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LPG industry urged to invest to build EU credibility

  • Spanish Market: Biofuels, LPG
  • 02/07/24

Tapping into funding for renewable fuels is seen as key for the industry, but investment decisions must not be made in haste, writes Matt Scotland

The LPG industry has been urged to work more closely with the sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) and other nascent renewable fuel sectors to establish bioLPG and renewable LPG and DME production plants as soon as possible.

"It would be great if the LPG industry could embrace other renewable liquid fuels" as these often already have governmental backing and financing, Vertimass board adviser Neil Murphy told delegates at European LPG association Liquid Gas Europe's Congress in Lyon, France, over 18-20 June. US-based Vertimass aims to commercialise the conversion of ethanol into SAF, renewable diesel and renewable gasoline components. The LPG sector, in its efforts to develop renewable forms of LPG and DME, needs to move from "great intent" to the "earthiness of investment and putting plants down in the ground", Murphy said. Doing so will build credibility among policy makers, he said.

But the sector was also warned about making hasty investments that turn out to be "mistakes", hurting the prospects for renewable LPG in the medium to long term. "The US saw huge failures in its early solar panel manufacturing efforts — billions of dollars were wasted. So, we can't advocate for things just to get steel in the ground, we need the steel in the ground to be successful," US start-up BioLPG LLC's chairman Kimbal Chen said.

BioLPG LLC and Chicago-based research institute GTI Energy have jointly developed the "Cool LPG" process to convert biogas into bioLPG. Italian consortium Green LG Energy is adopting the technology to develop a pilot plant in Chicago and later a larger demonstration facility in Italy, chief executive Francesco Franchi told delegates. The Chicago facility could open before the end of this year and the Italian plant within the next two years. Once operational, the latter will "show policy makers and stakeholders that we can produce bioLPG, allowing us to secure funding and support to develop an industrial-scale plant", he said.

Credibility was a core theme of the conference in Lyon as the industry continues to work to enshrine LPG and renewable alternatives in EU and national legislation. The question the sector needs to ask itself is how to make its proposals and voice credible to EU policy makers after the recent European Parliament elections, LGE president Audrey Galland said.

France could play a vital role, as despite having a 10pc share of the European LPG market, it has a strong voice in Brussels, according to French LPG association FGL president Julie de Fazio. A growing recognition that electrification of heating will not be suitable in most rural areas, and that rural customers want to decarbonise, should benefit the LPG sector, she said. But it still needs "financial incentives and mandates" that encourage investment in renewable liquid gases, she said.

Hearing the possibility for mandates in a positive rather than restrictive sense was "music to my ears", renewable DME company Dimeta's advocacy director Sophia Haywood said. Combining supportive mandates for renewable liquid gases at the same time as financial incentivisation could be key to unlocking growth, she said.

Pragmatic shift?

The recent parliamentary election could be a boon for the LPG industry, according to former EU MEP and UK member of the regulatory policy committee Daniel Dalton. The shift in power from centre-left to centre-right should result in "more pragmatic energy policy" that benefits the LPG sector, he told delegates. And the ascent of the cost-of-living and energy security issues up the EU's agenda should also lead to a "watering down of the hard edges" when it comes to the paths to meeting the EU's bold targets under its Green Deal. "You as an industry are well placed" in assisting the EU in its efforts to enhance energy security and lower energy costs, while also moving towards decarbonised renewable liquid gases, he said.


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03/07/24

US services contract in June, signal broad weakening

US services contract in June, signal broad weakening

Houston, 3 July (Argus) — Economic activity in the US services sector contracted in June by the most since 2020 while a report earlier this week showed contraction in manufacturing, signaling a broad-based slowdown in the economy as the second quarter came to an end. The Institute for Supply Management's (ISM) services purchasing managers index (PMI) registered 48.8 in June, down from 53.8 in May. Readings above 50 signal expansion, while those below 50 signal contraction for the services economy. The June services PMI "indicates the overall economy is contracting for the first time in 17 months," ISM said. "The decrease in the composite index in June is a result of notably lower business activity, a contraction in new orders for the second time since May 2020 and continued contraction in employment." The business activity/production index fell to 49.6 from 61.2. New orders fell by 6.8 points to 47.3. Employment fell by 1 point to 46.1. Monthly PMI reports can be volatile, but a services PMI above 49 over time generally indicates an expansion of the overall economy. "Survey respondents report that in general, business is flat or lower, and although inflation is easing, some commodities have significantly higher costs," ISM said. The prices index fell by 1.8 points to 56.3, showing slowing but robust price gains. ISM's manufacturing PMI fell to 48.5 in June from 48.7 in May, ISM reported on 1 July. It was the third consecutive month of contraction and marked a 19th month of contraction in the past 20 months. Wednesday's weaker than expected ISM report, together with a Wednesday report showing initial jobless claims last week rose to their highest in two years, slightly increase the odds that the Federal Reserve may lower its target rate later this year after maintaining it at 23-year highs since last year in an effort to stem inflation. By Bob Willis Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

