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Mexico, Canada sidestep latest Trump tariffs: Update

  • Spanish Market: Crude oil, Metals, Natural gas, Oil products
  • 03/04/25

Adds Canada reaction

US president Donald Trump's sweeping tariff measures largely spared Mexico and Canada from additional penalties, as the US-Mexico-Canada free trade agreement (USMCA) will continue to exempt most commerce, including Mexico's energy exports.

According to Trump's tariff announcement on Wednesday, all foreign imports into the US will be subject to a minimum 10pc tax starting on 5 April, with levels as high as 34pc for China and 20pc for the EU. Mexico and Canada are the US' closest trading partners and have seen tariffs imposed and then postponed several times this year, but remained mostly exempt from Trump's "reciprocal" tariffs.

Energy and "certain minerals that are not available in the US" imported from all other countries also will be exempt from the tariffs. Trump also did not reimpose punitive tariffs on energy and other imports from Canada and Mexico. All products covered by the USMCA, which include energy commodities, are exempt as well.

Yet steel and aluminum, cars, trucks and auto parts from Mexico and Canada remain subject to separate tariffs. Steel and aluminum imports are subject to 25pc, in effect since 12 March. The 25pc tariff on all imported cars and trucks will go into effect on Thursday, whereas a 25pc tax on auto parts will go into effect on 3 May.

Mexico's president Claudia Sheinbaum this morning emphasized the "good relationship" and "mutual respect" between Mexico and the US, which she said was key to Trump's decision to prioritize the USMCA over potential further tariffs on Mexican imports.

"So far, we have managed to reach a relatively more privileged position when it comes to these tariffs," Sheinbaum said. "Many of our industries are now exempt from tariffs. We aim to reach a better position regarding steel, aluminum and auto parts exports, too."

The Mexican peso strengthened by 1.5pc against the US dollar in the wake of the tariff announcement, to Ps19.96/$1 by late morning on Thursday from Ps20.25/$1 on Wednesday.

Mexico has not placed any tariffs on imports from the US, which may have eliminated the need for the US to reciprocate with tariffs. "In contrast to what will apply to 185 global economies, Mexico remains exempt from reciprocal tariffs," Mexico's economy minister Marcelo Ebrard said.

Mexico exported 500,000 b/d of crude to the US last year, making the US by far the most important export market for the nation's commodity. Mexico also imports the majority of its motor fuels and LPG from the US.

If US won't lead, Canada will: Carney

To the north, Canada's prime minister says the US' latest trade actions will "rupture" the global economy.

"The global economy is fundamentally different today than it was yesterday," said prime minister Mark Carney on Thursday while announcing retaliatory tariffs on auto imports from the US.

Canada is matching the US with 25pc tariffs on all vehicles imported from the US that are not compliant with the USMCA, referred to as CUSMA in Canada. But unlike the US tariffs, which took effect Thursday, Canada's will not include auto parts.

Automaker Stellantis has informed Unifor Local 444 that it is shutting down the Windsor Assembly Plant in Ontario for two weeks starting on 7 April, with the primary driver being Trump's tariffs. The closure will affect 3,600 workers.

Trump on 2 April unveiled a chart of dozens of countries the US is targeting with new tariffs, but that lengthy list may also represent opportunity for Canada and Mexico, who have already been dealing with US trade action.

"The world is waking up today to a reality that Canada has been living with for months," Canadian Chamber of Commerce president Candace Laing said, a reality which Carney views as an opportunity for his country.

"Canada is ready to take a leadership role in building a coalition of like-minded countries who share our values," said Carney. "If the United States no longer wants to lead, Canada will."


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16/04/25

Japan’s Honda to produce more cars in US, less locally

Japan’s Honda to produce more cars in US, less locally

Tokyo, 16 April (Argus) — Japanese car producer Honda will produce a car model at its US facility instead of its domestic facility from as early as June, the company told Argus today, possibly to avoid the US' tariffs on foreign car deliveries. Honda will stop manufacturing the Civic Hybrid 5-door model at the country's eastern Yorii plant during June-July and switch the production to its US plant in the state of Indianna, the representative of the firm told Argus . Honda produced 3,000 units of the model during February and March, he added. This comes as part of the company's mid-to long term "optimisation strategy", according to the firm, reiterating that theproduction switch is not a countermeasure against the US' across-the-board 25pc tariff on automobile imports that took effect on 3 April. But this may not be entirely convincing since Honda just started producing the model in February, leaving room for speculation that the transfer is part of a wider strategy to reduce delivery costs to the US market. Honda did not disclose whether the Indiana plant will procure auto parts from its suppliers in Canada or Mexico . Japanese auto industry is still bracing for further developments in the US tariff policy on automobile and auto parts, although US president Donald Trump on 14 April suggested possibly pausing the tariff. Tokyo and Washington will hold a ministerial talk this week to negotiate trade issues, including the levy on auto delivery, along with the 24pc "reciprocal" tariffs the Trump administration separately imposed on Japanese imports. Japanese government is hoping to negotiate for a better tariff deal during the 90-day pause on the reciprocal tariff imposition by the US government, and the automobile industry is seen as a key sector to settle the deal. The US president has long expressed his dissatisfaction against the auto trade imbalance between two countries. Japan exported around 1.3mn units of passenger vehicles to the US in 2024, while Japan purchased around 23,000 units of US passenger vehicles in 2023. By Yusuke Maekawa Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Opec+ overproducers issue new compensation plans


