Energy firms on alert after flooding in central Europe

Spanish Market: Electricity, Natural gas, Oil products
16/09/24

Torrential rain has led to major flooding across large swathes of central and eastern Europe, causing power outages and significant damage to transport infrastructure in southwest Poland and the Czech Republic. Parts of Austria, Germany, Hungary, Slovakia and Romania are also affected.

In Poland, most of the affected areas so far are in the southwest part of the country close to the border with the Czech Republic including the towns of Jelenia Gora, Klodzko, Nysa and Glucholazy. Urban areas further down the Odra river are also at risk including the cities of Wroclaw and Opole, where elevated water levels are expected in the coming days.

The Polish government held an emergency meeting earlier today. Prime minister Donald Tusk said he has ordered preparations for the declaration of a state of natural disaster.

Polish utility company Tauron, which operates the electricity distribution system in the worst affected area, said some of its infrastructure was disconnected in several towns including Klodzko and Glucholazy. Polish train operator PKP Intercity suspended passenger rail traffic to and from the Czech Republic on 15 September until further notice. And local TV showed images of damaged road and waterways infrastructure, including bridges and dams as well as retail fuel stations.

Polish biofuel firm Bioagra, which operates a bioethanol plant near the flood-hit town of Nysa, told Argus that the facility continues to operate normally.

In the Czech Republic, Orlen Unipetrol — operator of 108,000 b/d Litvinov and 66,000 b/d Kralupy refineries — said all its production sites continue to operate although the company has shut 11 of its service stations in the country. The firm said its crisis management team at each production site is monitoring the situation and is in contact with authorities.

Hungarian oil firm Mol — which operates service stations in Poland, the Czech Republic and Slovakia, as well as refineries in Hungary and Slovakia — told Argus that preparatory flood prevention works are underway. It is in contact with authorities and there is currently no threat to security of fuel supply, it said.

By Tomasz Stepien and Bela Fincziczki

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09/04/25

Delta pulls full-year forecast amid US tariffs: Update

Adds details from earnings call throughout. Houston, 9 April (Argus) — Delta Air Lines pulled its full-year 2025 financial guidance today, citing US tariff-related uncertainty. "Given the lack of economic clarity, it is premature at this time to provide an updated full-year outlook," the airline said Wednesday in an earnings call. Delta said it hoped the growing US tariff war with the world would be resolved through trade negotiations, but that it also told its main aircraft manufacturer, Airbus, that it would not purchase any aircraft that includes a tariff fee. "If you start to put a 20pc incremental cost on top of an aircraft, it gets very difficult to make that math work," chief executive Ed Bastion said in an earnings call today. In the meantime, Delta is protecting margins and cash flow by focusing on what it can control, including reducing planned capacity growth in the second half of the year to flat compared to last year, while also managing costs and capital expenses, Bastion said. Delta expects revenue in the second quarter of 2025 to be either 2pc higher or 2pc lower from the year earlier period with continued resilience in premium, loyalty and international bookings offsetting softness in domestic and standard flights. Punitive taxes on imports from key US trading partners were implemented on Wednesday despite President Donald Trump's claims of multiple trade deals in the making. Trump's 10pc baseline tariff on imports from nearly every country already went into effect on 5 April. The higher, "reciprocal" taxes went into effect today, although at midday Wednesday he announced a 90-day pause on most of the higher tariffs, while increasing tariffs on Chinese imports even higher. The company reported a profit of $240mn in the first quarter of 2025, up from $37mn in the first quarter of 2024. Confidence craters in 1Q Corporate travel started the year with momentum, but a reduction in corporate confidence stalled growth in February and March, Delta said. For the first quarter, corporate sales were up by low-single digits compared to the prior year, with strength led by the banking and technology sectors. The company's fuel expenses were down by 7pc in the first quarter of 2025 compared to the prior year period. The average price Delta paid for jet fuel was $2.45/USG, down by 11pc to the prior year period. Delta said it has seen "a significant drop off in bookings" out of Canada amid the trade disputes with that country which started earlier than the broader US tariffs. Meanwhile, Mexico is "a mixed bag," the company said. Delta is considering reducing capacity levels in Mexico and Canada in the future. The company reported a profit of $240mn in the first quarter of 2025, up from $37mn in the first quarter of 2024. By Eunice Bridges Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Delta pulls full-year forecast on tariff uncertainty

