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Union plans new rail strike despite order: Update

  • Spanish Market: Agriculture, Biofuels, Chemicals, Coal, Coking coal, Crude oil, Fertilizers, Freight, LPG, Metals, Oil products, Petrochemicals, Petroleum coke
  • 23/08/24

Adds additional comment from Teamsters Canada Rail Conference

The status of rail freight in Canada remains uncertain after a Canadian labor union today issued a new strike notice to Canadian National (CN), less than a day after the federal government ordered all parties to participate in binding arbitration.

The Teamsters Canada Rail Conference (TCRC) today issued notice to CN that members will go on strike at 10am ET on 26 August. The union had not issued a strike notice to CN earlier this week, but employees could not work yesterday after the CN and Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CPKC) locked them out.

The union said it moved to strike to "frustrate CN's attempt to force arbitration", and protect workers' rights to collectively bargain. CN had previously sought a federal order for binding arbitration.

The government's back-to-work order yesterday sidestepped the collective bargaining process, and "undermined the foundation on which labour unions work to improve wages and working conditions for all Canadians", union president Paul Boucher said today.

"Bargaining is also the primary way our union fights for rail safety — all considerations that outweigh short-term economic concerns," Boucher said.

The union was more optimistic in its strike notice to CN this morning. "We do not believe that any of the matters we have been discussing over the last several days are insurmountable." It said it would be available to discuss issues to avoid another work stoppage.

CN indicated it was frustrated with the union's action.

"While CN is focused on its recovery plan to get back to powering the economy, the Teamsters are focused on returning to the picket line and holding the country hostage to their demands," the railroad said.

CN last night had begun implementing a recovery plan to restore service.

The union has not yet responded to inquiries about its action today. The office of labour minister Steven MacKinnon declined to comment.

Rail operations at CN and CP stopped at 12:01am ET on Thursday after the union launched a strike at CPKC and both railroads locked out employees. That action ended late Thursday afternoon with the federal government directing the Canada Industrial Relations Board (CIRB) to manage binding arbitration on the railroads. CIRB, an independent agency, has not yet said if it will accept the government's order.

CN began moving some freight early on 23 August, but the new strike order issued soon by the union today could disrupt those plans. The union has also challenged the constitutionality of MacKinnon's order regarding CPKC operations pending the outcome of a new ruling by the CIRB.

CPKC's rail fleet remains parked in the meantime. CPKC said late Thursday it was disappointed in the minister's decision and sought to meet with CIRB to discuss resumption of service.

CPKC said the union "refused to discuss any resumption of service, and instead indicated that they wish to make submissions to challenge the constitutionality of the Minister's direction."

A case management meeting with CIRB occurred last night and another was scheduled for early today.

Hearings are also underway to address preliminary issues, the union said.

But the Teamsters said it was prepared to appeal the case to federal court if necessary.


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07/05/25

Opec+ eight agree accelerated hike for June: Update

Opec+ eight agree accelerated hike for June: Update

London, 7 May (Argus) — A core group of eight Opec+ members has agreed to accelerate, for a second consecutive month, their plan to unwind some of their production cuts, the Opec secretariat said Saturday. As it did for May, the group will again raise its collective output target by 411,000 b/d in June, three times as much as it had planned in its original roadmap to gradually unwind 2.2mn b/d of crude production cuts by the middle of next year. The original plan envisaged a slow and steady unwind over 18 months from April, with monthly increments of about 137,000 b/d. But today's decision means that the eight — Saudi Arabia, Russia, the UAE, Kuwait, Iraq, Algeria, Oman and Kazakhstan — will have unwound almost half of the 2.2mn b/d cut in the space of just three months. The decision to maintain this accelerated pace into June is somewhat surprising, given the weakness in oil prices and the outlook for the global economy. The eight's decision last month to deliver a three-in-one hike in May was seen as a key reason for the recent slide in oil prices, alongside US President Donald Trump's tariff policies. Front month Ice Brent futures have fallen by about $13/bl since early April to stand at just over $61/bl. But the eight today pointed to "current healthy market fundamentals, as reflected in the low oil inventories" as a key factor in its latest decision. It reiterated, as it has in the past, that the gradual monthly increases "may be paused or reversed subject to evolving market conditions." As was the case for May, delegates said that the main driver for the June hike was again a desire to send a message to those countries that have persistently breached their production targets since the start of last year — most notably Kazakhstan and Iraq, which each have significant overproduction to compensate for through the middle of next year. "This measure will provide an opportunity for the participating countries to accelerate their compensation," the secretariat said. This group of eight is due to next meet on 1 June to review market conditions and decide on July production levels. By Nader Itayim, Aydin Calik and Bachar Halabi Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US Fed holds rate steady, keeping eye on tariffs


