New Trinidad PM to seek access to Venezuelan gas

Spanish Market: Fertilizers, Natural gas, Petrochemicals
29/04/25

Major LNG exporter Trinidad and Tobago's new government wants to open discussions with the administration of US president Donald Trump on access to natural gas fields on the border with Venezuela.

United National Congress (UNC) party leader Kamla Persad-Bissessar will be the new prime minister of the Caribbean state of 1.5mn people after the party won Monday's general election, ending 10 years of administration by the People's National Congress (PNC) party of Stuart Young. The UNC won 26 seats in the 41-member assembly.

"We will work with the Trump administration to see how the discussions with the Venezuelan government on the cross-border gas fields can be reopened," the UNC's energy spokesman David Lee said. Lee is expected to be appointed the energy minister.

"We do not have any closed doors on this matter," Lee said. "We will directly engage the US so it will be confident in working with us on resolving our cross-border issues."

Trinidad and Tobago's gas-short economy was set back earlier this month by the Trump government's revocation of licenses granted by the administration of former US president Joe Biden to Trinidad. The waivers exempted certain work to develop two gas fields that straddle the maritime border with Venezuela from US sanctions.

Access to the Dragon and Manakin-Cocuina gas fields is "vital" to reversing Trinidad's fall in gas production, Young said.

Trinidad has been struggling to recover natural gas flow since November 2017, following a long slide from a peak of 4.3 Bcf/d in 2010. Gas output in 2024 was 2.53 Bcf/d, and the fall in output suppressed LNG, petrochemical and fertilizer production.

Trinidad's 2024 LNG production of 16.7mn m³ was down by 4.6pc on 2023, according to the latest energy ministry data.

The 11.8mn t/yr Atlantic liquefaction plant in southwestern Trinidad, which is majority owned by Shell and BP, is Trinidad's sole LNG producer.

Crude production has also declined, moving from a peak of 144,400 b/d in 2005 to 50,854 b/d in 2024, according to the energy ministry.

The decline in crude feedstock contributed to the 2018 shutdown of the state-owned 160,000 b/d Guaracara refinery.

Young's administration failed at several attempts to engage foreign investors to reopen the plant. The government last month selected Nigerian privately owned oil and gas company Oando to lease and operate the refinery.

But the incoming UNC administration will terminate negotiations with Oando to reopen the refinery and will seek new investors for the plant, the party said.

By Canute James

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09/05/25

EU consults on tariffs for €95bn US imports

Brussels, 9 May (Argus) — The European Commission is consulting on an extensive list, worth €95bn ($107bn), of US industrial, agricultural and other imports that could be subject to tariff countermeasures. The long list includes extends from livestock, biofuels, wood pellets to metals, aircraft, tankers and polymers . The consultation runs until midday on 10 June. It is aimed at stakeholders affected by US measures and possible EU rebalancing measures. Also considered for possible countermeasures are restrictions, worth €4.4bn, on EU exports to the US of steel, iron and aluminium scrap, as well as toluidines, alcoholic solutions and enzymes (CN codes 7204, 7602, 292143, 330210 and 350790). The commission linked the possible new measures to US universal tariffs and to Washington's specific tariffs on cars and car parts. The commission said the public consultation is a necessary procedural step. It does not automatically result in countermeasures. The EU also launched a WTO dispute procedure against the US for Washington's universal tariffs, set at 20pc for EU goods and currently paused at 10pc, and at 25pc on all imports of vehicles and car parts. The commission will need approval by EU governments under a simplified legislative procedure. Officials say this will complete a legal act for the countermeasures, making them "ready to use" if talks with the US do not produce a "satisfactory" result. The list of products potentially targeted includes livestock, along with items ranging from spectacles to antiques. The 218-page list includes a range of agricultural and food products including oats, maize, and cereal pellets. Also included are biodiesel and wood pellets (CN codes 38260010, 44013100), as well as paper and cotton products. Aluminium, iron, steel are listed together with a wide range of other goods from gas turbines, ships propellers and blades, aircraft, sea-going tankers and other vessels. Polymers, copolymers, polyesters and other products are not spared (CN codes 39039090 and more). On 10 April, the EU paused its reciprocal tariffs against the US for 90 days, responding to a US pause. The EU notes that €379bn, or 70pc, of the bloc's exports to the US are currently subject to new or paused tariffs. By Dafydd ab Iago Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Australian firms flag coal phase-out timeline concerns