09/04/25

Delta pulls full-year forecast on tariff uncertainty

Houston, 9 April (Argus) — Delta Air Lines pulled its full-year 2025 financial guidance today, citing US tariff-related uncertainty. "Given the lack of economic clarity, it is premature at this time to provide an updated full-year outlook," the airline said Wednesday in an earnings call. Delta said it hoped the growing tariff war woudl be resolved through trade negotiations, but that it also told its main aircraft manufacturer, Airbus, that it would not purchase any aircraft that includes a tariff fee. In the meantime, Delta is protecting margins and cash flow by focusing on what it can control, including reducing planned capacity growth in the second half of the year to flat compared to last year, while also managing costs and capital expenses, chief executive Ed Bastion said. The company reported a profit of $298mn in the first quarter of 2025, up slightly from $288mn in the first quarter of 2024. The company's fuel expenses were down by 7pc in the first quarter of 2025 compared to the prior year period. The average price Delta paid for jet fuel was $2.45/USG, down by 11pc to the prior year period. By Eunice Bridges Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Tokyo may use Alaska LNG as leverage in US tariff talks

09/04/25

Tokyo may use Alaska LNG as leverage in US tariff talks

Osaka, 9 April (Argus) — Tokyo will likely use the possibility of purchases from the US' proposed 20mn t/yr Alaska LNG export project, as part of wider efforts to reduce the US' trade deficit with Japan, to negotiate for a better tariff deal. US president Donald Trump's 10pc tariff on imports from all countries took effect on 5 April, with exemptions for some commodities . The higher "reciprocal" taxes are due to enter into force at 12:01 ET (04:01 GMT) on 9 April, including Japan at 24pc. The Japanese government on 8 April held its first ministerial task force with prime minister Shigeru Ishiba attending, to discuss potential measures against new US tariffs. Details are still under consideration, but Ishiba is ready to use every possible method to mitigate the impact of looming US tariffs on the Japanese economy, as he sees this as a "national disaster". Japan, a long-standing ally of the US, is unlikely to respond in kind to the US tariff and will instead seek mutually beneficial solutions. Ishiba is aiming to present Trump with a package of measures across a wide range of issues, such as in the energy, agriculture, shipbuilding and automobile sectors, rather than piecemeal requests. The package could include Japan's stance on the Alaska LNG project and ethanol developments, Ishiba stated on 7 April when responding to questions in the Diet. Tokyo may use the Alaska LNG as part of its tariff negotiation, as buying more US LNG could ease Japan's trade surplus against the US. The trade imbalance between Japan and the US stood at ¥8.64 trillion in 2024, equivalent to about $58.6bn at current exchange rates, Japanese customs data show. Japan's LNG purchases from the US rose by 15pc on the year to 6.34mn t in 2024, accounting for nearly 10pc of the country's total LNG imports. Japan has committed to continuing strengthening energy security and co-operation with the US, as well as South Korea, leveraging US LNG along with other energy sources and technologies in a mutually beneficial manner, the countries said in a joint statement after the trilateral foreign ministers' meeting in Brussels on 3 April, just after Trump announced the baseline 10pc taxes on 2 April. Ishiba had already mentioned the idea of ramping up purchases of US LNG, as well as ethanol, ammonia and other resources, when he visited Trump in Washington in February . But he emphasised the importance of stable and reasonable prices for such LNG imports. Alaska LNG has made little progress in recent years and is yet to secure any offtake agreements. But it has drawn interest, after Trump devoted one of his first executive orders to the development of Alaskan energy. South Korea's energy minister expressed the country's interest in the project during a visit in late March , while Taiwan's state-owned CPC signed an initial agreement to invest in and purchase LNG from the project, according to Taiwan's Ministry of Economic Affairs . Auto deal But it remains unclear if a possible purchase of Alaska LNG alone would satisfy Washington and help reduce tariffs. The Trump administration has expressed strong dissatisfaction against Japanese non-tariff barriers on US car deliveries. "US automakers face a variety of non-tariff barriers that impede access to the Japanese and Korean automotive markets, including non-acceptance of certain US standards, duplicative testing and certification requirements, and transparency issues", the US government said on 2 April. Japan imported around 23,000 units of passenger vehicles from the US in 2023, according to the industry group Japan Automobile Importers Association, and this is near one-tenth of all deliveries from European nations. Tokyo appears to be struggling to find breakthrough solutions on this decades-long bilateral economic issue. There must be a variety of reasons on why American cars are not coming into the Japanese market, while Japanese cars are selling well in the US, said the Japanese minister for trade and industry Yoji Muto on 8 April. "We still need more time to figure that out." Ishiba on 8 April appointed the minister of state for Economic and Fiscal Policy, Ryosei Akazawa, as a negotiator for the trade talks with the US government. By Motoko Hasegawa and Yusuke Maekawa Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Keystone oil pipeline shut down after ND spill: Update