07/05/25
07/05/25

US Fed holds rate steady, keeping eye on tariffs

Houston, 7 May (Argus) — US Federal Reserve policymakers kept their target interest rate flat today for a third time this year, noting that economic "uncertainty" has increased while signaling they would continue to monitor the impacts of the new US administration's tariffs and other policies before adjusting monetary policy. The Fed's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) held the federal funds rate unchanged at 4.25-4.50pc. The Fed has held the target rate unchanged this year after three rate cuts late last year lowered the target rate by 100 basis points from a two-decade high of 5.25-5.5pc. "Uncertainty about the economic outlook has increased further," the FOMC said in its statement. Policymakers "will carefully assess incoming data, the evolving outlook, and the balance of risks" in considering additional adjustments to the target rate, the statement said, echoing language from prior statements. Fed funds futures markets early Wednesday gave a 73pc probability the Fed's first rate cut of 2025 would be at the July meeting. By Bob Willis Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

India, Saudi Arabia plan two Indian refineries


07/05/25
07/05/25

India, Saudi Arabia plan two Indian refineries

Mumbai, 7 May (Argus) — India and Saudi Arabia are to collaborate on the development of two integrated refinery and petrochemical plants in India. The plan was announced after Indian prime minister Narendra Modi met Saudi counterpart Mohammed bin Salman in Jeddah on 22 April, as part of the India–Saudi Arabia Strategic Partnership Council. Saudi Arabia in 2019 pledged to invest $100bn in India in several sectors including energy and petrochemicals. No further details have been provided but the projects could be Indian state-run BPCL's planned facility in Andhra Pradesh and oil firm ONGC's refinery project in Gujarat, according to industry participants. Plans for a 1.2mn b/d refinery in Ratnagiri alongside the UAE's Adnoc have been abandoned because of logistical and land acquisition challenges, industry participants say. Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

EU-Vorhaben gegen Russland könnten AdBlue-Preis erhöhen


07/05/25
07/05/25

EU-Vorhaben gegen Russland könnten AdBlue-Preis erhöhen

Hamburg, 7 May (Argus) — Die Europäische Kommission bereitet derzeit Gesetzesvorschläge vor, die den Import von russischem Gas verbieten würde. Zeitgleich plant die EU auch, zusätzliche Zölle auf russische Düngemittelimporte zu erheben, die bereits ab Sommer greifen könnten. Dies könnte die Produktionskosten von AdBlue sowohl für Primärproduzenten als auch für Auflöser erhöhen. Aus für russische Gasimporte in die EU Mit dem Verbot sollen alle russischen Gasimporte in die EU bis Ende 2027 eingestellt werden. Bereits geschlossene Spotverträge sollen nur noch bis Ende 2025 genehmigt sein. Dies geht aus einem Vorschlag vom 6. Mai hervor. Derzeit bezieht die EU noch knapp 19 % ihres Gasbedarfs aus Russland — und das obwohl bereits zum 1. Januar 2025 die Importe über die Ukraine beendet wurden. Deutschland hatte bereits zuvor den direkten Gasimport aus Russland im Jahr 2022 eingestellt. Der Vorschlag wird im Juni präsentiert, ein endgültiger Beschluss könnte jedoch erst später gefasst werden. Primärproduzenten von AdBlue in ganz Europa dürften sich dann mit höheren Gaspreisen konfrontiert sehen. Denn diese Hersteller produzieren ihren eigenen Harnstoff, den sie dann mit destilliertem Wasser zu AdBlue vermischen. Anfang Mai haben die TTF Gaspreise als Reaktion auf den Vorschlag etwas angezogen. Noch halten sie sich jedoch auf einem verhältnismäßig niedrigen Niveau, nachdem sie Ende April ihren niedrigsten Stand seit Juli 2024 erreichten. Bereits in der Vergangenheit haben europäische Hersteller ihre Produktion sowohl von Harnstoff als auch von AdBlue aufgrund von hohen Gaspreisen mehrfach unterbrochen. So hatten jüngst die SKW Stickstoffwerke Piesteritz eine ihrer zwei Ammoniakanlagen zwischen Mitte Januar und Ende Februar außer Betrieb genommen, nachdem die Gaspreise in Europa stark gestiegen waren. Lang erwartete Zölle auf russischen Harnstoff Am 14. Mai wird die EU darüber hinaus über zusätzliche Zölle auf russische Düngemittelimporte abstimmen. Der Gesetzesentwurf von Januar sieht vor, ab dem 1. Juli 2025 Zölle in Höhe von 40 €/t auf russische Düngemittel zu erheben. Die Zölle würden dann jährlich erhöht werden, bevor sie letztendlich zum 1. Juli 2028 auf 315 €/t steigen werden. AdBlue-Produzenten mit Löseanlagen beziehen ihren Harnstoff oftmals aus nicht-EU Ländern wie beispielsweise Russland, um von den dort niedrigeren Preisen zu profitieren. Dies erlaubt es Auflösern, AdBlue mit teils hohen Abschlägen zu Primärproduzenten anzubieten. Viele Händler verzichten öffentlich bereits seit dem Beginn des Krieges in der Ukraine freiwillig auf russische Harnstoffimporte. Tatsächlich beziehen einzelne Produzenten weiterhin russisches Produkt, welches teils über Drittländer importiert wird, um das Herkunftsland zu verschleiern. Sollte der Import von russischen Mengen durch die Zölle teurer und somit unprofitabel werden, könnten sich Auflöser dazu gezwungen sehen, entweder europäisches Produkt zu beziehen oder andere Quellen zu erschließen. Die geplante Einführung vom CO2-Grenzausgleichssystem zum 1. Januar 2026 könnte den Import aus nicht-EU Ländern allerdings ebenfalls verteuern. Unabhängig davon, ob Auflöser sich für europäischen oder nicht-europäischen Harnstoff entscheiden, dürfte dies entsprechend zu einem Anstieg ihrer Produktionskosten und somit der AdBlue-Großhandelspreise führen. Primärproduzenten befürworten deshalb die Einführung der Zölle. Von Natalie Müller Senden Sie Kommentare und fordern Sie weitere Informationen an feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . Alle Rechte vorbehalten.

