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India air passenger traffic to double by 2030: minister

  • Spanish Market: Oil products
  • 19/01/24

India's domestic air passenger traffic will double to 300mn by 2030, civil aviation minister Jyotiraditya Scindia said on 18 January.

Domestic air travel serves as an indicator of jet fuel demand. India's demand for jet fuel demand rose by 15pc from a year earlier to 174,000 b/d in 2023, petroleum ministry data show.

India's domestic air passenger traffic hit a record high of 152mn passengers in 2023, up by 23pc from 123mn in 2022, data from the civil aviation ministry show. The rise has reflected the sector's recovery from the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic, aided by rising air travel demand and improving airport infrastructure.

"Today our penetration is roughly about 3-4pc," Scindia said. "That will grow to about 10-15pc. We still have 85pc penetration to go." The government is working towards this by creating capacity, he added, removing bottlenecks and simplifying procedures in the sector.

The Indian government also aims to increase the number of airports, waterports and heliports to over 200 by 2030 from 149 currently, Scindia said. He added that India's fleet size will increase from 713 to over 2,000 by 2034, with India becoming the third-largest buyer of aircraft behind the US and China.

Domestic air passenger traffic is expected to expand by 8pc in the April 2023-March 2024 fiscal year and by 13pc in April 2024-March 2025, Indian credit rating agency Icra said.


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30/10/24

UK budget falls short of lifting bitumen demand

UK budget falls short of lifting bitumen demand

London, 30 October (Argus) — UK finance minister Rachel Reeves today in the country's budget allocated an extra £500mn ($650mn) to road maintenance, but this will do little to tackle road conditions in the country, according to industry organisation the Asphalt Industry Alliance (AIA). Reeves also confirmed the HS2 rail link between Old Oak Common in west London and Birmingham, with tunnelling work to extend the line to London's Euston station. AIA chair David Giles said that although it was encouraging to hear acknowledgement that the condition of our local roads is a reminder of the failure to invest as a nation, it was disappointing that the opportunity to deliver a step change was missed. Giles welcomed the additional £500mn for highway maintenance next year, but said that it "falls short of the long-term funding horizon the sector has been calling for". England alone needs £14.4bn, as a one time catch up cost, according to the AIA. "This additional allocation is a fraction of what's needed to prevent further decline,"he said. One time catch up cost is the amount needed to as a one-off to bring the network up to a condition that would allow it to be managed cost effectively going forward as part of a proactive asset, according to the organisation. The AIA was hoping for a multi-year ringfenced commitment allowing local authorities to plan and proactively carry out the effective maintenance needed to drive improvement on local roads, Giles said. Government data show UK bitumen consumption slipped to 1.54mn t in 2023, the lowest since 2016. Consumption was 1.89mn t in 2021 and 1.56mn t in 2022. In the first seven months of this year consumption was 835,000t, 9pc down from 917,000t in the same period of 2023. By Fenella Rhodes Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Cepsa rebrands to Moeve to reflect sustainability shift


30/10/24
30/10/24

Cepsa rebrands to Moeve to reflect sustainability shift

Madrid, 30 October (Argus) — Spain-based integrated energy company Cepsa has changed its name for the first time in its 95 years of existence, to Moeve (pronounced Moo-eh-vey). The change reflects Cepsa's transition "in which the majority of profits will come from sustainable activities by the end of this decade," said chief executive Maarten Wetselaar. Cepsa has sold nearly 70pc of its oil and gas production over the past two years, including its stakes in upstream assets in Abu Dhabi , in Peru and in Colombia . It has retained stakes in light crude and gas production in Algeria, which has a significantly lower carbon footprint. The company reported provisional working interest crude production of 36,000 b/d in July-September, down from 80,000 b/d in the same period of 2021. Since then it has announced an €8bn ($8.65bn) investment strategy to decarbonise much of its business through ventures such at the planned 2GW Andalusian Hydrogen Valley , announced at the end of 2022, together with second-generation biofuels, biomethane and renewables development. Cepsa, or Compañia Espanola de Petroleos SA, was founded in 1929. It has been been majority controlled by Abu Dhabi sovereign wealth investors IPIC and Mubadala Investment Company since 2011. US investment fund Carlyle acquired 37pc of the firm in 2019. By Jonathan Gleave Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