09/05/25

Australian firms flag coal phase-out timeline concerns

Sydney, 9 May (Argus) — Energy utilities raised concerns that Australia's coal-fired power generation phase-out might be running on an unrealistic timeline, according to submissions to the National Electricity Market (NEM) review consultation process. Utilities AGL Energy, Alinta Energy, Delta Energy, Energy Australia, Origin Energy and Stanwell — which operate 10 of the 20 coal-fired power plants in Australia (see table) — submitted separate recommendations to the consultation launched late last year looking at wholesale market settings. This came after the conclusion of the Capacity Investment Scheme (CIS) tenders in 2027, and as Australia transitions to more renewables from its aging coal-fired plants. The Australian Energy Market Operator (Aemo) forecast the country will exit all coal-fired generation by 2038 in its Integrated System Plan (ISP) published in 2024. But Delta Energy predicts that this timeline will not be met, and views ISP's priority as emissions reduction targets rather than a realistic timeline. Insufficient capacity to replace the coal plants was a common issue flagged by these companies, with AGL saying this is partly because of uncertainty in the market leading to less investments. The utility plans to close all its coal plants by the end of June 2035. AGL was Australia's largest emitter of greenhouse gas emissions in the 2024 financial year, according to the Clean Energy Regulator (CER), followed by Stanwell, Energy Australia and Origin Energy. The transition could be supported using flexible dispatchable resources, according to Origin Energy. The coal phase-out means more variable renewable energy (VRE) is required, but VRE output will not necessarily match demand. "The NEM review must also consider the actions to facilitate the planned retirement of coal-fired power stations from the energy system, which will still be occurring in the NEM beyond the CIS," Stanwell warned. "The urgency of developing solutions cannot be overstated, as any indecision now would result in increased government intervention later, and a disorderly and costly NEM beyond the CIS." Gas-fired generation A few firms view gas-powered generation as critical in the transition away from thermal coal and in maintaining system reliability. It will provide back-up in times of renewable droughts, said Stanwell and AGL, and should be noted in discussions of the forward strategy. But Alinta Energy is cautious of the costs of gas-fired power plants, believing them to be the least costly for customers but not economically viable because of their exposure to global gas market prices. Alinta's suggestion is to reduce the market's dependence on high-cost facilities including gas-fired facilities. Mixed views on capacity market Some companies mentioned a capacity mechanism as a solution. Coal-fired facilities should be allowed to continue until they can be replaced, said Alinta Energy, and gas power plants are necessary. Energy Australia and Delta are calling for the NEM to stay technologically neutral in this process, keeping thermal coal exits in mind. A capacity market needs to be sustainable without government subsidies, Alinta Energy said, and exit strategies for government intervention should be clear from the beginning. But capacity markets can lead to higher costs for customers, according to AGL, because of potential over-procured capacity. "If a capacity mechanism was implemented, it would be important to consider the impact of any capacity incentive on the operation of the NEM and the appropriate level of the market price settings — a balance that may be difficult to strike," AGL noted. The expert independent panel leading the review will continue carrying out consultation, and is expected to make final recommendations to energy and climate ministers in late 2025. By Susannah Cornford Australia coal fired power plant closures in NEM Plant Capacity (MW) Owner Closure date State Emissions CER 2023/24 year Scope 1 & 2 of CO2e Eraring 2,880.0 Origin 2025 NSW 13,550,220.0 Yallourn 1,480.0 Energy australia 2029 Vic 10,502,080.0 Callide B 700.0 CS Energy 2029 Qld 4,028,161.0 Total by 2030 5,060.0 28,080,461.0 Coal plant closures in NEM after 2030 Bayswater 2,640.0 AGL 2030-33 NSW 13,712,719.0 Vales Point 1,320.0 Delta 2033 NSW 7,111,963.0 Stanwell 1,460.0 stanwell 2035 Qld 6,982,204.0 Tarong 1,843.0 Stanwell 2035 Qld 10,936,021.0 Kogan 740.0 CS Energy 2035 Qld 4,522,472.0 Callide C 825.0 CS Energy 2035 Qld 688,038.0 Loy Yang A 2,210.0 AGL 2035 Vic 18,723,707.0 Sub-total 11,038.0 62,677,124.0 Total by 2030 16,098.0 90,757,585.0 CER Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Chemicals, polymers part of EU tariff consultation

08/05/25

Chemicals, polymers part of EU tariff consultation

London, 8 May (Argus) — Polymer and chemical products are included in a European Commission public consultation on a list of US imports which could become subject to EU countermeasures, if ongoing EU-US negotiations do not result in a mutually beneficial outcome and the removal of the US tariffs. The consultation will remain open until 10 June, after which a final proposal will be made for the adoption of countermeasures and a legal act prepared for imposing them "in case negotiations with the US do not produce a satisfactory result". The list of additional products that could face import tariffs includes many polymers and some chemicals, although appears to target value more than volume. These additions include polypropylene homopolymer and copolymers (HS codes 39021000, 39023000), although these account for a relatively small volume of trade, at 114,000t in 2024, according to GTT data. Other polymer codes on the consultation list include some polystyrene, polyvinyl chloride, acrylonitrile butadiene styrene and polyethylene terephthalate products. Isocyanates and some polyurethanes are part of the consultation. Imports of acetic acid, a methanol derivative were included. EU 27 imports from the US in 2024 were 540,000t. Liquid caustic soda has been included. The EU 27 countries imported 540,000t in 2024. Benzene and xylenes have been included, but only under distinct "non-chemically defined" HS codes (27071000 and 27073000) and for which volumes are small. The European Union on 9 April announced a 90-day delay to a series of planned countermeasures specific to US tariffs on metals to allow space for negotiations. These are separate from the new consultation and remain poised to go ahead if negotiations fail. They included a 25pc tariff on imports from the US of polyethylene under codes representing nearly 1mnt of imports in 2024. By Alex Sands Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Permian output could plateau sooner: Occidental CEO

