Generic Hero BannerGeneric Hero Banner
Latest Market News

Germany retains foothold in US LNG: Update

  • Spanish Market: Natural gas
  • 03/05/23

Context throughout

The German state continues to finance gas and LNG projects overseas despite having pledged to end all direct public financing for unabated fossil fuel projects by the end of 2022 — a commitment made during the UN Cop 26 climate summit in Glasgow in 2021.

KfW IPEX-Bank, responsible for international project and export finance within the German state-owned development bank KfW, has committed to providing around €90.79mn ($100.3mn) in credit for the planned 6.67mn t/yr second phase of the US' Plaquemines LNG export terminal in Louisiana, according to documents seen by Argus. Terminal operator Venture Global announced the final investment decision (FID) for the phase in March, suggesting that the formal commitment to finance the facility could have been taken several months after the government pledged in November 2021 to end all public spending on overseas fossil fuel projects.

A spokesperson from KfW Ipex-Bank confirmed to Argus that it was involved in financing the project, but did not disclose any further details.

It remains unclear when Plaquemines' second phase could come on line, but if construction mirrors Venture Global's other projects, loadings could start in 2025-26. And LNG from Plaquemines could likely reach the planned German onshore import terminals in Stade or Brunsbuttel, with German utility EnBW having agreed to take around 750,000 t/yr from the second phase.

Several other German banks such as Deutsche Bank, DZ Bank, Helaba and Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg (LBBW) have also committed to financing the site in Louisiana, with a credit amounting to roughly €746.34mn, documents from German environmental group Deutsche Umwelthilfe (DUH) show.

Deutsche Bank and LBBW declined to comment on the financing for specific projects when asked about their involvement in the funding of US LNG sites. LBBW said that it was willing to finance investments in gas and LNG "if certain conditions are met", as it considers the fuel as a "bridging technology" to renewable energies.

Deutsche Bank's outstanding loans for the oil and gas sector amounted to €6.5bn at the end of 2022, a year-on-year decline of roughly 20pc of the bank's exposure to these projects, a spokesperson of the bank told Argus.

KfW has committed to provide a total of €232.97mn in credit for US LNG terminals since 2017, DUH data show.

In addition, the government is involved in long-term gas supply contracts through the recently nationalised utility Uniper, and through a loan-agreement with trading firm Trafigura which is to supply a significant amount of gas to Germany for the next four years.

Caveats

Many governments and public institutions have deviated from the pledge made two years ago after Russia's invasion of Ukraine at the start of 2022 and the subsequent rush to phase out Russian fossil fuels use that created new momentum for LNG.

Last year, the G7 countries added a caveat to the commitment, saying "publicly supported investment in the gas sector can be appropriate" in order to reduce dependency on Russian gas.

Civil society organisations (CSOs) warned earlier this year that G7 countries the US, Japan Italy and Germany are still lagging behind their 2021 commitment.

But last month the G7 climate and energy ministers said that public support for the international unabated fossil fuel energy sector ended last year, "except in limited circumstances clearly defined by each country consistent with a 1.5°C warming limit and the goals of the Paris Agreement". The G7 countries said they would provide an update on their "approach to implementation by the end of this year.

Mozambique LNG

The Dutch government last year extended the deadline for ending financing of foreign fossil fuel projects until the end of 2023, while providing new guidance for gas and LNG projects that could still receive funding after the deadline.

Dutch export credit agency Atradius DSB — in charge of the country's public financing — received 10 such applications before the end of last year that amount to €3.9bn in state funding if granted, according to a government document.

Atradius — alongside export credit agencies from the US, Japan, UK, Italy, South Africa and Thailand — already granted export credit insurance for TotalEnergies' delayed Mozambique LNG export terminal and told Argus that the policy would not be withdrawn because of a delay to the project.

"Current force majeure status still applies and the involved Export Credit Agencies (ECAs)/banks have not been informed about a possible restart of the works", Atradius told Argus in April. The liquefaction terminal has been under a force majeure since April 2021 because of attacks by militant groups, halting construction at the facility.

The project financing was said to amount to $14.9bn.


Related news posts

Argus illuminates the markets by putting a lens on the areas that matter most to you. The market news and commentary we publish reveals vital insights that enable you to make stronger, well-informed decisions. Explore a selection of news stories related to this one.