LPG bunker demand lags despite competitive pricing


29/10/24
29/10/24

LPG bunker demand lags despite competitive pricing

New York, 29 October (Argus) — LPG is seen by shipowners as one of the least expensive fuels for meeting new low-carbon emission rules, but spotty safety rules, a lack of bunkering infrastructure or four-stroke engines able to use it is holding back demand. LPG has been price-competitive with LNG and at a significant discount to B30 biodiesel, bio-methanol and blue ammonia and green ammonia this year, according to Argus . ( see chart ). Taking into account the cost of CO2 traded on the EU emissions trading system (ETS), northwest Europe LPG was pegged at $577/t from 1-28 October compared with LNG at $614/t average ( see chart ). The EU's ETS for marine shipping started this year and requires ship operators pay for 40pc of their greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions generated on voyages in the EU. Next year, ship operators will have to pay for 70pc of their CO2 emissions. LPG is one of the fuels that can help ship operators comply with the FuelEU for the next ten years. Starting on 1 January 2025, the EU's FuelEU regulation will require a 2pc cut in the lifecycle greenhouse intensity for bunker fuels burned in EU territorial waters compared with 2020 base year levels. The reduction jumps to 6pc from 2030 and gradually reaches 80pc by 2050. LPG's lifecycle GHG emissions footprint varies depending on its production pathway. It is pegged at about 81.24 grams of CO2-equivalent per megajoule (gCO2e/MJ), according to technical support documentation from the California Air Resources Board. At this carbon intensity level, LPG is compliant with FuelEU's GHG limit set at 85.69 gCO2e/MJ through year 2034, similar to LNG. There are 151 operational ships with LPG-burning engines, with another 109 vessels on order by 2028, according to vessel classification society DNV. LPG bunker demand more than doubled to 242,292t in 2023 compared with 101,447t in 2022, according to the latest International Maritime Organization (IMO) data collected from vessels of 5,000 gross tonnes and over. But LPG bunker demand was dwarfed by comparison with LNG bunker demand, which was at 12.9mn t in 2023, up from 11mn t in 2022, according to the IMO. There were over 700 LNG burning vessels operational this year, with the number growing to 1,162 by 2028, according to DNV data. LPG accounted for 0.1pc and LNG for 6.1pc of global marine fuel demand from vessels with 5,000 gross tonnes and over in 2023. LNG as a marine fuel has been around longer than LPG. The World Liquid Gas Association, a trade association, began exploring the use of LPG as a marine fuel in 2012. The first LPG-fueled very large gas carrier BW Gemini was retrofitted to burn LPG in 2020. By comparison, LNG for bunkering by LNG carriers have been around since the 1960s. The first LNG-powered container ship was delivered in 2015. The bulk of the global LPG bunker demand came from LPG carriers. LPG carriers outfitted with LPG-burning engines can burn their own cargo, taking advantage of the ships' existing infrastructure and safety systems and minimizing their operating costs. But LPG demand from other major types of bunker-consuming vessels, such as container ships, dry bulk carriers and oil tankers, is lagging. One reason is only two-stroke LPG-burning marine engines are commercially available, says vessel classification society Lloyd's Register . Typically, large vessels use two-stroke engines for propulsion and four-stroke engines as auxiliaries, meaning auxiliary engines on vessels would need to be decarbonised through an additional fuel, says Lloyd's Register. LPG has a well-developed global network of import and export terminals. But LPG for bunkering port infrastructure, such as dedicated bunkering storage tanks and LPG bunkering barges, is mostly lacking. Unlike LNG for bunkering, LPG for bunkering regulatory guidelines are currently patchy. If leaked onto water, LPG rapidly vaporises and then sinks to the surface of the water given it is heavier than ambient air. If it ignites, it can create a "pool fire" that can spread and cannot be extinguished, continuing to burn until all the LPG is consumed, Lloyd's Register says. By Stefka Wechsler NW Europe selected alternative marine fuels $/t VLSFOe NW Europe, 1-28 Oct avg $/t VLSFOe Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Brazil fossil fuel subsidies outpace renewables: Study