16/04/25
16/04/25

Opec+ overproducers issue new compensation plans

Dubai, 16 April (Argus) — Seven of the eight Opec+ members that began a gradual unwinding of a combined 2.2mn b/d output cut this month have submitted updated schedules for how they plan to compensate for producing above their respective quotas since the start of 2024. The schedules, released by the Opec secretariat today, show Iraq, Kazakhstan, Russia, the UAE, Kuwait, Oman and Saudi Arabia are planning to produce around 305,000 b/d below their combined production targets on average from April through June 2026 ( see table ). This is to compensate for exceeding their production targets by a cumulative 4.573mn b/d between January 2024 and March 2025, the secretariat said. This figure does not represent a monthly average, but rather the sum of the monthly amount by which the overproducers surpassed their respective output ceilings in this period. It works out to an average monthly overproduction of 305,000 b/d. Algeria is the only country in the group of eight that did not overproduce in that stretch, and therefore does not have to compensate. The previous schedule , which was published in the third week of March, envisaged the seven producing around 263,000 b/d below their combined targets on average from March through June 2026. That was to clear 4.203mn b/d of cumulative overproduction between January 2024 and February 2025, or 300,000 b/d on average per month over that period. This latest schedule factors in the decision by these seven countries, and Algeria, earlier this month to speed up the return of a 2.2mn b/d cut by lifting the group's overall production target in May by 411,000 b/d ꟷ three times more than it had originally planned. If implemented fully these compensation cuts should at least largely offset much of the production increases that would be allowed by the Opec+ group of eight's planned unwind through to the second half of 2026. At most, the compensation cuts would more than offset the planned increases for some months, including for this month. But with serial over-producers Iraq and Kazakhstan responsible for delivering the biggest chunk of these compensatory cuts through to the middle of next year, there is no guarantee of full implementation. By Nader Itayim Opec+ overproduction compensation plan* b/d Month Iraq Kuwait Saudi Arabia UAE Kazakhstan Oman Russia Total Apr-25 120 8 15 5 63 5 6 222 May-25 140 15 0 10 116 12 85 378 Jun-25 140 23 10 132 15 111 431 Jul-25 135 30 10 126 17 137 455 Aug-25 130 38 10 141 19 163 501 Sep-25 135 37 10 135 14 189 520 Oct-25 135 10 160 15 320 Nov-25 135 20 114 269 Dec-25 130 20 69 219 Jan-26 125 33 49 207 Feb-26 125 33 38 196 Mar-26 124 33 40 197 Apr-26 120 57 38 215 May-26 120 62 42 224 Jun-26 120 63 36 219 Average reduction 305 *monthly reduction pledge in addition to existing targets Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Cyclone cuts Australian refiner Ampol's 1Q output


16/04/25
16/04/25

Cyclone cuts Australian refiner Ampol's 1Q output

Sydney, 16 April (Argus) — Australian refiner and fuel retailer Ampol's 109,000 b/d Lytton refinery production dropped on the quarter in January-March, and margins remained low on the year, partly because of Cyclone Alfred and a weak global refining market. Ampol shut Lytton for 10 days to secure the facility before Cyclone Alfred hit mainland Australia on 8 March, damaging the roof of a crude tank at the facility, leading to demurrage costs for the firm. Lytton's production dropped by 15pc on the quarter to 91,000 b/d from 108,000 b/d in October-December and dropped by 6pc from a year earlier . Total sales at Ampol dropped by 7pc on the quarter to 429,000 b/d, because of ample market supply, which limited short-term physical sales, the firm said. Fellow Australian refiner Viva Energy also experienced low fuel sales in the January-March quarter, because of adverse weather events in January, likely weighing on consumption . Total oil product sales across Australia dipped by 4pc in the month to 1mn b/d in February to 1.04mn b/d in January. Ampol's Lytton Refinery Margin (LRM) was up by 24pc on the quarter to $6.07/bl, but was down by 49pc from the year-earlier figure. Ampol flagged that it could be eligible for government support , under the Fuel Security Services Payment program (FSSP), if their margins do not recover for the remainder of the April-June quarter. Refiners become eligible for the FSSP when margin markers fall to A$10.20/bl ($6.49/bl), with a maximum of A1.8¢/litre available when the marker drops to a floor of A$7.30/bl. Ampol's margin for January-March quarter was A$9.57/b. The programme started in July 2021 to protect Australian refiners in a weak global refining market, and Australian refiner Viva Energy applied for the FSSP in their July-September quarter in 2024. By Grace Dudley Ampol Results (b/d) Jan-Mar '25 Oct-Dec '24 Jan-Mar '24 y-o-y % ± q-o-q % ± Refining intake 90,725 107,761 96,510 -6 -15 Sales volumes 429,367 523,641 463,750 -7 -18 LRM ($/bl) 6.1 4.6 11.8 -49 24 Source: Ampol Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Australia's Fortescue announces electric drills deal


