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US offers tax credit path for ethanol SAF

  • Spanish Market: Biofuels
  • 15/12/23

Sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) made from ethanol and other renewable fuels could have an easier pathway to up to $1.75/USG in federal tax credits under guidance President Joe Biden's administration released today.

The guidance, issued by the US Treasury Department, delivers a win to ethanol producers that spent months lobbying the administration to retain the option of using a specific emissions model they say is critical for ethanol-derived SAF to qualify for the tax credit. The SAF tax credit, created by last year's Inflation Reduction Act, is only available to jet fuel with a lifecycle greenhouse gas emissions that is at least 50pc less than traditional jet fuel.

The Biden administration said it plans to allow companies to calculate the emissions intensity of SAF using an emissions model called Greenhouse Gases, Regulated Emissions and Energy Use in Technologies (GREET), but only after the model goes through a major update planned for March 2024. The existing model has been favored by ethanol companies and other renewable fuel producers, but opposed by environmental groups who say it fails to adequately capture the lifecycle emissions from farming land use changes.

The Treasury Department's guidance will also allow many fuel blending components qualified under the federal Renewable Fuel Standard — with the exception of corn-based ethanol — to qualify for the SAF tax credit. The guidance will automatically assign a 50pc lifecycle emissions cut to SAF blending components that have biomass-based D4 renewable identification numbers (RINs) or advanced biofuel D5 RINs. The guidance will assign a 60pc emissions cut to cellulosic biofuel-based D3 and cellulosic diesel D7 RINs.

Ethanol industry groups said they support the Biden administration's plan to allow the use of GREET for the tax credit, but say benefits to the industry will depend on next year's model updates. Federal officials say they plan to update the GREET model to account for technologies such as carbon capture and sequestration, indirect emissions from agriculture, renewable natural gas and other data.

"While there are important carbon modeling updates and details that still need to be worked out, we are cautiously optimistic that today's guidance could open the door to an enormous opportunity for America's farmers, ethanol producers and airlines," Renewable Fuels Association chief executive Geoff Cooper said.

Under the Inflation Reduction Act, SAF can only receive a "40B" tax credit if it cuts lifecycle greenhouse gas emissions by over 50pc compared to traditional jet fuel. Fuels that qualify are then rewarded a $1.25/USG tax credit, with another 1¢/USG awarded for each percentage point of additional greenhouse gas emissions reductions up to $1.75/USG.

While SAF does not currently qualify for the tax credit using the GREET model, regulators say they plan to update the model by 1 March 2024 and, once modified, the model could be applied to fuel sold or used from 2023 through 2024.

The 40B tax credit for SAF is scheduled to end after 2024, after which fuel could qualify for the 45Z clean fuel production credit, a separate program under the Inflation Reduction Act that awards tax credits on a sliding scale up to $1.75/USG, depending on the fuel's emissions reduction.

Climate groups argue the land required to produce enough corn ethanol to reach the US' target of 36bn USG of SAF, would be counterproductive to reducing emissions and could result in food insecurity.

"This would be devastating for food security and could increase carbon dioxide emissions by more than 340mn metric tonnes," World Resource Institute director Dan Lashof said. "The federal government should adhere to the best available science, which shows that crop-based fuels do not meet the law's requirement and are not the answer to cut aviation emissions."


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09/05/25

Brazil's inflation accelerates to 5.53pc in April

Brazil's inflation accelerates to 5.53pc in April

Sao Paulo, 9 May (Argus) — Brazil's annualized inflation rate rose to 5.53pc in April, accelerating for a third month despite six central bank rate hikes since September aimed at cooling the economy. The country's annualized inflation accelerated from 5.48pc in March and 5.06pc in February, according to government statistics agency IBGE. Food and beverages rose by an annual 7.81pc, up from 7.68pc in March. Ground coffee increased at an annual 80.2pc, accelerating from 77.78pc in the month prior. Still, soybean oil prices decelerated to 22.83pc in April from 24.36pc in March. Domestic power consumption costs rose to 0.71pc from 0.33pc a month earlier. Transportation costs decelerated to 5.49pc from 6.05pc in March. Gasoline prices slowed to a 8.86pc gain from 10.89pc a month earlier. The increase in ethanol and diesel prices decelerated as well to 13.9pc and 6.42pc in April from 20.08pc and 8.13pc in March, respectively. The hike in compressed natural gas prices (CNG) fell to 3.5pc from 3.92pc a month prior. Inflation posted the seventh consecutive monthly increase above the central bank's goal of 3pc, with tolerance of 1.5 percentage point above or below. Brazil's central bank increased its target interest rate for the sixth time in a row to 14.75pc on 7 May. The bank has been trying to counter soaring inflation as it has recently changed the way it tracks its goal. Monthly cooldown But Brazil's monthly inflation decelerated to 0.43pc in April from a 0.56pc gain in March. Food and beverages decelerated on a monthly basis to 0.82pc in April from a 1.17pc increase a month earlier, according to IBGE. Housing costs also decelerated to 0.24pc from 0.14pc in March. Transportation costs contracted by 0.38pc and posted the largest monthly contraction in April. Diesel prices posted the largest contraction at 1.27pc in April. Petrobras made three diesel price readjustments in April-May. By Maria Frazatto Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

