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Australian beef targeted by US' 10pc tariff

  • Spanish Market: Agriculture
  • 03/04/25

Imports of Australian goods will be tariffed at a general rate of 10pc, US president Donald Trump announced on 2 April, as he signalled his displeasure regarding Australia's biosecurity regulations on agricultural product imports.

Australian imports will be levied with a broad 10pc tariff, the minimum under the Trump administration's regime designed to boost domestic production and raise revenue. Trump cited Australia's biosecurity-based restrictions on US beef imports as a reason for his tariff imposition.

"Australia bans American beef and yet we imported $3bn of Australian beef from them last year alone, they won't take any of our beef," Trump said at the White House on 2 April, "They don't want it because they don't want it to affect their farmers."

Australia's main export of beef to the US is lean trim, rather than cuts, with total beef exports of 395,000t in 2024, or 29pc of the total 1.34mn t shipped. Australia's other significant trade partners include China, South Korea, Japan and the Middle East.

The decision comes as US cattle ranchers remain drought-affected, with nearly 40pc of the nation classed as suffering from moderate-to-exceptional drought at the end of January 2025, the US' National Drought Mitigation Centre said. The female-to-male slaughter ratio has reached its highest average in 25 years in the past six years, with the country recording its smallest January herd numbers since 1951 in 2025.

The world's largest cattle producers Brazil and Australia exported record quantities of beef in 2024, while the US will export 13pc less and import 3pc more beef in 2025 on the back of its declining herd, according to the US Department of Agriculture (USDA). This is despite a recent update from the USDA indicating that heavier-than-expected carcase weights will increase domestic output by 120mn lbs from the previous forecast.

Tariff impacts on Australian beef values is expected to be limited based on the 10pc figure because of high US domestic beef prices, low storage levels and declining numbers of US cattle on feed. Feedlot placements were down by 18pc on the year on 1 March, USDA statistics show.

Import mix

Major competitor Brazil was also hit with a 10pc general tariff on goods. The country already incurs 26.4pc above-quota tariff rates for exports to the US, which were applied from 17 January 2025. But Australia receives 448,000 t/yr tariff-free access under a free trade agreement signed with the US in 2005.

Beef imports from Mexico and Canada will be exempt from the 10pc reciprocal tariffs, along with other products under the US-Mexico-Canada Agreement.

Canada and Mexico accounted for 22pc and 13pc of US beef imports respectively in 2024 according to USDA data, and the countries could gain a larger share of the US beef market going forward.

New Zealand's beef exports to the US totalled 183,000t in 2024, with the nation's red meat exporters still expecting high demand from the US despite potential disruption to trade flows because of the 10pc tariff.