EU’s centre-right EPP mulls Green Deal tweaks


03/07/24
03/07/24

EU’s centre-right EPP mulls Green Deal tweaks

Brussels, 3 July (Argus) — The European Parliament's largest group, the centre-right EPP, is working to complete the bulk of its strategy programme on 4 July at a meeting in Portugal. Key elements in the party's 2024-29 policy agenda include significant changes to the bloc's climate and energy policy for 2030. A draft of the five-point policy plan lists revising CO2 standards for new cars and vans to "allow for the use of alternative zero-emission fuels beyond 2035". The EPP also calls for a new e-fuel, biofuel and low-carbon fuel strategy "with targeted incentives and funding to accompany the EU hydrogen strategy". Additionally, the EPP wants the incoming European Commission to create a "single market for CO2" with a market-based framework for carbon capture and storage (CCS) and carbon capture and utilisation (CCU), through an accompanying legislative package similar to that adopted for the EU's gas and hydrogen markets. The strategy document discusses a "Green Growth Deal" aiming to achieve the EU's 55pc emission reduction target by 2030 — from 1990 levels — and climate neutrality by 2050, while boosting the EU's competitiveness and ensuring technological neutrality. The draft document emphasises the need to transition "away from fossil fuels towards clean energy", also by ramping up international hydrogen production. And the draft advocates for a "simple, technology-neutral, and pragmatic definition for low-carbon hydrogen" in upcoming technical legislation from the commission. More controversial points include postponing application of the EU's deforestation regulation and addressing problems related to its implementation. The EPP also wants to split the EU's industrial emissions directive into "industrial and agricultural parts", conduct a "full-scale" inquiry into why farmers are not receiving fair prices for their products, and require robust impact assessments for the economic viability of farms for any new animal welfare proposals. The group's members of parliament are meeting until 5 July. Commission president Ursula von der Leyen is also attending. She was [recently nominated](https://direct.argusmedia.com/newsandanalysis/article/25825320 by EU leaders for re-election. The EPP programme will significantly influence policy priorities that von der Leyen would support, if she is approved by an absolute majority of 361 votes at a session in Strasbourg on 15-18 July. But von der Leyen may need to drop more controversial points to secure a majority with liberal, centre-left and green support. By Dafydd ab Iago Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Oman's Duqm refinery on track to run above capacity


03/07/24
03/07/24

Oman's Duqm refinery on track to run above capacity

Dubai, 3 July (Argus) — Oman's 230,000 b/d Duqm refinery is looking to operate at 10pc above nameplate capacity and is considering diversifying its product portfolio, according to its operator. Omani-Kuwaiti joint venture OQ8's chief executive David Bird told Argus the capacity expansion would be pursued in the near term, with some already opening up in coking and hydrocracker units. The 10pc crude capacity increase is "my COO's [key performance indicator] for this year and I think we all have very high confidence that we'll be able to sweat the assets further," Bird said. "We may even look at intermediate feedstocks and bring in VGOs and residues in order to load up these two conversion units." The $9bn refinery, which hit capacity in February, uses feedstock comprised of 65pc Kuwaiti crude and 35pc Omani crude. Bird said Duqm may add new products to its existing, middle distillates-focused, output of jet fuel, gasoil, naphtha and LPG. "We are looking at structuring, doing something with naphtha," he said. "We are evaluating either reformate or gasoline, which have already gone through feasibility and are now under stage-gate review to decide if we should pursue those investment decisions." Bird also pointed to possibilities in base oils, which he said will be needed "as long as things are moving." "The Middle East has a unique opportunity to capitalize on Group I and Group III base oils," he said, noting Duqm's proximity to growing demand markets in Africa. "If Duqm was to look at expanding capacity, which definitely would still be in middle-distillate oriented space, we would talk about another hydrocracker that might be orientated towards base oil," Bird said. Oman is also developing a petrochemical complex with Saudi Arabia's Sabic and Kuwaiti state-owned KPI, which will use some of the Duqm refinery's production as feedstock. Feasibility for the project has concluded and has been "intimately evaluated" along with a naphtha upgrade, and Bird described them as "very complimentary." Close eye on Europe Bird said that while there is a "huge thirst of our products right at our doorstep", Duqm cargoes are finding their way to destinations that were not previously envisaged. Around 45pc of Duqm's diesel goes to east Africa, but loadings for Europe have begun more recently. Duqm can make European grade winter-specification diesel and is on track to capitalise on demand during the switch from summer grade this year. "When it comes to winter-spec diesel, if the arbitrage opens we can supply that competitively versus anyone else," Bird said. "So we always have an eye on Europe but we're also going to make sure that we are active in markets that are closer to home." By Rithika Krishna Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Washington advances carbon market linkage plans


