Braskem eyes PE, PP gains from tariff hike

Spanish Market: Petrochemicals
07/11/24

Brazilian petrochemical giant Braskem expects to increase its domestic share of polyethylene (PE) and polypropylene (PP) markets because of higher import tariffs that took effect last month.

The Brazilian government's decision to increase import tariffs to 20pc, up from 12.6pc, effective from 15 October and valid for one year, is also expected to boost first-quarter sales by $30mn, the company said Thursday.

Additionally, Braskem's operating rates for plastic resins, including polyvinyl chloride (PVC), are expected to rise in the first quarter from 64pc currently, following the seasonally weak fourth quarter.

Braskem acknowledged that the higher import tariffs are a temporary government measure. The company is working to boost competitiveness in the petrochemical industry through conversion to renewables, improved technology and greater tax incentives for the industry, among other structural measures, Braskem chief financial officer Pedro Freitas said during the company's earnings call.

To bolster the competitiveness of plastic resins made in Brazil, Braskem and fellow PVC producer Unipar Carbocloro have jointly requested the Brazilian government to increase the anti-dumping tariffs already imposed on PVC produced in the US, currently at 8.2pc. Both companies are also monitoring other polymers produced abroad for potential anti-dumping tariff requests.

On the investment side, Freitas said Braskem may as much as double capacity at its petrochemical complex in Rio de Janeiro, where the company's cracker operates 100pc on ethane feedstock, and also increase capacity at its petrochemical complex in Bahia, which partially uses ethane. The company is monitoring the regulation of natural gas in Brazil to ensure greater availability of ethane present in the natural gas extracted from Petrobras' offshore operations in the country. The use of this ethane is in the company's plans, according to Freitas.

Braskem also stated that it will invest around $60mn in a 30-40 day scheduled maintenance shutdown at its Mexican joint venture Braskem Idesa. The company's cracker in Duque de Caxias, Rio de Janeiro, also is expected to be shut for scheduled maintenance down next year.

In the US, Braskem said it is studying potential investments to produce green PP.

Looking ahead to next year, Braskem said Donald Trump's victory this week in the US presidential election could lead to greater protectionism in the US, which would be beneficial for Braskem's US operations, or it could lead to weakened domestic demand in Brazil if overseas products that would typically have gone to the US instead shift to Brazil.

Freitas said that even with the better outlook for next year coming from the tariff hike on polymers in Brazil, the Trump factor and other global issues such as the currently low petrochemical cycle are causing Braskem to consider possible capacity rationalization, with a possibly decision next year.

3Q production and sales

Braskem's domestic resin sales fell by 2pc in the third quarter from a year prior, with volumes also falling in the US, Europe and Mexico.

Domestic sales declined mostly because of higher levels of PE and PVC inventories in the transformation chain, Braskem said.

Domestic resin sales reached 869,000 metric tonnes (t) in the third quarter, down from 884,000t a year earlier. Compared to the second quarter, the company's Brazil resin sales were up by 6pc on higher volumes of PP after operations at the Rio Grande do Sul petrochemical complex resumed after severe flooding, and greater demand from the hygiene and cleaning sectors. PVC volumes were supported by greater commercial opportunities in the civil construction and sanitation sectors.

In Mexico, PE sales through the Braskem Idesa joint venture fell by 3pc on the year to 208,000t because of lower demand. Sales declined by 17pc from the second quarter mainly on inventory management and the expectation of a reduction in PE prices in the international market in the following periods.

Third-quarter PP sales were 501,000t, according to consolidated numbers for the US and Europe, down by 8pc from a year earlier and little changed from the previous quarter. The declines were mainly because of lower availability of products for sale in both regions.

Braskem narrowed its third-quarter loss to $106mn from a $497mn loss in the same period last year. The loss was largely attributed to a negative exchange rate variation of R$1.2bn ($211mn).

By Fred Fernandes

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24/12/24

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Viewpoint: US LPG cargo premiums poised to fall

23/12/24

Viewpoint: US LPG cargo premiums poised to fall

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Viewpoint: Protectionist policies muddy US PE outlook

23/12/24

Viewpoint: Protectionist policies muddy US PE outlook

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Viewpoint: rHDPE packaging grade demand solid into 2025

18/12/24

Viewpoint: rHDPE packaging grade demand solid into 2025

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Viewpoint: EU PVC margins to hold below average in 2025

18/12/24

Viewpoint: EU PVC margins to hold below average in 2025

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