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Brazil SAF market awaits supply as demand thrives

  • Spanish Market: Biofuels
  • 25/02/25

Brazil's aviation industry will bet on sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) to help it meet mandatory greenhouse gas (GHG) reductions starting in 2027 despite limited investments in the domestic market.

SAF production in Brazil is still limited to tests and is not yet available for commercial purposes, but the federal government is encouraging investments in this segment through infrastructure and legal incentives. Brazil's mines and energy ministry (MME) intends to use SAF to satisfy both domestic demand and exports.

Brazil's fuels of the future law requires the aviation sector to reduce GHG emissions in domestic flights by at least 1pc by 2027 and by up to 10pc by 2037. It prompts higher mandatory biofuel blends in road transportation — despite a freeze in the biodiesel mandate hike last week — and sets sustainability goals for aerial and marine modals.

National energy policy council CNPE is responsible for establishing minimal GHG reduction goals for the transport industry. But those for airlines are flexible according to their biofuel supply and possible negative impacts on the sector, such as higher operation costs halting competitiveness or preventing them from acquiring the biofuel. For example, airlines without access to SAF in airports are exempt from minimum reduction goals.

Civil aviation agency Anac expects SAF regulation alongside public policies to increase supply and support the airline industry's interest in reducing GHG emissions. MME estimates SAF and green diesel investments of R17.5bn ($3.06bn) from 2025-2034, as well as R260bn for biofuels to neutralize 705mn metric tonnes (t) of CO2 by 2037, as announced at a World Economic Forum meeting in Davos.

As investors seek stability and long-term goals, fuels of the future allows for innovative solutions with alternative feedstocks for commercially viable SAF production, Anac's deputy director Roberto Honorato said.

The new SAF industry in Brazil is working on production from soybean oil, palm oil, ethanol — known as the alcohol-to-jet route — and macaw palm oil.

Macaw bet

Acelen, a subsidiary of Abu Dhabi's Mubadala, plans to produce its first "SAF drops" from macaw oil in December 2027-January 2028, trading vice-president Cristiano da Costa said.

The company, which owns macaw fields in the states of Bahia and Minas Gerais, will work with other feedstocks to meet demand as it waits for the macaw to grow, he added.

There are some competitive advantages in producing SAF from macaw, as it yields 7-10 liters/hectare of oil, seven times more than soybeans. Macaw also has the advantage of not competing with food, but it is used by the pharmaceutical industry.

Macaw palm trees grow on degraded cropland, such as the tropical savanna biome known as Cerrado, which covers a quarter of Brazil. Acelen will build an innovation center in Montes Claros city, in Minas Gerais, to produce up to 20,000 b/d of SAF — using hydrotreated esters and fatty acids (HEFA) as feedstock — and renewable diesel from macaw. The plants' production will be able to allocate volumes to international markets, according to da Costa.

Macaw palm trees take 3-5 years to fruit and the harvest usually take place in October-January. Acelen is studying ways to extend the harvest until March, agribusiness director Victor Barra said. The company's project is also considering continuous macaw oil supply through a storage and processing structure that would allow biofuel production to last all year long.


