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US set to resume crude purchases for SPR

  • Spanish Market: Crude oil
  • 07/05/24

The US is set to resume crude purchases for the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR), after calling off a planned 3mn bl refill last month following a rise in crude prices.

The US Department of Energy (DOE) today said it plans to purchase up to 3.3mn bl of sour crude for delivery in October to the SPR's Big Hill storage site in Texas. The solicitation sets a maximum price of $79.99/bl for the offers, a slight increase from the $79/bl ceiling it used in the recent monthly purchases.

The agency last month called off two pending solicitations that sought to buy 1.5mn bl/month for delivery to the SPR's Bayou Choctaw site in August and September, citing higher crude prices. The most recent SPR refill, nearly 2.8mn bl of sour crude for delivery in September, cost an average of $81.34/bl.

DOE says it has has already purchased a total of 32.3mn bl at an average price of $76.98/bl, well below the average $95/bl it received from the sale of 180mn bl of crude from the SPR to respond to market turbulence after Russia invaded Ukraine in 2022.

Energy secretary Jennifer Granholm told lawmakers last week that two out of four SPR sites were undergoing maintenance and would not be able to accept SPR deliveries until the end of the year. "We want to continue to fill it, and we will," Grahnolm said.

The SPR held 367.2mn bl as of 3 May.


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19/12/24

Viewpoint: Nigeria Dangote to affect WAF crude in 2025

Viewpoint: Nigeria Dangote to affect WAF crude in 2025

London, 19 December (Argus) — The ramp up of operations at Nigeria's 650,000 b/d Dangote refinery, likely to occur next year, will affect west African crude trade flows. The refinery remains well below full capacity for now — with estimated deliveries averaging just under 260,000 b/d since March — but Nigerian operator Dangote Group is aiming for 350,000 b/d of throughput in a first phase of operations. When this takes place, and Dangote makes full use of its 385,000 b/d monthly allocation deal with state-owned NNPC, it will affect the amount of Nigerian crude left to be exported to the country's key outlet — the European market. Although NNPC only supplied around 202,000 b/d in December, the total volume under the deal is equivalent to around a quarter of Nigeria's crude and condensate exports monthly exports. The deal will eventually bring support to Nigerian crude differentials when European demand is stronger — or at least cushion the decline when demand is weaker. As Dangote ramps up operations, the refiner could widen its crude slate, which could also affect crude trade flows. The refinery will take receipt of a 2mn bl cargo of US light sweet WTI bought from Chevron via a tender that closed November, after a three-month hiatus related to credit issues. Dangote has so far run exclusively on Nigerian crude and WTI, but Nigerian banks eased restrictions on provision of trade finance to the refiner, which could open the door for possible purchases of non-Nigerian west African crude. Sources close to the refinery point to Angolan heavy and medium sweet grades as likely to become part of the refinery's basket intake. Market participants also pointed that the recent WTI tender might signal Dangote's attempt to increase run rates. Meanwhile, NNPC, in order to satisfy both Dangote and already existing commitments, will seek to increase its crude production, which has been severely constrained by theft and vandalism over the past few years. But recent efforts by the government appear to be paying off, with upstream regulator NUPRC reporting that volumes lost to theft and vandalism over the past year averaged 15,000 b/d, compared with over 100,000 b/d in 2021. West African output NNPC is targeting crude output of 2mn b/d by the end of 2024, while the country's president Bola Tinubu has set a crude production goal of 2.6mn b/d by 2027. The latest figures from NUPR have November crude production at 1.49mn b/d and the targets might prove too ambitious, even though output rose from 1.33mn b/d in December last year. Angola, the second largest crude producer in Africa behind Nigeria, has also endured years of output decline since a peak of nearly 2mn b/d in 2008. Argus estimated the country's crude output at 1.14mn b/d in October, broadly unchanged from September, but down from 1.20mn b/d in August. Angola has been trying in recent years to encourage investment in its upstream sector, and recently signed an initial agreement with Shell to explore six oil offshore blocks. The upstream regulator ANPG has a target of awarding 50 oil blocks by the end of 2025 and has said it is planning a licensing round for the first quarter of that year. By Elena Mataro Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US Army Corps proposes new Illinois River lock