08/05/25

Permian output could plateau sooner: Occidental CEO

Permian output could plateau sooner: Occidental CEO

New York, 8 May (Argus) — Oil production from the Permian basin could plateau sooner than expected if operators keep talking about reducing activity levels in the wake of lower oil prices, warned the chief executive of Occidental Petroleum. Vicki Hollub said she previously expected to see Permian output growing through 2027, with overall US production growth peaking by the end of the decade. "It's looking like with the current headwinds, or at least volatility and uncertainty around pricing and the economy, and recessions and all of that, it's looking like that peak could come sooner," Hollub told analysts today after posting first quarter results. "So I'm thinking right now the Permian, if it grows at all through the rest of the year, it's going to be very little." Occidental is reducing the midpoint of its annual capital spending guidance for 2025 by $200mn on the back of further efficiency gains. The US independent also plans to trim domestic operating costs by $150mn. "We continue to rapidly advance towards our debt reduction goals, and we believe our deep, diverse portfolio of high-quality assets positions us for success in any market environment," Hollub said. Occidental closed asset sales of $1.3bn in the first quarter and has repaid $2.3bn in debt so far in 2025. Occidental produced 1.4mn b/d of oil equivalent (boe/d) in the first quarter compared with nearly 1.2mn boe/d in the same period of last year. By Stephen Cunningham Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US seeks flexibility from Europe to help LNG deals


08/05/25
08/05/25

US seeks flexibility from Europe to help LNG deals

Washington, 8 May (Argus) — President Donald Trump's administration is pressing European countries to offer flexibility on standards for methane emissions as a way to ease the pathway for them to sign long-term purchase agreements for US LNG. Trump has pushed for countries to commit to buying more US LNG as a way to avoid steep tariffs he has threatened to impose on countries that have trade imbalances with the US. But a looming requirement for European importers to show "equivalence" to EU methane monitoring requirements for newly signed gas supply contracts could pose an obstacle for US LNG, based on differences in how methane emissions are tracked. The administration's "ask" is for the EU to ensure that its methane-related measurement, reporting and verification (MRV) methodologies do not pose a barrier to US LNG, US acting assistant secretary of state for energy resources Laura Lochman said today. US LNG terminals have struggled to show equivalency to the MRV rules because, unlike many global LNG projects, they source their gas from pipelines connected to multiple fields. "Give time for industry to work through some of those traceability issues as well, because it would take a few years to be able to get to that point and work out the equivalency methodology," Lochman said at an event with European officials organized by the industry group LNG Allies. European officials indicated they are receptive to finding a solution, as they work to end purchases of Russian gas by the end of 2027. But they say they want to continue to see reductions in emissions of methane, which is a potent greenhouse gas. Trump has already started rolling back restrictions on methane emissions. "We understand you've got a different supply chain, as opposed to us, and that it's important to have it worked out so that any difficulties are taken away from American companies with those regulations," Netherlands ambassador to the US Birgitta Tazelaar said at the event. "Of course it's very important for the Netherlands and Europe that methane be reduced." US LNG developers are likewise pushing Europe to consider pushing back a goal to largely phase out natural gas consumption by 2040. That deadline could complicate the traditional financing model for new LNG terminals typically premised on signing 20-year supply deals, said Kimmeridge managing partner Ben Dell, whose company is building the proposed 9.5mn metric tonne/yr Commonwealth LNG project in Louisiana. "The one thing I would ask is for European members in this room to think beyond 2040," Dell said. "Ultimately extending that runway allows a lower-cost project financing and ultimately a lower cost delivery into the European market." A potential trade deal between the US and the EU could create an opportunity to grant equivalency to US LNG exports to avoid barriers from the EU methane regulation, LNG Allies president Fred Hutchison said today. The US in turn could reclassify the EU as having a free trade agreement for gas, which would expedite US LNG export licensing, Hutchison said. The Trump administration sees the potential for European contracts to lead proposed US LNG export terminals to reach final investment decisions (FIDs). The administration has already been "very clear" about its goal to increase LNG exports and cut regulations facing the natural gas sector, the State Department's Lochman said. "When you put together the push from the US side to support, and then the demand signals on the European side, you can get more projects making it to FID," Lochman said. By Chris Knight Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

