Tanker supply running thin: Panel
The global tanker fleet may be unable to effectively keep pace with demand in the coming years as few new oil tankers are being built while crude demand is expected to rise, according to a panel of shipowners at the Marine Money convention in New York.
The construction of commercial vessels takes years to complete, and most shipyards around the world are booked well into the late 2020's building containerships ordered during the height of the Covid-19 pandemic, when port congestion combined with a rise in consumer purchasing to skyrocket container freight rates.
"We're looking at a low orderbook stretching into 2028 through 2029, and by 2031 by normal metrics, we need a lot of replacement in tankers," shipowner Frontline's chief executive Lars Barstad said. "Unless we can gradually reduce oil consumption, we have a structural problem here."
The Covid-19 lockdowns also contributed to a drop in operational shipyards in countries like South Korea in the post-pandemic landscape.
"We don't have half the building capacity we had in 2011," Barstad said.
Asked by moderator Omar Nokta from research firm Jefferies if any meaningful amount of capacity was set to come online from shipyards looking to capitalize on the high price of newbuilds, all the shipowners on the panel responded with an emphatic "no".
The aging global tanker fleet will struggle to meet demand if newbuilds remain low, shipowner Hafnia chief executive Mikael Skov said.
"We still see [oil] growth ahead of us," Skov said. "My biggest worry is we're going to run out of tankers too soon."
Slow fleet replenishment amid limited shipyard availability and high costs is being compounded by indecision among shipowners on what kind of vessels to purchase. Concerns of building up a fleet centered on one of the potential next-generation propulsion fuels, like ammonia, and winding up with a stranded asset once another fuel becomes the new industry standard is keeping many shipowners wary of investing too early, even as the time available to receive delivery of a newbuild within this decade begins to wind down.
"Unfortunately, at least for the next generation of ships, the fuel of the future is probably fuel oil," shipowner Ardmore chief executive Anthony Gurnee said. "There are technological issues with ammonia. We have to be realistic about that."
"What we think is very actionable today is both technical and operational fuel efficiency utilizing conventional fuel with some kind of a dual fuel component," Gurnee said.
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Union plans new rail strike despite order: Update
Union plans new rail strike despite order: Update
Adds additional comment from Teamsters Canada Rail Conference Washington, 23 August (Argus) — The status of rail freight in Canada remains uncertain after a Canadian labor union today issued a new strike notice to Canadian National (CN), less than a day after the federal government ordered all parties to participate in binding arbitration. The Teamsters Canada Rail Conference (TCRC) today issued notice to CN that members will go on strike at 10am ET on 26 August. The union had not issued a strike notice to CN earlier this week, but employees could not work yesterday after the CN and Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CPKC) locked them out. The union said it moved to strike to "frustrate CN's attempt to force arbitration", and protect workers' rights to collectively bargain. CN had previously sought a federal order for binding arbitration. The government's back-to-work order yesterday sidestepped the collective bargaining process, and "undermined the foundation on which labour unions work to improve wages and working conditions for all Canadians", union president Paul Boucher said today. "Bargaining is also the primary way our union fights for rail safety — all considerations that outweigh short-term economic concerns," Boucher said. The union was more optimistic in its strike notice to CN this morning. "We do not believe that any of the matters we have been discussing over the last several days are insurmountable." It said it would be available to discuss issues to avoid another work stoppage. CN indicated it was frustrated with the union's action. "While CN is focused on its recovery plan to get back to powering the economy, the Teamsters are focused on returning to the picket line and holding the country hostage to their demands," the railroad said. CN last night had begun implementing a recovery plan to restore service . The union has not yet responded to inquiries about its action today. The office of labour minister Steven MacKinnon declined to comment. Rail operations at CN and CP stopped at 12:01am ET on Thursday after the union launched a strike at CPKC and both railroads locked out employees. That action ended late Thursday afternoon with the federal government directing the Canada Industrial Relations Board (CIRB) to manage binding arbitration on the railroads. CIRB, an independent agency, has not yet said if it will accept the government's order. CN began moving some freight early on 23 August, but the new strike order issued soon by the union today could disrupt those plans. The union has also challenged the constitutionality of MacKinnon's order regarding CPKC operations pending the outcome of a new ruling by the CIRB. CPKC's rail fleet remains parked in the meantime. CPKC said late Thursday it was disappointed in the minister's decision and sought to meet with CIRB to discuss resumption of service. CPKC said the union "refused to discuss any resumption of service, and instead indicated that they wish to make submissions to challenge the constitutionality of the Minister's direction." A case management meeting with CIRB occurred last night and another was scheduled for early today. Hearings are also underway to address preliminary issues, the union said. But the Teamsters said it was prepared to appeal the case to federal court if necessary. By Abby Caplan Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Union plans new rail strike despite arbitration order
