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California advisory speakers push to delay LCFS vote

  • Spanish Market: Biofuels, Emissions, Natural gas, Oil products
  • 09/02/24

California regulators should delay long-awaited changes to the state's Low Carbon Fuel Standard (LCFS) until at least July, members of an advisory committee said yesterday.

Staff-proposed revisions the California Air Resources Board (CARB) could consider at a March meeting would allow too much biofuel and biogas to remain in the state's transportation supply for too long, members of the board's Environmental Justice Advisory Committee (EJAC) and public commenters said during a meeting to discuss the plan.

Speakers on Thursday specifically warned against incentives for renewable diesel production and dairy methane capture, and worried the program as proposed would heap costs on residents who could not afford zero-emissions vehicles. Opposition could further extend dramatic surplus conditions that last month helped drop LCFS spot prices to their lowest level in nearly nine years.

The comments did not constitute a formal recommendation by the full committee. The advisory panel has no voting power on CARB decisions, instead offering the board perspective on rulemakings and policies from historically disadvantaged and under-represented communities.

The committee's reaction and hours of public comment show that LCFS program revisions proposed in December have not satisfied critics who are adamant that the state more quickly transition away from combustion fuels and agricultural feedstocks.

"We hope the board listens to the community and tothe EJAC and postpones this decision because we need to be serious here about the kind of transformation that we need so that our communities do not continue to be the sacrifice zones," co-chairwoman Martha Dina Arguello said.

LCFS requires yearly reductions to transportation fuel carbon intensity. Higher-carbon fuels that exceed the annual limit incur deficits that suppliers must offset with credits generated from the distribution in California of approved, lower-carbon alternatives.

The combination of LCFS, other state carbon incentives and federal tax and renewable fuel mandate programs have made California a leading destination for growing production of renewable diesel and biogas. Renewable diesel last year began to fill more than half of the state's liquid diesel pool and generated roughly 40pc of all new LCFS credits. Biogas, much of it credited through book-and-claim from out-of-state dairies and attributed to compressed natural gas vehicles, generated another 17pc of all new credits in the third quarter of 2023.

Supporters point to these fuels as valuable alternatives that cut the carbon intensity of current vehicles while zero-emissions technologies, especially for medium- and heavy-duty vehicles, catch up. Environmental justice speakers have repeatedly warned that these fuels extend polluted conditions for communities along the fence lines of dairies and converted renewable diesel plants.

The committee in September urged CARB to limit credits for crop-based biofuels and for captured dairy methane. CARB's proposed rulemaking requires new certification for forestry- and crop-based feedstocks by 2028, and limits the credits generated by biogas projects — if they break ground after 2029.

CARB's proposals have failed to address the committee's concerns, and the speed of the rulemaking seemed to allow little time for change, speakers said. Public comment began 5 January and will continue to 20 February. CARB has scheduled a hearing on the rulemaking for its 21 March meeting, which would be the first opportunity for the board to consider voting on the proposal.

"This is a really important rule program, and unfortunately, I think, on both process and substance we have progressed from bad to worse," EJAC co-chair Catherine Garoupa White said.

A delay could also push back the higher-profile elements of the proposed changes, including tougher targets and automatic mechanisms to respond to rising credit supplies. Ten consecutive quarters of new credits exceeding new deficits has amassed more than 20mn t of unexpiring credits available for future compliance. Available credits are likely to continue to grow as long as the status quo remains.


