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Milei's bid to open Argentina's economy passes

  • Spanish Market: Crude oil, Fertilizers, Metals, Natural gas
  • 30/04/24

Argentina's congress today approved the government's sweeping economic legislation that could open the door to more private-sector investment in energy and commodities.

The bill passed on a 142-106 vote, with five abstentions, after a marathon 20-hour debate. Changes include privatizing some state-owned companies, controversial labor reforms and measures to promote LNG development.

The omnibus legislation, which includes 279 articles, is an important victory for President Javier Milei's administration and will change the way many sectors, including energy, operate in the country.

Lawmakers aligned with Milei's Liberty Advances party swiftly moved to the second stage of the process, which requires approval of individual articles. The omnibus bill was initially approved in February, but the administration withdrew it after congress failed to approve several key individual articles. That original version included 664 articles.

Several of the more controversial articles were brought up immediately after the blanket approval and easily passed. They included an article allowing for privatization of state-run enterprises — national power company Enarsa is on the list — and another delegating to the administration the power to eliminate state agencies without having to consult with congress.

Also approved was the article on labor reform. The country's oilseed industry and port workers' unions called a strike the previous day to pressure congress to modify the labor reform. That did not happen. It passed in a separate 136-113 vote. The strike started to fizzle with approval of the legislation.

Approval of the package includes several articles the administration says will open the door to major investments in the energy sector.

Chapter II specifically covers natural gas, and introduces new regulations for LNG. The chapter includes five articles that allow for 30-year contracts for LNG export projects and guarantees that gas supply cannot be interrupted for any reason. The energy secretariat has six months to design the implementing rules for LNG.

The government wants to speed up monetization of the Vaca Muerta unconventional play, which has an estimated 308 trillion cf of natural gas reserves. It is pushing for Malaysia's Petronas to fully commit to a large-scale LNG facility that would start with a $10bn investment.

Chapter IX of the legislation creates a new framework, known as the Rigi, for investments above $200mn. It offers tax, fiscal and customs benefits. Companies have two years from implementation of the legislation to take advantage of the Rigi. The chapter on this framework is one of the most complex in the bill, including 56 articles. It includes specific references to energy projects, from power generation to unconventional oil and gas development.

The administration claims the legislation will help tame inflation and stabilize the economy. Inflation was 276pc annualized through February, but is declining, and Milei announced that monthly inflation would be in single digits when the March numbers are announced. The country recorded a 0.2pc quarterly fiscal surplus in the first quarter of this year, something not achieved since 2008.


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13/03/25

Dangote refinery buys first cargo of Eq Guinea crude

Dangote refinery buys first cargo of Eq Guinea crude

London, 13 March (Argus) — Nigeria's 650,000 b/d Dangote refinery has bought its first cargo of Equatorial Guinea's medium sweet Ceiba crude, according to sources with knowledge of the matter. Dangote bought the 950,000 bl cargo loading over 12-13 April from BP earlier this week, sources told Argus . Price levels of the deal were kept under wraps. Most Ceiba exports typically go to China. Around 18,000 b/d discharged there last year, while three shipments went to Spain and one to the Netherlands, according to Vortexa data. This year, two cargoes loading in February and March are signalling Zhanjiang in China, according to tracking data. Traders note that buying a Ceiba cargo is part of Dangote's efforts to diversify its crude sources. Last month the refinery bought its first cargo of Algeria's light sweet Saharan Blend crude from trading firm Glencore, which is due to be delivered over 15-20 March. Market sources said Dangote seems to have sourced competitively priced crude from Equatorial Guinea at a time when domestic grades are facing sluggish demand from Nigeria's core European market amid ample supply of cheaper Kazakh-origin light sour CPC Blend, US WTI and Mediterranean sweet crudes. Several European refineries are due to undergo maintenance in April, which is also weighing on demand. Nigeria's state-owned NNPC is currently in negotiations with the Dangote refinery about extending a local currency crude sales arrangement , which involves crude prices being set in dollars and Dangote paying the naira equivalent at a discounted exchange rate. Any changes to the terms of the programme may pressure Dangote to increase the amount of foreign crude in its slate. Refinery sources told Argus in January that Dangote will source at least 50pc of its crude needs on the import market and is building eight storage tanks to facilitate this. By Sanjana Shivdas Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Steelmaker Gerdau to buy Kloeckner's Brazil assets


