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Iran launches missile attack on Israel: Update 1

  • Spanish Market: Crude oil
  • 01/10/24

Updates with intraday crude prices rising.

Iran has launched a missile attack against Israel for the first time in six months, after Israeli forces began a ground invasion of Lebanon.

The Israeli military via its social media accounts said at 16:36GMT today that "all Israeli civilians are in bomb shelters as rockets from Iran are fired at Israel." This marks the second direct attack on Israel from Iran this year.

The US had forewarning of the Iranian attack, which it shared with Israel. US president Joe Biden and vice president Kamala Harris met with their national security team "to discuss Iranian plans to imminently launch a significant ballistic missile attack against Israel," the White House said.

Crude futures prices were trading down earlier in the day before climbing on reports that Washington warned of an imminent attack. Brent was up more than 5pc as of 1:20pm ET at $75.39/bl while WTI futures were up by more than 5pc at $71.81/bl.

The Middle East region has been braced for Iran to retaliate since the leader of Palestinian group Hamas, Ismail Haniyeh, was killed in Tehran in July. Tensions have grown in recent weeks after Israel stepped up attacks against Lebanon's Iran-backed Hezbollah militia, culminating in the killing of the group's leader Hassan Nasrallah in Beirut on 27 September.

Israel's military today began ground operations in southern Lebanon.


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01/10/24

Middle East intrudes in US election campaign

Middle East intrudes in US election campaign

Washington, 1 October (Argus) — The escalating confrontation in the Middle East as Israel exchanges blows with Iran and Iran-backed militias provides a rare foreign policy interlude in the US presidential campaign that remains too close to call. "The US is fully, fully, fully supportive of Israel," President Joe Biden told reporters today after US and Israeli military forces appeared to have successfully averted serious damage from a direct Iranian missile attack on Israel. "The attack appears to have been defeated and ineffective, and this is testament to Israeli military capability and also a testament to intensive planning [between] the US and Israel to anticipate and defend against a brazen attack," Biden said. The Democratic candidate for president, vice president Kamala Harris, joined Biden at the White House situation room to monitor the Iranian missile attack and the US response to it, the White House said. The Republican candidate, former president Donald Trump, ahead of the expected attack accused Biden and Harris of acting insufficiently tough against Iran. "The World is on fire and spiraling out of control," Trump said via social media before it became apparent that the Iranian missile attack failed. "We have no leadership, no one running the Country. We have a non-existent President in Joe Biden, and a completely absent Vice President, Kamala Harris, who is too busy fundraising in San Francisco." Harris has been in Washington since Monday, in part to attend briefings by federal officials about the ongoing response to the damage caused in Georgia, South Carolina and North Carolina by the remnants of Hurricane Helene. Trump in campaign appearances over the weekend accused Biden and Harris of inaction during Hurricane Helene and said he would personally lead relief efforts in Georgia even though federal emergency officials have been providing support to the victims of flooding and heavy rains that have caused significant damage. Biden and Harris plan to separately visit the affected areas later this week. The Middle East region has been braced for Iran to attack Israel since the leader of Palestinian group Hamas, Ismail Haniyeh, was killed in Tehran in July. Tensions have grown in recent weeks after Israel stepped up attacks against Lebanon's Iran-backed Hezbollah militia, culminating in the killing of the group's leader Hassan Nasrallah in Beirut on 27 September. The previous Iranian missile attack on Israel, in April, led to a restrained Israeli retaliation on targets inside Iran, with the US, China and other regional powers intervening to prevent a further escalation. WTI crude futures closed today's session up by more than 2pc on news of the Iranian attack and the Israeli invasion of Lebanon. Futures retraced some of the gains made earlier in the trading session after it became apparent that the Iranian attack failed to cause significant damage. Biden told reporters today that he has yet to recommend a specific course of action for Israel following today's Iranian missile attack. "We are having that discussion right now" with the Israeli government, Biden said, adding that it "remains to be seen" how Israel would respond. The Iran-Israel confrontation is likely to feature at a televised debate later tonight between Trump's vice-presidential nominee, senator JD Vance, and Harris' running mate, Minnesota governor Tim Walz. The Vance-Walz encounter is the last scheduled debate of the election season. Harris suggested another televised debate with Trump after holding one in September, but Trump has declined the offer. Polls indicate that the presidential race is too close to accurately forecast. Harris has held a steady, small lead in nationwide polling since becoming the Democratic nominee in July but the outcome of the election will be determined in the Electoral College, with seven states — Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona and Nevada — likely to determine the overall result. By Haik Gugarats Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Sheinbaum to present energy transition plan


01/10/24
01/10/24

Sheinbaum to present energy transition plan

New York, 1 October (Argus) — Mexico's new president, Claudia Sheinbaum, will present a plan to attract new investments in the electricity sector and an "ambitious" energy transition strategy. Sheinbaum, Mexico's first female president, ratified the commitment made by former-president Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador of maintaining 54pc of the electricity generation in the hands of state-owned utility CFE and providing "clear rules" for private-sector companies to invest in the remaining 46pc. In her inauguration speech to congress, Sheinbaum also said it was in the best interest of all Mexicans to have a strong public company in the electricity sector to provide cheap power to households. She also promised that prices for electricity, gasoline and LPG will not rise faster than general inflation. The Mexican congress approved the process to change the constitution to give more power to CFE in prioritizing electricity dispatch over private-sector companies. Sheinbaum also said crude production will not go above 1.8mn b/d during her term, as it is "impossible" to reach the 3mn b/d promised under the 2014 energy reform without harming the environment. The increase in energy demand in Mexico will be met by renewable sources, she said. Among her economic priorities is attracting more international manufacturers to bring their plants to Mexico to take advantage of nearshoring. Her administration will also continue to implement the controversial bill to overhaul the judicial system passed in the last month . By Edgar Sigler Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Iran launches missile attack on Israel: Update 2


