Australia’s Queensland Gas Pipeline damaged by fire

Spanish Market: Fertilizers, Metals, Natural gas
07/03/24

Australian gas pipeline operator Jemena is to repair damage to its 145 TJ/d (3.9mn m³/d) Queensland Gas Pipeline (QCP) connecting Wallumbilla in Queensland state to industrial users near Gladstone after a fire-related disruption.

Queensland Fire and Emergency Services responded on 5 March to an incident between the Rolleston compressor station and Oombabeer, 190km west of Gladstone, Jemena said, with the company's crews now working to prepare the affected section of the QGP for repairs.

Jemena organised on 6 March to supply additional gas from Australian independent Santos' 7.8mn t/yr Gladstone LNG (GLNG) gas pipeline to reach affected customers, which has restored some gas flows to the 627km pipeline.

The Australian Energy Market Operator is issuing directions to large industrial users to curb gas use, Jemena said, although no residential customers were affected.

Australian chemicals and explosives firm Orica confirmed its Yarwun plant was affected by the disruption. It was working with Jemena to reduce cyanide production at the site until the incident is resolved, a Orica spokesman said. Yarwun's ammonium nitrate production is continuing as normal and Orica does not expect any supply disruption to customers currently, the spokesman said on 7 March. Yarwun has capacity to produce 530,000 t/yr of ammonium nitrate and 95,000 t/yr sodium cyanide for the resource sector, exporting more than 50pc of this output. Yarwun can also produce around 420,000 t/yr of nitric acid.

Rio Tinto has three aluminium facilities in the Gladstone area — the Boyne smelter and the Yarwun and Queensland alumina refineries — possibly also affected by the disruption.

Flows to the Queensland liquefaction plants including GLNG, the 9mn t/yr Australia Pacific LNG and 8.5mn t/yr Queensland Curtis LNG projects were 4,049TJ on 29 February, marginally higher than 4,013TJ a week earlier.

Further gas could be released to the domestic market, as GLNG has a short maintenance planned for 11-13 March following a similar downtime during 26-28 February that took the equivalent of half a train of the two-train project off line.

By Tom Major

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11/05/25

India, Pakistan reach US-mediated, fragile ceasefire

Dubai, 11 May (Argus) — A US-mediated ceasefire reached on Saturday between nuclear-armed neighbours India and Pakistan is still holding, following four days of intense fighting. "After a long night of talks mediated by the United States, I am pleased to announce that India and Pakistan have agreed to a FULL AND IMMEDIATE CEASEFIRE," US president Donald Trump posted on his social media platform Truth Social on Saturday. India and Pakistan will now start negotiations on a broad set of issues at a neutral site, US secretary of state Marco Rubio said on social media platform X. India's military on 7 May launched attacks against targets in Pakistan and Pakistan-administered Kashmir in retaliation for an April terrorist attack that killed dozens. But by Saturday, the two countries seemed to be edging toward all-out war, as their militaries targeted each other's bases. India's foreign minister Subrahmanyam Jaishankar confirmed the ceasefire, saying on X that "India has consistently maintained a firm and uncompromising stance against terrorism in all its forms and manifestations. It will continue to do so." Pakistan "responded positively to the ceasefire proposal for regional and global peace, and its people and I hope that dialogue will now be chosen for resolution of water and Kashmir disputes," Pakistan's prime minister Shehbaz Sharif said in a televised address. Trump also praised leaders of both countries for agreeing to halt the aggression and said he would "substantially" increase trade with them, although this was "not even discussed". Kashmir is a contested area between India and Pakistan, and the two have twice gone to a war over the region. Fear of the conflict spreading roiled global financial markets. India is the region's second-biggest oil buyer after China — importing around 4.5mn b/d last year — and a major customer for other commodities, including LNG and coal. Pakistan also imports fertilizers, coal, oil products and LNG. The escalation between the two severely limited direct trade between them. Airlines in the region as well as some Mideast Gulf carriers rerouted or cancelled flights to avoid Pakistani airspace. But the Pakistan Airports Authority said on Saturday that "Pakistan's airspace has been fully reopened for all types of flights." By Bachar Halabi Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Ford pauses production at Chicago plant

