Q&A: French state auction for biomethane RGGOs

Spanish Market: Electricity, Natural gas
06/11/24

France's first auction for state-owned biomethane renewable gas guarantees of origin (RGGOs) is due to take place on 4 December. It will be run by European Energy Exchange (EEX), which also manages the French biogas registry. Argus spoke to Aude Filippi, director of business development gas and sustainability markets at EEX, about biomethane RGGOs in France and the new auctions. Edited highlights follow:

How are RGGOs currently traded in France?

All RGGOs for biomethane injected into the French gas grid are currently exchanged via the over-the-counter (OTC) market, and the transfer of ownership is done via the French biogas registry. The RGGOs are tradeable for 12 months and usable for 18 months, and are issued in monthly intervals.

The market has been growing quite significantly. Between January and September 2024, 8.5TWh of RGGOs were issued and 7.2TWh cancelled, while in 2023 there were 9.6TWh issued. Almost all of the issued RGGOs are cancelled, with very few expiring after 18 months.

Why are the biomethane RGGO auctions being launched now?

The French state owns all the RGGOs from biomethane produced from subsidised plants where the contract was signed after 9 November 2020, and now the French state wants to sell them.

Even though the contracts were signed in 2020, it takes time to put biomethane into production, so very few of the RGGOs have expired so far. But the volume being produced is growing so it is important that we now have the auctions.

What size volumes are you expecting to be in the new biomethane GOO auctions?

We expect over 80,000MWh in the first upcoming auction, with volumes likely to increase in the following sessions.

What buyers are you expecting to participate in the auctions?

Essentially it will be the members of the French biogas registry that we have connected today. And some members connected to the French power GOO auctions at EEX might participate, so we expect that it will be a similar target group, but for gas.

Will buyers be able to export the biomethane GOOs for use in other countries?

Today we are not yet connected to a hub for the international trade of RGGOs. At the moment, we are working with the hubs to get connected.

Why do the auctions have a mechanism for certain buyers to reserve volumes in the auction?

The idea is that the operator of a production device will have the ability to buy the RGGOs produced from this particular device from the French state. They are then committing for one year at least to buy these RGGOs at the auction price plus a 30pc premium.

By Emma Tribe

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06/11/24

Trump nears victory in US election: Update 3

Updates throughout with latest election results, market reaction Washington, 6 November (Argus) — Former president Donald Trump appears to be closing in on victory in the US election, after winning several key swing states. Trump, the Republican nominee, was declared the victor in Georgia and North Carolina shortly after midnight ET on election night, according to the Associated Press. Trump has also won the key state of Pennsylvania, several US networks said. Trump was leading vice president Kamala Harris in all four other key swing states — Wisconsin and Arizona, Michigan and Nevada — based on partial results as of 02:00 ET (07:00 GMT) on 6 November. The seven swing states will decide which candidate reaches the threshold of 270 electoral votes needed to win the election. Trump had secured 248 electoral votes as 02:00 ET, with Harris at 214. Victory in Pennsylvania, if confirmed, would give Trump 267 votes and all-but end Harris' chances of victory. The prospect of Trump's re-election sent Brent crude futures down by as much as 2.5pc to a low of $73.64/bl, largely reflecting gains in the US dollar. A strong dollar tends to weigh on prices of commodities by making purchases more expensive for buyers using other currencies. Trump has promised to pursue a radical shift for the US on policies related to energy, taxes, trade and foreign affairs — reversing many of the policies and legislation that Democrats have put in place under President Joe Biden. On energy policy, Trump said he wants oil and gas producers to "drill, baby, drill" to bring down domestic energy prices and to dismantle many of the regulations and climate policies put in place by Biden, which Trump dubbed the "Green New Scam". Trump said he would immediately lift a "pause" on licensing new LNG export terminals and restart oil development in Alaska's Arctic National Wildlife Refuge. Trump wants to impose a 20pc tariff on all foreign imports and even higher tariffs on China. The next president faces decisions on the future of US support for Ukraine and related restrictions on Russian energy exports, enforcing US sanctions against Iran and Venezuela and how to contain the growing threat of an Israel-Iran war and its potential impacts on oil flows from the Middle East. Republicans also took control of the US Senate for the first time in four years. In the US House of Representatives, too many races are undecided for major networks to project control. In 2025, the US Congress is poised for a major fight on tax policy because of the year-end expiration of an estimated $4 trillion in tax cuts. By Chris Knight, Haik Gugarats and Kevin Foster Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Trump takes early lead in swing states: Update 2