02/07/24
02/07/24

Washington advances carbon market linkage plans

Houston, 2 July (Argus) — Washington regulators are moving forward with plans to further align the state's cap-and-trade program with the California-Quebec carbon market. The state Department of Ecology has released for public comment two draft rules related to holding limits, biofuel emissions and electricity imports that are intended to smooth the way for linkage ahead of formal discussions with California and Quebec regulators that could kick-off next year. The first draft rule, issued on Monday, would revise general cap-and-trade program mechanics, such as raising the holding limit for allowances issued each year for general market participants to 25pc from 10pc should the programs link. It would also revise emissions exemption for biofuels, recently authorized by state lawmakers, of 30pc lower greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions than comparable petroleum fuels and allow Ecology to add an exemption standard used by a linked program, for a two-part standard. Washington set the ball rolling on its ambition to link with the Western Climate Initiative (WCI) partners California and Quebec last year in hopes that creating a larger North American carbon market will help reduce compliance costs. The state legislature authorized Ecology to make the changes in legislation adopted earlier this year . The program costs became a significant issue last year, when Washington Carbon Allowances (WCAs) rose as high as $70/metric tonne (t) in the secondary market. California and Quebec agreed in March to explore adding Washington to the WCI, but progress is unlikely to happen this year as California regulators first focus on updating the state's cap-and-trade program. In the interim, Ecology said it is still considering other amendments that could help with linkage, including moving the state's compliance periods, which run on a four-year cycle, to the three-year cycle used in the linked market. But California and Quebec are considering shifting their compliance periods to either four years or two years for 2026-2030, and then to either five years or alternating between three-year and two-year periods after 2030 to align with their respective statutory targets, which Ecology will have to take into account. Washington has set a target to cut GHG emissions by 45pc by 2030 compared with 1990 levels, and reach net-zero emissions by 2050. The program cap-and-trade program covers industrial facilities, power plants, natural gas suppliers, and other fuel suppliers with emissions of at least 25,000 t/yr. Ecology is accepting feedback on its linkage rulemaking through 27 September, with a public meeting set for 10 July. Imports and reports In a separate rulemaking announced last week, the state is considering expanding reporting requirements and covered emissions under the program to included imported electricity from centralized electricity markets (CEM). The state is required under its Climate Commitment Act to adopt a methodology for imported electricity by 1 October 2026. The proposed amendments would come into play in 2027, allowing regulators to assign GHG emissions to imports of electricity from CEM and for the state to better understand how the imports may affect its climate goals. Under the proposed amendments, regulators would increase allocations of no-cost allowances to electric utilities. The state issues no-cost allowances to electric and natural gas utilities, and industrial entities, to mitigate the cost of decarbonization. Electric utilities must consign an increasing portion of these allowances to state auction starting in 2027 and must use this revenue for projects to benefit customers through projects like energy transition billing credits. Regulators estimate that bringing CEM importers under the cap-and-trade program will result in an aggregated annual compliance cost of around $7mn-$119mn, depending on allowance prices, which regulators expect will fall as emissions declines outweigh imports over time, according to a preliminary regulatory analysis released last month. The proposed changes reflect estimates last year by the state Department of Commerce that 43pc of the state's electricity supply by 2050 will come from imports, driven by Washington moving its electricity away from fossil fuels to renewables sourced from within and outside the state to meet the goal of decarbonizing the state's grid by 2045. Ecology will accept feedback on its proposed rules for imported electricity through 20 August, with final adoption planned in December. By Denise Cathey Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Kazakh government hikes wholesale LPG prices


02/07/24
02/07/24

Kazakh government hikes wholesale LPG prices

Astana has increased the cap on wholesale LPG prices in order to narrow losses for producers supplying the Kazakhstan market Moscow, 2 July (Argus) — The Kazakh government has increased the cap on wholesale LPG prices by 12pc to 45,158 tenge/t ($100.40/t) excluding value-added tax (VAT) from 1 July in order to reduce losses for producers selling on the domestic market. Maximum retail autogas prices have also risen to 59–94 tenge/litre ($0.13–0.21/l) depending on the region. "We are talking about [a slight increase] of 5-8 tenge. Given that companies now have very limited opportunities for cross-subsidising this area of business at the expense of other activities, this is a necessary measure," energy minister Almasadam Satkaliyev said on 12 June. The regulated price ceiling is much lower than the cost of LPG production so plants incur losses of 20,000-30,000 tenge/t and producers are reluctant to raise output, the energy ministry says. LPG demand rose by 400,000t, or 28pc, in Kazakhstan last year, driven by higher feedstock use at petrochemical firm KPI's 550,000 t/yr Atyrau propane dehydrogenation (PDH) plant and growing autogas sales. The government partially banned LPG exports in November 2023 for six months to prevent a domestic shortage, which was extended in May for a further six months. Domestic LPG supplies are now largely sufficient, with shortages only occurring in west Kazakhstan recently after a flood washed away a section of the Uralsk-Atyrau highway that is used for deliveries from the Atyrau refinery, local market participants say. Kazakh LPG output rose by 50,000t on the year to 1.28mn t in January-May, while exports fell by 58,400t to 318,700t. The government had planned to raise regulated wholesale prices by 10pc and retail prices by 12pc from 1 January. It also intended to gradually raise prices every six months until they reached 70,000 tenge/t excluding VAT — where they would achieve breakeven levels for producers. The wholesale price in Kazakhstan stood at 40,320 tenge/t excluding VAT as of 1 July. Regulated fuel prices were introduced on 6 January 2022 after the deregulation of autogas prices led to rates doubling in west Kazakhstan, prompting violent protests and the resignation of the government. Kazakh LPG exports Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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