08/04/25

Keystone oil pipeline shut down after ND spill: Update

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US faults EU carbon fee during tariff fight

08/04/25

US faults EU carbon fee during tariff fight

Washington, 8 April (Argus) — President Donald Trump's administration is citing the EU's upcoming tariff on carbon-intensive imports as one of the "unfair trade practices" that justified a tariff response. Trump has said a 20pc tariff on most EU goods and a higher tariff on many other key trading partners — set to take effect after midnight — are "reciprocal" to other countries' tariffs and non-tariff barriers, even though those tariffs are calculated based on each country's trade deficits and imports with the US. Trump has yet to even identify which trade policies he wants other countries to change before he would withdraw tariffs his administration expects will raise $600bn/yr in new revenue. But the US Trade Representative's office, in a social media post on Monday made in "honor" of Trump's tariffs, identified the EU's Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) — which will collect a carbon-based levy on imports such as steel, cement and fertilizer — as one of the examples of what it sees as an unfair trading practice. The Trump administration estimates $4.7bn/yr of US exports would be affected by the CBAM, which is set to take effect in 2026. "These EU regulations undermine fair competition, penalizing US companies while providing advantages to EU-based competitors," the US Trade Representative's office wrote in a series of posts on Tuesday that also criticized India and Thailand for imposing import restrictions on ethanol produced in the US. White House officials say more than 70 countries have approached the administration seeking deals on the tariffs since they were announced nearly a week ago. But with just hours before the tariffs take effect, Trump has yet to announce any definitive agreements to withdraw the tariffs. Instead, he has rejected offers from countries to zero out some of their tariffs. European Commission president Ursula von der Leyen on Monday said the EU was "ready to negotiate" on tariffs, and would zero out its tariffs on industrial imports if the US agreed to do the same. But Trump on Monday said that offer was not enough. "We have a deficit with the European Union of $350bn, and it's gonna disappear fast," Trump said. "One of the ways that that can disappear easily and quickly is they're gonna have to buy our energy from us." Today, Trump said he had a "great call" with South Korea's acting president Han Duck-soo that created the "probability of a great DEAL for both countries." Trump cited a potential agreement that might include large-scale purchases of US LNG and investments tied to the 20mn t/yr Alaska LNG export project. Trump and his cabinet believe the tariffs will align with a goal to achieve "energy dominance" and increase the amount of US energy exported abroad. "At the end of the day, we're going to have growing American exports and reindustrialize the country," US energy secretary Chris Wright said today during an interview on CNBC. Trump's tariffs have already caused a selloff in equities and, according to many analysts on Wall Street, a higher likelihood of a recession. Oil prices have dropped because of a "sudden change in the economic outlook, whereas everyone just honestly 10 days ago was expecting modest but steady positive growth in the US", non-profit group Center for Strategic and International Studies' senior fellow Clayton Seigle said today. Republicans have largely backed Trump in his imposition of tariffs, with the hope the tariffs will be lifted as part of trade negotiations. But some Republicans have started criticizing the rationale for the tariff policy. "Whose throat do I get to choke if this proves to be wrong?" US senator Thom Tillis (R-North Carolina) said in a hearing today with the US trade representative Jamieson Greer. By Chris Knight Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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