06/11/24

Trump takes early lead in swing states: Update 2

Updates throughout with latest election results Washington, 5 November (Argus) — Former president Donald Trump is leading election tallies in a number of states crucial to winning the White House, but the final outcome of the presidential contest may take longer to determine. As of 11pm ET on Tuesday, Trump, the Republican nominee, was ahead of vice president Kamala Harris in Georgia and North Carolina, with almost 90pc counted in each state. With partial results in, Trump is running ahead of Harris in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Arizona, while she has a slight lead in Michigan. Ballot counting just now is getting underway in Nevada. The seven swing states will decide which candidate reaches the threshold of 270 electoral votes needed to win the election. Trump has promised to pursue a radical shift for the US on policies related to energy, taxes, trade and foreign affairs — reversing many of the policies and legislation that Democrats have put in place under President Joe Biden. On energy policy, Trump said he wants oil and gas producers to "drill, baby, drill" to bring down domestic energy prices and to dismantle many of the regulations and climate policies put in place by Biden, which Trump dubbed the "Green New Scam". Trump said he would immediately lift a "pause" on licensing new LNG export terminals and restart oil development in Alaska's Arctic National Wildlife Refuge. Trump wants to impose a 20pc tariff on all foreign imports and even higher tariffs on China. The next president faces decisions on the future of US support for Ukraine and related restrictions on Russian energy exports, enforcing US sanctions against Iran and Venezuela and how to contain the growing threat of an Israel-Iran war and its potential impacts on oil flows from the Middle East. In the US House of Representatives, too many races are undecided for major networks to project control. But in the US Senate, Republicans appear likely to win control for the first time in four years, with West Virginia governor Jim Justice (R) flipping a seat held by senator Joe Manchin (I), who is retiring. In 2025, the US Congress is poised for a major fight on tax policy because of the year-end expiration of an estimated $4 trillion in tax cuts. By Chris Knight and Haik Gugarats Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US elections undecided as some polls close: Update

06/11/24

US elections undecided as some polls close: Update

Updates with changes throughout Washington, 5 November (Argus) — Early voting results from key US swing states point to a tight race between former president Donald Trump and vice president Kamala Harris, with the outcome carrying high stakes for energy policy, trade and climate change. Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona and Nevada are the swing states that will decide which candidate reaches the threshold of 270 electoral votes needed to win the election. Early results from Georgia point to a slight advantage for Trump relative to his 2020 results in that state, which President Joe Biden then carried by nearly 12,000 votes. But early voting results also point to slight gains for Harris in some demographic segments relative to Biden's 2020 performance. That would make election results in Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania — which typically take days to complete the count — crucial for determining the outcome. Winning all three states would secure a victory for either candidate. In the US Senate, Republicans have a pathway to win control with a 51-49 majority by flipping one more seat, after West Virginia governor Jim Justice (R) was declared the winner in that state's Senate race by the Associated Press. Democrats are defending seats in close races in Montana, Ohio, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. If the Senate is tied, control will go to the party that wins the presidential election. Even before polls closed today, Trump said there was a "lot of talk about massive CHEATING in Philadelphia" in a post on his social media site, in a rerun of his strategy in the 2020 election of making unsubstantiated claims about voting. Harris, in a campaign speech on Monday in Pennsylvania, said the election offered a chance to "turn the page on a decade of politics that have been driven by fear and division". Trump has focused heavily on energy policy and voter frustration about inflation in his bid for a second term. US motorists were paying an average of $3.07/USG for regular grade gasoline in the week ended on 4 November, the lowest price in 10 months, but still higher than at any point in Trump's first term. On the campaign trail, Trump has promised to bring down energy prices through a policy to "drill, baby, drill" and dismantling President Joe Biden's signature climate initiative, the Inflation Reduction Act. Harris has pledged to support the 2022 law and other Biden energy policies , such as continued support for electric vehicles. Harris has disavowed her 2019 pledge to ban hydraulic fracturing. But oil and gas companies remain concerned about restrictions on federal leasing and efforts to electrify the vehicle fleet if she is elected. The next president will decide key questions on energy policy, such as the licensing of new US LNG export facilities and regulating carbon emissions from power plants, oil and gas facilities and vehicles. The election will carry equally high stakes for companies involved in metals , agriculture and other commodities. Trump is planning a combative approach to trade, with a 20pc tariff on all foreign imports and even higher tariffs against China. In 2025, the US Congress is also poised for a major fight on tax policy because of the year-end expiration of an estimated $4 trillion in tax cuts. On foreign policy, the next president will face decisions on the future of US restrictions on Russian energy exports and US sanctions against Iran and Venezuela and how to contain the growing threat of an Israel-Iran war and its potential impacts on oil flows from the Middle East. Polls also show a tight race in the fight for control of the US House of Representatives, where Republicans hold a 220-212 majority and where up to 22 seats are deemed competitive, election ratings firm Cook Political Report says. By Chris Knight and Haik Gugarats Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Voting set to conclude in race for White House