High sulphur prices pressure Indonesian buyers


07/05/25
07/05/25

High sulphur prices pressure Indonesian buyers

Singapore, 7 May (Argus) — Steep increases in sulphur prices, against expectations of lower future nickel demand, and falling nickel prices since last year are pressuring metals producers in Indonesia, and some are considering postponing new projects. Sulphur is used as a raw material in the production of nickel intermediates such as nickel matte and mixed hydroxide precipitate (MHP), through the rotary kiln-electric furnace (RKEF) and high-pressure acid leaching (HPAL) processes, respectively. Producing 1t of MHP or nickel matte requires an estimated 10t and 15t of sulphur, respectively. Global sulphur prices began to rise in mid-2024 on firmer demand from Morocco and Indonesia. Morocco's OCP started up two sulphur burners last year that will consume 967,000 t/yr of sulphur at capacity. In Indonesia, newly commissioned HPAL production lines at QMB New Energy Materials and Halmahera Persada Lygend also added an estimated 830,000 t/yr of sulphur demand. Uncertainty over Kazakh and Russian sulphur export availability because of EU sanctions also created uncertainty over available supply in the region. Tighter supply, compounded by competing Chinese and Indonesian demand after the Lunar New Year holidays, spurred a rally in sulphur prices in the first quarter of the year. Fob Middle East sulphur prices more than tripled to $285.5/t fob as of 1 May from $86/t a year earlier, Argus assessments show. Cfr Indonesia granular sulphur prices rose by $185/t to $297/t cfr over the same period. While sulphur prices have risen significantly over the past year, prices for Indonesian-origin nickel intermediates have been largely rangebound at $12,000-14,000/t of nickel contained since January 2024. The comparatively flat nickel prices and the rising raw material prices mean that producers' margins are narrowing further. Gross profit margins for MHP products were close to $10,000/t in 2023 before falling to around $7,000/t in 2024, according to Argus estimates. Current sulphur prices take up around 40pc of the total production cost of nickel matte, the largest portion out of other raw materials such as caustic soda, according to one metals producer. And the increased adoption of non-nickel containing battery chemistries such as lithium-iron-phosphate and higher demand for plug-in hybrid electric vehicles have led the industry to revise its expectation of future nickel demand from the battery section. The International Nickel Study Group has forecast a nickel market surplus of 198,000t for 2025 , rising from 179,000t in 2024. But new ternary precursor cathode active materials projects will support a rise in nickel usage in the medium term, the group said. As higher raw material prices continue to chip away at producer margins, upcoming projects including QMB New Energy Materials' phase 3 in Morowali, and developments by Guangqing and Blue Sparkling Energy in Weda Bay may have to be postponed, market participants said. The three projects are expected on line this year, adding 844,000 t/yr of sulphur demand at capacity. By Chi Hin Ling, Deon Ngee Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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