29/10/24
29/10/24

Brazil fossil fuel subsidies outpace renewables: Study

Sao Paulo, 29 October (Argus) — Brazil's spending on fossil fuels subsidies in 2023 was around 4.5 times larger than its spending on renewables subsidies, according to a study published by the institute of socioeconomic studies Inesc. The country spent R99.8bn ($17.49bn) in subsidies for both fossil fuels and renewables in 2023, a 3.6pc increase from 2022, the study said. Of the total, R81.74bn were related to fossil fuels — a 0.5pc decrease from a year prior — while R18.06bn went to renewable sources, a near 27pc hike from 2022. The slight fossil fuel subsidies reduction was due to the return of taxes on gasoline, such as the VAT-like PIS/Confins, the study said. "The government lost the chance of providing greater relief for public coffers as it decided to maintain exemptions for diesel," it added. But while incentives to fossil fuel consumption decreased, those for exploration and production activities increased by R5.55bn. Cassio Carvalho, a co-author of the study for Inesc, said the fossil fuels subsidies will harm Brazil's energy transition. "The study indicates that consumers are bearing the subsidies for renewables through electricity bills, while the oil and natural gas industry remains untouched," Carvalho said. Ending subsidies to fossil fuels is an "unavoidable global commitment" laid out in the UN Cop 28 climate summit in Dubai, said Alessandra Cardoso, the other co-authored of the study. "What is expected of the Brazilian government is that it recognizes the problem of production subsidies as a domestic problem, the solution to which involves global reform," she said. "Brazil needs to take on this agenda as part of its leading role in the global climate scenario, especially as it will host Cop 30." Brazil will host Cop 30 in 2025 in Para's state capital Belem, on the edge of the Amazon forest. By Lucas Parolin Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

China’s Sinopec cuts crude runs, sales in 3Q 2024


29/10/24
29/10/24

China’s Sinopec cuts crude runs, sales in 3Q 2024

San Francisco, 28 October (Argus) — Chinese state-controlled Sinopec cut crude runs and product sales in the third quarter as downstream margins weakened, leading to lower profits for the quarter. Sinopec processed 5.08mn b/d (190.69mn t) of crude in the first nine months of this year. The firm set a full-year target of 260mn t (5.2mn b/d) earlier in March. It sold 3.94mn b/d (138.06mn t) of gasoline, diesel and jet in the first nine months of this year domestically and has set a 2024 target of 191mn t. This suggests it will need to further ramp up throughput and sales in the fourth quarter to meet full-year targets. Sinopec is expected to pare back refinery runs this month from last month as margins weaken. But the company's gas output grew faster than expected. Output rose by 5.6pc on the year to 3.83bn ft³/d. It set a 2024 target of 3.78bn ft³/d earlier this year, which would be a 3pc growth from a year earlier. The company has this year "adjusted utilisation rate and product mix," it said, to counter "severe challenges" from rapidly decreasing oil prices and narrowing margins for certain products during the first nine months of this year. But this still failed to stem losses in its downstream segments in the July-September quarter, including refining and chemicals. Chinese gasoline crack spreads have collapsed to -$1.22/bl on 25 October, from their summer peak of $18.68/bl on 5 August, because of weak demand exacerbated by rapid displacement in the transport sector by electric vehicles, and this is forcing refiners to cut runs and boost exports. The company's net profit fell by 55pc on the year to 8.03bn yuan ($1.12bn) in July-September, a slightly bigger drop than some analysts estimated. Refining earnings before interest and taxes (ebit) of -$0.29/bl in the quarter is the lowest level since the fourth quarter of 2022, when it fell to -$2.61/bl. The fall in July-September ebit may be partly because of crude inventory loss, although the company did not specify. The company stepped up its "oil to chemicals" and "oil to specialties" project expansions. Its combined capital expenditure (capex) of Yn28bn for its refining and chemicals segments in January-September went to expanding the refining capacity at its 540,000 b/d Zhenhai refinery in eastern Zhejiang and adding of ethylene capacity at refineries including its 470,000 b/d Maoming refinery in southern Guangdong. Sinopec 3Q 2024 results 3Q24 3Q23 ±% Profit Yn bn Profit 8.0 17.9 -55.2 Upstream 16.1 16.2 -1.0 Refining -1.0 7.3 -113.3 Marketing 5.2 9.6 -45.4 Chemicals -1.6 -3.3 -51.5 Natural gas and pipeline NA NA NA Sales mn b/d Domestic product sales 4.1 4.3 -4.4 Total product sales 5.3 5.4 -2.0 Output Crude output mn b/d 0.8 0.8 -0.2 Natural gas output bcf/d 3.8 3.6 4.7 Refinery runs mn b/d 5.1 5.3 -4.8 Gasoline output mn b/d 1.5 1.6 -0.5 Diesel output mn b/d 1.1 1.3 -14.2 Jet output mn b/d 0.7 0.7 2.8 Source: Sinopec, Argus Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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