08/05/25

Permian output could plateau sooner: Occidental CEO

New York, 8 May (Argus) — Oil production from the Permian basin could plateau sooner than expected if operators keep talking about reducing activity levels in the wake of lower oil prices, warned the chief executive of Occidental Petroleum. Vicki Hollub said she previously expected to see Permian output growing through 2027, with overall US production growth peaking by the end of the decade. "It's looking like with the current headwinds, or at least volatility and uncertainty around pricing and the economy, and recessions and all of that, it's looking like that peak could come sooner," Hollub told analysts today after posting first quarter results. "So I'm thinking right now the Permian, if it grows at all through the rest of the year, it's going to be very little." Occidental is reducing the midpoint of its annual capital spending guidance for 2025 by $200mn on the back of further efficiency gains. The US independent also plans to trim domestic operating costs by $150mn. "We continue to rapidly advance towards our debt reduction goals, and we believe our deep, diverse portfolio of high-quality assets positions us for success in any market environment," Hollub said. Occidental closed asset sales of $1.3bn in the first quarter and has repaid $2.3bn in debt so far in 2025. Occidental produced 1.4mn b/d of oil equivalent (boe/d) in the first quarter compared with nearly 1.2mn boe/d in the same period of last year. By Stephen Cunningham Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US seeks flexibility from Europe to help LNG deals

08/05/25

US seeks flexibility from Europe to help LNG deals

Washington, 8 May (Argus) — President Donald Trump's administration is pressing European countries to offer flexibility on standards for methane emissions as a way to ease the pathway for them to sign long-term purchase agreements for US LNG. Trump has pushed for countries to commit to buying more US LNG as a way to avoid steep tariffs he has threatened to impose on countries that have trade imbalances with the US. But a looming requirement for European importers to show "equivalence" to EU methane monitoring requirements for newly signed gas supply contracts could pose an obstacle for US LNG, based on differences in how methane emissions are tracked. The administration's "ask" is for the EU to ensure that its methane-related measurement, reporting and verification (MRV) methodologies do not pose a barrier to US LNG, US acting assistant secretary of state for energy resources Laura Lochman said today. US LNG terminals have struggled to show equivalency to the MRV rules because, unlike many global LNG projects, they source their gas from pipelines connected to multiple fields. "Give time for industry to work through some of those traceability issues as well, because it would take a few years to be able to get to that point and work out the equivalency methodology," Lochman said at an event with European officials organized by the industry group LNG Allies. European officials indicated they are receptive to finding a solution, as they work to end purchases of Russian gas by the end of 2027. But they say they want to continue to see reductions in emissions of methane, which is a potent greenhouse gas. Trump has already started rolling back restrictions on methane emissions. "We understand you've got a different supply chain, as opposed to us, and that it's important to have it worked out so that any difficulties are taken away from American companies with those regulations," Netherlands ambassador to the US Birgitta Tazelaar said at the event. "Of course it's very important for the Netherlands and Europe that methane be reduced." US LNG developers are likewise pushing Europe to consider pushing back a goal to largely phase out natural gas consumption by 2040. That deadline could complicate the traditional financing model for new LNG terminals typically premised on signing 20-year supply deals, said Kimmeridge managing partner Ben Dell, whose company is building the proposed 9.5mn metric tonne/yr Commonwealth LNG project in Louisiana. "The one thing I would ask is for European members in this room to think beyond 2040," Dell said. "Ultimately extending that runway allows a lower-cost project financing and ultimately a lower cost delivery into the European market." A potential trade deal between the US and the EU could create an opportunity to grant equivalency to US LNG exports to avoid barriers from the EU methane regulation, LNG Allies president Fred Hutchison said today. The US in turn could reclassify the EU as having a free trade agreement for gas, which would expedite US LNG export licensing, Hutchison said. The Trump administration sees the potential for European contracts to lead proposed US LNG export terminals to reach final investment decisions (FIDs). The administration has already been "very clear" about its goal to increase LNG exports and cut regulations facing the natural gas sector, the State Department's Lochman said. "When you put together the push from the US side to support, and then the demand signals on the European side, you can get more projects making it to FID," Lochman said. By Chris Knight Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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