Venezuelan crude could remain available to most current buyers in the near future even though US president Donald Trump's administration says it is closing exceptions in sanctions against Caracas.
Trump on 26 February said he would not extend a sanctions waiver that allowed Chevron to lift crude cargoes from its joint venture with Venezuelan state-owned PdV. US secretary of state Marco Rubio last week separately said via social media that he would recommend terminating all "oil and gas licenses that have shamefully bankrolled the illegitimate regime" of Venezuelan president Nicolas Maduro.
Under normal circumstances, such announcements by the US administration include detailed guidance from the Treasury Department's sanctions enforcement arm, the Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC).
But OFAC in its guidance issued on Sunday, days after Trump's announcement, merely said it was "preparing to take action to wind-down General License 41 and other specific licenses as appropriate." General license 41 is the authorization for Chevron's activities in Venezuela, which was issued on 26 November 2022.
"We will issue additional guidance to assist implementation concurrent with any changes to the authorization(s)," OFAC said.
The 2022 authorization for Chevron was auto-renewed every month and allowed the company to operate in Venezuela for a six-month period after each renewal. Since Trump noted that he would not renew the license on 1 March, the terms of that license in theory allow Chevron to continue loading cargoes from Venezuela until at least 1 August.
Multiple other foreign oil companies and traders hold OFAC licenses with sanctions waivers allowing them to load crude and other energy commodities from PdV. Former president Joe Biden's administration issued such authorizations because their terms do not involve direct payments to PdV. Most cargoes are loaded by operators in exchange for writing down debts owed to them by the Venezuelan government or by PdV.
Caracas began to selectively default on its debts to foreign creditors in 2018, and foreign creditors have advanced claims totalling over $60bn. A group of those creditors have succeeded in forcing a sale of PdV-owned US refiner Citgo through a yet-incomplete auction overseen by a US federal court in Delaware.
OFAC typically does not disclose sanctions waivers granted to individual operators. Some of them, including Spain's Repsol and Italy's Eni, previously have made public disclosures about holding limited sanctions waivers.
It is also not clear if sanctions waivers issued to oil field service companies Halliburton, SLB, Baker Hughes and Weatherford, to enable their continued presence in or a future return to Venezuela, will remain in place.
Trinidad and Tobago, which has a sanctions waiver to pursue a project to import Venezuelan gas for a Trinidad-based LNG project, said last week it "will do all in its power" to preserve cross-border oil and gas production agreements.