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10/04/25

New tariffs could upend US tallow imports: Correction

New tariffs could upend US tallow imports: Correction

Corrects description of options for avoiding feedstock tariffs in 12th paragraph. Story originally published 3 April. New York, 10 April (Argus) — New US tariffs on nearly all foreign products could deter further imports of beef tallow, a fast-rising biofuel feedstock and food ingredient that had until now largely evaded President Donald Trump's efforts to reshape global trade. Tallow was the most used feedstock for US biomass-based diesel production in January for the first month ever, with consumption by pound rising month to month despite sharp declines in actual biorefining and in use of competing feedstocks. The beef byproduct benefits from US policies, including a new federal tax credit known as "45Z", that offer greater subsidies to fuel derived from waste than fuel derived from first-generation crops. Much of that tallow is sourced domestically, but the US also imported more than 880,000t of tallow last year, up 29pc from just two years earlier. The majority of those imports last year came from Brazil, which until now has faced a small 0.43¢/kg (19.5¢/lb) tariff, and from Australia, which was exempt from any tallow-specific tariffs under a free trade agreement with US. But starting on 5 April, both countries will be subject to at least the new 10pc charge on foreign imports. There are some carveouts from tariffs for certain energy products, but animal fats are not included. Some other major suppliers — like Argentina, Uruguay, and New Zealand — will soon have new tariffs in place too, although tallow from Canada is for now unaffected because it is covered by the US-Mexico-Canada free trade agreement. Brazil tallow shipments to the US totaled around 300,000t in 2024, marking an all-time high, but tallow shipments during the fourth quarter of 2024 fell under the 2023 levels as uncertainty about future tax policy slowed buying interest. Feedstock demand in general in the US has remained muted to start this year because of poor biofuel production margins, and that has extended to global tallow flows. Tallow suppliers in Brazil for instance were already experiencing decreased interest from US producers before tariffs. Brazil tallow prices for export last closed at $1,080/t on 28 March, rising about 4pc year-to-date amid support from the 45Z guidance and aid from Brazil's growing biodiesel industry, which is paying a hefty premium for tallow compared to exports. While the large majority of Brazilian tallow exports end up in the US, Australian suppliers have more flexibility and could send more volume to Singapore instead if tariffs deter US buyers. Export prices out of Australia peaked this year at $1,185/t on 4 March but have since trended lower to last close at $1,050/t on 1 April. In general, market participants say international tallow suppliers would have to drop offers to keep trade flows intact. Other policy shifts affect flows Even as US farm groups clamored for more muscular foreign feedstock limits over much of the last year, tallow had until now largely dodged any significant restrictions. Recent US guidance around 45Z treats all tallow, whether produced in the US or shipped long distances to reach the US, the same. Other foreign feedstocks were treated more harshly, with the same guidance providing no pathway at all for road fuels from foreign used cooking oil and also pinning the carbon intensity of canola oil — largely from Canada — as generally too high to claim any subsidy. But tariffs on major suppliers of tallow to the US, and the threat of additional charges if countries retaliate, could give refiners pause. Demand could rise for domestic animal fats or alternatively for domestic vegetable oils that can also be refined into fuel, especially if retaliatory tariffs cut off global markets for US farm products like soybean oil. There is also risk if Republicans in the Trump administration or Congress reshape rules around 45Z to penalize foreign feedstocks. At the same time, a minimum 10pc charge for tallow outside North America is a more manageable price to pay compared to other feedstocks — including a far-greater collection of charges on Chinese used cooking oil. And if the US sets biofuel blend mandates as high as some oil and farm groups are pushing , strong demand could leave producers with little choice but to continue importing at least some feedstock from abroad to continue making fuel. Not all US renewable diesel producers will be equally impacted by tariffs either. Some tariffs are eligible for drawbacks, meaning that producers could potentially recover tariffs they paid on feedstocks for fuel that is ultimately exported. And multiple biofuel producers are located in foreign-trade zones, a US program that works similarly to the duty drawbacks, and have applied for permission to avoid some tariffs on imported feedstocks for fuel eventually shipped abroad. Jurisdictions like the EU and UK, where sustainable aviation fuel mandates took effect this year, are attractive destinations. And there is still strong demand from the US food sector, with edible tallow prices in Chicago up 18pc so far this year. Trump allies, including his top health official, have pushed tallow as an alternative to seed oils. By Cole Martin and Jamuna Gautam Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Mexico inflation quickens in March


09/04/25
09/04/25

Mexico inflation quickens in March

Houston, 9 April (Argus) — Mexico's consumer price index (CPI) quickened to an annual 3.8pc in March, with price spikes in beef, housing and tourism offsetting easing in energy and produce prices. The index increased for a second consecutive month after accelerating from 3.77pc in February off a four-year low of 3.59pc in January. It nevertheless held for a seventh consecutive month within the central bank's long-term target range of 2pc to 4pc. The result, reported by statistics agency Inegi Wednesday, was in line with the median estimate of analysts polled in Citi Research's 7 April survey. Core inflation, which excludes volatile energy and food, slowed to an annual 3.64pc in March from 3.65pc the prior month. Non-core inflation accelerated to 4.16pc from 4.08pc, driven by a 4.9pc gain in agricultural. Annual inflation for the meat, egg and fish component of CPI slowed to 9pc in March from 10.53pc in February, as egg prices began to recover from bird flu contamination. Energy inflation eased to an annual 2.72pc in March from 3.74pc in February and 6.34pc in January following an agreement between President Claudia Sheinbaum and gasoline dealers to cap low-grade fuel at Ps24 per liter ($4.49/gallon). For the month, headline CPI ticked up by 0.31pc in March after a 0.28pc gain the prior month. Core prices were up by 0.43pc for the month, and non-core prices fell by 0.08pc from the prior month. Beef was a big driver for the monthly uptick in inflation, with prices up by 3.26pc in March from the prior month. Despite the higher headline rate, Mexican bank Banorte said the inflation trend remains mostly favorable with short-term climate conditions suggesting fruit and vegetable prices likely less volatile in coming months than the same time last year. Banorte also noted stability in Mexico's core inflation, and expects the central bank to issue its third half-point cut of 2025 to its target interest rate 15 May, lowering the rate to 8.5pc from 9pc. By James Young By James Young Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Limited impact on US agriculture from China tariffs


09/04/25
09/04/25

Limited impact on US agriculture from China tariffs

London, 9 April (Argus) — China will add an additional 50pc tariff on US goods, raising the total to 84pc from 10 April, the country's finance ministry said today, but agricultural markets could be largely sheltered from the fallout, because China has already been showing limited demand for US grains and oilseeds since December . Tariffs will rise to 84pc for US goods arriving in China, matching US tariffs on imports from China. But purchases of US-origin agricultural products from private importers to China has already wound down since December, meaning that any rises in duties are unlikely to put any further pressure on China-bound shipments. Just 9,900t of US corn arrived in China between December 2024 and February 2025, the latest available customs data show, compared with 1.4mn t a year earlier. Soybean sales have been higher across the same period, with 13.4mn t arriving between December and February this year, compared with 8.8mn t a year ago. But most private buyers have refrained from making new US-origin purchases since December. By Megan Evans Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

