Australia’s political opposition to dump GHG cut target

Spanish Market: Emissions
11/06/24

Australia's main political opposition, if elected at next year's national election, will not pursue the current federal Labor government's target to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by 43pc by 2030.

The Liberal-National coalition said that the 2030 ambition was unable to be met as GHG emissions remained flatlined last year at 29pc below 2005 levels. The policy would be dumped under its future administration, as it was impossible to build the 4.5 GW/yr of projects required to meet Labor's goal of 82pc renewables by 2030.

The coalition has declined to set its own 2030 goal for GHG emissions cuts. Its previous target was 26-28pc by 2030, which it said it was likely to exceed.

"Australia needs a sensible energy policy which delivers cheaper, cleaner and consistent 24/7 electricity, and that's what the coalition will deliver, we won't be pretending Labor's 2030 target is achievable," the opposition's spokesman for climate change and energy Ted O'Brien said on 10 June.

The comments came after opposition leader Peter Dutton promised to cut gas project approval timeframes by half if elected, he said in a speech to the Victorian Chamber of Commerce and Industry in Melbourne on 8 June. He also pledged a return to annual releases of offshore acreage in federal waters for Western Australia state and the Northern Territory.

Federal energy minister Chris Bowen acknowledged the Labor government had more to do, while pointing to his party's capacity investment scheme and new vehicle efficiency standards as policies that will help meet the 2030 target. He described the coalition's policies as "a clear breach of the Paris Accord" in an interview broadcast on 11 June.

The previous coalition government agreed to reach net zero emissions by 2050 in 2021 and maintains it supports the UN's Paris climate agreement. But with rising power prices and slumping gas supply forecasts the opposition has voiced support for developing a nuclear power industry to reduce emissions from electricity, despite analysis showing it could cost as much as A$387bn ($255bn.

Australia's slowing renewables additions has prompted Victoria and New South Wales state to strike deals to keep ageing coal-fired power stations open for longer, while the Labor federal government has conceded the need for new gas supplies in the transition to more renewables.

The federal government is developing new GHG reduction plans, expected to be announced in the coming weeks, while planning a new 2035 target to become law before the next election around mid-2025.

By Tom Major

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04/11/24

Brazil launches reforestation plan

Sao Paulo, 4 November (Argus) — The Brazilian government launched its plan to reforest 12mn hectares (29.6mn acres) with native vegetation by 2030 as part of its efforts to meet its emissions-reductions target under the Paris Agreement. Of the 12mn ha of reforestation projected, 9mn ha will be on properties currently not in compliance with the 2012 forestry code, which requires property owners to maintain standing forest on a percentage of their land. Depending on the biome, property owners are required to preserve 20-80pc of native vegetation. The government estimates that nearly 24mn ha of privately owned land is currently not in compliance with the forestry code. The plan also foresees 2mn ha of reforestation on public lands, including conservation preserves and areas controlled by indigenous peoples. The remaining 1mn ha of reforestation will take place on degraded land which will be converted to be used for low-carbon agriculture. The government will provide financing and technical support for the reforestation program. Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US biofuel feedstock use dips in August

31/10/24

US biofuel feedstock use dips in August

New York, 31 October (Argus) — Renewable feedstock usage in the US was down slightly in August but still near all-time highs, even as biomass-based diesel production capacity slipped. There were nearly 3.5bn lbs of renewable feedstocks sent to biodiesel, renewable diesel, and sustainable aviation fuel production in August this year, up from fewer than 3bn lbs a year prior, according to the US Energy Information Administration's (EIA) latest Monthly Biofuels Capacity and Feedstocks Update report. August consumption was 0.4pc below levels in July and 0.5pc below record-high levels in June. US soybean oil consumption for biofuels rose to 39.3mn lbs/d in August, up by 2.1pc from a year earlier on a per-pound basis and up 6.9pc from a month prior. The increase was entirely attributable to increased usage for renewable diesel production, with the feedstock's use for biodiesel slipping slightly from July. Canola oil consumption for biofuels hit 14.2mn lbs/d, up by 58.1pc from a year prior on a per-bound basis but still 19.4pc below record-high levels in July. Distillers corn oil usage, typically less volatile month-to-month than other feedstocks, bucked that trend to hit a high for the year of 13.6mn lbs/d in August. That monthly consumption is up 13.6pc from a year earlier and 20.9pc from a month earlier. Among waste feedstocks, usage of yellow grease, which includes used cooking oil, rose to 22.4mn lbs/d in August, up 13.8pc from levels a year prior and 5.8pc from levels in July. Tallow consumption for biofuels was at 18.6 mn lbs/d over the month, an increase of 27.8pc from August last year but a decrease of 13.4pc from July this year. Production capacity of renewable diesel and similar biofuels — including renewable heating oil, renewable jet fuel, renewable naphtha, and renewable gasoline — was at 4.6bn USG/yr in August, according to EIA. That total is 24.1pc higher than a year earlier and flat from July levels. US biodiesel production capacity meanwhile declined to fewer than 2bn USG/yr over the month, down by 4.3pc from a year earlier and 1.3pc from a month earlier. US biomass-based diesel production capacity has expanded considerably in recent years, but refiners have recently confronted challenging economics as ample supply of fuels used to comply with government programs has helped depress the prices of environmental credits and hurt margins. The industry is also bracing for changes to federal policy given this year's election and a new clean fuel tax credit set to kick off in January. That credit, known as "45Z", will offer a greater subsidy to fuels that produce fewer greenhouse gas emissions, likely encouraging refiners to source more waste feedstocks over vegetable oils. That dynamic is already shaping feedstock usage this year, with Phillips 66 executives saying this week that the company's renewable fuels refinery in California is currently running more higher carbon-intensity feedstocks ahead of a shift to using more waste early next year. By Cole Martin Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US court set to weigh biofuel blend mandates