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20/12/24

US House votes to avert government shutdown

US House votes to avert government shutdown

Washington, 20 December (Argus) — The US House of Representatives voted overwhelmingly today to extend funding for US federal government agencies and avoid a partial government shutdown. The Republican-controlled House, by a 366-34 vote, approved a measure that would maintain funding for the government at current levels until 14 March, deliver $10bn in agricultural aid and provide $100bn in disaster relief. Its passage was in doubt until voting began in the House at 5pm ET, following a chaotic intervention two days earlier by president-elect Donald Trump and his allies, including Tesla chief executive Elon Musk. The Democratic-led Senate is expected to approve the measure, and President Joe Biden has promised to sign it. Trump and Musk on 18 December derailed a spending deal House speaker Mike Johnson (R-Louisiana) had negotiated with Democratic lawmakers in the House and the Senate. Trump lobbied for a more streamlined version that would have suspended the ceiling on federal debt until 30 January 2027. But that version of the bill failed in the House on Thursday, because of opposition from 38 Republicans who bucked the preference of their party leader. Trump and Musk opposed the bipartisan spending package, contending that it would fund Democratic priorities, such as rebuilding the collapsed Francis Scott Key Bridge in Baltimore, Maryland. But doing away with that bill killed many other initiatives that his party members have advanced, including a provision authorizing year-round 15pc ethanol gasoline (E15) sales. Depending on the timing of the Senate action and the presidential signature, funding for US government agencies could lapse briefly beginning on Saturday. Key US agencies tasked with energy sector regulatory oversight and permitting activities have indicated that a brief shutdown would not significantly interfere with their operations. But the episode previews potential legislative disarray when Republicans take full control of Congress on 3 January and Trump returns to the White House on 20 January. Extending government funding beyond 14 March is likely to feature as an element in the Republicans' attempts to extend corporate tax cuts set to expire at the end of 2025, which is a key priority for Trump. The Republicans will have a 53-47 majority in the Senate next month, but their hold on the House will be even narrower than this year, at 219-215 initially. Trump has picked two House Republican members to serve in his administration, so the House Republican majority could briefly drop to 217-215 just as funding for the government would expire in mid-March. Congress will separately have to tackle the issue of raising the debt limit. Conservative advocacy group Economic Policy Innovation Center projects that US borrowing could reach that limit as early as June. By Haik Gugarats Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Brazil Bndes invests more in Sao Paulo EV fleet


20/12/24
20/12/24

Brazil Bndes invests more in Sao Paulo EV fleet

Sao Paulo, 20 December (Argus) — Brazil's Bndes development bank approved R94.8mn ($15.6mn) in financing for transport company MobiBrasil to buy 87 electric buses in Sao Paulo city. The environment ministry's climate fund — created to finance climate change mitigation projects and Bndes — will be responsible for R45mn. A federal fund to provide financial security to the unemployed, dubbed FGTS, will be responsible for the remaining R49.8mn. This is Bndes' first operation using FGTS resources. Earlier this month, Bndes said it will invest R2.5bn to buy 1,300 EV-buses in Sao Paulo city . On 9 December, the city's council postponed the bus fleet transition from diesel-powered to EVs to 2054 from the previous 2038 deadline. By Maria Frazatto Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US government agencies set to shut down


20/12/24
20/12/24

US government agencies set to shut down

Washington, 20 December (Argus) — US federal agencies would have to furlough millions of workers and curtail permitting and regulatory services if no agreement is reached by Friday at 11:59pm ET to extend funding for the government. US president-elect Donald Trump and his allies — including Tesla chief executive Elon Musk — on 18 December upended a spending deal US House of Representatives speaker Mike Johnson (R-Louisiana) had negotiated with Democratic lawmakers in the House and the Senate. Trump endorsed an alternative proposal that Johnson put together, but that measure failed in a 174-235 vote late on Thursday, with 38 Republicans and nearly every Democrat voting against it. Trump via social media today indicated he would not push for a new funding bill. "If there is going to be a shutdown of government, let it begin now, under the Biden Administration, not after January 20th, under 'TRUMP,'" he wrote. There was little to indicate as of Friday morning that Trump, Republican congressional leadership and lawmakers were negotiating in earnest to avert a shutdown. The House Republican conference is due to meet in the afternoon to weigh its next steps. President Joe Biden said he would support the first funding deal that Johnson negotiated with the Democratic lawmakers. "Republicans are doing the bidding of their billionaire benefactors at the expense of hardworking Americans," the White House said. Any agreement on funding the government will have to secure the approval of the House Republican leadership and all factions of the Republican majority in the House, who appear to be looking for cues from Trump and Musk on how to proceed. Any deal would then require the support of at least 60 House Democrats to clear the procedural barriers, before it reaches the Senate where the Democrats hold a majority. The same factors will be in play even if the shutdown extends into early 2025. The Republicans are set to take the majority in the Senate when new Congress meets on 3 January. But their House majority will be even slimmer, at 219-215, requiring cooperation of Democratic lawmakers and the Biden administration. What happens when the government shuts down? Some agencies are able to continue operations in the event of a funding lapse. Air travel is unlikely to face immediate interruptions because key federal workers are considered "essential," but some work on permits, agricultural and import data, and regulations could be curtailed. The US Federal Energy Regulatory Commission has funding to get through a "short-term" shutdown but could be affected by a longer shutdown, chairman Willie Phillips said. The US Department of Energy, which includes the Energy Information Administration and its critical energy data provision services, expects "no disruptions" if funding lapses for 1-5 days, according to its shutdown plan. The US Environmental Protection Agency would furlough about 90pc of its nearly 17,000 staff in the event of a shutdown, according to a plan it updated earlier this year. The Interior Department's shutdown contingency plan calls for the Bureau of Land Management (BLM) to furlough 4,900 out of its nearly 10,000 employees. BLM, which is responsible for permitting oil, gas and coal activities on the US federal land, would cease nearly all functions other than law enforcement and emergency response. Interior's Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement, which oversees offshore leases, would continue permitting activities but would furlough 60pc of its staff after its funding lapses. The US Bureau of Ocean Energy Management will keep processing some oil and gas exploration plans with an on-call group of 40 exempted personnel, such as time-sensitive actions related to ongoing work. The shutdown also affects multiple other regulatory and permitting functions across other government agencies, including the Departments of Agriculture, Transportation and Treasury. By Haik Gugarats Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Investment funds cut net long positions on Ice TTF