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13/03/25

Açúcar: Mudança tributária abre espaço diplomático

Açúcar: Mudança tributária abre espaço diplomático

Sao Paulo, 13 March (Argus) — A isenção das importações de açúcar no Brasil é avaliada como uma tentativa de demonstrar aos Estados Unidos disposição em realizar acordos comerciais com o país, após o governo norte-americano sinalizar a possibilidade de aumentar as tarifas sobre alguns produtos brasileiros . Ao retirar as tarifas sobre o açúcar, o Brasil abre espaço para negociar a possibilidade de manutenção das tarifas de etanol, de acordo com Renato Cunha, presidente da Associação dos Produtores de Açúcar, Etanol e Bioenergia das regiões Norte e Nordeste (NovaBio). Etanol e açúcar são mercados correlatos no Brasil e as negociações dos dois costumam estar interligadas. Ambos são derivados da cana-de-açúcar e a produção de um produto ocorre em detrimento do outro. O governo brasileiro anunciou em 6 de março a eliminação dos impostos para importações de itens considerados essenciais, como o açúcar, milho, azeite, café e óleo de soja, com o intuito de reduzir os preços dos alimentos, em meio à aceleração da inflação. No caso do açúcar, o efeito sobre a inflação tende a ser limitado. O Brasil – maior produtor e exportador mundial de açúcar – é autossuficiente na produção do adoçante e as importações representam volumes mínimos no mercado. O Brasil exportou cerca de 33,5 milhões de t em 2024, alta de 23,8pc em comparação com 2023, a partir de uma produção de 42,4 milhões de t na safra 2023-24, de acordo com a Unica. Vantagens competitivas do açúcar brasileiro Mesmo que a isenção de tarifas para importar açúcar – que antes eram de até 14pc – facilite a abertura de novos mercados e crie eventuais oportunidades para os consumidores brasileiros, o produto nacional ainda é mais barato, pelos custos de produção mais baixos em relação a outros países. Os custos para produzir açúcar no Brasil são de aproximadamente 15¢/lb (equivalente a R$1,92/kg), enquanto na Tailândia – segundo maior exportador de açúcar – eles estão próximos de 21,5¢/lb, segundo participantes de mercado. Na Índia e Austrália, terceiro e quarto maiores exportadores, os custos são de aproximadamente 22,4¢/lb e 18,3¢/lb, respectivamente. Para que haja uma redução efetiva dos preços do açúcar, é necessária uma revisão nos custos de toda a cadeia produtiva até as gôndolas do mercado, disse José Guilherme Nogueira, presidente da Organização de Associações de Produtores de Cana do Brasil (Orplana). Para Nogueira, é importante se atentar a fatores além da produção, como custos de frete e seguro, áreas passíveis de atuação do governo. Como a produção é suficiente para o consumo nacional e há um grande volume excedente, o açúcar brasileiro acaba sendo majoritariamente exportado, sem o mercado externo representar efetivamente uma concorrência para o consumidor brasileiro. O preço do açúcar cristal branco registrou uma média de R$155,3/ saca de 50kg em janeiro - ou $24,9/sc na paridade de exportação, com a cotação média do dólar norte-americano a R$6,02 – segundo o indicador do Centro de Estudos Avançados em Economia Aplicada (CEPEA/Esalq). Em janeiro de 2024, os preços no mercado nacional estavam R$145,04/sc, em média, e $29,5/sc, considerando uma taxa cambial média de R$4,91. Isso mostra que mesmo com o dólar mais alto neste ano, o mercado doméstico de açúcar segue remunerando mais que o mercado externo, em comparação com o mesmo período no ano passado. Por Maria Albuquerque Envie comentários e solicite mais informações em feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . Todos os direitos reservados.