05/11/24

Voting set to conclude in race for White House

Washington, 5 November (Argus) — Voting concludes today in the US presidential contest between former president Donald Trump and vice president Kamala Harris, a race with high stakes for energy policy, trade and climate change. Polls will close by 6-9pm ET in eastern states and by 11 pm ET in most western states, but election officials say it will take time to count votes, including from mail-in ballots that will trickle in over the coming days. As of 3 November, voters who went to the polling stations early or sent mail-in ballots added up to 48pc of the total turnout in 2020, according to analysis by the Washington Post. The presidential race is likely to be determined by voters in Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona and Nevada, where pre-election polls have shown no decisive lead for Harris or Trump. Voters are casting ballots at a time when domestic oil and gas production is booming. US crude output reached a record high 13mn b/d last year, while gas production hit a record 103 Bcf/d, according to the US Energy Information Administration. Despite record production and profits in the oil industry, Trump has focused heavily on energy policy — and voter anger over higher prices across the economy — in his bid to win a second term. US drivers paid an average of $3.07/USG for regular grade gasoline in the week ended on 4 November, the lowest price in 10 months — but still higher than at any point during Trump's first presidency. On the campaign trail, Trump has assured oil and gas producers that under his watch they would be permitted to "drill, baby, drill" and has promised to dismantle the energy tax credits in President Joe Biden's signature climate initiative, the Inflation Reduction Act. Harris has committed to support the 2022 law and other energy policies adopted by Biden, including continued support for electric vehicles. Harris has disavowed her 2019 pledge to ban hydraulic fracturing. But oil and gas firms remain concerned about restrictions on federal leasing and efforts to electrify the vehicle fleet if she is elected. The next president will decide key questions on energy policy, such as how to proceed with a "pause" on the licensing of new US LNG export facilities and to manage climate-related rules for power plants, oil and gas facilities and vehicles. The race for the White House will have equally high stakes for companies involved in metals and agriculture , as well as other commodities. Trump is planning a combative approach to trade, with a 20pc tariff on all foreign imports and even higher tariffs against China, and to rescind many regulations. In 2025, the US Congress is poised for a major fight on tax policy because of the year-end expiration of an estimated $4 trillion in tax cuts. Russia's war on Ukraine, and the future of US restrictions on Russian energy exports is also at stake during the election. Trump has vowed to end the war by forcing Kyiv to negotiate a deal with Russian president Vladimir Putin and appears to back the Kremlin's argument that the continuation of US sanctions on Russia would weaken and undermine the dollar. A Harris administration would continue enforcing the G7 price cap on Russian oil exports and, possibly, add to the restrictions on Moscow's earnings from its oil and gas exports. The growing threat of an Israel-Iran war and its potential impacts on oil flows from the Middle East is threatening to overwhelm the final months of Biden's term in office and any foreign policy initiatives either candidate vying to succeed him will pursue in the region. US-China relations are likely to remain adversarial in coming years. Viewing Beijing as the principal economic and geopolitical challenge for the US is a rare overlap in foreign policy priorities identified by Trump and Harris. Of particular concern in Washington is the ability of oil exporting countries such as Iran, Venezuela and Russia to find willing buyers for their crude in China despite US sanctions. Polls also show a tight race in the fight for control of the US House of Representatives, where Republicans hold a slim 220-212 majority. Up to 22 congressional races are up to grabs, with a range of potential outcomes favoring either party, election ratings firm Cook Political Report says. Cook rates 208 seats as solid or leaning Republican, and 205 solid or leaning Democratic, with both shy of the 218 needed for control of the chamber. In the US Senate, where Democrats hold a 51-49 majority, Republicans have a clear path to taking control because of polling leads in West Virginia and Montana. Republicans could win control of the Senate by flipping just one seat, if Trump wins the election, but would need to flip two seats if Harris wins. By Chris Knight and Haik Gugarats Presidential race still a toss-up Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Latin America mulls nuclear power revival