01/10/24
01/10/24

Iran launches missile attack on Israel: Update 2

Updates with details throughout. London, 1 October (Argus) — A missile attack by Iran against targets in Israel has not resulted in significant damage or many fatalities, according to the White House and the Pentagon. Iran today launched over 200 missiles against Israel after Israeli forces had begun ground operations in southern Lebanon. The Middle East region has been braced for Iran to attack Israel since the leader of Palestinian group Hamas, Ismail Haniyeh, was killed in Tehran in July. Tensions have grown in recent weeks after Israel stepped up attacks against Lebanon's Iran-backed Hezbollah militia, culminating in the killing of the group's leader Hassan Nasrallah in Beirut on 27 September. The Iranian missile barrage aimed at Israel "appears to have been defeated and ineffective," White House national security adviser Jake Sullivan said in the aftermath of the attack. At the direction of President Joe Biden, "US naval destroyers joined Israeli air defense units in firing interceptors to shoot down inbound missiles," Sullivan said. "We do not know of any damage to aircraft or strategic military assets in Israel," and the only reported fatality is of a Palestinian civilian in the West Bank, Sullivan said. Chevron said it shut in its Tamar and Leviathan gas platforms offshore Israel for a brief period of time, as a precautionary measure, adding that "we can confirm that our people and facilities are safe." The US had forewarning of the Iranian attack, which it shared with Israel. Biden and vice president Kamala Harris monitored the Iranian attack and the US response to it from the White House situation room. November Nymex WTI peaked at $71.94/bl earlier in Tuesday's session, but retraced those gains after the attack appeared to have inflicted little damage. The last Iranian direct missile attack on Israel, in April, led to a restrained Israeli retaliation on targets inside Iran, with the US, China and other regional powers intervening to prevent a further escalation. How Israel will retaliate this time remains to be seen, and the US, at least publicly, is not restricting its ally's possible actions. "We've had some initial discussions with the Israelis in the aftermath of this, at the military level and also at the White House to prime minister's office level," Sullivan said. "We are now going to look at what the appropriate next steps are to secure, first and foremost, American interests, and then to promote stability to the maximum extent possible." By James Keates and Haik Gugarats Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Canadian crude flows to US midcontinent intact post-TMX


01/10/24
01/10/24

Canadian crude flows to US midcontinent intact post-TMX

Calgary, 1 October (Argus) — Refiners in the US midcontinent continue to get ample supply of Canadian crude, even after the 590,000 b/d Trans Mountain Expansion (TMX) opened up an alternative outlet for oil sands producers. An average 2.9mn b/d of Canadian crude flowed into the US midcontinent in July, marking the highest ever rate for the same month in data going back to 1993, according to the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) this week. This is up by about 140,000 b/d compared to the prior five-year average for July. Canada's TMX pipeline went into service on 1 May, but volumes were already being drawn westward in April with the new line requiring roughly 4.4mn bl of linefill. The Trans Mountain system, now at a capacity of 890,000 b/d, opened a new frontier for oil sands operators as they target Pacific Rim markets via the Westridge Marine Terminal in Burnaby, British Columbia. That prospect suggested refiners in the US midcontinent and Gulf coast — that have healthy diets of cheap Canadian crude — may be challenged in supplying their units. But repeated delays in TMX's construction meant upstream production had time to grow higher by the time the line finally went into service. Competing Enbridge provides the largest service to the US midcontinent and beyond with its 3.1mn b/d Mainline system, which the company says was still oversubscribed in the second quarter and the continued demand to ship crude south and east has Enbridge considering yet another expansion that could be in place by late 2026. Flows into the US Gulf coast slipped to 512,000 b/d in July, down by 66,000 b/d compared to the prior five-year average for the same month. This still represents a nine-month high for the region and comparable to the 517,000 b/d in July 2023 and a signal that Canadian flows are largely intact since TMX was commissioned. Trans Mountain said in September it moved 704,000 b/d in June, the latest official figure, with slightly more than half of that sent through the Westridge Marine Terminal for export. The US west coast is among the destinations benefitting from the added Canadian supply, taking a record 498,000 b/d in July. This is double the typical volume for this time of year as it has displaced other foreign crudes and disrupted trade flows in the Pacific. All told, the US imported 4.37mn b/d of Canadian crude in July, also a new record after surpassing the previous high of 4.35mn b/d set in November last year. By Brett Holmes Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Iran launches missile attack on Israel: Update


01/10/24
01/10/24

Iran launches missile attack on Israel: Update

London, 1 October (Argus) — Iran has launched a missile attack against Israel for the first time in six months, after Israeli forces began a ground invasion of Lebanon. The Israeli military via its social media accounts said at 17:36GMT today that "all Israeli civilians are in bomb shelters as rockets from Iran are fired at Israel." This marks the second direct attack on Israel from Iran this year. The US had forewarning of the Iranian attack, which it shared with Israel. US president Joe Biden and vice president Kamala Harris met with their national security team "to discuss Iranian plans to imminently launch a significant ballistic missile attack against Israel," the White House said. The Middle East region has been braced for Iran to retaliate since the leader of Palestinian group Hamas, Ismail Haniyeh, was killed in Tehran in July. Tensions have grown in recent weeks after Israel stepped up attacks against Lebanon's Iran-backed Hezbollah militia, culminating in the killing of the group's leader Hassan Nasrallah in Beirut on 27 September. Israel's military today began ground operations in southern Lebanon. By James Keates and Haik Gugarats Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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