Northwest European renewable fuel ticket prices rise


12/03/25
12/03/25

Northwest European renewable fuel ticket prices rise

London, 12 March (Argus) — The price of renewable fuel tickets in the UK and the Netherlands has firmed in recent trading sessions, but tickets remain a more competitive option to comply with domestic renewable fuel mandates than physical biofuels blending. Tickets are tradeable credits primarily generated by the sale of biofuel-blended fuels and are used to help obligated parties meet mandates for the use of renewable energy in transport. In the Netherlands, "other" and advanced renewable fuel units (HBE-Os and HBE-Gs) hit a more than three-week high of €11.10/GJ on 6 March, while in the UK, non-crop renewable transport fuel certificates (RTFCs) reached 26.25 pence/RTFC on 5 March, the highest level since 29 January. Despite the increase, RTFCs are at a discount to the like-for-like blend value of used cooking oil methyl esther (Ucome) biodiesel and hydrotreated vegetable oil (HVO) Class II ( see graph ). And in the Netherlands, HBE-Gs remain well below the like-for-like blend value of palm oil mill effluent (Pome) oil-based HVO (Class IV). This typically discourages obligated parties to physically blend biofuels. Biodiesel and HVO prices increased on higher feedstock costs, market participants said. The premiums of HVO Class II and IV against the HVO-escalated 7-28 day Ice gasoil price reached $800/m³ and $785/m³, respectively, on 7 March, the highest since 12 February. Meanwhile, the Argus Ucome biodiesel fob ARA price rose to $1,453.24/t on 4 March, its highest since 3 December. And last week, the Argus UCO fob ARA assessment hit its highest level since October 2022, driven by low supply in the ARA region and a stronger euro against the US dollar. A closed arbitrage with China, Europe's biggest importer of UCO, is putting further pressure on supply in the region, market participants said. UCO trade flows shifted away from Europe last year as significant amounts of Chinese product moved to the US at the expense of flows elsewhere. But there may be some relief for European buyers in 2025 as US buyers wait for clarity on the Inflation Reduction Act's carbon intensity-based 45Z credit. President Donald Trump's doubling of pre-existing tariffs on Chinese imports to the US to 20pc is yet to have an impact on the European market, although participants said it could put a ceiling on further price gains. SAF blending pressures HBE-IXBs HBE-IXB tickets — generated by blending biofuels made from feedstocks listed in Annex IX part B of the EU's Renewable Energy Directive — have been moving in the opposite direction. The Argus Netherlands HBE-IXB price softened to its lowest since October last year on 13 February, at €9.50/GJ (see graph) . It has since risen slightly, reaching €9.75/GJ on 11 March. The tickets are under pressure from stronger supply as some are being offered by sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) blenders, market participants said. Biofuels in aviation benefit from a 1.2x multiplier, in addition to the double counting rule for waste feedstocks. An EU-wide SAF mandate — ReFuelEU — came into effect on 1 January, replacing national obligations. Under the mandate, fuel suppliers will need to include 2pc SAF in their jet fuel deliveries in 2025, rising to 6pc in 2030. UCO-based hydrotreated esters and fatty acids synthesised paraffinic kerosine (HEFA-SPK) is the most common type of SAF available today. In the Netherlands, blending HEFA-SPK SAF into jet fuel can generate HBE-IXBs. But the Dutch ministry of infrastructure is consulting on its second draft to transpose the recast RED III . If the current draft is implemented, the Netherlands will introduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions reduction mandates from 2026 for land, inland shipping and maritime shipping. The first draft also included an aviation subcategory, but it was removed in February . GHG-quota by blending less lucrative in Germany The increase in biodiesel and HVO prices in the ARA region has not had an impact on German GHG certificates. Buying GHG certificates remains more cost effective than physical blending for fuel suppliers. But market participants anticipate prices rising from the end of March, which could reverse this trend. Overall blending in Germany is expected to increase this year to generate new GHG tickets, after carry-over was frozen, forcing producers to build their GHG balance from scratch in order to fulfil their 2025 quotas. Many market participants remain focused on their 2024 balance for now, and demand for advanced biofuels and HVO in Germany has been slow so far this year. By Evelina Lungu Ucome and HVO Class II versus RTFCs p/litre Advanced FAME 0 versus German €/t CO2e Ucome and HVO Class II versus HBE-IXB €/GJ HVO Class IV versus HBE-G €/GJ Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Brazil refinery to produce fuel from eucalypt