Union plans new rail strike despite arbitration order
Washington, 23 August (Argus) — The status of rail freight in Canada remains uncertain after a Canadian labor union today issued a new strike notice to Canadian National (CN), less than a day after the federal government forced all parties to participate in binding arbitration. The Teamsters Canada Rail Conference (TCRC) today issued notice to CN that members will go on strike at 10am ET on 26 August. The union had not issued a strike notice to CN earlier this week, but employees could not work yesterday after the CN and Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CPKC) locked them out. "We do not believe that any of the matters we have been discussing over the last several days are insurmountable," the union said today in its notice to CN. It said it would be available to discuss issues to avoid another work stoppage. CN indicated it was frustrated with the union's action. "While CN is focused on its recovery plan to get back to powering the economy, the Teamsters are focused on returning to the picket line and holding the country hostage to their demands," the railroad said. CN last night had begun implementing a recovery plan to restore service . The union has not yet responded to inquiries about its action today. The office of labour minister Steven MacKinnon declined to comment. Rail operations at CN and CP stopped at 12:01am ET on Thursday after the union launched a strike at CPKC and both railroads locked out employees. That action ended late Thursday afternoon with the federal government directing the Canada Industrial Relations Board (CIRB) to manage binding arbitration on the railroads. CIRB, an independent agency, has not yet said if it will accept the government's order. CN began moving some freight early on 23 August, but the new strike order issued soon by the union today could disrupt those plans. The union has also challenged the constitutionality of MacKinnon's order regarding CPKC operations pending the outcome of a new ruling by the CIRB. CPKC's rail fleet remains parked in the meantime. CPKC said late Thursday it was disappointed in the minister's decision and sought to meet with CIRB to discuss resumption of service. CPKC said the union "refused to discuss any resumption of service, and instead indicated that they wish to make submissions to challenge the constitutionality of the Minister's direction." A case management meeting with CIRB occurred last night and another was scheduled for early today. By Abby Caplan Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Court endorses Maduro win amid warnings, violence
Court endorses Maduro win amid warnings, violence
Caracas, 23 August (Argus) — Venezuela's supreme court validated the reelection of President Nicolas Maduro to a third six-year term, maintaining he is the victor of the polemic 28 July vote. The court did not present any electoral material, ballots or tallies to support the claim, and no experts offered testimony. "This chamber declares ... the validity of the electoral material surveyed and validates the results of the presidential election," court chief justice Caryslia Rodriguez said. She also declared presidential candidate Edmundo Gonzalez to be in contempt of court for not attending the proceedings. Rodriguez's announcement came two hours after a UN mission questioned the official results. "We warn about the lack of independence and impartiality of the supreme court of justice and the national electoral council of Venezuela, which have played a role within the repressive machinery of the state," the UN fact-finding mission on Venezuela posted on social media. Gonzalez has produced electoral material, including tallies printed by voting machines and signed by witnesses on election day, giving him the victory by almost 70pc to 30pc. The "actas," as the tallies are known in Venezuela, were validated by several independent parties, including the Carter Center, the UN and the Organization of American states. The CNE electoral agency has also failed to present any of the other sets of these documents. Audits were never conducted. The Maduro government confirmed this week that 27 Venezuelans were killed in post-electoral violence, for which it blamed the opposition. Human rights non-government organization Provea said the bulk of the violence came from police and the military. Six anti-Maduro demonstrators were killed on 29 July near an army base. By Carlos Camacho Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Libya's parliament speaker warns of oil blockade
Libya's parliament speaker warns of oil blockade
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