13/03/25
13/03/25

Steelmaker Gerdau to buy Kloeckner's Brazil assets

Sao Paulo, 13 March (Argus) — Brazilian steelmaker Gerdau closed a deal to acquire German metals service centre Kloeckner's operations in Parana, Brazil, for an undisclosed value. Gerdau, historically a long steel producer, has been investing in flat steel assets. The company this week inaugurated its expanded hot-rolling mill, boosting hot-rolled coil (HRC) capacity by 30pc to 1.1mn t/yr. The company has submitted a request to Brazil's antitrust watchdog Cade seeking approval for the acquisition, before completing the transaction. Kloeckner has operated in Brazil since 2011, following its acquisition of 70pc of Frefer Metal Plus assets. Last October, the German company announced that it will exit the Brazilian metals market, aligning with its strategy to concentrate investments in European and North American markets. Besides Parana, Kloeckner has plants in Sao Paulo and Rio Grande do Sul. By Isabel Filgueiras Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US steel tariffs may prove import equalizer


13/03/25
13/03/25

US steel tariffs may prove import equalizer

Houston, 13 March (Argus) — The removal of steel import quotas and nontariffed systems by the US, even as President Donald Trump reimposes steel tariffs, may help level the international playing field, allowing countries that have been unable to compete for years in the US steel market a chance to sell steel into the country. Buying interest for steel imported to the US from countries that have not been able to be competitive for years has grown in recent weeks. US buyers told Argus that skyrocketing US prices — combined with the reimposition of 25pc Section 232 steel tariffs on countries with tariff rate quotas (TRQs) and non-tariffed steel — has reopened some markets. The 25pc 232 tariffs have been in effect since March 2018, but many countries have received exemptions and TRQs, with 80pc of US steel imports coming from these excluded countries and not incurring the 25pc tax, according to US Department of Commerce data. The equalizing of the trade barrier to cover all imports could allow countries like Turkey — which used to be a major source of imported steel into the US — to restart some trade flows to the country, as global prices remain at a wide discount to US prices. Domestic buyers want imports US service centers interested in diversifying their purchases with lower-priced foreign steel and importers interested in selling the material said wide deltas between US steel prices and imports made imported offers from at least a half dozen countries more attractive over the last few weeks. The Argus US hot-rolled coil (HRC) Midwest and southern assessments both rose week on week by $15/short ton (st) to $935/st on 11 March, while the HRC import assessment jumped by $80/st to $800/st DDP Houston, Texas. The wide spread between domestic and import prices serves as motivation for US buyers to purchase imported steel. Tens of thousands of tons of cold-rolled coil (CRC) and HRC from Turkey may begin to flow into the US, according to some buyers. Prior to the original imposition of the 25pc 232 tariffs, Turkey exported 1.98mn metric tonnes (t) of steel products to the US in 2017. Since tariffs were implemented volumes have plummeted, reaching only 391,400t in 2024, according to the Commerce Department. Other buyers have recently reported purchasing South Korean HRC imports, after that country's mills spent months considering pricing as they awaited clarity on whether the country — which used to have TRQs — would be granted exemptions by Trump. So far Trump has not granted any country exemptions from the reinstated 232 tariffs. Tons from Turkey and South Korea are expected by mid-year. HRC import bids were also heard from mills in Australia, Brazil, Egypt, and Vietnam — countries that had not been active into the US for HRC in many months. Trade policies concerns abound A concern for US steel importers is that Trump could rapidly change his trade policies and add new tariffs to imports, increasing the duty costs when steel arrives. Such risks have reared their heads over the last two weeks with back-and-forth tariff spats between the US, Canada and Mexico. To mitigate the risk, most buyers have booked less than they otherwise would, though many believe there will be a rise in some import volumes come mid-2025. Steel imports from countries without tariffs or with TRQs made up 80pc of the 26.2mn t (28.9mn st) of total steel products imported in 2024. In 2017, the year before tariffs were imposed, approximately 70pc of total steel imports came from those countries, according to US Department of Commerce data. With this latest round of 232 tariffs, Trump appears less likely to negotiate new TRQs or exemptions, with the tariff exclusion mechanism that allowed companies to file to have specific products not taxed no longer active. Countries like Australia and Japan were reportedly denied new exemptions in recent negotiations, even as both countries had nontariffed mechanisms in place under the prior scheme. Domestic companies, particularly steelmakers, can and have filed to have tariffs placed on steel derivative products, which opens up a whole new class of products to the risk of having 25pc tariffs placed on them as Trump attempts to bring manufacturing back to the US. By Rye Druzchetta US steel imports by country t Country 2024 2023 2018 2017 Canada 5,952,054 6,248,393 5,646,641 5,675,816 Brazil 4,080,695 3,576,002 3,984,681 4,665,428 Mexico 3,194,752 3,799,057 3,498,308 3,155,117 South Korea 2,548,877 2,392,320 2,507,860 3,401,405 Vietnam 1,237,055 508,232 1,006,702 679,129 Japan 1,070,681 1,078,222 1,370,406 1,727,844 Germany 975,878 947,322 1,253,356 1,380,434 Taiwan 917,760 525,685 966,393 1,128,356 Netherland 556,877 460,678 556,515 636,900 China 470,197 553,406 649,138 763,036 Turkey 391,444 283,198 1,045,592 1,977,866 Russia 0 4 2,296,781 2,866,695 Total 26,224,660 25,583,087 30,573,529 34,472,507 US Department of Commerce Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Nigeria's port authority raises import tariffs