20/12/24
20/12/24

Investment funds cut net long positions on Ice TTF

London, 20 December (Argus) — Investment funds have cut their TTF gas net long positions on the Intercontinental Exchange (Ice) by nearly 50TWh from their historic peak at the end of November, while commercial undertakings' positions have moved strongly in the opposite direction. Investment funds' net long position had climbed steadily from 202TWh in the week ending 18 October to an all-time high of nearly 294TWh by 29 November. But in the two weeks since that point, their net position has dropped again by 48TWh ( see graph ), leaving their 246TWh net long position at the smallest since 8 November, according to Ice's latest commitments of traders report. However, only around 30pc of the decrease in the net long position came from closing long positions, with the large majority coming from opening up more shorts. Total long contracts were cut to 445TWh on 13 December from 461TWh on 29 November, but short contracts jumped to 200TWh from 167TWh in the same period. Such a large trimming of the net long position contributed to falling prices over the period — the benchmark Argus TTF front-month price fell from €48.45/MWh at the start of the month to €41.10/MWh at the close on 13 December. The front-quarter, front-season and front-year contracts all fell by roughly the same amount, as the entire price curve shifted down. While investment funds reduced their net long position over these two weeks, commercial undertakings — predominantly utilities — moved in the opposite direction, with their net short position falling to 37TWh from 102TWh. This was driven entirely by opening up more long contracts, which jumped to 947TWh from 877TWh, while shorts increased by just 5TWh between 29 November and 13 December to 984TWh. Commercial undertakings' total open interest therefore soared to 1.93PWh by the end of last week, triple the volume of investment funds' total open interest. Investment funds have in the past two weeks bought "risk reduction" contracts — generally used for hedging purposes — for the first time since May 2021. This suggests that some investment funds hold physical positions that they want to hedge their exposure to, although the volumes are small at around 300GWh for both shorts and longs. While utilities' positions in the futures markets are mostly risk-reducing to offset the risk held in physical positions, investment funds' positions are typically not risk-reducing because they are bets on the direction of prices. That said, utilities and other commercial undertakings such as large industrial buyers have increasingly set up trading desks that compete with hedge funds to capitalise on price trends and volatility in recent years. Risk reduction contracts account for around 69pc of commercial undertakings' open interest, meaning the other 31pc of contracts — amounting to 600TWh — were more speculative in nature. This 600TWh of speculative total open interest is only just below the 645TWh held by investment funds. By Brendan A'Hearn ICE TTF net positions TWh Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Shell and Prax call off deal on German refinery stake


20/12/24
20/12/24

Shell and Prax call off deal on German refinery stake

Hamburg, 20 December (Argus) — Shell's planned sale of its 37.5pc stake in Germany's 226,000 b/d Schwedt refinery to UK energy firm Prax has fallen through. "Both parties have taken the decision not to proceed with the transaction," Prax said, without elaborating. The refinery will continue to operate as normal, it said. Shell said the companies had reached the end of an agreed timeframe for closing the deal. It said it is still looking to sell the stake. The deal with Prax, which was announced a year ago , was initially due to be completed in the first half of 2024. Shell owns its stake in Schwedt through the PCK joint venture, which also includes Italy's Eni and Rosneft Deutschland, one of the Russian firm's two German subsidiaries. Shell previously attempted to sell its PCK share to Austria-based Alcmene in 2021 but that deal failed to complete after Rosneft Deutschland exercised its pre-emption rights later that year. Rosneft was unable to buy the stake after the German government placed its two German subsidiaries under trust administration in 2022 in the wake of Moscow's invasion of Ukraine, forcing Shell to seek an alternative buyer. In October, a court in Germany rejected a complaint by Rosneft Deutschland against Shell's plan to sell its PCK stake to Prax. By Svea Winter Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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