carry out dredging work on stretches of rivers in Amazonas. Para's state government requested another R146mn to address problems caused by the drought. By João Petrini Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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