HSFO defies the green tide


08/05/25
08/05/25

HSFO defies the green tide

New York, 8 May (Argus) — High-sulphur fuel oil (HSFO), once seen as a fading relic, is proving remarkably resilient (see table) despite the maritime sector's push toward decarbonization. The fuel remains economically attractive thanks to persistent scrubber investments and regulatory frameworks that fail to fully penalize its use. Under the EU notation, HSFO and very low-sulphur fuel oil (VLSFO) are assigned the same calorific and greenhouse gas emission values. This equivalence means that ships fitted with scrubbers — systems that strip out sulphur oxides — face no additional penalties for choosing HSFO over VLSFO. As a result, greenhouse gas fees under FuelEU Maritime and the EU emissions trading system (ETS) offer no disincentive for scrubber users to stick with cheaper HSFO. In March 2025, the VLSFO-HSFO spread in Singapore narrowed to just $44/t, the lowest since the IMO 2020 sulphur cap took effect. At that level, a scrubber on a capesize bulker pays for itself in under two years. When the spread averaged $122/t in 2024, the payback period was about eight months. Even in regulated markets like Europe, economics favor HSFO. Under the EU ETS, ships operating in, out of or between EU ports must pay for 70pc of their CO2 emissions in 2025. In Rotterdam, bunker prices including ETS surcharges still favor HSFO: $575/t for HSFO, $605/t for VLSFO, and $783/t for a B30 Used cooking oil methyl ester blend. While biofuels, methanol and LNG are inching forward in market share, they remain cost-prohibitive. In the meantime, HSFO, with scrubber backing, continues to punch above its environmental weight. By Stefka Wechsler Selected ports marine fuel demand t % Chg 1Q 25-1Q 24 1Q 2025 less 1Q 2024 1Q 2025 1Q 2024 Singapore HSFO 1.0% 33,160.0 4,898,372.0 4,865,212.0 VLSFO/ULSFO -13.0% -1,005,951.0 6,829,667.0 7,835,618.0 MGO/MDO -5.0% -49,012.0 907,874.0 956,886.0 biofuel blends 187.0% 237,552.0 364,418.0 126,866.0 LNG 34.0% 25,935.0 101,856.0 75,921.0 Rotterdam HSFO 1.0% 11,169.0 829,197.0 818,028.0 VLSFO/ULSFO 14.0% 118,670.0 976,249.0 857,579.0 MGO/MDO 3.0% 9,662.0 393,071.0 383,409.0 biofuel blends -60.0% -158,597.0 104,037.0 262,634.0 LNG 7.0% 7.0 104.0 97.0 Panama HSFO 22.0% 65,266.0 362,388.0 297,122.0 VLSFO/ULSFO 25.0% 177,296.0 878,776.0 701,480.0 MGO/MDO 22.0% 27,097.0 150,980.0 123,883.0 — Maritime and Port Authority of Singapore, Rotterdam Port Authority and Panama Canal Authority Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

FinBalt gas demand down on the year in April


08/05/25
08/05/25

FinBalt gas demand down on the year in April

London, 8 May (Argus) — Combined gas demand across the Finnish and Baltic region fell by 4pc on the year in April despite gas-fired power generation rising by nearly 50pc. Aggregate consumption in Finland, Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania in April fell to 3.42TWh, down from 3.56TWh the previous year and the three-year average of 5.12TWh in 2019-21. That said, it was still higher than in both 2022 and 2023 ( see consumption graph ). Lithuania remained the region's largest consumer, as it has been for every month since June, again driven by an increase in gas-fired power generation. Average gas-fired output soared by nearly 400pc on the year in April to 254MW according to data from Fraunhofer ISE, more than making up for a 43pc drop in Finnish production ( see power table ). Following the de-synchronisation of the Baltic states from the post-Soviet Brell system, gas-fired power plants have become particularly important in the region, not just for producing electricity but also for providing ancillary services such as frequency reserves. Lithuania has the largest gas-fired fleet in the region, and its output jumped despite domestic power consumption falling by more than 5pc on the year and renewable output increasing, which allowed the country to cut its power imports last month to 104MW, from 546MW in the previous year. With power sector gas demand increasing in April but overall gas consumption in the region dropping, demand from households and industries must have been lower on the year. Weather patterns were split across the region, with lower average minimum temperatures than the previous year in Vilnius and Riga, but higher in Tallinn and Helsinki. That said, overnight lows in all four capitals were still above the 2015-24 average last month, limiting strong heating demand in the shoulder month ( see temperature table ). Traded volumes on the region's gas exchange GET Baltic rose to 1.1TWh last month, an "unusually high result for this time of year" according to the exchange's senior account manager Karolis Bagdonas. Of the overall volume, 56pc traded in Lithuania, 28pc in the joint Estonia-Latvia market area, and the remaining 16pc in Finland. The average price on GET Baltic was €39.40/MWh last month, down by around 8pc from March. GET Baltic announced in April that its full integration into the European Energy Exchange (EEX) had been delayed again until 9 September , having previously been planned for 27 May . Across all of January-April FinBalt consumption totalled 18.43TWh, down from 20.04TWh in the same period of 2024. Stocks at the region's only storage facility in Latvia ended the storage year on 1 May at 8.4TWh, below 11.3TWh on the same day last year and 9TWh in 2023, but still above all other years since 2018 ( see data and download ). The entire 100pc of capacity, amounting to just over 23TWh, had been booked for the 2024-25 storage year, but for the new 2025-26 cycle a lower 17TWh has been allocated, representing around 68pc of the cycle's total technical capacity of 24.9TWh. Consistently positive summer-winter spreads over the winter period, which gave no financial incentive to book storage, may have driven lower interest in 2025-26 capacity, although they had normalised by April. Lower overall booked volumes is despite operator Conexus managing to sell all 9TWh of the new five-year capacity product it offered in February and March . Slow start to injection season Injections into Incukalns have been weak so far this year, with not a single day of net injections until 24 April. In the previous year, there had been some brief net injections on 1-4 April at an average of 54 GWh/d, and across all of April they averaged just over 7 GWh/d. In contrast, this year's April averaged net withdrawals of 32 GWh/d across the month, with injections only on 24-30 April. This slow stockbuild has continued in the first week of May, with 35GWh of net injections on 1 May but then a flip back to very minor net withdrawals of 0.2 GWh/d on every day of 2-6 May, the latest data from GIE show. Last year, there were average net injections of 47 GWh/d on 1-6 May, and 39 GWh/d in 2021-23. Despite weak injections, overall LNG sendout across the region's three terminals of Klaipeda, Inkoo and Hamina has increased significantly from April, nearly doubling to 150 GWh/d on 1-7 May from 80 GWh/d in April. Sendout from these terminals averaged 84 GWh/d on 1-7 May last year. Rather than injecting all of the regasified LNG, some of it is being sent southward to Poland at Santaka, with exit flows at the point averaging 22 GWh/d on 1-7 May, switched from net inflows of 2 GWh/d in April. This is likely to be linked to Polish incumbent Orlen's deals to supply LNG to Ukraine's Naftogaz, of which one of the contracts specified that it would be delivered to Klaipeda and transited to the Ukrainian border . By Brendan A'Hearn FinBalt gas-fired power production MW Apr-25 Apr-24 year-on-year % change Finland 118 206 -43 Estonia 6 5 20 Latvia 85 53 60 Lithuania 254 52 388 Total 463 316 47 — Fraunhofer ISE FinBalt average minimum temps °C Apr-25 Apr-24 2015-24 avg Helsinki 0.7 0.1 0.1 Talinn 2.2 2.0 1.0 Riga 4.8 5.0 4.0 Vilnius 3.8 5.2 2.8 — Speedwell FinBalt gas demand by country GWh Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