18/12/24
18/12/24

US Army Corps proposes new Illinois River lock

Houston, 18 December (Argus) — The US Army Corps of Engineers (Corps) has proposed a new lock to replace the LaGrange Lock and Dam (L&D) near Beardstown, Illinois, as part of the Navigation and Ecosystem Sustainability Program (NESP). The project would be the first new lock for NESP, a program that invests in infrastructure along the Mississippi and Illinois rivers. The new 1,200ft proposed LaGrange Lock would allow for passage of more barges in a single lockage, instead of having to split the tow in two with the current 600ft LaGrange Lock. At the moment, most tows trying to pass through the LaGrange lock experience multiple hour delays. The new LaGrange lock would have an estimated cost of $20mn, with a construction timeline of five years. The project area would be located on the west bank of the Illinois River near the 85-year old LaGrange L&D, encompassing 425 acres. Real estate acquisition, design plans and contractors are already in place, said the Corps. The current LaGrange lock would remain in operation and become an auxiliary chamber. The Corps opened the upcoming project to public comments on 11 December and will close on 3 January. NESP has four other projects along the Mississippi River. Another full lock construction project is anticipated for Lock and Dam 25. By Meghan Yoyotte Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US funding bill to allow year-round E15 sales


18/12/24
18/12/24

US funding bill to allow year-round E15 sales

Washington, 17 December (Argus) — A stopgap government funding measure that leaders in the US House of Representatives unveiled late Tuesday would authorize year-round nationwide sales of 15pc ethanol gasoline (E15) and offer short-term biofuel blending relief to some small refiners. The 1,547-page bill, which is set for a vote in the coming days, is needed to avoid a government shutdown that would otherwise begin on Saturday. The bill would fund the government through 14 March and extend key expiring programs, such as agricultural support from the farm bill. It would also provide billions of dollars in disaster relief and pay the full cost of rebuilding the Francis Scott Key bridge in Maryland, which collapsed earlier this year after being hit by a containership. The inclusion of the E15 language, based on a bill by US senator Deb Fischer (R-Nebraska), marks a major win for ethanol producers and farm state lawmakers who have spent years lobbying to permanently allow year-round E15 sales. The bill would also provide short-term relief to some small refiners under the Renewable Fuel Standard that retired renewable identification numbers (RINs) in 2016-18 in cases when their requests for "hardship" waivers remained pending for years. The bill would return some of those RINs to the small refiners and make them eligible for compliance in future years. E15 was historically unavailable year-round because of language in the Clean Air Act that imposes more stringent fuel volatility requirements during summer months. In president-elect Donald Trump's first term, regulators began to allow year-round E15 sales by extending a waiver available for 10pc ethanol gasoline (E10), but a federal court in 2021 struck that down . Federal regulators have issued emergency waivers retaining year-round E15 sales over the last three summers. Enacting the stopgap funding bill would also make it unnecessary for eight states to follow through with a costly gasoline blendstock reformulation — set to begin as early as next summer — they had requested as a way to retain year-round E15 sales in the midcontinent . Oil industry groups last month petitioned EPA to delay the fuel reformulation until after the 2025 summer driving season, citing concerns about inadequate fuel supply and the prospects that a legislative fix would make required infrastructure changes unnecessary. Ethanol groups say the E15 legislative change could pave the way for retailers to more widely offer the high-ethanol fuel blend, which is currently available at 3,400 retail stations and last summer was about 10-30¢/USG cheaper than 10pc ethanol gasoline (E10). Offering the fuel year-round would be "an early Christmas present to American drivers," ethanol industry group Growth Energy chief executive Emily Skor said. House speaker Mike Johnson (R-Louisiana) has faced blowback from many Republicans in his caucus for negotiating such a sprawling bill that has tens of billions of dollars in new spending, after vowing to buck a practice of preparing a "Christmas tree bill" that forces lawmakers to vote on a must-pass bill right before the holidays. Johnson said today the bill remains a "small" funding bill, but that it needed to expand because of "things that were out of our control" such as hurricanes and economic aid for farmers. The Republican backlash could make it more difficult for Johnson to pass the bill, but Democrats are expected to provide broad support. By Payne Williams and Chris Knight Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Argentina touts quarterly economic growth