EU consults on tariffs for €95bn US imports


09/05/25
09/05/25

EU consults on tariffs for €95bn US imports

Brussels, 9 May (Argus) — The European Commission is consulting on an extensive list, worth €95bn ($107bn), of US industrial, agricultural and other imports that could be subject to tariff countermeasures. The long list includes extends from livestock, biofuels, wood pellets to metals, aircraft, tankers and polymers . The consultation runs until midday on 10 June. It is aimed at stakeholders affected by US measures and possible EU rebalancing measures. Also considered for possible countermeasures are restrictions, worth €4.4bn, on EU exports to the US of steel, iron and aluminium scrap, as well as toluidines, alcoholic solutions and enzymes (CN codes 7204, 7602, 292143, 330210 and 350790). The commission linked the possible new measures to US universal tariffs and to Washington's specific tariffs on cars and car parts. The commission said the public consultation is a necessary procedural step. It does not automatically result in countermeasures. The EU also launched a WTO dispute procedure against the US for Washington's universal tariffs, set at 20pc for EU goods and currently paused at 10pc, and at 25pc on all imports of vehicles and car parts. The commission will need approval by EU governments under a simplified legislative procedure. Officials say this will complete a legal act for the countermeasures, making them "ready to use" if talks with the US do not produce a "satisfactory" result. The list of products potentially targeted includes livestock, along with items ranging from spectacles to antiques. The 218-page list includes a range of agricultural and food products including oats, maize, and cereal pellets. Also included are biodiesel and wood pellets (CN codes 38260010, 44013100), as well as paper and cotton products. Aluminium, iron, steel are listed together with a wide range of other goods from gas turbines, ships propellers and blades, aircraft, sea-going tankers and other vessels. Polymers, copolymers, polyesters and other products are not spared (CN codes 39039090 and more). On 10 April, the EU paused its reciprocal tariffs against the US for 90 days, responding to a US pause. The EU notes that €379bn, or 70pc, of the bloc's exports to the US are currently subject to new or paused tariffs. By Dafydd ab Iago Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

HSFO defies the green tide


08/05/25
08/05/25

HSFO defies the green tide

New York, 8 May (Argus) — High-sulphur fuel oil (HSFO), once seen as a fading relic, is proving remarkably resilient (see table) despite the maritime sector's push toward decarbonization. The fuel remains economically attractive thanks to persistent scrubber investments and regulatory frameworks that fail to fully penalize its use. Under the EU notation, HSFO and very low-sulphur fuel oil (VLSFO) are assigned the same calorific and greenhouse gas emission values. This equivalence means that ships fitted with scrubbers — systems that strip out sulphur oxides — face no additional penalties for choosing HSFO over VLSFO. As a result, greenhouse gas fees under FuelEU Maritime and the EU emissions trading system (ETS) offer no disincentive for scrubber users to stick with cheaper HSFO. In March 2025, the VLSFO-HSFO spread in Singapore narrowed to just $44/t, the lowest since the IMO 2020 sulphur cap took effect. At that level, a scrubber on a capesize bulker pays for itself in under two years. When the spread averaged $122/t in 2024, the payback period was about eight months. Even in regulated markets like Europe, economics favor HSFO. Under the EU ETS, ships operating in, out of or between EU ports must pay for 70pc of their CO2 emissions in 2025. In Rotterdam, bunker prices including ETS surcharges still favor HSFO: $575/t for HSFO, $605/t for VLSFO, and $783/t for a B30 Used cooking oil methyl ester blend. While biofuels, methanol and LNG are inching forward in market share, they remain cost-prohibitive. In the meantime, HSFO, with scrubber backing, continues to punch above its environmental weight. By Stefka Wechsler Selected ports marine fuel demand t % Chg 1Q 25-1Q 24 1Q 2025 less 1Q 2024 1Q 2025 1Q 2024 Singapore HSFO 1.0% 33,160.0 4,898,372.0 4,865,212.0 VLSFO/ULSFO -13.0% -1,005,951.0 6,829,667.0 7,835,618.0 MGO/MDO -5.0% -49,012.0 907,874.0 956,886.0 biofuel blends 187.0% 237,552.0 364,418.0 126,866.0 LNG 34.0% 25,935.0 101,856.0 75,921.0 Rotterdam HSFO 1.0% 11,169.0 829,197.0 818,028.0 VLSFO/ULSFO 14.0% 118,670.0 976,249.0 857,579.0 MGO/MDO 3.0% 9,662.0 393,071.0 383,409.0 biofuel blends -60.0% -158,597.0 104,037.0 262,634.0 LNG 7.0% 7.0 104.0 97.0 Panama HSFO 22.0% 65,266.0 362,388.0 297,122.0 VLSFO/ULSFO 25.0% 177,296.0 878,776.0 701,480.0 MGO/MDO 22.0% 27,097.0 150,980.0 123,883.0 — Maritime and Port Authority of Singapore, Rotterdam Port Authority and Panama Canal Authority Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Bangchak tests runs at Thai SAF plant before 3Q launch