16/04/25
16/04/25

Australia's Fortescue announces electric drills deal

Sydney, 16 April (Argus) — Australian iron ore and energy company Fortescue has announced a A$350mn ($222mn) deal with Swedish firm Epiroc to buy over 50 electric drill rigs aimed at reducing emissions at its iron ore operations in Western Australia (WA). Fortescue expects the drills to reduce annual diesel consumption by around 35mn litres once it fully replaces diesel-powered equipment by 2030. The new fleet will cut more than 90,000t of CO2 emissions annually, Fortescue Metals chief executive officer Dino Otranto said on 16 April. The fleet includes autonomous electric platform and contour drills, and the first equipment arrived at Fortescue's Solomon mine in early April. The deal is part of the company's plan to replace its diesel-powered equipment by 2030. It signed a $2.8bn deal with Swiss-German manufacturer Liebherr in 2024 for a battery-powered truck fleet for its mining operations. Fortescue plans to replace around 800 pieces of heavy mining equipment with zero emissions equivalents and deploy 2-3GW of renewable energy and battery storage across the Pilbara region by the end of this decade, Otranto said. Fortescue is currently building a 190MW solar farm at its Cloudbreak mine, which will reduce annual diesel consumption by a further 125mn l. Safeguard mechanism results The company reported covered scope 1 emissions of 1.96mn t of CO2e across seven facilities in the first compliance year of Australia's reformed safeguard mechanism , which was just over 100,000t of CO2e above a combined baseline of 1.85mn t of CO2e. Facilities earn Safeguard Mechanism Credits (SMCs) under the scheme if their emissions are below baseline or must surrender Australian Carbon Credit Units (ACCUs) or SMCs if emissions are above the threshold. Fortescue earned 49,749 SMCs for its Solomon Power Station and surrendered the units across four other facilities that exceeded their baselines. It also surrendered 57,753 ACCUs, while two of its facilities — the Christmas Creek Mine and Eliwana Mine — will have to manage a combined excess of 49,382t of CO2e in future under applications for multi-year monitoring periods (MYMP), which allow eligible facilities to report under the safeguard scheme for periods of up to five years ( see table ). Fortescue expected to exceed emissions baselines by around 120,000t of CO2e in the 2023-24 year, it said in 2024. ACCU generic, generic (No AD) and human-induced regeneration (HIR) spot prices have remained below A$35 ($22) over the past two months, having declined steadily from mid-November because of lower buying interest from safeguard companies and strong SMC issuances. By Juan Weik and Susannah Cornford Fortescue's 2023-24 safeguard mechanism results t CO2e Facility Covered emissions Baseline ACCUs surrendered SMCs surrendered SMCs issued MYMP net position Solomon Mine 452,137 390,033 42,926 19,178 Solomon Power Station 316,859 366,608 49,749 Christmas Creek Mine 372,251 351,986 20,265 Cloudbreak Mine 295,132 267,459 8,411 19,262 Rail 254,871 241,706 4,002 9,163 Eliwana Mine 164,894 135,777 29,117 Iron Bridge Mine 104,560 100,000 2,414 2,146 Total 1,960,704 1,853,569 57,753 49,749 49,749 49,382 Source: Clean Energy Regulator Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

United Airlines to cut 3Q capacity on uncertainty


15/04/25
15/04/25

United Airlines to cut 3Q capacity on uncertainty

Houston, 15 April (Argus) — United Airlines plans to decrease the number of flights it operates in the third quarter because of lower passenger numbers and economic uncertainties. The US-based air carrier said that it will be removing four percentage points of scheduled domestic capacity in the third quarter of 2025 and expects to retire 21 aircraft earlier than previously planned. Global economic uncertainty prompted the company to provide two scenarios for for its financial results for 2025 — one based on the US economy remaining weaker but stable, and the other for the US entering a recession. In the stable scenario, assuming current fuel price outlooks, the company expects a $11.50-$13.50 per share profit. Under the recessionary scenario profits would be in the $7-9/share range. Despite the possibility of slower busines, the airline plans to expand its investments at Chicago O'Hare International Airport in Chicago, Illinois, with six additional gates and plans to expand at San Francisco's international airport as well. 1Q results In the first quarter domestic passenger load factor — a measurement of capacity utilization — declined by 3.4 percentage points to 80.3pc compared to the same quarter in 2024. United's revenue passenger miles (RPM) — a measurement of total miles flown by paying passengers — increased by 3.6pc to 59.5bn miles in the first quarter compared to the previous year. Available seat miles (ASM) — a measure of capacity — rose by 4.9pc to 75.2bn miles in the quarter. United's average fuel cost decreased by 12.2pc to $2.53/USG during the first quarter. The airline consumed 4.1pc more fuel in the quarter. Total operating expenses rose by 1.3pc to $12.6bn in the quarter while total operating revenue increased by 5.4pc to $13.2bn. The airline reported $387mn profit in the first quarter, up from a $124mn loss reported a year earlier. By Hunter Fite Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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