17/12/24
17/12/24

Argentina touts quarterly economic growth

Montevideo, 17 December (Argus) — Argentina's macroeconomic conditions continue to stabilize, with growth picking up and inflation trending down. The economy expanded by 3.9pc in the third quarter of the year compared to the previous three months, according to preliminary data from the statistics agency (Indec). It was the first quarter-on-quarter growth since President Javier Milei took office a year ago during a deep recession with a promise to overhaul the long-struggling economy. The economy contracted by 1.9pc in the fourth quarter of 2023, by 2.1pc in the first quarter of 2024 and by 1.7pc in the second quarter. While the economy is still down by 2.1pc compared to a year earlier, the government presented the data, together with falling inflation, as evidence that Milei's strategy to deregulate and shrink the state is working. Inflation in November was 2.4pc, a huge decline from the 25pc when Milei took office in December 2023. Accumulated inflation through November was 112pc. According to Indec, private consumption was up by 4.6pc from quarter to quarter and investment by 12pc. The country has had a fiscal surplus for nine months. The currency has stabilized after a brutal devaluation early in 2024 of more than 50pc. Exports grew by 3.2pc from the second quarter and are the most positive economic indicator so far this year. Exports in the first three quarters of 2024 were up by 20pc compared to a year earlier. The energy sector in the GDP calculation increased by only 0.4pc in third quarter, but it plays an important role in the trade balance. The country will have a trade surplus this year close $20bn compared with a $6.9bn deficit in 2023, according to the central bank. Argentina registered its first energy surplus in 15 years in the first half of 2024, exporting $4.81bn and importing $3.79bn. Crude exports were up by 60pc compared to 2023. Oil and gas trade organization Ceph forecasts an energy surplus of $25bn by 2030, based on projections of crude output of 1.5mn b/d and natural gas at 230mn m³/d. The government has reduced from 18 to eight the number of cabinet ministries and eliminated hundreds of regulations. Deregulation and transformation minister Federico Sturzeneggar announced in early December that approximately 4,500 regulations would be eliminated in 2025. But the austerity measures have caused a spike in poverty, with more than 50pc of the population living below the poverty line, up from 41.7pc in December 2023. By Lucien Chauvin Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Shell takes FID on Nigeria’s Bonga North oil project


16/12/24
16/12/24

Shell takes FID on Nigeria’s Bonga North oil project

Lagos, 16 December (Argus) — Shell has taken a final investment decision (FID) on Nigeria's Bonga North field, aiming for first oil from the deepwater project by 2030. The firm expects crude production from Bonga North to peak at 110,000 b/d but it has not given a timeframe. Bonga North — which currently has estimated recoverable resources of over 300mn bl of oil equivalent (boe) — will involve drilling up to 16 wells and will be tied back to the existing 225,000 b/d Bonga floating production, storage and offloading (FPSO) facility. The FPSO already handles output from the Bonga Main and Bonga North West fields, which started up in 2005 and 2014, respectively. Crude production from the FPSO averaged 120,000 b/d in January-November, with output in November rising by 9pc on the month to 135,000 b/d, according to Nigeria's upstream regulator NUPRC. Shell said modifications to the FPSO will be required to accommodate Bonga North, but a source told Argus today that these will largely be limited to the facility's topsides. The company previously told Argus that a separate and more thoroughgoing FPSO life-extension programme, which "will run well into 2029", had been put in place because the facility was originally designed to operate only until 2025. Shell's Nigerian offshore subsidiary operates the Bonga North project with a 55pc stake under a production-sharing contract with state-owned NNPC. ExxonMobil, TotalEnergies and Italy's Eni are the other project partners with 20pc 12.5pc and 12.5pc stakes, respectively. The Bonga fields are located in Nigeria's OML 118 licence at water depths exceeding 1,000m. In addition to Bonga Main, Bonga North West and Bonga North, the block also holds the undeveloped Bonga South West oil field, which NNPC said will be developed in three phases. Bonga South West will have its own separate FPSO and produce 150,000 b/d at peak between 2027 and 2031, NNPC said. By Adebiyi Olusolape Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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