IMO GHG pricing falls short on green methanol, ammonia


07/05/25
07/05/25

IMO GHG pricing falls short on green methanol, ammonia

New York, 7 May (Argus) — The International Maritime Organization's (IMO) proposed global greenhouse gas (GHG) pricing mechanism might not drive significant uptake of green methanol and green ammonia by 2035, given current market prices. Despite introducing penalties on high-emission fuels use and tradable surplus credits for low-emission fuels, the mechanism does not sufficiently close the cost gap for green alternatives. Under the system, starting in 2028 ship operators will face a two-tier penalty: $100/t CO₂e for emissions between the base and direct GHG intensity limit, and $380/t CO₂e for those exceeding the looser base limit. These thresholds will tighten annually through 2035. Ship operators can earn tradable credits for overcompliance when their GHG emissions fall below the direct limit. Assuming a surplus CO₂e credit value of $72/t — mirroring April 2025's average EU emissions trading system price — green ammonia would earn about $215/t in surplus credits in 2028 (see chart) . This barely offsets its April spot price of $2,830/t VLSFO equivalent in northwest Europe. Bio-methanol would receive about $175/t in credits, offering minimal relief on its $2,318/t April spot price. Currently, unsubsidized northwest Europe bio-LNG sits mid-range among bunker fuel options under IMO's emissions framework. While more expensive than HSFO, grey LNG, and B30 bioblends, the bio-LNG is cheaper than B100 (pure used cooking oil methyl ester), green ammonia, and bio-methanol. To become cost-competitive with unsubsidized bio-LNG — priced at $1,185/t in April 2025 — green ammonia and bio-methanol prices would need to fall by 57pc and 49pc, respectively, to around $1,220/t VLSFOe and $1,180/t VLSFOe by 2028. Unless green fuel prices drop significantly or fossil fuel prices rise, the IMO's structure alone provides insufficient economic incentive to accelerate green ammonia and bio-methanol adoption at scale. By Stefka Wechsler NW Europe, fuel prices plus IMO penalties and credits Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Generic Hero Banner

Business intelligence reports

Get concise, trustworthy and unbiased analysis of the latest trends and developments in oil and energy markets. These reports are specially created for decision makers who don’t have time to track markets day-by-day, minute-by-minute.

Learn more