13/03/25
13/03/25

Nigeria's port authority raises import tariffs

London, 13 March (Argus) — The Nigerian Ports Authority (NPA) has raised tariffs by 15pc on imports "across board", taking effect on 3 March, according to a document shown to Argus . The move comes as the independently-owned 650,000 b/d Dangote refinery continues to capture domestic market share through aggressive price cuts, pushing imported gasoline below market value in the country. Sources said that Dangote cut ex-rack gasoline prices to 805 naira/litre (52¢/l) today, from between 818-833N/l. The rise in NPA tariffs may add on additional cost pressures onto trading houses shipping gasoline to Nigeria, potentially affecting price competitiveness against Dangote products further. The move would increase product and crude cargo import costs, according to market participants. But one shipping source said the impact would be marginal as current costs are "slim", while one west African crude trader noted that the tariffs would amount to a few cents per barrel and represent a minor rise in freight costs. Port dues in Nigeria are currently around 20¢/bl, the trader added. One shipping source expects oil products imports to continue to flow in, because demand is still there. Nigeria's NNPC previously said the country's gasoline demand is on average around 37,800 t/d. Over half of supplies come from imports, the country's downstream regulator NMDPRA said. According to another shipping source, Dangote supplied around 526,000t of gasoline in the country, making up over half of product supplied. The refinery also supplied 113,000t of gasoil — a third of total total volumes in the country — and half of Nigeria's jet at 28,000t. By George Maher-Bonnett and Sanjana Shivdas Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Indonesian regulations may raise nickel product prices


13/03/25
13/03/25

Indonesian regulations may raise nickel product prices

Beijing, 13 March (Argus) — Indonesia has released a series of regulations related to the nickel sector in the past few months, which could raise the cost of production for all nickel products, potentially driving up these products' prices. The Indonesian government in March introduced a new price guideline, Harga Mineral Acuan (HMA) , and proposed changing the non-tax state revenue or Pendapatan Negara Bukan Pajak (PNBP) royalty rates for nickel products. Export earnings were also extended to be held onshore from three months to a year, effective from 1 March. Indonesia in July 2024 also implemented Simbara , a digital monitoring system for the Indonesian mineral and coal mining sector to collect revenues more efficiently. This series of changes sparked concerns in the market, with participants expecting the regulations to cause a potential increase in production costs and operating costs. The new royalty is proposed to have progressive tiers, which will increase in tandem with nickel ore prices. If the HMA falls below $18,000/t, nickel ore's royalty rate was suggested to be revised from 10pc to 14pc, which would increase production costs of NPI by $200/t, according to Argus ' calculations. Operation costs would climb higher when the HMA increases above $18,000/t, further weighing on profit margins. Nickel pig iron (NPI) is typically the cheapest nickel product because of a supply glut since 2022. But the price outlook of NPI could be higher in the long term, given the changes in Indonesian regulations and a projected lower oversupply of NPI in 2025 given tighter ore supply. The price gap between NPI and London Metal Exchange (LME) nickel prices is expected to narrow following the change in HMA, which would eventually affect the calculation of the nickel benchmark price, or the Harga Patokan Mineral (HPM). The LME cash official nickel price rose to $16,455/t on 12 March from $15,587/t on 3 March, supported by the series of regulations. This is in line with Argus -assessed NPI ex-work prices in China which has increased to 1,000-1,020 yuan/metric tonne unit (mtu) ($138-141/mtu) including 13pc value-added tax on 13 March from Yn980-990/mtu on 4 March. The HMA for the second half of March is expected to be higher than the first half, in the face of rising LME prices, which would further increase the production costs of NPI. Timeline of regulations on nickel Date Name Snapshot Mar-24 A mineral and coal Information system (Simbara) A digital monitoring system for the Indonesian mineral and coal mining sector Jan-25 Extend the holding period of deposits Extended the holding period of deposits made on export sales of natural resources from three months to one year, as a way of increasing foreign currency reserves and strengthening the economy Effective from 1 March 2025 Harga Mineral Acuan (HMA) This new reference pricing is expected to reflect market conditions and prices more accurately, given the shorter calculation period. 8-Mar-25 The non-tax state revenue or Pendapatan Negara Bukan Pajak (PNBP) Base on the above profilo regulations, there is a sound basis for taxation, including the tax base and tax rate. Source: ESDM Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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