31/10/24

US court set to weigh biofuel blend mandates

New York, 31 October (Argus) — A US court on Friday will weigh some novel issues that could affect enforcement of the Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS), the federal program that sets minimum biofuel blending levels for domestic motor fuel supplies. The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) in last year's RFS regulation required refiners and importers to blend increasing volumes of renewable fuel from 2023-2025. But the rule differed from past obligations in a crucial way. While the RFS law set annual volume targets of cellulosic, advanced and conventional biofuels through 2022, it tasked EPA with setting volumes in subsequent years by balancing factors such as the environmental impacts of biofuels, energy security, expected production and consumer costs. In a consolidated case to be heard Friday by the US Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit, environmental groups and oil refiners are separately challenging aspects of how the EPA applied those factors in setting 2023-25 volumes. The court has previously affirmed the legality of many RFS rules. "Past cases always give you some perspective on how the DC court might see it," said Susan Lafferty, a partner at law firm Holland & Knight. "But the DC court could also say, ‘not relevant anymore because this is a different part of the statute that we are working with.'" Refiners say EPA misapplied the criteria, upping compliance costs more than necessary by setting targets for cellulosic and conventional biofuels too high and targets for advanced biofuels too low. They also challenge EPA's balancing of potential impacts, noting that the agency assumed that all parties can easily pass the costs of compliance on to consumers. In a separate case this year, the DC Circuit discarded EPA rejections of program waiver petitions, in part because judges disagreed that refiners can easily pass on the cost of Renewable Identification Number (RIN) credits used to show compliance with the RFS program. EPA used this pass-through theory in the 2023-2025 rule "like a magic wand, waving it around to dismiss any argument that the rule will cause harm", the American Fuel and Petrochemical Manufacturers and small refineries said in a case filing. Lafferty expects the judges at Friday's hearing to probe the extent to which EPA's volumes relied on this pass-through theory, "a policy that now this very court has gutted." Environmentalists have similarly targeted EPA's cost analysis, arguing that the agency downplayed the environmental drawbacks of growing crops for energy. The Center for Biological Diversity and the National Wildlife Federation argue that EPA has legal discretion to set post-2022 volumes for corn- and soybean-derived biofuels as low as zero. EPA counters that the court owes the agency deference in evaluating scientific data and making predictive judgments. And biofuel groups that have intervened argue that the program is designed to require more biofuel production even if there are no formal volume requirements in law anymore. While EPA's post-2022 authority to set blend mandates is a new issue, the DC Circuit has handled various cases about EPA's implementation and has generally been deferential to the agency's volume decisions. The court this year upheld 2020-2022 targets. In a 2019 decision, the court kept volumes in place , despite telling EPA to more deeply weigh endangered species impacts. While the court might take issue with some aspects of EPA's latest rule, including the agency's lateness in finalizing volumes, judges could again be reluctant to upend fuel markets if they find only small oversights. Depending on how skeptical judges appear about EPA's arguments on Friday, the case could cause concern for biorefineries. A decision is expected next year, meaning any order for EPA to better justify its decisions or go back to the drawing board would likely fall to the next president's administration. On the panel for Friday's hearing are two judges familiar with the program: Democratic appointee Cornelia Pillard, who wrote the opinion this year upholding 2020-2022 blend mandates, and Republican appointee Gregory Katsas, who dissented and said those volumes were excessive. The third judge on the panel is Democratic appointee J. Michelle Childs. RINcrease or decrease RIN market activity has thinned as participants await the results of the court case and November's presidential election. In its latest rule, EPA aimed to provide a clearer picture over a longer timeline by finalizing volumes over multiple years. But the agency underestimated the growth in renewable diesel production, partly because of unexpectedly high feedstock imports. The result has been persistent oversupply, which took D4 biomass-based diesel credit prices from around 150¢/RIN in spring last year to as low as 42¢/RIN a year later according to Argus assessments. Multiple refiners have consequently dialed back biofuel production. In the past, RIN prices have proven sensitive to legal developments as traders anticipate supply and demand shifts. Prices softened this summer after the DC Circuit vacated small refinery waivers, leaving it unclear whether many facilities would have to buy RIN credits at all. By Cole Martin and Matthew Cope Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