09/05/25

Ford pauses production at Chicago plant

Houston, 9 May (Argus) — Automaker Ford temporarily shut down production at its Chicago, Illinois, assembly plant following a supply chain disruption. The company said it moved a planned downtime week ahead of schedule and expects to resume production by 19 May. Congressman Frank Mrvan (D-Indiana) in a US House appropriations hearing on 7 May said the shutdown was due to a shortage of critical minerals needed to produce the company's braking systems. The company did not respond to the specific elements driving the shutdown. The plant manufactures the Ford Explorer, Police Interceptor Utility and Lincoln Aviator. By Jenna Baer Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Brazil's CSN expects flat steel, upside ahead

09/05/25

Brazil's CSN expects flat steel, upside ahead

Sao Paulo, 9 May (Argus) — Brazil's mining and steel firm CSN expects strong domestic demand to keep steel prices flat in 2025, with the potential for an uptrend in the coming months. Sales to the agricultural machinery and automotive industries should continue to trend upward , the company said. Civil construction sales have been solid and could tick up as the rainy season ends in Brazil. "Demand is good," executive director Luis Fernando Martinez said, adding that the firm will hold back price gains "to maintain profitability." The price of CSN's overall steel products increased by 5pc in the first quarter from a year earlier thanks to a 7pc increase in demand. Average steel prices hit a two-year high at R5,252 ($928)/metric tonne from R5,008/t a year earlier. Steel consumption has been climbing in Brazil and sales could have been stronger if not for growing competition from imports, the company said. Brazil's import penetration hit 27pc of the domestic market in the quarter, outstripping CSN's domestic market share. "I've never seen this in the [23 years] I've been in the company," Martinez said, calling the situation "unsustainable." Despite what he described as an inefficient tariff policy against imports, prices are expected to remain at current levels. Brazil implemented a 25pc tariff on 11 steel products from China in June 2024. The policy is set to expire by the end of May. Results Shipments reached 1.14mn t in the period, up 5pc from 1.08mn t a year earlier, driven by 8pc growth in domestic market sales. Slab production fell by 16pc to 812,000t because of a stoppage at the Rio de Janeiro-based Blast Furnace 2 in January. The company expects the asset to remain under maintenance for at least three more months. CSN produced 775,000t of flat-rolled steel in the quarter, 11pc less than a year prior. Long steel output increased by 12pc to 58,000t from a year earlier. The company registered a R732mn loss in the first quarter, 53pc higher than the R480mn loss a year before. By Isabel Filgueiras Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Ethiopia’s EABC still needs up to 400,000t DAP in 2025