08/05/25
08/05/25

Bangchak tests runs at Thai SAF plant before 3Q launch

Singapore, 8 May (Argus) — Thai energy group Bangchak is conducting test runs at its sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) plant in Bangkok before likely starting regular production in the third quarter, sources close to the company said. The plant, which is also the country's first SAF plant, will have an initial production capacity of 1mn litres/d. It will mainly consume ISCC-certified used cooking oil (UCO) as feedstock for SAF production via the hydroprocessed esters and fatty acids (HEFA) pathway. Other feedstocks could also be explored in the future, company sources said. The plant will also produce byproducts such as bio-LPG and bionaphtha. Its SAF production process was developed in collaboration with Belgian biofuels processing technology company Desmet, which provided feedstock pre-treatment technologies, and US technology firm UOP Honeywell, a pioneer in hydroprocessing systems, according to Bangchak. Thailand is currently considering the introduction of a SAF mandate at a 1pc blend rate from 2026, with proposals to increase this to 3pc in 2030 and 8pc by 2037. But firm details on implementation mechanisms have yet to be announced. Thailand's board of investment in January approved corporate tax exemptions for SAF producers and investors in the country for a period ranging over 3-8 years. Bangchak has already secured offtake for some of its initial production volumes. The firm last year entered an agreement with oil major Shell's Singapore-based subsidiary to supply SAF from its plant. Bangchak also previously signed another supply agreement with Japanese refiner Cosmo Oil in December 2023, but volumes are still under discussion, a company source said. The Argus fob Singapore SAF netback price has been on a downtrend since late last year, reaching a record lows of $1,668/t on 5 March, and also marking the lowest since Argus ' assessments started in November 2020. The price was at $1,682/t on 7 May. By Sarah Giam Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

IMO GHG pricing falls short on green methanol, ammonia


07/05/25
07/05/25

IMO GHG pricing falls short on green methanol, ammonia

New York, 7 May (Argus) — The International Maritime Organization's (IMO) proposed global greenhouse gas (GHG) pricing mechanism might not drive significant uptake of green methanol and green ammonia by 2035, given current market prices. Despite introducing penalties on high-emission fuels use and tradable surplus credits for low-emission fuels, the mechanism does not sufficiently close the cost gap for green alternatives. Under the system, starting in 2028 ship operators will face a two-tier penalty: $100/t CO₂e for emissions between the base and direct GHG intensity limit, and $380/t CO₂e for those exceeding the looser base limit. These thresholds will tighten annually through 2035. Ship operators can earn tradable credits for overcompliance when their GHG emissions fall below the direct limit. Assuming a surplus CO₂e credit value of $72/t — mirroring April 2025's average EU emissions trading system price — green ammonia would earn about $215/t in surplus credits in 2028 (see chart) . This barely offsets its April spot price of $2,830/t VLSFO equivalent in northwest Europe. Bio-methanol would receive about $175/t in credits, offering minimal relief on its $2,318/t April spot price. Currently, unsubsidized northwest Europe bio-LNG sits mid-range among bunker fuel options under IMO's emissions framework. While more expensive than HSFO, grey LNG, and B30 bioblends, the bio-LNG is cheaper than B100 (pure used cooking oil methyl ester), green ammonia, and bio-methanol. To become cost-competitive with unsubsidized bio-LNG — priced at $1,185/t in April 2025 — green ammonia and bio-methanol prices would need to fall by 57pc and 49pc, respectively, to around $1,220/t VLSFOe and $1,180/t VLSFOe by 2028. Unless green fuel prices drop significantly or fossil fuel prices rise, the IMO's structure alone provides insufficient economic incentive to accelerate green ammonia and bio-methanol adoption at scale. By Stefka Wechsler NW Europe, fuel prices plus IMO penalties and credits Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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