UK government consults on oil and gas scope 3 emissions

30/10/24

UK government consults on oil and gas scope 3 emissions

London, 30 October (Argus) — The UK government has opened a consultation seeking views on assessing the effects of scope 3 — or end-use — emissions from proposed offshore oil and gas projects. "Scope 3 emissions from downstream activities need to be assessed… in relation to offshore oil and gas production activities", the government said today. It proposed that a baseline scenario is defined for assessing scope 3 emissions, to set out how the environment "is likely to evolve without the development of a proposed project". The government also proposed that information on "relevant scope 3 categories" is included when a developers applies for a permit. This would include the effects of emissions from the combustion of oil or gas, as well as "other downstream activities", such as refining or transport of fuels. The UK's current process means that developers applying for consent must provide information on scope 1 and 2 — operational — emissions in an environmental statement. But scope 3 emissions are not included, despite making up around 80-95pc of emissions for a typical oil and gas company. The consultation was spurred by a ruling made in June by the UK's Supreme Court. The judgment ruled that consent for an oil development in southern England was unlawful, as the scope 3 emissions were not considered. The government — which was elected in early July, shortly after the ruling — has halted the assessment of any environmental statements related to oil and gas extraction and storage activities, including any that were already being assessed. These would be deferred until the new environmental guidance was in place, expected in spring 2025. The consultation will close on 8 January 2025. Separately, the government will consult by the end of this year on the implementation of its commitment to issue no new oil and gas licences to explore new fields, it said today. The UK has a legally-binding target of net zero emissions by 2050. By Georgia Gratton Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Australia to support four new carbon credit methods

30/10/24

Australia to support four new carbon credit methods

Sydney, 30 October (Argus) — The Australian federal government will support the development of four new carbon crediting project methodologies proposed outside of government, federal energy minister Chris Bowen announced today. A total of 39 expressions of interest under the proponent-led model launched earlier this year were submitted to the Emission Reduction Assurance Committee (Erac), the statutory body responsible for ensuring the integrity of Australia's carbon crediting framework. The four selected proposals will now move on to the development phase. "Capturing opportunities across Australia remains a key priority for the government, and we've been working to deliver on the Chubb Review recommendation to bring forward more innovative ways to reduce emissions," Bowen told delegates at the Carbon Market Institute (CMI)'s Australasian Emissions Reduction Summit in Melbourne on 30 October. Two of the selected methods were proposed by state governments — the "improved native forest management in multiple-use public native forests (INFM)" method, put forward by the New South Wales (NSW) department of climate change, environment, energy and environment, and the "improved avoided clearing of native regrowth (IACNR)" proposed by the Queensland department of environment, science and innovation. The two others came from indigenous groups — the "extending savanna fire management to the northern arid zone" proposed by the Indigenous Desert Alliance, and the "reducing disturbance of coastal and floodplain wetlands by managing hooved animals" proposed by Northern Australian Indigenous Land and Sea Management Alliance. The successful proponents will now lead work on the drafting of the methods, with the Erac to publish the draft methods for public consultation before recommending them to the minister. A representative from the Department of Climate Change, Energy, the Environment and Water (DCCEEW) previously said that developing a new method under the proponent-led model could take 1-2 years. Delays with new methods The development of new Australian Carbon Credit Unit (ACCU) framework methods had been until now led by the federal government, but this has proved "too slow," CMI's chief executive John Connor previously said. Work on a remake of the Environmental Plantings (EP) method, which will make it easier for landholders to undertake projects, is expected to be finalised by the end of the year, Bowen said on 30 October. The method already expired on 30 September this year. And exposure drafts for three other priority methods will only be delivered in the first half of next year, Bowen noted, including the long-awaited government-led Integrated Farm and Land Management (IFLM) method that will combine activities of several existing soil and vegetation sequestration methods into a single method. This includes the key human-induced regeneration (HIR) ACCU method, which expired on 30 September 2023. The DCCEEW had previously indicated the IFLM exposure draft would be sent to Erac by the end of this year, which would then be followed by public consultation. The other exposure drafts are for new savanna fire management methods and for a reformed landfill gas method which could potentially lead to tighter supplies in the future . By Juan Weik Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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