09/05/25

Ethiopia’s EABC still needs up to 400,000t DAP in 2025

London, 9 May (Argus) — Ethiopian Agricultural Businesses (EABC) will close a tender to buy 425,390t of DAP on 13 May. Argus estimates it needs to secure the majority of this volume to meet the country's phosphates demand for the 2025 application season. Across all tenders to buy DAP that EABC opened between August 2024-May 2025, the importer awarded 1.16mn t across 18 cargoes. Of this awarded total, Argus estimates only up to 750,000t is likely to be delivered to Ethiopia in a timely manner. This is because some of these awarded cargoes — largely Chinese — did not have firm backing from producers. And the bulk of the awarded Chinese cargoes — which made up almost half of all the awarded cargoes — were not shipped while Chinese producers focused on covering domestic demand. In recent years, Ethiopia had imported phosphate in the form of NPS and NPSB through EABC tenders, generally all from Morocco. But in August 2024, ahead of the 2025 domestic season, EABC switched from importing NPS to asking for DAP 18-46. In its last tender to buy NPS, issued in August 2023, EABC asked for around 1mn t of NPSB and 332,000t of NPS containing 37.7pc and 38pc P2O5, respectively. On a P2O5 basis, the 2023 NPS tender asked for a total of around 1.1mn t of DAP-equivalent. This implies EABC needs to line up a further 350,000-400,000t of DAP, assuming a similar demand for P2O5 as last year. Argus line-up data shows 1.046mn t of NPS shipped from Morocco's Jorf Lasfar to Djibouti in the 12 months following August 2023. On a P2O5 basis, this is probably equivalent to only around 900,000t of DAP. EABC would need to buy 150,000-200,000t more to reach this level. Chinese DAP will probably dominate offers into EABC's 13 May tender. After a hiatus of around six months, Chinese suppliers will likely be able to apply for customs inspections under the CIQ system from mid-May for DAP and MAP cargoes. This implies Chinese DAP exports will resume from as early as late May, in time to meet EABC's requirements. Time running out for Ethiopia's season EABC is likely to struggle to secure the remaining DAP needed before the end of Ethiopia's domestic season. Planting during Ethiopia's Meher — the main rainy season — broadly spans from March to June. In its latest tender to buy DAP, closing on 13 May, EABC asked for a loading period up to mid-July. In 2024, the final cargoes under EABC's 2023-24 tender to buy NPS had already arrived in Djibouti by that time. Under the 23 April and 13 May EABC tenders, cargoes loading in June — particularly from closer origins like Saudi Arabia — could still arrive in time to service the tail end of Ethiopia's DAP season. But the bulk of the country's application season will likely have been missed by then. EABC's next tenders will likely be targeting supply for the 2026 domestic season. DAP is more expensive Tender awards are limited by EABC's allocation of funds for DAP before offers are collected. The importer received eight 60,000t offers ranging from $696.27-748.00/t fob with 30 days of credit in its 23 April tender, and awarded only the lowest offer before scrapping the tender and issuing a fresh one. It rejected revised offers in its 20 February and 25 March tenders, which were above its counterbids at $625/t fob and $647.19/t fob, respectively. Awards in the 13 May tender will likely remain difficult because prices in the global DAP market have risen. DAP prices in India — the global DAP benchmark and a key competitor to Ethiopia — are now around $720/t cfr, up significantly from $590/t cfr at the beginning of August 2024. DAP could go elsewhere Any DAP which Ethiopia does not acquire will find willing buyers elsewhere in south and southeast Asia. India began May with around 1.64mn t of DAP in stock — well below a comfortable 2mn t minimum — and will need to boost imports to build its inventories. Bangladesh will likely issue a private-sector tender in the coming weeks, probably seeking around 500,000t or more of DAP. China is traditionally its main supplier, especially through its private-sector tenders. Demand in southeast Asia has generally seen an uptick because of high rainfall, and many buyers have been holding out for the resumption of Chinese exports. DAP prices have reached $700-715/t cfr southeast Asia on latest sales, but offers are climbing higher. And Pakistan will likely step into the import market to secure tonnes for July-August arrival, ahead of the peak of its domestic season from the end of the third quarter. EABC received offers for Jordanian and Saudi Arabian DAP loading in May in its 23 April tender. It rejected the offers, allowing India to buy probably the same cargoes at $719.50/t cfr earlier this month. By Adrien Seewald Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

White House ends use of carbon cost

09/05/25

White House ends use of carbon cost

Washington, 9 May (Argus) — The US is ending its use of a metric for estimating the economic damages from greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, the latest reversal of climate change policies supported by President Donald Trump's predecessors. The White House Office of Management and Budget (OMB) this week directed federal agencies to stop using the social cost of carbon as part of any regulatory or decision-making practices, except in cases where it is required by law, citing the need "remove any barriers put in place by previous administrations" that restrict the ability of the US to get the most benefit "from our abundant natural resources". "Under this guidance, the circumstances where agencies will need to engage in monetized greenhouse gas emission analysis will be few to none," OMB said in a 5 May memo to federal agencies. In cases where such an analysis is required by law, agencies should limit their work "to the minimum consideration required" and address only the domestic effects, unless required by law. OMB said these steps are needed to ensure sound regulatory decisions and avoid misleading the public because the uncertainties of such analyses "are too great". The budget office issued the guidance in response to an executive order Trump issued on his first day in office, which also disbanded an interagency working group on the social cost of carbon and called for faster permitting for domestic oil and gas production and the termination of various orders issued by former president Joe Biden related to combating climate change. The metric, first established by the administration of former US president Barack Obama, has been subject to a tug of war between Democrats and Republicans. Trump, in his first term, slashed the value of the social cost of carbon, a move Biden later reversed . Biden then directed agencies to fold the metric into their procurement processes and environmental reviews. The US began relying on the cost estimate in 2010, offering a way to estimate the full costs and benefits of climate-related regulations. The Biden administration estimated the global cost of emitting CO2 at $120-$340/metric tonne and included it in rules related to cars, trucks, residential appliances, ozone standards, methane emission rules, refineries and federal oil and gas leases. By Michael Ball Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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