05/11/24

Latin America mulls nuclear power revival

New York, 5 November (Argus) — Nuclear power is gaining traction in Latin America as countries see small modular reactors (SMRs) as options for remote regions that are not connected to power grids. "The advent of SMRs are behind Latin America's new interest in nuclear energy, because they do not need to be large and do not require large investments," said Modesto Montoya, a nuclear physicist and former president of the Peruvian Institute for Nuclear Energy. Nuclear power is not a prevalent source of electricity in Latin America, producing around 2pc of the region's power consumption. There are seven nuclear power plants with a total capacity of 5.07GW in operation in the region, located in Argentina, Mexico and Brazil. Argentina has a 32MW SMR plant under construction. But the role of nuclear could increase in the region. Argentina, Brazil and Mexico are providing technical advice to countries that are considering including the technology in their power systems. Earlier this month, El Salvador approved a nuclear energy law and signed a memorandum with the Argentinian government for scientific and technology cooperation for nuclear power. Daniel Alvarez, director of the Agency for Implementation of the Nuclear Energy Program in El Salvador, told Argus that the country was "following the book to develop nuclear power. We want to convert El Salvador into a nuclear country." The country needs to replace fossil fuels as half of the country's power capacity is fueled by bunker fuel. It has 204MW of geothermal capacity installed and, while solar energy is possible, the country's size limits the amount of physical space to add large solar plants. The government's plan is to have a research reactor and 400 people trained to manage a nuclear plant within seven years. The next step would be the construction of SMR. "We have to include alternatives for power generation and SMRs are a very good option. We want to include them in our transition to 2050,"Alvarez said. SMRs are also seen as a solution to the energy problem in the northern jungle city of Iquitos, in Peru, energy and mines minister Romulo Mucho said. It is one of the world's largest cities that is not accessible by road and not connected to the national grid, relying primarily on fuel oil for power generation. Peru has had experience with nuclear technology since 1988, when it opened the nuclear research facility, RASCO. Neighboring Bolivia has been working on a small nuclear program since the previous decade with Russia's Rosatom. It has a center for nuclear medicine and is finishing a small research reactor. Ronald Veizaga, deputy minister of electricity and renewable energies, said Bolivia began the program to improve medical treatment for cancer, but has changed gears. "Critics claim SMRs are expensive, but it is more expensive to have blackouts affecting your population and industry," he said. Traditional nuclear Paraguay is considering a more ambitious path, looking at a traditional nuclear plant. "We need to make political decisions if we want to explore a SMR or a large-scale plant to generate 1GW or more," said Jorge Molina, executive secretary of Paraguay's Radiology and Nuclear Authority. Paraguay could work with Argentina and Brazil to create a regional platform. "Our idea is part of regional integration. Our neighbors are already helping us develop our regulations," he said. But the construction of nuclear plants comes with challenges including high costs, time, labor and materials. Brazil began work on the 1.4GW Angra 3 nuclear plant in 1984 but works have been halted and resumed several times since then. The plant is roughly 67pc complete and has been in limbo since 2015. The country's Bndes development bank recently concluded that abandoning the construction of the project would be less costly than completing it. By Lucien Chauvin Countries with installed nuclear capacity in Latin America GW Country Capacity Argentina 1.64 Brazil 1.88 Mexico 1.55 — Ons, Cammesa, Cenace Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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