11/03/25
11/03/25

Brazil refinery to produce fuel from eucalypt

Sao Paulo, 11 March (Argus) — Petrobras-controlled Riograndense refinery successfully conclude tests to produce fuels from eucalyptus biomass in Brazil's southern Rio Grande do Sul state. The refinery used a bio-oil from eucalyptus biomass and converted it in fractions of fuel gas, LPG, components to produce gasoline and marine fuel with renewable content and others. The bio-oil came from industrial company Vallourec's forest unit in southeastern Minas Gerais state. The test reveals the possibility of using wood and other forestry residues as feedstocks for products usually coming from a fossil origin, said Petrobras's technology, engineer and innovation director Renata Baruzzi. Petrobras intends to transform Riograndense refinery into the first oil plant to produce 100pc renewable fuels in the world, according to Petrobras' chief executive Magda Chambriard. The efforts are part of Petrobras' BioRefino program, which will invest almost $1.5bn to generate sustainable fuels as of 2029. Riograndense refinery is also controlled by Brazilian companies Ultra Group and Braskem petrochemical. By Maria Albuquerque Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

EU consults on decarbonisation, clean tech aid


11/03/25
11/03/25

EU consults on decarbonisation, clean tech aid

Brussels, 11 March (Argus) — The European Commission has opened a consultation on updates to its state aid rules, which aim to take into account the bloc's proposed clean industrial deal — designed to simplify and speed decarbonisation. The commission is aiming to publish the rules in June, following input from EU states. The updated state aid rules would then apply to how the commission decides on EU states' financing of projects up until the end of 2030. The draft provides for member states' simplified tender procedures for renewables and energy storage. The commission specifically notes the possibility of granting aid without tender for less mature technologies, such as renewable hydrogen. There would also be more flexibility for EU states aiding industrial decarbonisation, with a choice of tender-based schemes, direct support and new limits for very large projects. The commission lists batteries, solar panels, wind turbines, heat-pumps, electrolysers and carbon capture usage and storage among clean technologies that can be supported, as well as their key components and critical raw materials. Officials note the possibility of EU countries de-risking private investment. The rules, when adopted, would also allow for investment in storage for renewable fuels of non-biological origin (RFNBOs), biofuels, bioliquids, biogas, biomethane, and biomass fuels as long as they obtain at least 75pc of their content from a directly connected and related production facility. Aid can only be granted for biofuels, biogas, and biomass fuel production if compliant with the bloc's renewables directive. While the rules for biofuels are not new, they do reflect the wider scope of aid now foreseen by the commission. And officials say the rules allow for projects in the EU to receive aid from a member state if a comparably project would receive aid in a third country. The commission released its proposed clean industrial deal in late February . The deal targets a simplification of rules, to allow EU member states to aid industrial decarbonisation, renewables rollout, clean tech manufacturing and de-risking private investments. Today's consultation runs until 25 April. By Dafydd ab Iago Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

South Korea’s SK Energy supplies SAF to Cathay Pacific


11/03/25
11/03/25

South Korea’s SK Energy supplies SAF to Cathay Pacific

Singapore, 11 March (Argus) — South Korean refiner SK Energy is set to supply Hong Kong-based airline Cathay Pacific with at least 20,000t of sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) by 2027, according to the refiner today. The refiner said it will become the first South Korean refinery to supply commercial volumes of SAF to a Hong Kong-based airline, in a bid to "secure a leading position in the Asia-Pacific SAF market" with the region accounting for over 80pc of the refiner's export volumes. The agreement comes after SK Energy exported an undisclosed volume of SAF to Europe in January, describing itself as the first South Korean refinery to do so. SK Energy has a nameplate production capacity of around 80,000 t/yr of SAF and around 20,000 t/yr of other low-carbon products, such as bio-naphtha via co-processing, which integrates bio-feedstocks such as used cooking oil (UCO) and animal fats with traditional oil refining processes. The refiner began its commercial output of SAF in October 2024 . South Korea plans to require all international flights departing from its airports to use a mix of 1pc SAF from 2027 , with a target for the country to capture 30pc of the global blended SAF export market, it announced in August 2024. It remains unclear if co-processed SAF will be allowed to meet the country's mandate, but some South Korean refineries are optimistic. The country also said in August it planned to establish a national standard, certification and testing method for SAF beginning in December 2024, but there have been no updates. By Deborah Sun Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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