South Korean beef imports to remain flat, demand falls


08/04/25
08/04/25

South Korean beef imports to remain flat, demand falls

Sydney, 8 April (Argus) — South Korea's beef imports are expected to remain flat in 2025, tempered by lower domestic consumption and a tighter US supply outlook, according to the US Department of Agriculture's (USDA) Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS). South Korea is forecast to import 574,000t carcass weight equivalent (cwe) of beef in 2025, down slightly from 577,000t in 2024, because of falling domestic consumption, higher prices of imports, and competitive pricing of local beef. The country's beef imports have been declining since 2023, curbed by a stronger US dollar and domestic supply. Domestic beef consumption is expected to decline by around 2pc on the year, as the South Korean economy slows and consumer demand for higher-priced domestic beef and imported premium muscle cuts dampens, according to FAS. South Korea imported 47pc of its beef from the US and 46pc from Australia in 2024, according to FAS. But the US cattle herd has declined to its lowest level since 1951 in 2025, which could shift market share in Australia's favour. South Korea's imports of Australian beef rose to 45,000t in January-March 2025, up by 10pc from the same period in 2024, Australia's Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Forestry (DAFF) data show. Australia's share of imports could rise further if South Korea implements countermeasures after the US applied 25pc tariffs on the country's exports on 2 April. But South Korea will remove the 2.6pc tariff on US beef from January 2026 under an existing Free Trade Agreement, giving the US a significant competitive advantage over Australian products. Australia's ability to gain additional market share is also limited by the safeguard quota of 192,206t for 2025 under the Korea-Australia Free Trade Agreement (KAFTA). A tariff of 24pc is applied if volumes rise above this level. Australia exported 200,545t of beef to South Korea in 2024 — more than 8,000t above the 2024 safeguard quota. By Grace Dudley Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Flooding on US rivers mires barge transit


07/04/25
07/04/25

Flooding on US rivers mires barge transit

Houston, 7 April (Argus) — Barge transit slowed across the Arkansas, Ohio and lower Mississippi rivers over the weekend because of flooding, which prompted the US Army Corps of Engineers (Corps) to close locks and issue transit restrictions along the waterways. The Corps advised all small craft to limit or halt transit on the McClellan-Kerr Arkansas River Navigation System (MCKARNS) in Arkansas because flows reached above 200,000 cubic feet per second (cfs), nearly three times the high-water flow. The heavy flow is expected to persist throughout the week, posing risks to those transiting the river system, said the Corps. Some barges have halted movement on the river, temporarily miring fertilizer resupply efforts in Arkansas and Oklahoma in the middle of the urea application season. The Corps forecasts high flows to continue into Friday, and the National Weather Service predicts several locations along the MCKARNS will maintain a moderate to minor flood stage into Friday as well. Both the Arthur V Ormond Lock and the Toad Suck Ferry Lock, upriver from Little Rock, Arkansas, shut on 6 April because of the high flows. Flows along the Little Rock Corps district reached 271,600cfs on 7 April. The Corps forecasts high flows to continue into Friday. Ohio and lower Mississippi rivers The Corps restricted barge transit between Cincinnati, Ohio, and Cairo, Illinois, on the Ohio River to mitigate barge transportation risks, with the Corps closing two locks on the Ohio River on 6 April and potentially four more in the coming days. Major barge carrier American Commercial Barge Line (ACBL) anticipates dock and fleeting operations will be suspended at certain locations along the Mississippi and Ohio rivers as a result of the flooding. NWS forecasters anticipate major flooding levels to persist through the following week. Barge carriers also expect a backlog of up to two weeks in the region. To alleviate flooding at Cairo, Illinois, where the Ohio and Mississippi Rivers meet, the Corps increased water releases at the Barkley Dam on the Cumberland River and the Kentucky Dam on the Tennessee River. The Markland Lock, downriver from Cincinnati, Ohio, and the Newburgh lock near Owensboro, Kentucky, closed on 6 April. The Corps expects the full closure to remain until each location reaches its crest of nearly 57ft, which could occur on 8 or 9 April, according to the National Weather Service (NWS). Around 50 vessels or more are waiting to transit each lock, according to the Lock Status Report published by the Corps on 7 April. The Corps also shut a chamber at both Cannelton and McAlpine locks. The John T Myers and Smithland locks may close on 7 April as well, the Corps said. The Olmsted Lock, the final lock before the Ohio and Mississippi rivers, will require a 3mph limit for any traffic passing through. The NWS expects roughly 10-15 inches of precipitation fell along the Ohio and Mississippi River valleys earlier this month, inducing severe flooding across the Ohio and Mississippi River valleys. A preliminary estimate from AccuWeather stated an estimated loss of $80-90bn in damages from the extreme flooding. By Meghan Yoyotte Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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